Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Lincoln, IL

935 
WWUS53 KILX 010211
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
911 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILC173-010221-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-230401T0230Z/
Shelby-
911 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for south central,
southeastern and east central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3881 8865 3915 8835 3987 8800 3988 8754
      3861 8841 3861 8870
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 264DEG 55KT 3980 8788 3879 8853 

$$

ILC023-025-029-035-041-045-049-079-010230-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-230401T0230Z/
Coles-Edgar-Jasper-Clark-Cumberland-Clay-Effingham-Douglas-
911 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN COLES...EDGAR...WESTERN JASPER...NORTHWESTERN CLARK...
CUMBERLAND...CLAY...SOUTHEASTERN EFFINGHAM AND EASTERN DOUGLAS
COUNTIES...

At 911 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Hume to Louisville, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe storms will be near...
  Hume around 915 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these severe thunderstorms include
Chrisman, Clay City and Bogota.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 108 and 133.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for south central,
southeastern and east central Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3881 8865 3915 8835 3987 8800 3988 8754
      3861 8841 3861 8870
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 264DEG 55KT 3980 8788 3879 8853 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

37

202 
WWUS53 KILX 010232
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
932 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILC023-025-029-035-041-045-049-079-010242-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-230401T0230Z/
Coles-Edgar-Jasper-Clark-Cumberland-Clay-Effingham-Douglas-
932 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN COLES...EDGAR...
WESTERN JASPER...NORTHWESTERN CLARK...CUMBERLAND...CLAY...
SOUTHEASTERN EFFINGHAM AND EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for south central,
southeastern and east central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3881 8865 3915 8835 3987 8800 3988 8754
      3861 8841 3861 8870
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 270DEG 45KT 3980 8755 3879 8820 

$$

37

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
852 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 852 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

A line of thunderstorms will continue to track eastward across the
I-57 corridor into Indiana late this evening. After that, expect
windy and dry weather for the remainder of the night.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 852 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

0145z/845pm radar imagery shows a line of strong to severe
convection extending from Danville...to Shelbyville...to near
Salem. The storms are quickly tracking off to the east-northeast
and will push into Indiana after 03z/10pm. Damaging wind gusts and
isolated tornadoes will be possible. Once the storms end, gusty
westerly winds will bring sharply colder/drier air into central
Illinois with overnight low temperatures ranging from the middle
30s along/west of I-55...to the lower to middle 40s along/south of
I-70.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

20z/3pm mesoanalysis shows a moderately unstable/highly sheared
warm sector environment characterized by MLCAPEs of 1000-1500J/kg
and 0-3km shear in excess of 40kt west of the I-55 corridor.
Several clusters of strong/severe convection are ongoing...with
most of the activity now along/north of a Macomb to Bloomington
line. Based on radar trends and HRRR forecasts, it appears this
convection will exit the northern KILX CWA into northern Illinois
within the next 1-2 hours. After a brief lull, additional cells
firing further upstream ahead of an advancing cold across central
Iowa/Missouri will quickly pivot into the area by late
afternoon/early evening. Most CAMs suggest the cells will congeal
into a squall line, then race eastward into Indiana by 9pm-10pm.
The primary threat with the line will be damaging wind gusts in
excess of 70mph: however, a few tornadoes will also be possible.
Once the cold front passes and the storms depart, winds will veer
to the west and temperatures will plummet. Readings will drop from
current values in the upper 60s and lower 70s to early morning
lows ranging from the middle 30s in the Illinois River Valley to
the middle 40s south of I-70. Blustery and chilly conditions will
prevail on Saturday as the pressure gradient tightens between
departing low pressure and a high building into the Plains.
Forecast soundings and numeric guidance indicate W/NW gusts
reaching 40-50mph Saturday morning before gradually subsiding
during the afternoon. High temperatures will be considerably
cooler than today...only reaching the middle to upper 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Quiet weather will be on tap for Sunday as temperatures quickly
rebound back to seasonal values in the upper 50s and lower 60s. As
a weak front drops southward and stalls in the region, low chance
PoPs for showers are warranted Sunday night into Monday.

