Alert archive / Massachusetts / Coastal Flood Statements in 2023

Coastal Flood Statement 9, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

August 2, 20237 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this coastal flood statement at Aug 2, 2023, 3:14 AM EDT for 7 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Aug 2, 2023, 11:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2023, 3:14 AM EDT (07:14 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 2, 2023, 11:00 PM EDT
Expired
Aug 3, 2023, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 57 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -42 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
57 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1727 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

657 
WHUS41 KBOX 020714
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
314 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2023

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-022015-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0009.230803T0300Z-230803T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
314 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways (2.7 to 13.0 feet Mean Lower Low Water).

* WHERE...Along the eastern Massachusetts coastline including
  Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard during the overnight high tide
  cycle just after midnight. 

* WHEN...From 11 pm this evening through 2 am Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Pockets of splashover and very minor coastal flooding
  within an hour or so of high tide. Any impacts will be very minor
  and not have much of an impact.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 03/01 AM  11.6/12.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.2/ 0.8     2      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.5/11.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.2/ 0.8     3      Minor    
 04/02 PM  10.7/11.2   1.2/ 1.7   0.5/ 1.0    3-4      None

Merrimack River near Newburyport MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 ft, Moderate 12.0 ft, Major 13.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 4.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/01 AM  10.3/10.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/01 PM   9.3/ 9.8  -0.2/ 0.2   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM  10.3/10.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     3       None    
 04/02 PM   9.5/10.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.5/ 1.0     3       None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.9/11.4   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM  12.0/12.5   1.9/ 2.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 04/02 PM  11.1/11.6   1.0/ 1.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.0/12.5   2.1/ 2.6   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/01 PM  10.7/11.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 04/01 AM  11.9/12.4   2.0/ 2.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM  10.9/11.4   1.0/ 1.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Scituate MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.5 ft, Major 15.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.6/ 1.1     2       None    
 03/01 AM  11.6/12.1   1.9/ 2.3   0.4/ 0.9     2      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.3/10.8   0.6/ 1.1   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.9/ 2.3   0.4/ 0.9     2      Minor    
 04/02 PM  10.7/11.2   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0    2-3      None

Buzzards Bay at Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/09 AM   2.8/ 3.4   0.9/ 1.4   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 02/09 PM   3.4/ 3.9   1.4/ 1.9   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 03/10 AM   3.1/ 3.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 03/10 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.2/ 1.7   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 04/11 AM   3.1/ 3.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 04/11 PM   3.6/ 4.1   1.6/ 2.0   0.7/ 1.1     3       None

Chatham MA - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 11.5 ft, Major 13.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   5.0/ 5.5  -2.7/-2.2   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 03/02 AM   6.2/ 6.8  -1.5/-1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/02 PM   5.2/ 5.7  -2.6/-2.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-3      None    
 04/02 AM   6.1/ 6.6  -1.7/-1.2   0.2/ 0.8    2-3      None    
 04/03 PM   5.5/ 6.0  -2.2/-1.8   0.4/ 0.9     3       None

Chatham - South side
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 10.5 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   4.0/ 4.5  -0.5/ 0.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/02 AM   5.5/ 6.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 03/02 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.2/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM   5.4/ 5.9   0.9/ 1.4   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/03 PM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.5/ 1.0    2-3      None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.9 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.3/12.8   2.2/ 2.7   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 03/01 PM  11.0/11.5   0.9/ 1.4   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 04/02 AM  12.1/12.6   2.0/ 2.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM  11.2/11.7   1.1/ 1.6   0.5/ 1.0     2       None

Dennis - Sesuit Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.8/ 1.3     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.8/13.3   2.2/ 2.7   0.6/ 1.1     1      Minor    
 03/01 PM  11.5/12.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 04/02 AM  12.6/13.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 04/02 PM  11.6/12.1   1.1/ 1.6   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Sandwich Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 4.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM   9.6/10.1  -0.8/-0.2   0.7/ 1.1    1-2      None    
 03/01 AM  10.9/11.4   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/01 PM   9.9/10.4  -0.5/ 0.0   0.6/ 1.1    1-2      None    
 04/01 AM  10.8/11.3   0.5/ 1.0   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 PM  10.0/10.5  -0.3/ 0.2   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 ft, Moderate 9.0 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 7.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/09 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 02/09 PM   5.4/ 5.9   1.0/ 1.5   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 03/10 AM   4.9/ 5.4   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 03/10 PM   5.4/ 5.9   1.0/ 1.5   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 04/10 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.8/ 1.3   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/11 PM   5.9/ 6.4   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5    2-3      None

Vineyard Haven
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.2/ 0.8   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 03/01 AM   2.5/ 3.0   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 03/01 PM   2.3/ 2.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 04/02 AM   2.5/ 3.0   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.2/ 0.8   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 03/02 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.9/ 1.4   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 03/02 PM   3.6/ 4.1   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/03 PM   3.7/ 4.2   0.2/ 0.7   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

&&

$$

Frank
1 follow-up statement
642 
WHUS41 KBOX 021938
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
338 PM EDT Wed Aug 2 2023

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-030600-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0009.230803T0300Z-230803T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
338 PM EDT Wed Aug 2 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways (2.7 to 13.0 feet Mean Lower Low Water).

