Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2023

Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 14, 2023

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Feb 14, 2023, 4:10 AM EST. It took effect at Feb 15, 2023, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 32 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2023, 4:10 AM EST (09:10 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2023, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 16, 2023, 9:28 AM EST
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

197 
WHUS71 KBUF 140910
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
410 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

LOZ042-141015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-230214T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
410 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LEZ040-041-141715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0600Z-230216T0200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
410 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-141715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-230214T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
410 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-141715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-230214T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
410 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
12 follow-up statements
584 
WHUS71 KBUF 141142
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
642 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

LOZ043>045-141245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-230214T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
642 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves will continue to diminish today.

$$

LEZ040-041-141945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0600Z-230216T0200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
642 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
194 
WHUS71 KBUF 141438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
938 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

LEZ040-041-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0600Z-230216T0200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
938 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds to 30 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
086 
WHUS71 KBUF 141851
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

LEZ020-LOZ030-150300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-150300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-150300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-150300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0900Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0600Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
151 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
291 
WHUS71 KBUF 142352
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

LEZ040-041-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0600Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO
1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0900Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
652 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
191 
WHUS71 KBUF 150859
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

LEZ040-041-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T1400Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-151700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.230215T0900Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
359 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
115 
WHUS71 KBUF 151431
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

LEZ040-041-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
931 AM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
274 
WHUS71 KBUF 151932
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

LOZ042-160345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-160345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-160345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-160345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
232 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
276 
WHUS71 KBUF 160212
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

LEZ020-LOZ030-160315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have dropped below small craft advisory criteria.

$$

LEZ040-041-160600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-161000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-161000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
912 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
064 
WHUS71 KBUF 160520
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1220 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

LEZ040-041-160900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1220 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1220 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-161330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1220 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161330-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1220 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
584 
WHUS71 KBUF 160838
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
338 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

LEZ040-041-160945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
338 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LOZ042-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
338 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-161500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
338 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
338 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 5 to 15 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
657 
WHUS71 KBUF 161114
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
614 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

LOZ042-161215-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
614 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LOZ043-044-161500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
614 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
614 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
817 
WHUS71 KBUF 161428
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
928 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

LOZ043>045-161530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230216T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
928 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 14, 4:07 AM EST, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 4:07 AM EST, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
407 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming trend is expected through midweek, peaking Wednesday and
Thursday. Winds will be gusty at times from midweek into the
weekend. A cold front will bring a period of rain showers later
Thursday and Thursday night, followed by colder conditions
Friday and Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A ridge of high pressure will cross the region today supporting
a fair and mild day. A few lingering clouds east of Lake
Ontario early this morning with mainly clear skies elsewhere.

Plenty of sunshine expected areawide today, before mid and high
clouds start arriving later in the day. High temperatures will
reach the upper 40s to lower 50s across western New York to the
lower to mid 40s east of Lake Ontario.

A band of moist isentropic lift on the nose of a strong low-level
jet will lift into the area ahead of a warm front tonight.
Precipitation with this system will remain spotty and rather light
as the main forcing lifts well north of the area with the trajectory
of low pressure moving into the northern Great lakes far removed
from western New York.

An increasing southerly gradient flow will support a non-diurnal
temperature trend tonight with rising temperatures overnight,
and then support WARM high temperatures Wednesday in the 50s to
mid 60s, with the warmest readings south of Lake Ontario. These
readings will approach record highs for the day at our 3 climate
sites (Buffalo 63F/1954, Rochester 61F/1949, and Watertown
56F/1954).

A 60-65 knot low-level jet will overspread the area later tonight
and Wednesday leading to increasingly windy conditions. The
strongest winds initially will be across favored southerly downslope
areas along Lake Erie where gusts up to 50 mph will be possible. As
the winds turn southwest on Wednesday, areas downwind of the
lakes especially across the Niagara Frontier could gust up to 50
mph. Wind advisories may be needed in later forecasts for portions
of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure will move off the east coast Tuesday
night, allowing for warm advection to increase across the Great
Lakes ahead of low pressure moving from the upper Midwest across
Lake Superior late Tuesday night and Wednesday. The increasing
isentropic upglide will bring increasing clouds and possibly a
few scattered light rain showers later Tuesday night into
Wednesday, but the majority of the time will be rain free with
the more widespread measurable rain staying well north of the
US/Canadian border.