After that, attention turns to another powerful storm system
progged to track from the southern Rockies into the Upper Midwest
early next week. As the upper system approaches from the west, the
stationary frontal boundary will lift back northward as a warm
front on Tuesday. Given increasing instability/shear, there will
be a risk for strong to severe storms Tuesday/Tuesday
night...before a cold front sweeps through Illinois by early
Wednesday morning. At this time, will focus highest PoPs Tuesday
afternoon and evening, with rapidly decreasing rain chances by
Wednesday. High temperatures will soar into the middle to upper
70s on Tuesday, but will drop back into the lower to middle 50s by
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Primary line of strong to severe convection is taking shape along
the I-55 corridor early this evening...with a secondary line
northwest of the Illinois River. Based on radar trends, it appears
the storms will arrive at KDEC/KCMI by 01z, then push east of the
terminals by 02z. The line further northwest appears it will brush
KPIA over the next hour, then lift northeastward out of the area.
Once the convection departs, winds will veer to the west and gust
30-35kt through midnight. Winds will likely temporarily decrease
overnight before the pressure gradient tightens and W/NW gusts
increase to 35-45kt by Saturday morning. Winds will remain
strong/gusty through the afternoon before diminishing toward
sunset. VFR ceilings are expected tonight: however, MVFR ceilings
poised to the northwest will filter southward into the area by
morning. Based on HRRR/NAM forecast soundings, have introduced
MVFR at KPIA by 11z, then further southeast to the I-72 sites by
13z.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 PM CDT Saturday for ILZ027>031-036>038-
040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

UPDATE...Barnes
SYNOPSIS...Barnes
SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM...Barnes
AVIATION...Barnes

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>042-047>051-012015-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely into early evening. Damaging wind
gusts over 70 mph, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are all
possible.

Winds will likely gust from 45 to 55 mph tonight into Saturday
morning, as winds turn southwest this evening and west to northwest
by Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
and Tuesday evening.

Minor flooding will continue through next week on the Illinois River
from Havana to Beardstown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

ILZ043>046-052>057-061-012015-
De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-
Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and east
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely this evening. Damaging winds over 70
mph, large hail, and strong tornadoes are all possible.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected tonight into midday Saturday
as southwest winds this evening turn west to northwest Saturday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-012015-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely into this evening. Damaging winds
over 70 mph, large hail, and tornadoes are all possible.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected tonight into midday
Saturday, as southwest winds this evening turn westerly Saturday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday night.

Lingering flooding on the Wabash, Embarras, and Little Wabash Rivers
is expected to subside by early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
530 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             CHAPIN                  39.77N 90.40W
03/31/2023  M1.25 INCH       MORGAN             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
622 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TORNADO          CHAPIN                  39.77N 90.40W
03/31/2023                   MORGAN             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER SAW TORNADO ON THE GROUND.

0535 PM     TORNADO          5 N JACKSONVILLE AIRPOR 39.81N 90.23W
03/31/2023                   MORGAN             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER POSSIBLY DROVE THROUGH TORNADO. SAID
            THERE WAS STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLE DEBRIS
            AS IT PASSED.

0542 PM     HAIL             JACKSONVILLE            39.74N 90.23W
03/31/2023  E1.00 INCH       MORGAN             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE HALF MILE FROM MORTON AVE EXIT ON I-72.

0545 PM     HAIL             W PRENTICE              39.86N 90.04W
03/31/2023  E1.75 INCH       MORGAN             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0554 PM     TORNADO          SHERMAN                 39.90N 89.61W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER SAW WHAT LOOKS LIKE A TORNADO AND
            POWER FASHES 20 MILES WSW OF SHERMAN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
630 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TORNADO          SHERMAN                 39.90N 89.61W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR COUNTRY MARKET IN
            SHERMAN.

&&

RD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
834 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     TORNADO          RIVERTON                39.85N 89.54W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   STORM CHASER

            STORM CHASER REPORTING A STOVEPIPE TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN N OF TACO JOHNS OUTSIDE OF
            RIVERTON THAT HIT SEVERAL HOMES. SAW SEVERE
            DAMAGE ON THE HOMES WHILE TRAVELLING E ON
            I-72.

0626 PM     TORNADO          DAWSON                  39.86N 89.46W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAWSON FPD REPORTING TORNADO TOUCHDOWN ON
            ROUTE 36/172 OVERPASS.

0628 PM     TORNADO          SHERMAN                 39.90N 89.60W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN SHERMAN BY OLD
            BUSINESS 55 BY FIRE STATION.

0629 PM     TORNADO          DAWSON                  39.86N 89.46W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            REPORTING AND CONFIRMED BY FIRE DEPARTMENT
            ROUTE 36 AND WASHINGTON IN DAWSON HIT BY
            TORNADO.

0638 PM     TORNADO          6 SSW MOUNT PULASKI     39.93N 89.33W
03/31/2023                   LOGAN              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTING THAT THE FIRE
            DEPARTMENT ON SCENE OF DAMAGE NEAR 6 MILES
            SSW OF MT. PULASKI. 2 SHEDS, 2 GRAIN BINS
            DAMAGED. ADJACENT HOME HAS BROKEN WINDOWS.

0639 PM     TSTM WND GST     N STANFORD              40.44N 89.22W
03/31/2023  M63 MPH          MCLEAN             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0647 PM     TORNADO          LATHAM                  39.97N 89.16W
03/31/2023                   LOGAN              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS IN LATHAM.

0647 PM     TSTM WND GST     LATHAM                  39.97N 89.16W
03/31/2023  M65 MPH          LOGAN              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0651 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 ENE LATHAM            39.98N 89.11W
03/31/2023                   MACON              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            UNCONFIRMED FUNNEL AT LINCOLN MEMORIAL
            PARKWAY AND POLAND RD IN MACON COUNTY.
            DEPUTY WAS UNABLE TO CONFIRM DUE TO RAIN.

0655 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 WNW MORRISONVILLE     39.43N 89.48W
03/31/2023                   CHRISTIAN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTING CYCLING FUNNELS WITH WALL
            CLOUD 1 MILE WEST OF MORRISONVILLE.

0701 PM     TORNADO          E DAWSON                39.86N 89.46W
03/31/2023                   SANGAMON           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTING TORNADO AND DEBRIS ON
            TELSTAR AND SCULLY RD JUST E OF DAWSON.

0706 PM     TORNADO          MORRISONVILLE           39.43N 89.46W
03/31/2023                   CHRISTIAN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTING REPEATED BRIEF TOUCHDOWNS
            OF SMALL ROPE TORNADO N OF MORRISONVILLE.

0733 PM     HAIL             N TAYLORVILLE           39.55N 89.30W
03/31/2023  E1.00 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0742 PM     HAIL             3 S STONINGTON          39.60N 89.19W
03/31/2023  E1.00 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0744 PM     HAIL             RANTOUL                 40.31N 88.16W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0745 PM     TORNADO          1 SW LUDLOW             40.38N 88.14W
03/31/2023                   CHAMPAIGN          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BUS BLOWN OVER ON I-57 1 MILE SW OF LUDLOW.
            32 PASSENGERS, 2 MINOR INJURIES.

0751 PM     HAIL             SE MOUNT ZION           39.78N 88.87W
03/31/2023  E1.25 INCH       MACON              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0753 PM     HAIL             MOUNT ZION              39.78N 88.87W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       MACON              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0805 PM     TORNADO          3 E RANKIN              40.47N 87.84W
03/31/2023                   VERMILION          IL   PUBLIC

            EM RELAYED REPORT THAT TORNADO CROSSED IL
            ROUTE 9 BY A PERSON DRIVING DOWN THAT ROAD.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
840 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6.5 E ALTONA            41.09N 90.16W
03/31/2023                   KNOX               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLE BLOWN DOWN AND TREE UPROOTED IN
            THE GALVA CEMETERY ALONG HWY 17.

&&

SHIMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
842 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SSE URBANA            40.08N 88.19W
03/31/2023  M73 MPH          CHAMPAIGN          IL   COCORAHS

            STATION IL-CP-108 URBANA 2.3 SSE.

&&

GEELHART