Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Detroit, MI

July 29, 2023Monroe County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2023, 1:25 AM EDT for Monroe County, Michigan. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2023, 1:25 AM EDT (05:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2023, 2:05 AM EDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Monroe County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2023-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1131 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2023-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1131 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1189 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 28, 11:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 11:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 3:45 PM EDT, 9 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
345 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-290900-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
345 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms through early evening
before thunderstorms become likely late this evening and then slowly
taper off after midnight from north to south. Thunderstorms may be
severe between the hours of 8 PM and 3 AM. Damaging winds of 60 MPH
or greater is the main hazard, with a much lower chance of large
hail and an isolated tornado. Flooding rainfall may also occur with
the severe thunderstorms, especially south of I-69 where a flood
watch is in effect through late tonight. Storm motion is expected to
be from the northwest to the southeast at 35 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a slight chance of a thunderstorm on Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-290900-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
345 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms through early evening
before thunderstorms become likely by late this evening and then
slowly taper off after midnight from north to south. Thunderstorms
may be severe between the hours of 8 PM and 3 AM. Damaging winds of
50 knots or greater is the main hazard, with a much lower chance of
large hail and a waterspout. Storm motion is expected to be
southeast at 30 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a slight chance of a thunderstorm on Saturday morning for
Lake St. Clair and the Michigan waters of Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

SF/RBP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 7:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
750 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

MIZ048-053-054-062-290100-
Bay MI-Tuscola MI-Lapeer MI-Saginaw MI-
750 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Tuscola,
northwestern Lapeer, southeastern Bay and northeastern Saginaw
Counties through 900 PM EDT...

At 750 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Zilwaukee, or near Saginaw, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Munger around 755 PM EDT.
  Reese around 810 PM EDT.
  Frankenmuth around 820 PM EDT.
  Vassar around 830 PM EDT.
  Millington around 845 PM EDT.
  Mayville around 855 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Carrollton, East
Dayton, Arthur, Tuscola, Buena Vista Township, Gera, Gilford,
Watrousville, Silverwood and Indiantown.

People attending Munger Potato Festival , and Jolt Credit Union Event
Park  should seek safe shelter immediately!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4361 8390 4344 8311 4333 8311 4333 8312
      4330 8312 4323 8334 4322 8368 4346 8405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 297DEG 21KT 4349 8386

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

DG
Local storm report, Jul 28, 9:16 PM EDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 28, 9:42 PM EDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 28, 9:54 PM EDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 29, 12:47 AM EDT, 38 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee, Lapeer61 min
Jul 28, 9:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXOakland63 min
Jul 29, 12:47 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXLenawee58 min
Jul 29, 12:53 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee55 min
Jul 29, 1:30 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2023Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.