Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023
Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 29, 2023, 1:39 PM EDT for Middlesex County, Norfolk County, Suffolk County, Massachusetts. It was in force for 73 min. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2023, 1:39 PM EDT (17:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 29, 2023, 2:52 PM EDT
- In force
- 73 min
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Suffolk County, MA
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 1:40 PM EDT | FLOOD | 1 Sw Newton, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. Route 9 eastbound at Lucille Place flooded with manhole covers popped in the area. |
| Jul 29, 1:50 PM EDT | FLOOD | 1 Sse Brighton, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. Beacon street at Warwick road flooded to the point where DPW assistance was requested. Several flooded basements in buildings along Beacon street. |
| Jul 29, 2:02 PM EDT | FLOOD | 2 Se Boston, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. I93 northbound in the area of exit 13A flooded to the point where Mass DOT assistance was requested. |
| Jul 29, 2:06 PM EDT | FLOOD | 1 Ne Wellesley, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. Area near the 300 block of Washington street completely flooded over the sidewalk and into a business parking lot. DPW assistance was requested. |
| Jul 29, 2:23 PM EDT | FLOOD | 2 Nw Quincy, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. DPW assistance requested for flooding on Enterprise drive at Newport Extension Avenue. |
| Jul 29, 2:28 PM EDT | FLOOD | 2 Nw Quincy, MA | Relayed by amateur radio. Quincy shore drive at Bay state road closed due to flooding. |
| Jul 29, 2:29 PM EDT | FLOOD | 1 Wnw Quincy, MA | 2 feet deep flooding on Brook street at low points intersecting Fayette street, Safford Street, and Taylor street. One car with water to bottom of the doors. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 134 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -141 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 991 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.4
The text
As transmitted.
544
WGUS51 KBOX 291739
FFWBOX
MAC017-021-025-291900-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FF.W.0043.230729T1739Z-230729T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
139 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
The National Weather Service in Norton has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northeastern Norfolk County in eastern Massachusetts...
Suffolk County in eastern Massachusetts...
East Central Middlesex County in northeastern Massachusetts...
* Until 300 PM EDT.
* At 139 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Boston, Cambridge, Quincy, Newton, Somerville, Waltham, Brookline,
Revere, Everett, Chelsea, Watertown, Needham, Wellesley, Milton,
Dedham, Belmont, Winthrop, Weston and Hull.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
&&
LAT...LON 4237 7123 4240 7099 4241 7099 4241 7097
4231 7091 4230 7092 4230 7091 4229 7094
4230 7093 4229 7095 4227 7100 4225 7104
4224 7115 4226 7123 4230 7131
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR
$$
RM2 follow-up statements
987
WGUS71 KBOX 291816
FFSBOX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
216 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
MAC017-021-025-291900-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230729T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex MA-Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-
216 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEASTERN NORFOLK, SUFFOLK AND EAST CENTRAL
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...
At 216 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1 hour.
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Boston, Cambridge, Quincy, Newton, Somerville, Waltham, Brookline,
Revere, Everett, Chelsea, Watertown, Needham, Wellesley, Milton,
Belmont, Winthrop, Weston and Hull.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
&&
LAT...LON 4237 7123 4240 7099 4241 7099 4241 7097
4231 7091 4230 7092 4230 7091 4229 7094
4230 7093 4229 7095 4225 7104 4230 7110
4228 7120 4230 7131
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5-1 INCH IN 1 HOUR
$$
RM438
WGUS71 KBOX 291852
FFSBOX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
252 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
MAC017-021-025-291902-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230729T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex MA-Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-
252 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN NORFOLK,
SUFFOLK AND EAST CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...
The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT Saturday for
portions of northern Connecticut. Portions of Massachusetts.
Portions of Rhode Island.
LAT...LON 4237 7123 4240 7099 4241 7099 4241 7097
4231 7091 4230 7092 4230 7091 4229 7094
4230 7093 4229 7095 4225 7104 4230 7110
4228 7120 4230 7131
$$
RMWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 29, 10:31 AM EDT, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 10:31 AM EDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1031 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms and flash
flooding is possible today as a cold front slides through.
Much more comfortable airmass moves in for Sunday and remains in
place through much of the week. A frontal system will bring
more showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms late in the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
1030 AM Update...
Previous forecast mainly on track, thus not many changes with
this update. Not much to add to previous forecasters discussion
below. Here are some observations based latest satellite, radar
and observational trends ...
Three clusters of convection at 10 AM being observed, 1) cluster
of storms south and east of ACK. This is on the nose of the 850
mb jet and surging PWATs 2+ inches (this was the severe storm
that hit BID around 530 AM), 2) thunderstorms across the
eastern Great Lakes into northern NYS associated with RRQ of
upper level jet streak and 3) cluster of storms in SW PA
associated with mid level jet/speed max. In between all three of
these clusters, there is weak synoptic scale subsidence across
SNE. This may limit showers from the Catskills eastward into
northern CT, from blossoming into strong to severe convection
over the next few hours. Current thinking is if this area
develops into thunderstorms, the convection will be subsevere.
Although low forecast confidence give CAPEs climbing to about
1500 j/kg this afternoon, combined with 30-40 kt of deep layer
shear. The other dilemma is with upper level jet streak lifting
off to the NE, will thrust of NYS convection track just north of
our region? Also, with mid level jet over OH into southwest PA
expected to track south of New England, will this upstream
convection rob from storms advecting and developing across SNE
this afternoon and evening? Interesting that machine learning
convective probs are highest across the Mid Atlantic into NJ.
Thus lots of moving parts here yielding a below average
convective forecast. So we know there will be scattered storms
across the region this afternoon, we just don't know how
widespread or favorable areas for severe storms. Hopefully the
new 12z guidance will provide some clues.
Otherwise, another hot and humid day with 10 AM temps already in
the upper 70s and lower 80s. This combined with dew pts of
70-75, already yielding heat indices in the upper 80s and lower
90s. Still expecting highs to reach 85-90 with heat indices in
the mid to upper 90s! Thus, heat advisory remains in effect.
Also, these high dew points and column moisture off the charts
with PWATs climbing to 2+ inches this afternoon and evening,
combined with well above normal flows in rivers and streams, a
flood watch remains in effect. Torrential downpours are expected
with the potential for any storm to dump a quick 1-2" of rain in
short period of time. Isolated storm totals of 3-4" are
possible. Earlier discussion is below.
--------------------------------------------------------------------
415 AM Update:
Key Points:
* Heat and Humidity Continues, Humidity Breaking Later Tonight.
* Potential for multiple rounds of thunderstorms today. Some storms
are possible by early this afternoon, but the focus is during the
2 to 10 PM timeframe from west to east, when the greatest
potential for severe weather, including gusty winds, frequent
lightning, and torrential rain are anticipated.
* Localized urban, street and poor drainage flooding.
Another quite active day is in store for Southern New England today.
Heat and humidity continues, although more in the way of cloud cover
than yesterday. However, the potential exists for at least one
round, if not multiple rounds of thunderstorms, this afternoon into
tonight. These have the potential to become strong to severe and
will also pose a risk for torrential rain.
Synoptically, there are at least a couple of mid-level
shortwave disturbances on water vapor imagery that will drive
our weather for today. The first is more subtle and located over
eastern PA/Poconos vicinity, supporting a cluster of t-storms
over the waters south of Long Island. This feature looks to
bring increasing, if isolated/widely scattered,
showers/thunderstorms to our southern waters and as far north as
the South Coast by early to mid morning. But the far more
prominent one is over eastern IL, embedded in a belt of
seasonably strong westerly flow aloft. This feature has
maintained a mature mesoscale convective system located over
northern IN/lower MI and NW OH early this morning.
Model guidance unfortunately continues to exhibit poor run to run
consistency, which affects the timing and spatial details of
when strong to severe storms are anticipated. Given the very
warm, humid and conditionally unstable air mass in place, and
the strong flow aloft, we couldn't say no to a thunderstorm
really at any time, and PoPs reflect this by carrying at least
slight chance mention for most of the day. It may not be raining
the whole time, however.
Regarding the timing and evolution expectations...seems to be
three main periods for t-storms as gleaned in the model guidance
and observations: (1) early to mid morning in more isolated
coverage along the south coast and adjacent waters. (2) Less
agreed upon, but a round of t-storms that may be slower moving
near or along the Mass Pike by early to mid afternoon, indicated
by some forecast solutions (NSSL WRF, NAM, NAM-3km and the
ARW). Some of these may become strong but the main risk with
these is from locally torrential rain. The last is (3) with the
shortwave disturbance aloft responsible for the Great Lakes MCS,
with an approximate best estimate timing of this line of strong
to severe thunderstorms being around 2 PM to 10 PM from W to E.
PoPs were raised into the high Likely range to stress this
round of thunderstorms, since there's more agreement on its
development than the other two mentioned periods. And it's this
latter one that poses the greatest potential for strong to
severe weather, including gusty winds capable of at least
localized tree and powerline damage, frequent lightning and
torrential rain. We can't rule out a brief tornado as well, but
low-level wind shear conditions favorable for tornadoes aren't
as prominent as they were on Thursday. Again, if you have plans
outdoors, keep a close eye to the weather today and have
multiple ways to receive statements and warnings.
Headlines...the main change regarding headlines was the
issuance of a Flood Watch for late this morning into tonight.
Without question, there is still uncertainty on if/where early
afternoon t-storms develop. The risk for flash flooding would be
reduced if we only see the later-afternoon round of
thunderstorms. If we do see several thunderstorms today, as
described above, then the flash flood risk increases wherever
any early afternoon storms develop, with the best chance in the
urban corridor of I-90/Mass Pike. We're cognizant of the number
of flood watches we've had recently and we don't want to overuse
them; we've had to issue plenty in recent days. However
antecedent conditions and rather low flash flood guidance
continue and support a flood threat, and certainly the potential
exists for multiple rounds of thunderstorms. HREF shows rather
solid neighborhood probabilities of over 3 inches of rain in
portions of central MA, northern RI and into northern CT. In
light of the uncertainty, to bring awareness to the flooding
potential and in coordination with WPC's excessive rain desk and
outlooks, we felt it added to the messaging to hoist the Flood
Watch with this package.
It will be quite humid today with dewpoints in the lower to mid
70s, pumped in by a continued stream of southerly flow. We're
also starting today off warm, in the 70s! But more in the way of
clouds and rain today, and that may keep temperatures somewhat
lower. We opted to continue the Heat Advisory going, even though
some areas in the Advisory may fall short of criteria. Continue
to practice appropriate heat-related precautions.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
415 AM Update:
The line of thunderstorms moves offshore before midnight this
evening, with winds becoming northerly and advecting in a drier
air mass. It may still feel somewhat humid, but we should see
dewpoints fall into the upper 50s to mid 60s, about 10-15
degrees lower than during the daytime. Northerly breezes will
also trap moisture and there's some indication for overnight
stratus across a large portion of SNE. However will be clearing
from NW to SE by daybreak. Lows tonight range from the upper
50s to mid 60s closely following dewpoint temperatures.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights
* A cooler and much more comfortable airmass moves in Sun. This
remains in place for much of the upcoming week.
* Spotty showers on Mon and Tue. Better shot for more widespread
showers/t-storms comes late in the week.
Sunday through Tuesday...
Stuck under cyclonic flow through this timeframe. A subtle shortwave
swings through New England on Sun. Another shortwave lifts through
by early Mon. After this shortwave lifts through we are stuck under
a broad trough through Tue. A weak high nudges in on Sun. Late on
Sun into Mon a sfc trough extends into the south coast from an area
of low pressure off the Carolinas coast. A cold front slides through
later on Mon into early Tue. High pressure starts nudging in a bit
more late on Tue.
