Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Glasgow, MT

May 24, 2023Petroleum County, Montana

NWS Glasgow, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 24, 2023, 3:33 PM MDT for Petroleum County, Montana. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2023, 3:33 PM MDT (21:33 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2023, 4:17 PM MDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Glasgow, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Petroleum County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 24, 2:53 PM MDT, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 24, 2:53 PM MDT, 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
253 PM MDT Wed May 24 2023

.DISCUSSION...
Afternoon Discussion:
Today through tonight:
The air mass over the area continues to destabilize, and some
isolated locations already have storms beginning to fire. A north-
south oriented surface boundary over Phillips and eastern
Petroleum counties will continue to move eastward, so storm
coverage will increase into the early evening hours relative to
this boundary. SB CAPE values are between 1000 and 2000 J/kg and
bulk shear from 0 to 6 km is between 20 and 25 knots. The low wind
shear and PWAT values from 1 to 1.2, isolated areas of flash
flooding are possible today, especially with and slow-moving or
training storms. There is moderate confidence (50 percent) that
some storms will produce severe hail and wind (hail 1 inch in
diameter or greater, and winds gusting 58 mph or more).

Thursday and Friday:
Each afternoon, there is moderate confidence (50 percent) of
thunderstorms occurring in northeast MT. Storm coverage is likely
to cover locations along the ND/MT border on Thursday afternoon,
and coverage is likely to occur further west, possibly as far west
as Phillips and Petroleum county. Small hail, heavy rain, strong
wind gusts, and lightning are likely with any of the storms that
occur.

Saturday onward:
There is low confidence (30 percent) in the severity of
thunderstorms occurring this weekend. However, rain showers appear
likely through Saturday night based on the NBM guidance, with a
lower probability of precipitation afterward. There is a hint of
this stormy pattern being replaced by a ridge by Tuesday, but
uncertainty is still high with this scenario.

-Stoinskers

&&

.AVIATION...

LAST UPDATE: 2100Z

FLIGHT CAT: VFR. Temp MVFR Possible.

DISCUSSION: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms and convection will
move north through NE Montana today and tonight. KGGW and KOLF
are likely to be affected by thunderstorms, and KGDV and KSDY are
less likely to occur this evening. Erratic and gusty winds will
be the biggest impact. Bulk of the forecast is VFR. Terminals that
receive a direct hit from a thunderstorm, especially this
afternoon, may drop to MVFR visibility very briefly due to
moderate rain (RA).

WIND: Southeast at 10 to 20 kts through the day, becoming light
and variable after sundown. On Thursday, northwest winds 5 to 10 for
KGGW. West winds 5 to 10 for KOLF. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots
for KSDY and KGDV.

-Stoinskers

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 24, 2:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 24, 3:16 PM MDT, 17 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 24, 3:23 PM MDT, 10 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Glasgow, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 6:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWDaniels43 min
May 23, 8:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWGarfield42 min
May 24, 2:00 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGW60 min
May 24, 3:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley59 min
May 24, 3:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWPetroleum52 min
May 24, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips54 min
May 24, 3:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWMcCone57 min
May 24, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley37 min
May 24, 4:35 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley55 min
May 24, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley53 min
May 24, 4:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWGarfield64 min
May 24, 5:04 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGGWGarfield, McCone3 hr
May 24, 5:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley59 min
May 24, 5:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley26 min
May 24, 5:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWGarfield55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2023Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.