Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Advisories in 2023
Wind Advisory 8, NWS Wilmington, OH
NWS Wilmington, OH issued this wind advisory at Mar 24, 2023, 12:37 PM EDT for 12 counties in Kentucky; 32 counties in Ohio; 8 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Mar 25, 2023, 7:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 24, 2023, 12:37 PM EDT (16:37 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 25, 2023, 7:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 25, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, OH
All 52 counties
Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 22 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 498 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 90 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -73 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
015 WWUS71 KILN 241637 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1237 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-250045- /O.NEW.KILN.WI.Y.0008.230325T1100Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton- Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 1237 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana, Northeast and Northern Kentucky and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
5 follow-up statements
279 WWUS71 KILN 250014 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 814 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-250900- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0008.230325T1100Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton- Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 814 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana, Northeast and Northern Kentucky and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
999 WWUS71 KILN 250638 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 238 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 OHZ026-044>046-052>056-064-065-251500- /O.UPG.KILN.WI.Y.0008.230325T1100Z-230326T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.HW.W.0003.230325T1100Z-230326T0000Z/ Hardin-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Pickaway-Fairfield- Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Circleville, Lancaster, and Pickerington 238 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of Central and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ034-035-042-043-051- 060>063-070>074-077>082-088-251500- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0008.230325T1100Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike- Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 238 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana, Northeast and Northern Kentucky and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
092 WWUS71 KILN 251337 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 937 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 OHZ026-044>046-052>056-064-065-252145- /O.CON.KILN.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Hardin-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Pickaway-Fairfield- Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Circleville, Lancaster, and Pickerington 937 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Central and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ034-035-042-043-051- 060>063-070>074-077>082-088-252145- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike- Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 937 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 50 to 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana, Northeast and Northern Kentucky and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
628 WWUS71 KILN 252302 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH Issued by National Weather Service Jackson KY 702 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 OHZ026-044>046-052>056-064-065-260015- /O.CON.KILN.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Hardin-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Pickaway-Fairfield- Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Circleville, Lancaster, and Pickerington 702 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with a few gusts near 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Central and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ034-035-042-043-051- 060>063-070>074-077>082-088-260015- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike- Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 702 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana, Northeast and Northern Kentucky and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
156 WWUS71 KILN 260006 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH Issued by National Weather Service Jackson KY 806 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 OHZ026-044>046-052>056-064-065-260115- /O.EXP.KILN.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Hardin-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Pickaway-Fairfield- Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Circleville, Lancaster, and Pickerington 806 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Winds have diminished below advisory and warning criteria. $$ INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ034-035-042-043-051- 060>063-070>074-077>082-088-260115- /O.EXP.KILN.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-230326T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike- Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 806 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Winds have diminished below advisory criteria. $$ HAL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 24, 10:46 AM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 10:46 AM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1046 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
An active weather pattern will continue through Saturday with
multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms. This active
pattern will bring the potential for flooding, isolated severe
weather, and gusty winds. Windy conditions are expected
Saturday, with a quieter weather pattern evolving early to
middle of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Rain continues to move over primarily the southern half of the
forecast area especially near and south of the Ohio River. This
area will be more of the focus area for the steadier rainfall
during the day with northern locations seeing more breaks in the
rain today at times. The rates have decreased and expect
precipitation during the daytime hours to be light to moderate.
Much of the heavier rainfall will hold off until tonight.
With extensive cloud cover today not expecting temperatures to
rise much and have highs in the 40s across the north and in the
50s near and south of the Ohio River closer to the frontal
boundary.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
The primary S/W with a sharpening midlevel trof will track NE
into the OH Vly tonight into early Saturday morning. The stalled
LL frontal boundary, which will have laid out in an approximate
W-E orientation across central KY this afternoon, will begin to
abruptly pivot back further N as a developing sfc low ejects NE
from AR into IN this evening/tonight. Tremendous forcing and
widespread ascent will evolve late this evening into tonight as
a potent LLJ pivots N into the OH Vly. Strong ascent, amidst an
amply- saturated profile, will promote the development of an
expansive shield of SHRA with embedded TSRA ahead of the sfc
low, focusing near the arcing/northward-moving warm front and
ahead of the eastward-moving cold front. Aggressive LL
convergence along these boundaries will serve as a focus for
widespread steady/heavy RA/TSRA once again moving in from the SW
by/past 00z. The most concerning aspect of this round of pcpn
will be the incredibly heavy, albeit potentially somewhat brief,
rain rates that may come of the N-S oriented convection ahead of
the eastward-advancing front, especially in areas that will have
already received 2+" of rain from this morning's activity. The
good news with tonight's setup is that the heavy rain should be
relatively brief in nature, potentially only several hours in
duration, before a punch of drier midlevel air moves in from the
SW around the srn periphery of the midlevel low center. But
certainly an additional inch in only 2-3 hours may occur for
many areas, which could cause issues in spots that may be
unreceptive to additional heavy rain rates, prompting rapid
runoff and eliciting quicker rises on area waterways.
The other aspect to address for tonight's setup will be the very
limited potential for a strong/severe storm, especially across
SE IN, N KY and far srn OH during the heart of the overnight
hours. Although the LL and deeper-layer shear, both in terms of
speed and direction, is quite impressive, the LL thermodynamic
environment is going to be somewhat grungy and unsupportive of
any substantial severe/convectively-driven wind risk. Fcst
soundings from a myriad of guidance suggest very limited SB-
instby, even in spite of the strong forcing and tremendous LL
shear. The incredibly deep saturated profile should limit the
instby and therefore keep the strong/severe convective wind
risk to a minimal level, even in the aforementioned areas.
Once the drier midlevel air impinges in from the W by daybreak
as the deepening low tracks into srn MI, the threat for heavy
rain will come to an end locally (although flooding/high water
issues may linger, with swollen rivers/waterways continuing
potentially into early next week for some spots). Once the rain
ends, the main concern will shift to the /very/ windy
conditions that will evolve during the daytime, owing to robust
LL mixing and a very tight pressure gradient on the backside of
the departing, but still strengthening, sfc low. The pressure
rises by Saturday afternoon alone will be fairly impressive. And
with the increased vertical mixing will come a steepening of
the LL lapse rates, with momentum transfer techniques from
several model solutions suggesting 40-45+ kts gusts evolving
Saturday morning into the afternoon. These winds should subside
fairly quickly into the evening as the gradient relaxes and the
mixing subsides, but many spots will see wind gusts in the
40-45kt range mid morning through late afternoon Saturday.
Temps will be somewhat steady on Saturday, with the offsetting
effects from the diurnal cycle with subtle sfc CAA. Daytime
highs will range from the mid 40s in WC OH to the lower 60s in
the lower Scioto Valley.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Quieter weather conditions evolve for the long term period as
quasi-zonal midlevel flow becomes established in the OH Vly. A
weak S/W may induce a weak/broad-scale sfc wave that will track
into the region Monday and may provide a chance for some light
RA locally, but nothing too significant. The midlevel flow
becomes more out of the NW toward midweek on the backside of the
aforementioned sfc wave, with drier/chillier conditions for the
end of the long term period. But temperatures, as a whole,
should be fairly close to seasonal norms for early/mid week.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
An expansive band of RA, with embedded TS, continues to
track through the region from the WSW. Prevailing VSBYs with the
RA are mainly MVFR, although the pockets of heavier activity
are reducing VSBYs to IFR at times, with CIGs mainly IFR.
The steadiest activity should wane between about 13z-15z from
WNW to ESE, with a lull in pcpn expected past 15z or so for
much of the area. This should allow for VSBYs to go VFR by late
morning into the afternoon, although some BR may keep patchy
MVFR VSBYs going through parts of the afternoon. Do also think
that a few ISO SHRA may linger about the terminals through the
afternoon from time-to-time, but the steadiest activity should
taper off past mid-morning.
Additional widespread RA/TSRA will move back in from the SSW
toward 00z and beyond, leading to prevailing MVFR or IFR VSBYs
once again as the activity may be quite heavy in nature between
03z-09z. CIGs should mainly straddle the MVFR/IFR threshold
through most of the period before trending to more MVFR toward
12z Saturday as the pcpn becomes more ISO in nature.
NE winds around 8-10kts will prevail through 00z before going
more easterly and eventually southerly and southwesterly by 12z
Saturday. Gusty winds will evolve once the RA/TSRA ends, with
sustained SSW at around 20-25kts and gusts to 35kts by 12z.
Gustiness will increase past mid-morning for KCVG 30-hr TAF,
with SW winds gusting near/in excess of 40kts.
.OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR conditions are likely early Saturday
morning. Thunderstorms are possible into early Saturday
morning. Gusty winds are likely Saturday with some wind gusts in
excess of 40 knots. MVFR conditions also possible Monday and
Tuesday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for OHZ042>046-051>056-
060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for INZ050-058-059-066-
073>075-080.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...KCHazardous weather outlook, Mar 24, 4:12 AM EDT, 8 hours 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 412 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 OHZ026-034-035-251000- Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- 412 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Gusty winds are expected during the day Saturday, with gusts around 50 MPH likely from mid morning through the afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-080-082-251000- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH- Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble- Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-Pike- 412 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Any river flooding that develops may linger into Sunday and early next week. Gusty winds are expected during the day Saturday, with gusts around 50 MPH likely from mid morning through the afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed and spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and flooding to the National Weather Service. INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-251000- Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton- Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton- Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto- 412 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, South Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Any river flooding that develops may linger into Sunday and early next week. Additionally, isolated strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out tonight, with damaging winds being the primary threat. Outside of any storm activity, gusty winds are expected during the day Saturday, with gusts around 45 MPH likely from mid morning through the afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed and spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and flooding to the National Weather Service.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 24, 6:38 AM EDT, 5 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
638 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN NNW BATESVILLE 39.30N 85.22W
03/24/2023 M2.82 INCH RIPLEY IN EMERGENCY MNGR
RAINFALL THROUGH 630 AM.
&&
HATZOSLocal storm report, Mar 24, 8:08 AM EDT, 4 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
808 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN SHARONVILLE 39.28N 84.41W
03/24/2023 M1.77 INCH HAMILTON OH PUBLIC
1.77 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR.
&&
LCLocal storm report, Mar 24, 8:11 AM EDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
811 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0807 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE BLUE ASH 39.24N 84.37W
03/24/2023 M1.96 INCH HAMILTON OH PUBLIC
1.96 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR.
&&
LCLocal storm report, Mar 24, 11:26 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1126 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM FLOOD LAURELVILLE 39.47N 82.74W
03/24/2023 HOCKING OH 911 CALL CENTER
SEVERAL ROADS WERE CLOSED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
HOCKING COUNTY.
&&Local storm report, Mar 24, 11:29 AM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1129 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM FLOOD 3 SSW CHILLICOTHE 39.30N 83.01W
03/24/2023 ROSS OH DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
STATE ROUTE 772 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2:59 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Grant, Owen, Pendleton | 31 min |
| Mar 24, 3:49 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Lewis | 26 min |
| Mar 23, 8:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Clermont, Hamilton | 26 min |
| Mar 23, 8:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Greene | 24 min |
| Mar 23, 8:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Greene | 32 min |
| Mar 23, 9:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Highland | 32 min |
| Mar 23, 10:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Pike | 25 min |
| Mar 24, 11:19 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Highland, Hocking, Pickaway, Pike, Ross | 5 hr |
| Mar 24, 1:20 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | ILN | Hamilton | 38 hr |
| Mar 24, 1:23 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | ILN | Pickaway | 3 days |
| Mar 24, 4:24 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Dearborn, Ripley | 6 hr |
| Mar 24, 3:18 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | ILN | Dearborn, Ohio, Ripley | 27 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2023Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2023Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2023Every wind advisory in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.