Will be significantly cooler and less humid Sun and as we head into
the work week. Winds generally remaining out of the NNW to NW at 925
hPa. This keeps roughly 15-20 degree C temps at that same level
through this period. The end result will be high temps topping out
in the mid 70s to the mid 80s. Dew points will be lowering into the
50s for most through much of this period. The only exception is
across the immediate south coast and perhaps portions of the eastern
coastline where low/mid 60 dew points linger into late Mon.
Despite the shortwave lifting through on Sun am thinking that we
should remain dry. Will have a mid level ridge building across the
eastern Great Lakes/Upstate NY and with drier WNW/NW flow along with
lowering PWATs it could be difficult to get any shower activity.
Will have better chances of spotty to perhaps scattered shower
activity during the Mon/Tue timeframe. Did bump up precip chances
late Sun into early Mon. Appears that we will have a weak
trough/boundary in place across the south coast. This in combination
with an upper trough digging in from the Great Lakes could generate
isolated shower activity, especially given the low/mid 60 degree dew
points still in place. May be lacking the deeper moisture though
with PWATs around 1 inch. Better chances for showers later on Mon
especially as a cold front slides into/through the region. Will also
see 500 hPa temps cool to roughly -15 to -20 degrees C, which is
quite anomalous for this time of year. Both the NAEFS and EPS
guidance SATA tables show this being roughly 2-3 STD below model
climo, which continues into Tue. This in combination with diurnal
heating should lead to isolated/scattered showers on Mon, with the
best shots across the interior. Similar set up on Tue, but think
the focus will be more along mesoscale boundaries, such as the sea
breeze. Despite these chances think overall it will be dry for most
and a washout is most definitely not anticipated.
Wednesday and Thursday...
Broad cyclonic flow/trough lifts offshore on Wed and a ridge axis
builds into the central/eastern Great Lakes. The ridge builds
overhead on Thu and begins to shift to our NE by late in the day,
while another trough digs into the Ontario/Great Lakes region. High
pressure builds overhead on Wed and moves offshore Wed into Thu. A
frontal system begins sliding into the eastern Great Lakes on Thu.
Dry and quiet weather expected through the vast majority of this
period. Did dial back the precip chances on Thu given the latest
suite of guidance has us dry, which was not captured well by the
NBM. Suspect we will need to continue to dial back those precip
chances on Thu. Did lower temps Tue night into Wed toward the 20th
percentile of guidance as am anticipating strong radiational
cooling. Will feel much cooler with lows generally in the 50s, but
there will be a few spots across NW MA that are in the upper 40s!
High temps on Wed will generally be in the 70s.
Should start to see the temps/dew points climbing on Thu as we get
into more southerly flow ahead of our next system. Anticipate that
925 hPa temps will be in the 15-20 degree range, so highs should
solidly be in the mid 70s to mid 80s. Dew points will begin climbing
into the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Late Thursday through Friday Night...
Still seeing significant timing and intensity differences with the
trough swinging through late in the week. This feature will bring us
our next opportunity for more widespread showers and perhaps some t-
storms as a frontal system moves through.
Given the spread amongst guidance have just stuck with the NBM at
this point. Quite difficult to pin point the specifics with regards
to severe weather this far out. We do have increasing deep layer
shear and forcing, but the mitigating factor may be the instability
that we realize. At this moment ensembles prog a roughly 30-50
percent chance of CAPE AOA 500 J/kg and low probs of CAPE AOA 1000
J/kg. Will just have to see how things evolve as the week
progresses, but given these probs have just an isolated mention of
thunderstorms at this point.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
1430z update...low confidence thunderstorm forecast today.
Current thinking is that showers from KPOU to KBDL may grow into
thunderstorms over the next few hours, but not intensify into
strong or severe storms. Greater threat is from 21z-03z from NW
to SE today/early this evening. Earlier discussion below.
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Today...Moderate confidence overall, lower on thunderstorm
timing and wind directions/changes.
**Active aviation period due to round(s) of thunderstorms,
which could be strong to severe.**
VFR dominates outside of thunderstorm activity. The only
exception is across the Cape/Islands where IFR/LIFR stratus/fog
lingers through roughly 14-15Z. Think this activity should lift
around this timeframe.
As for the TSRA risk confidence in timing is low, but seems the
period before 14-16Z is a relative minimum in SHRA/TS chances.
Risk for TS increases after 16z, potentially starting along the
I-90 corridor (mainly BAF- ORH-BED-BOS, perhaps into PVD/BDL)
in ISO/SCT covg. Period of greatest TS risk at greater coverage
is with a line of strong/severe TSRA, which moves in from WNW to
SE in the period 19z to 00z (and continuing into the evening
for the Cape airports). Tried to indicate when the period of
strongest TS would be with +SHRA VCTS, see specific tafs.
Locally IFR/LIFR visby from heavy rain, strong/gusty winds and
frequent lightning are possible.
Wind directions today are tricky. Best chance of continued SW
winds most of the day is mainly south of the Mass Pike. North of
the Mass Pike, initial WSW/SW winds 5-10 kt may flip to N or NE
later in the day. BOS's wind directions are most challenging and
while they may begin SW around 10 kt, expect winds to back to
SE-E by late morning due to a weak low to early afternoon then
become NE late- day.
Tonight: Moderate confidence.
Ongoing line of strong/severe TS moves offshore, with locally
reduced categories for ACK and the Cape airports 00-03z with TS
ending after then. While conditions improve inland for remaining
terminals, categories likely to remain low with MVFR to locally
LIFR stratus on N winds. N winds increase to 10-15 kt early,
then diminish and become NW late tonight.
Sunday: High confidence.
IFR/MVFR stratus improves early Sun to VFR. NW to W winds 5-10
kt.
KBOS TAF...Moderate confidence in TAF. VFR with SW winds thru
15-17Z. Winds become SE after due to a weak low, along with an
increasing risk for VCTS/strong TSRA near the terminal. Best
estimate on TSRA timing is after 19z until 00z. Winds likely to
shift from SE to E to NE/N later in the afternoon. Period of IFR
stratus this evening with gradual improvement in ceilings late.
KBDL TAF...Moderate confidence in TAF. VFR thru 15-17Z with S
winds. VCTS/strong TSRA with best estimated timing ~19-00z.
Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...
Sunday Night: VFR.
Monday through Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night through Wednesday: VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Today...Moderate confidence.
A warm front lifts through the waters this AM and could bring
isolated to scattered showers/storms. More widespread showers and
thunderstorms cross the waters this afternoon/evening as a cold
front moves through. Not out of the question some of the afternoon
storms are strong to severe bringing strong wind gusts. Did opt to
hoist a SCA across the outer southern waters as seas build to 5 ft.
Its marginal, but given the time of year and heat there will likely
be boaters out. Winds out of the SW at 10-15 kts with some 20-25 kt
gusts possible across the southern waters late. The eastern waters
will see winds rapidly flipping to the E/NE as the cold front
slides through.
Tonight through Sunday...High confidence.
Cold front crosses the rest of the waters this evening, which will
shift winds to the N/NW at 15-20 kts and gusts around 20 kts. Should
see the shower and thunderstorm activity downtick quickly in wake of
the front. High pressure nudges in on Sunday. Winds shift to the
N/NE and eventually the E late on Sunday, but speeds remain less
than 10 kts. Seas 2-4 ft. The far outer waters may see those 5 ft
seas linger late tonight.
Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...
Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.
Monday through Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight
chance of rain showers.
Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for CTZ002>004.
Flood Watch through this evening for CTZ002>004.
MA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MAZ005-010>021.
Flood Watch through this evening for MAZ002>018-020-021-026.
