River Flood Warning 112, NWS Atlanta, GA

642 
WGUS82 KFFC 142125
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
525 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Intrenchment Creek at Constitution Rd near Atlanta affecting 
  DeKalb County.



GAC089-142230-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-230914T2125Z/
/INTG1.1.ER.230914T1914Z.230914T2000Z.230914T2034Z.NO/
525 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Intrenchment Creek at Constitution Rd near Atlanta.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:15 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8440 3375 8436 3368 8429 3368 8436


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 304 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

As has been the case the last several days, thunderstorms are
erupting as 2000-3000 J/kg SBCAPE has built through the afternoon.
At the surface a weak lingering diffuse front bisects the area.
Additionally, a weak shortwave aloft traversing from Alabama
eastward is aiding in the development of these storms this
afternoon. While DCAPE and lapse rates are unimpressive, the
presence of 30-35 kts of effective bulk shear will keep the threat
for strong thunderstorms in play through the afternoon with an
isolated severe threat not out of the question, as we've seen with a
couple storms already this afternoon. The primary risk in this
activity will be strong downburst winds. A threat for locally heavy
rainfall will also exist, particularly where any storms backbuild
along propagating outflow boundaries and train over a particular
area.

The bulk of the thunderstorm activity will gradually shift eastward
through the evening as the shortwave does so with coverage on a
general downtrend through late evening. However, a fairly
complicated setup will allow the possibility for further development
of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms during the predawn hours
Friday. This additional activity would be focused by a pseudo-wedge
front propagating southwestward courtesy of the flow around the west
side of Hurricane Ian over the western Atlantic. CAMs (in particular
the HRRR) have remained aggressive in developing more showers and
thunderstorms along the front during the predawn hours, so have
maintained increasing PoPs during this time.

As the front pushes farther southwestward through the day Friday,
showers and thunderstorms will also shift into the southwestern
quadrant of the area with a drying trend from east to west. By late
Friday afternoon, the bulk of shower activity will have shifted into
Alabama and far SW portions of the area. Highs on Friday will likely
be several degrees below normal amid the northeasterly flow and
increased clouds with highs likely remaining in the upper 70s to
lower 80s across the area.

RW

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 304 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

No major changes needed to the long term portion of the forecast. A
frontal boundary is still on track to move through the CWA on Sunday.

High pressure at the surface will continue to shift offshore on
Saturday. Return flow is expected on the western periphery of the
high...mainly along the GA/AL border. With deepening moisture in
this area, scattered pops seem reasonable at this time. The weak
front looks to move through on Sunday. The models have been fairly
consistent from run to run on the timing. Scattered shra/tsra should
accompany the frontal passage. High pressure will build in from the
north on the back side of the front and should remain in place
through the end of the week.

Not a lot of convergence along the front and the main mid level
forcing and shear remaining well to the north of the CWA. A few
strong storms are possible, but the potential for severe weather
remains low at this time.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

SHRA/TSRA have begun developing near ATL/CSG TAF sites with
coverage expected to continue to increase through the afternoon.
Coverage will be maximized through 00Z before diminishing
somewhat. However, a lingering boundary will provide the potential
for additional SHRA/TSRA development after 06Z. Cigs will be VFR
outside of SHRA/TSRA, mainly 3500-5000 ft. Potential for MVFR cigs
increases after 09-11Z. Winds will remain E from 5-10 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on cigs and overnight shra/tsra coverage. High
confidence on winds.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  78  61  78 /  30  20  10  10
Atlanta         67  78  64  77 /  30  30  10  20
Blairsville     59  73  58  73 /  30  10  10  30
Cartersville    65  79  64  77 /  30  20  10  30
Columbus        69  81  68  81 /  40  60  30  40
Gainesville     65  76  62  76 /  30  10  10  10
Macon           68  78  66  79 /  50  50  10  10
Rome            65  81  64  79 /  20  20  20  30
Peachtree City  65  79  63  78 /  30  40  10  20
Vidalia         70  81  66  84 /  40  50  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...RW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
421 AM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-150830-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
421 AM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected today. The greatest storm
coverage should occur in central Georgia and over the mountains
of northern Georgia. An isolated storm with strong or severe
downburst winds may occur. The peak period for storm activity
should be between 3 PM and 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will occur in the region
Friday, Saturday and Sunday. A couple of strong or severe storms
can't be ruled out, but widespread severe weather is not
anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
142 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ033-045-055-141815-
North Fulton GA-Clayton GA-DeKalb GA-
142 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern DeKalb,
central Fulton and north central Clayton Counties through 215 PM
EDT...

