Alert archive / Ohio / Small Craft Advisories in 2023

Small Craft Advisory 9, NWS Cleveland, OH

January 25, 2023

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this small craft advisory at Jan 25, 2023, 3:09 AM EST. It took effect at Jan 25, 2023, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2023, 3:09 AM EST (08:09 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2023, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 28, 2023, 2:49 PM EST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

The text

As transmitted.

439 
WHUS71 KCLE 250809
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
309 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

LEZ142>144-251615-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230125T1500Z-230126T1500Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
309 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots today, becoming northwest
  winds 15 to 25 knots tonight. Waves 2 to 5 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-251615-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230126T0300Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
309 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-251615-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230125T2100Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
309 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots this afternoon and
  evening, becoming west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35
  knots tonight. Waves 5 to 8 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
14 follow-up statements
379 
WHUS71 KCLE 251454
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
954 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

LEZ142>144-252300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230125T1500Z-230126T1500Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
954 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots today, becoming 
  northwest winds 15 to 25 knots tonight. Waves 2 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-252300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230126T0300Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
954 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-252300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230125T2100Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
954 AM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots this afternoon and 
  evening, becoming west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 
  35 knots tonight. Waves 5 to 8 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
686 
WHUS71 KCLE 252106
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
406 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

LEZ144-260515-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230126T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.230126T0300Z-230126T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
406 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-260515-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.230126T0300Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
406 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and 
  waves 6 to 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-252215-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230126T1500Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
406 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Northeast winds of 10 to 15 knots will back to the west at 15 to 
20 knots. Waves of 2 to 4 feet are expected but will no longer 
reach Small Craft Advisory levels. 

$$

LEZ145>147-260515-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.230126T0300Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
406 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
065 
WHUS71 KCLE 260446
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1146 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

LEZ144-261300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230126T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
1146 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-261300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
1146 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-261300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
1146 PM EST Wed Jan 25 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and 
  waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
149 
WHUS71 KCLE 260850
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
350 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

LEZ144-261500-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230126T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
350 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and
  waves around 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-261700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
350 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-261700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
350 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
451 
WHUS71 KCLE 261449
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
949 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

LEZ144-261600-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230126T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
949 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

Winds and waves have fallen below Small Craft Advisory criteria. 
West winds of 10 to 15 knots and waves of 1 to 3 feet are expected
through this afternoon. 

$$

LEZ145>147-262300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
949 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-262300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230127T0300Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
949 AM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
148 
WHUS71 KCLE 262038
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
338 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

LEZ144-270445-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0900Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
338 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-270445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T0900Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
338 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-270445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230127T0900Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
338 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
523 
WHUS71 KCLE 270221
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
921 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

LEZ144>147-271030-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230127T1800Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
921 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-271030-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230127T1800Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
921 PM EST Thu Jan 26 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
100 
WHUS71 KCLE 270845
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
345 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

LEZ142-143-271645-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T0900Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
345 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase late morning into the afternoon
  to 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Waves build to 3 to
  4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ144>147-271645-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
345 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase this afternoon to 15 to 25 knots
  with gusts up to 35 knots. Wave building to 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from the Islands to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-271645-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
345 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase by late afternoon to 15 to 25
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Waves building to 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
988 
WHUS71 KCLE 271427
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
927 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

LEZ142-143-272230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T0900Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
927 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase late morning into the 
  afternoon to 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Waves 
  build to 3 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ144>147-272230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
927 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase this afternoon to 15 to 25 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Wave building to 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from the Islands to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-272230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
927 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increase by late afternoon to 15 to 25
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Waves building to 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
594 
WHUS71 KCLE 272032
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
332 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

LEZ142-143-280445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T0900Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
332 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots
  and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ144>147-280445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
332 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with gusts
  up to 35 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from the Islands to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-280445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
332 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with gusts 
  up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
170 
WHUS71 KCLE 280242
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
942 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

LEZ142-143-280900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T0900Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
942 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots and
  and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ144>147-281045-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
942 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with gusts
  up to 35 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from the Islands to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-281045-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
942 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with gusts 
  up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
501 
WHUS71 KCLE 280901
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
401 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

LEZ142-143-281015-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T0900Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
401 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds and waves continue to decrease through the morning.

$$

LEZ144>147-281500-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
401 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and 
  waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from the Islands to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-281715-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
401 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
413 
WHUS71 KCLE 281415
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
915 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

LEZ144>146-281515-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T1500Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-
915 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Conditions are no longer hazardous to small craft operators.

$$

LEZ147-282100-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
915 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Willowick to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-282100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
915 AM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
995 
WHUS71 KCLE 281949
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
249 PM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

LEZ147-282100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
249 PM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Conditions are no longer hazardous to small craft operators.

$$

LEZ148-149-282100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
249 PM EST Sat Jan 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Conditions are no longer hazardous to small craft operators.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 24, 11:48 PM EST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 11:48 PM EST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1148 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will track from the Gulf Coast towards Lake Erie
tonight through Wednesday before departing to the east Wednesday
night and Thursday. After brief high pressure on Friday, a cold
front sinks into the area on Saturday from the northwest. Low
pressure will track east along this front on Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
935 PM Update...
Will be watching for the latest synoptic models to see if
timing and evolution of the overspreading snow is on track in
the morning. Temperatures have begun to drop a couple degrees,
but still above freezing in northwest and north central OH.
Precipitation still back in southern Illinois at this hour, but
will quickly track towards northern OH.

Original Discussion...
A pleasant afternoon and evening before low pressure brings a hodge
podge of of weather to the local area late tonight and Wednesday.
While some fine-tuning to the forecast has been made the general
idea remains the same and no changes to the Winter Wx
Advisory/Winter Storm Warning have been made.

Highlights:

1) A band of steady snow, with embedded pockets of heavy snow,
quickly overspreads the area from south to north late tonight
into Wednesday morning. Snow rates of 1" per hour can occur at
times Wednesday morning, leading to reduced visibility and snowy
road conditions.

2) Snow will change to rain showers later Wednesday morning or
early in the afternoon. Brief mixed precipitation may occur
during this transition.

3) Northwest Ohio, including the Toledo metro, will remain just
on the cold side of the storm and remain mainly snow Wednesday
afternoon.

4) As the system pulls away Wednesday night rain will change
back to snow across the area. For most of us any new
accumulations Wednesday night into early Thursday will be light
(less than 1"), though locations from the Cleveland metro points
east across the snowbelt may see 1-3" of new snow Wednesday
night into early Thursday with additional lake effect to follow.

5) Lows will be in the upper 20s/lower 30s tonight. Highs on
Wednesday will occur late in the day and range from the low to mid
30s in northwest Ohio to the upper 30s/lower 40s elsewhere. Lows
Wednesday night settle into the upper 20s and lower 30s yet again.

Impacts/Headlines:

1) The main impact will be reduced visibility and snow-covered roads
leading to a period of poor travel conditions during or just after
the Wednesday morning commute. A Winter Weather Advisory is in
effect for these impacts, with accumulations of a couple/few
inches for most of the area.

2) In Northwest Ohio continued snow accumulations through the
afternoon will lead to accumulations of 4 to 7" by Wednesday
evening. This will cause more prolonged and overall greater
impacts to travel. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the
Toledo metro and I-75 corridor for these overall greater
impacts.

3) Rain and melting snow may lead to ponding of water in some areas
Wednesday afternoon.

4) Strong wind gusts along and north of I-90 in Erie County, PA may
warrant a Wind Advisory Wednesday afternoon. Future shifts will
monitor trends in forecast wind gusts.

5) Minor travel impacts can re-develop later Wednesday night as
temperatures drop below freezing and as rain changes to light snow,
especially in the Cleveland area and points east across the
snowbelt. Lake enhanced snow late Wednesday night and beyond will
likely require a follow-up Winter Wx Advisory from Cuyahoga County
points east after the headlines for the system snow expire.

Meteorological Commentary on the Forecast:

No major changes to the big picture today. A slug of precipitation
ahead of the approaching low pressure late tonight into Wednesday
morning. The combination of divergence into the right-entrance
quadrant of a 140 knot jet streak and strong warm/moist air
advection on the nose of a 60-70 knot low-level jet ahead of an
approaching negatively tilted upper-level trough will squeeze out a
period of steady snow into Wednesday morning. This period of steady
snow will arrive early in the day when pavement temperatures
will be chilly, allowing for accumulations on roadways, which
along with reduced visibility will cause a period of poor
travel conditions across the entire area. Outside of northwest
Ohio this initial period of snow centered on Wednesday morning
will be the main impact from this system across our area.

Most of today's hi-res models (that can better resolve mesoscale
banding and its associated QPF/) trended lighter on QPF with
this phase of the storm, resulting in a slight decrease in
forecast snowfall across the area. In particular, slightly later
arrival and downslope flow may lead to a local minimum in
snowfall amounts along the lakeshore from Cleveland to Erie.
However, the travel impacts we've been expecting are still
expected, especially where snow is ongoing during the morning
commute. Models disagree on the amount of mid-level
frontogenesis within this shield of snow...bands of stronger
frontogenesis could produce narrow corridors of 1-2" per hour
snow rates and the potential to locally overperform, especially
with such a dynamic and moisture-rich storm. Despite the overall
QPF and snowfall trending down slightly with this cycle, it's
worth noting that the NAM still has a zone of very strong
frontogenesis and lift across parts of our area Wednesday
morning leading to a zone of higher snowfall rates and greater
total snowfall. The NAM may be overdone, but incoming shifts
will need to closely monitor the potential for mesoscale banding
to lead to locally higher amounts and greater impact given the
larger scale dynamics and amount of moisture to work with. The
main risk for this is across our southern counties from Marion
and Mansfield over towards Akron, Canton, and Youngstown.

As a dry slot and warmer air work in from the southern later in the
morning and into the afternoon the band of snow will lift to the
north and a change to rain will occur fairly quickly, with just a
brief window of potential mixed precipitation (sleet or freezing
rain) during the transition due to a lack of a truly cold surface
airmass ahead of this system. The quick accumulation of wet snow in
the morning followed by a change to rain and warmer temperatures in
the afternoon may lead to some ponding of water and slush in parking
lots and on roadways...not true flooding but potentially annoying.

Northwest Ohio remains the exception, as they'll be on the northwest
side of the low track. The dry slot and/or brief mixing may get into
eastern portions of the Winter Storm Warning counties during the
afternoon. However, we generally expect continued light to moderate
snowfall to continue through the afternoon as decreased stability on
the edge of the dry slot interacts with the storm's comma head
across the northwestern fringes of our area. This will lead to a
few inches of additional accumulation compared to the rest of
the area. Snow ratios will be modest in northwest Ohio with a
skinny/elevated snow growth zone and surface temperatures
near or just above freezing. This will put a lid of sorts on
potential snow amounts but won't preclude low-end warning
criteria amounts from being reached given the duration and
potential for heavier rates in the morning.

The change to wrap-around snow from west to east Wednesday night
across the area won't lead to substantial additional accumulations
for most, as the low pressure will be weakening as energy transfers
to the east coast. However, some combination of upslope and minor
lake enhancement will begin kicking in from the Cleveland metro
points east across the lakeshore and primary snowbelt counties. This
should lead to 1-3" of new snow by sunrise Thursday...especially in
the higher terrain. The light additional snowfall and falling
temperatures may lead to slick spots developing on area roadways by
early Thursday. Lake effect/enhanced snow continues into Thursday
and will be discussed more below...the going plan is to issue
any needed headlines for this backside lake enhanced snow once
the current headlines are off the board.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The cold front will move east of the region Thursday morning as the
low pressure system departs to the NE. Behind this front, a broad
and deep mid/upper trough will swing east across much of the central
and eastern CONUS Thursday and Thursday night bringing cold air
advection and broad cyclonic flow across the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley. The combination of this cold air advection, synoptic scale
lift from the trough overhead, and abundant moisture wrapping around
the departing low will keep widespread light snow showers going
across the entire region Thursday, and more organized lake enhanced
snow showers across the primary snowbelt east of Cleveland through
NW PA. The synoptically driven snow showers will gradually wind down
Thursday night as mid/upper shortwave ridging briefly builds in, but
we will transition to pure lake-effect snow showers Thursday night
in the primary snowbelt of NE Ohio and NW PA as moisture and flow
across the lake continues.

Regarding the details, 850 mb temps will cool to -9 to -10 C
Thursday morning as the cold air deepens, further cooling to -10 to -
11 C Thursday evening and Thursday night behind a secondary
shortwave and associated surface trough. Expect periods of snow
showers across all areas through the day due to the wraparound
moisture and lift combined with moisture off of Lake Michigan in the
WNW flow pattern. This will put down an inch or less in most areas,
but could see up to 3 or 4 inches across the Central Highlands
region of Mid Ohio due to upsloping. Across the snowbelt areas of
eastern Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula, and Erie and Crawford
Counties, NW flow across the lake Thursday morning will back to
westerly by Thursday evening and eventually southwesterly late
Thursday night/Friday morning. This fetch combined with the deep
synoptic scale moisture and lift will bring lake enhanced/lake-
effect snow showers. Multiple bands Thursday morning will bring snow
showers to favored upslope areas of the inland snowbelt, including a
possible Lake Huron connection into NW PA bringing locally heavier
amounts, but as the flow backs more westerly in the afternoon and
evening, we could see a convergent band consolidating east of
Cleveland and gradually lifting into Erie County PA and western NY
by late Thursday night. NAM forecasted low-level wind fields hint at
this low-level convergence as the flow backs, as well as well
aligned westerly flow through the boundary layer (not much
directional shear), so we could squeeze out a few inches of snow.
Despite these factors, the negatives are the marginal
temps/instability which lead to inversion levels only 5-6 thousand
feet much of the day Thursday. This keeps much of the lift below the
DGZ which should limit the intensity of the snow. However, there is
a window Thursday evening into Thursday night where inversion levels
rise to over 7 thousand feet as the secondary shortwave crosses, so
I think that we will overcome these limitations a bit. When all is
said and done, we should see an additional 3 to 5 inches of snow
across the primary snowbelt areas east of Cleveland Thursday into
Thursday night with 4 to 7 inches in NW PA (highest in Erie County)
before the main band shifts toward western NY. This period will
likely require another Winter Weather Advisory.

By Friday, we will be in between systems as shortwave ridging slides
overhead and resultant SW flow deepens ahead of a potent northern
stream mid/upper shortwave moving into the northern Great Lakes. The
SW flow will push most of the remaining lake-effect snow showers
into the Buffalo area, but kept chance PoPs in NW PA through the
morning. The break will not last long as warm air advection and
isentropic ascent ahead of the aforementioned shortwave brings
chances for light snow back into the area from west to east by late
Friday afternoon. Temperatures will rise a few degrees Friday night
as warm air advection continues ahead of the trailing cold front,
and as the mid/upper shortwave trough axis and cold front cross the
region, the resultant lift will bring widespread rain and snow
showers. Most new snow amounts should be a half inch or less given
the marginal temps and the strongest forcing being north of the
region.

Highs Thursday will stay in the low 30s warming into the low/mid 30s
Friday. Lows Thursday night will dip into the low/mid 20s with upper
20s Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Active weather will continue through the extended as a large pool of
arctic air that will be building over the northern Plains and
western Great Lakes slowly bleeds southeastward (or at least tries
to) supporting an active storm track on the periphery. Snow showers
associated with the Friday night shortwave/clipper will gradually
exit Saturday morning as the cold front moves east, but warm air
advection and isentropic ascent will already be increasing Saturday
afternoon as the next mid/upper shortwave digs into the Plains. This
shortwave energy will result in surface cyclogenesis across the
lower Mississippi Valley Saturday night which will track toward the
Mid Atlantic coast Sunday into Sunday night, but guidance continues
to differ regarding how or if this feature might phase with a
northern stream trough crossing our region Sunday into Sunday night.
At this time, have chances for light snow increasing late Saturday
afternoon through Saturday night with likely PoPs Sunday, but the
snow should mix with rain Sunday as warm air advection increases
ahead of the trough axis and cold front. The coverage and amount of
precip will depend on any phasing that might occur. This is again
uncertain, but today's 12Z guidance is trending toward less
phased/lighter.

Gradual drying is expected Sunday night and Monday as cold surface
high pressure presses down from the northern Plains and northern
Great Lakes, but the next trough and associated cyclogenesis will
already be approaching from the Plains and Mississippi Valley by
Tuesday. This could be a very dynamic storm system for the middle of
next week as the main piece of arctic air described above finally
tries to drop southeast, but given huge model differences 7 to 8
days out, just added chance PoPs for snow showers by Tuesday.

Highs in the low/mid 30s Saturday will moderate into the low/upper
30s Sunday before cooling into the mid/upper 20s by Monday. These
temperatures are strictly NBM and could change depending on the
exact evolution of the pattern.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Ceilings already coming down to MVFR across the area with the
approach pf a strong low pressure system from the southwest,
and will continue the descent into IFR as the onset of snow
begins generally after 08Z. Snow onset may be on the heavier
side, but give an hour of MVFR visibilities for the most part,
but periods of 1/2SM and LIFR ceilings are possible in banded
snowfall. Terminals east of TOL will change to a brief mix with
FZRA and then to RA for a period of time. Winds gust 20-25kts
out of the SE/E after 16Z Wednesday. As the surface low departs
to the northeast, winds come back around to a westerly direction
with more cold air and a return of snow showers to the
terminals into Wednesday night.

Outlook...Non-VFR continues into Wednesday night/Thursday in
snow showers. Non- VFR anticipated with a cold front and
precipitation Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and waves have calmed down this afternoon, and SE winds of 10-
15 knots are expected tonight as a strong low approaches. E winds
will increase to 15-20 knots Wednesday and could get to Small Craft
criteria west of the Islands, but held off at this point because the
best winds and waves may stay in the offshore zones. Small Craft
Advisories will definitely be needed Wednesday night into Thursday
as a cold front crosses the lake behind the departing low and brings
WNW winds of 15-30 knots generating 4 to 8 foot waves (highest
central and eastern basins). Winds become W and decrease to 15-20
knots Thursday afternoon, becoming SW at 10-15 knots Thursday night.
This will allow waves to diminish. SSW winds will then increase to
15-30 knots Friday becoming W Friday night as another low pressure
system and cold front crosses the Great Lakes, so additional Small
Craft Advisories are likely. WSW winds decrease to 10-15 knots
Saturday becoming SE Saturday night then W again by Sunday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Storm Warning from 3 AM to 11 PM EST Wednesday for
     OHZ003-006>008-017.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 3 PM EST Wednesday for
     OHZ009-010-018>023-027>033-036>038-047.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Wednesday for
     OHZ011>014-089.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Wednesday for
     PAZ001>003.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Sullivan
NEAR TERM...26/Sullivan
SHORT TERM...Garuckas
LONG TERM...Garuckas
AVIATION...26
MARINE...Garuckas
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 3:46 PM EST, 11 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

OHZ009-010-018>023-027>033-036>038-047-252100-
Erie-Lorain-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-
Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-
Knox-
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>008-017-252100-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ011>014-089-PAZ003-252100-
Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Crawford-
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Lake effect snow will develop late Wednesday night and continue
through Thursday night. Additional light to moderate snow
accumulations are expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-252100-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ001-002-252100-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
346 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible along and north of I-90
in Erie County from the late morning through the afternoon on
Wednesday.

Lake effect snow will develop late Wednesday night and continue
through Thursday night. Additional light to moderate snow
accumulations are expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 9:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLECuyahoga, Geauga, Huron, Medina, Portage, Summit63 min
Jan 25, 10:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLEMahoning, Portage, Stark, Trumbull89 min
Jan 25, 10:58 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLELucas, Ottawa, Wood2 hr
Jan 25, 3:23 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLEAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake39 hr
Jan 25, 4:06 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryCLE71 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Ohio, 2023Every small craft advisory in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.