RI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for RIZ001>007.
Flood Watch through this evening for RIZ001>005-007.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ255-256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Loconto/BL
NEAR TERM...Loconto/Nocera/BL
SHORT TERM...Loconto
LONG TERM...BL
AVIATION...Loconto/Nocera/BL
MARINE...Loconto/BLHazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 4:09 AM EDT, 9 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 MAZ002>004-006>009-026-300815- Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA- Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA- Western Hampden MA-Northern Middlesex MA- 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts and western Massachusetts. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. CTZ002>004-MAZ005-010>018-020-021-RIZ001>005-007-300815- Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA- Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA- Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA- Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA- Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI- Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI- Newport RI- 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, southeastern Massachusetts, western Massachusetts, northern Rhode Island and southern Rhode Island. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heat Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MAZ019-RIZ006-300815- Eastern Plymouth MA-Washington RI- 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts and southern Rhode Island. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heat Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MAZ022>024-RIZ008-300815- Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-Block Island RI- 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts and southern Rhode Island. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-300815- Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound- Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound- Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay- Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA out 20 nm- Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket- Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to 20 nm South of Block Island- 409 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode Island coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. For more information on upcoming hazardous weather, please see the Area Forecast Discussion on our webpage for the latest forecast thinking. There is also our Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook at www.weather.gov/box/ehwo For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at www.weather.gov/boston You can follow us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/NWSBoston You can follow us on Twitter at @NWSBoston
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 1:30 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
130 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
MAZ005-007-013>016-291830-
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Central Middlesex County MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-
130 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR BOSTON...
At 129 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Wellesley, moving northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Minor flooding and lightening
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor nuisance flooding of typically flood prone areas.
Locations impacted include...
Boston, Cambridge, Quincy, Lynn, Newton, Somerville, Waltham, Malden,
Brookline, Medford, Revere, Arlington, Everett, Chelsea, Watertown,
Needham, Wellesley, Milton, Melrose and Saugus.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Get indoors when you hear thunder. Do not resume outdoor activities
until at least 30 minutes after the storm has passed.
Do not drive through flooded roads or underpasses. Avoid low lying
areas near small streams.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. For your
safety, go indoors or to your vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 4245 7096 4241 7099 4238 7097 4238 7100
4233 7095 4232 7096 4238 7105 4236 7105
4233 7101 4233 7104 4230 7105 4230 7099
4228 7102 4224 7123 4233 7132 4249 7098
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 226DEG 9KT 4232 7125
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
KPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 3:08 AM EDT | Flood Watch | BOX | Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 4 more | 19 hr |
| Jul 29, 3:21 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BOX | 33 hr | |
| Jul 29, 5:03 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BOX | 57 min | |
| Jul 29, 5:14 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Bristol | 61 min |
| Jul 29, 1:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Suffolk | 60 min |
| Jul 29, 1:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Suffolk | 39 min |
| Jul 29, 1:55 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BOX | 37 min | |
| Jul 29, 2:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Plymouth | 24 min |
| Jul 29, 2:28 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BOX | 47 min | |
| Jul 29, 3:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Middlesex | 42 min |
| Jul 29, 3:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOX | Essex | 94 min |
| Jul 29, 4:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Hampshire | 55 min |
| Jul 29, 4:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOX | Essex, Middlesex | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 4:47 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOX | Franklin | 118 min |
| Jul 29, 4:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOX | Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk | 4 hr |
| Jul 29, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire | 46 min |
| Jul 29, 5:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Worcester | 67 min |
| Jul 29, 5:53 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BOX | 67 min | |
| Jul 29, 6:07 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Hampden, Worcester | 53 min |
| Jul 29, 6:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Essex | 38 min |
| Jul 29, 6:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOX | Essex, Middlesex, Worcester | 115 min |
| Jul 29, 6:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BOX | Middlesex, Worcester | 62 min |
| Jul 29, 7:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Norfolk, Worcester | 34 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Massachusetts, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.