At 142 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Grant Park-Zoo Atlanta,
or near Atlanta, moving southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Atlanta, Decatur, East Point, Forest Park, Grant Park-Zoo Atlanta,
Belvedere Park, Candler-Mcafee, Midtown, Druid Hills, West End, Sweet
Auburn, Turner Field, Kirkwood, Cascade Heights, Lakewood Park,
Conley, East Lake, Gresham Park, Little Five Points, and Atlantic
Station.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3380 8442 3375 8425 3362 8434 3365 8438
      3365 8435 3366 8436 3369 8444 3372 8448
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 295DEG 6KT 3372 8437

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
227 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ056>058-070-071-141900-
Butts GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-Spalding GA-Henry GA-
227 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Spalding,
northwestern Monroe, south central Henry, southwestern Butts and
northern Lamar Counties through 300 PM EDT...

At 227 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Walker Mill, or near
Griffin, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Griffin, Barnesville, Locust Grove, Milner, Orchard Hill, East
Griffin, Goggins, Walker Mill, McKibben, Chappel Mill, High Falls
State Park, Blount, Liberty Hill, and Johnstonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3336 8411 3318 8390 3302 8412 3317 8425
      3319 8425 3319 8427 3322 8431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 320DEG 15KT 3324 8416

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
228 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ053-054-056-067-068-141900-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
228 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Spalding, south central Fayette, northeastern Meriwether,
northwestern Pike and southeastern Coweta Counties through 300 PM
EDT...

At 228 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Hollonville, or 11
miles northwest of Zebulon, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Zebulon, Senoia, Brooks, Williamson, Haralson, Gay, Concord, Starrs
Mill, Hilltop, Hollonville, Alvaton, Rover, Digbey, and Zetella.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8469 3333 8451 3318 8427 3301 8447
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 313DEG 12KT 3320 8451

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
241 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ045-046-048-055-057-141915-
Rockdale GA-Clayton GA-DeKalb GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
241 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Rockdale, south central DeKalb, Henry, northeastern Clayton and
southwestern Newton Counties through 315 PM EDT...

At 240 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Hidden Valley Park, or
8 miles northeast of Jonesboro, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
McDonough, Stockbridge, Morrow, Lake City, Lake Spivey, Blacksville,
Rex, Ola, Richardson Park, Ellenwood, Hidden Valley Park, Panola
Mountain State Park, Flippen, Kelleytown, and Eagles Landing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3358 8436 3369 8419 3350 8398 3338 8404
      3338 8420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1840Z 322DEG 18KT 3358 8422

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
322 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

GAZ046-048-057-058-141945-
Butts GA-Rockdale GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
322 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Rockdale, Henry, central Butts and southwestern Newton Counties
through 345 PM EDT...

At 322 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Flippen, or near
McDonough, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
McDonough, Jackson, Stockbridge, Locust Grove, Jenkinsburg,
Blacksville, Ola, Worthville, McKibben, Flippen, Fincherville,
Kelleytown, Oak Hill, Stark, and Eagles Landing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8427 3361 8411 3345 8386 3330 8390
      3326 8409 3327 8410 3329 8409 3330 8411
      3330 8413
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 316DEG 11KT 3349 8413

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH