Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 257, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

June 15, 2023Burnet County, Llano County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2023, 6:43 PM CDT for Burnet County, Llano County, Texas. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2023, 6:43 PM CDT (23:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2023, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Burnet County, TX, Llano County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3565 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3565 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
796 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 12:58 PM CDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1258 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161800-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
1258 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon And Tonight.

An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect through this evening across
portions of the Rio Grande Plains as heat indices as high as 118
degrees will be possible.

A Heat Advisory is now in effect through Friday evening for much
of South Central Texas including the I-35 corridor, and the
Coastal Plains as heat indices up to 114 degrees will be possible.

There is a slight chance for isolated thunderstorms over portions
of Hill Country and the I-35 Corridor later this afternoon and
evening. Any storms that develop would likely become severe with
large hail and damaging winds being the main hazards. A level 2 of
5 risk is in place for Burnet and Llano counties and a level 1 of
5 risk is in place for the northern Hill Country and portions of
the I-35 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Above average temperatures will continue through the next week,
and combined with humidity across the region, residents will need
to take precautions to guard against heat illness during this
time. Heat Advisories and perhaps Excessive Heat Warnings will be
possible for portions of the area on many days through this
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:21 PM CDT, 3 hours 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
321 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

TXZ171-172-183>190-202-160100-
Llano-Burnet-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Kinney-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Del Rio, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
and Brackettville
321 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

...HOT TEMPERATURES AND ELEVATED HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

A combination of air temperatures ranging from the upper 90s to
lower 100s and dew points in the mid to upper 70s are contributing
to high heat index readings over Hill Country and the southern
Edwards Plateau this afternoon. Said heat index values could
become dangerous for those spending prolonged periods of time
outdoors. Be sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks
in shaded and/or air-conditioned environments, and wear light-
colored and loose-fitting clothing if planning to be outside
through the early evening hours today. Temperatures will begin to
decline near and after sunset.
Special weather statement, Jun 15, 6:17 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
617 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

TXZ171-160000-
Llano TX-
617 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Llano
County through 700 PM CDT...

At 617 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lone Grove, or near Llano, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Llano, Baby Head, Lone Grove and Stolz.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9851 3078 9882 3092 9881 3092 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 286DEG 25KT 3081 9864

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

27

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 12:47 PM CDTExcessive Heat WarningEWXAtascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 16 more7 hr
Jun 15, 12:47 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 27 more4 days
Jun 15, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano46 min
Jun 15, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXLlano26 min
Jun 15, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano43 min
Jun 15, 6:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXLlano43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2023Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.