Temperatures will start to rise later Tuesday night as SSW winds and
warm advection increase. Temperatures will then SOAR on Wednesday as
a strong SSW push of warm air arrives. Expect highs to reach the low
to mid 60s for many lower elevation locations in Western NY, and 50s
east of Lake Ontario. Daily record highs will be in jeopardy
Wednesday. While it will be very warm, it will also be very windy.
Expect southerly downslope winds along the Lake Erie shore to gust
over 40 mph later Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. These gusty
winds will then spread into the rest of the area Wednesday with
gusts of 30-40+ mph in many areas and locally 45-50 mph across the
Niagara Frontier. Forecast wind profiles from the GFS continue to
look too aggressive Wednesday, with the NAM more reasonable but still
supportive of potential Wind Advisory gusts across Western NY.

Another southern stream Pacific shortwave moving out of the 4-
corners region will support a deepening surface low crossing the mid
Mississippi Valley early Thursday morning. The surface low will
reach far southern lower Michigan Thursday evening, then move just
north of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario Thursday night, gradually
deepening with time. The southern stream wave will at least
partially phase with another northern stream shortwave moving
into the northern Great Lakes Thursday, with the resulting deepening
trough and strong upper level jet dynamics supporting the
strengthening surface low.

Temperatures will remain very warm Thursday as deep southerly flow
ahead of the system continues to pump spring-like air into the
region. Expect highs well into the 50s areawide. Thursday should
start dry in the morning, but rain chances will increase from
southwest to northeast from late morning through the afternoon
as deep moisture and isentropic upglide arrive ahead of the
approaching low. The passage of the cold front and mid level trough
Thursday night will continue to support periods of showers.

It will turn windy Thursday night along and behind a strong cold
front. The track of the system, deepening and passing just to our
north and west, is climatologically favorable for strong winds in
our region. That said, forecast soundings continue to show a
relatively limited post-frontal wind field, with the stronger winds
aloft confined to the warm airmass ahead of the system where they
have little chance to fully mix down. Model guidance has also
trended a little weaker and farther south with the low track over
the past few days, lowering the chance of strong post-frontal winds.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Strong cold air advection behind a cold front Friday will produce
steady or falling surface temperatures through the day. Temperatures
around freezing to start the day will fall down into the lower 20s
by the days end. Additionally a gusty wind through the day will
lower apparent temperatures into the single digits for our region.

There will also be a brief lake response with west to northwest
winds driving lake effect snow inland. Though temperatures aloft at
850 hPa will lower to around -18C, limited moisture and strong winds
sheering the lake bands will limit snowfall...with perhaps an inch
or two on the hills to the east and southeast of the Lakes. Surface
high pressure will nose northeastward across our region Friday night
and Saturday morning...ending lake snows while also diminishing the
gusty winds.

Later Saturday and Sunday a decent gradient wind will develop
between the surface high passing to our south, and low pressure/cold
front over Ontario Canada. Gusts northeast of the Lakes to 40 mph
(Erie) and 35 mph (Ontario) will be possible both days.

The next chance for precipitation will be later Sunday night and
into Monday when an upper level trough nears our region. Lower
pressure reflected at the surface will bring chances for mixed
precipitation becoming all rain through the day Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR flight conditions will dominate this 06Z TAF package. An
anafrontal structured cold front will move east of our region
tonight. Clouds near Lake Ontario will be around 4K feet. Associated
precipitation will remain east of KART.

Otherwise light gusts overnight will gradually diminish. High
pressure will edge towards the region Tuesday with light southwest
winds and VFR flight conditions.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...VFR, Clouds increasing.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers. Windy.

Thursday...Areas of MVFR/local IFR with showers developing.

Friday...MVFR/local IFR with lake effect snow showers southeast
of the lakes. Windy.

Saturday...VFR, breezy.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds have diminished on Lake Erie and the western end of Lake
Ontario, but will remain elevated on the central and eastern portion
of Lake Ontario this morning. Small craft advisories will
remain in place for Lake Ontario as outlined below.

The pressure gradient will increase again tonight through Wednesday
as a low pressure system pushes northeast across the upper Great
Lakes and result in another round of small craft criteria winds and
waves.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 9 PM EST Wednesday for
         LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon
         for LOZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EAJ/HSK/Thomas/TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...Hitchcock
LONG TERM...Thomas
AVIATION...Thomas/TMA
MARINE...EAJ/Hitchcock/HSK/Thomas/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 6:37 AM EST, 21 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
637 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2023

NYZ004>006-008-013-014-020-021-141145-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-
637 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Southerly winds may gust up to 45 mph Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>003-007-010>012-019-085-141145-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Jefferson-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
637 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Southerly winds may gust up to 45 mph Tuesday night.

Winds will become southwest Wednesday, with gusts up to 45 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-141145-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
637 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-141145-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
637 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 1:53 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 5 more29 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2023Every small craft advisory in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.