* WHERE...Along the eastern Massachusetts coastline including
  Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard during the overnight high tide
  cycle just after midnight. 

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Pockets of splashover and very minor coastal flooding
  within an hour or so of high tide. Any impacts will be very minor
  and not have much of an impact.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 03/01 AM  11.6/12.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.2/ 0.8     2      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.5/11.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.2/ 0.8     3      Minor    
 04/02 PM  10.7/11.2   1.2/ 1.7   0.5/ 1.0    3-4      None    
 05/02 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.6/ 1.1    3-4     Minor

Merrimack River near Newburyport MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 ft, Moderate 12.0 ft, Major 13.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 4.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/01 AM  10.3/10.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/01 PM   9.3/ 9.8  -0.2/ 0.2   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM  10.3/10.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     3       None    
 04/02 PM   9.5/10.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.5/ 1.0     3       None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.9/11.4   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM  12.0/12.5   1.9/ 2.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 04/02 PM  11.1/11.6   1.0/ 1.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 05/02 AM  12.1/12.6   2.0/ 2.5   0.7/ 1.1     2      Minor

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.0/12.5   2.1/ 2.6   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/01 PM  10.7/11.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 04/01 AM  11.9/12.4   2.0/ 2.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM  10.9/11.4   1.0/ 1.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 05/02 AM  11.9/12.4   2.0/ 2.5   0.6/ 1.1     2       None

Scituate MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.5 ft, Major 15.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.6/ 1.1     2       None    
 03/01 AM  11.6/12.1   1.9/ 2.3   0.4/ 0.9     2      Minor    
 03/01 PM  10.3/10.8   0.6/ 1.1   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.9/ 2.3   0.4/ 0.9     2      Minor    
 04/02 PM  10.7/11.2   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0    2-3      None    
 05/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.9/ 2.3   0.7/ 1.1    2-3     Minor

Buzzards Bay at Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/09 AM   2.8/ 3.4   0.9/ 1.4   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 02/09 PM   3.4/ 3.9   1.4/ 1.9   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 03/10 AM   3.1/ 3.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 03/10 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.2/ 1.7   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 04/11 AM   3.1/ 3.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 04/11 PM   3.6/ 4.1   1.6/ 2.0   0.7/ 1.1     3       None

Chatham MA - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 11.5 ft, Major 13.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   5.0/ 5.5  -2.7/-2.2   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 03/02 AM   6.2/ 6.8  -1.5/-1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/02 PM   5.2/ 5.7  -2.6/-2.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-3      None    
 04/02 AM   6.1/ 6.6  -1.7/-1.2   0.2/ 0.8    2-3      None    
 04/03 PM   5.5/ 6.0  -2.2/-1.8   0.4/ 0.9     3       None

Chatham - South side
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 10.5 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   4.0/ 4.5  -0.5/ 0.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 03/02 AM   5.5/ 6.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 03/02 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.2/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 04/02 AM   5.4/ 5.9   0.9/ 1.4   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/03 PM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.5/ 1.0    2-3      None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.9 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.3/12.8   2.2/ 2.7   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 03/01 PM  11.0/11.5   0.9/ 1.4   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 04/02 AM  12.1/12.6   2.0/ 2.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM  11.2/11.7   1.1/ 1.6   0.5/ 1.0     2       None

Dennis - Sesuit Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.8/ 1.3     1       None    
 03/01 AM  12.8/13.3   2.2/ 2.7   0.6/ 1.1     1      Minor    
 03/01 PM  11.5/12.0   1.0/ 1.5   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 04/02 AM  12.6/13.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 04/02 PM  11.6/12.1   1.1/ 1.6   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 05/02 AM  12.8/13.3   2.2/ 2.7   0.9/ 1.4     2      Minor

Sandwich Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 4.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM   9.6/10.1  -0.8/-0.2   0.7/ 1.1    1-2      None    
 03/01 AM  10.9/11.4   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 03/01 PM   9.9/10.4  -0.5/ 0.0   0.6/ 1.1    1-2      None    
 04/01 AM  10.8/11.3   0.5/ 1.0   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/02 PM  10.0/10.5  -0.3/ 0.2   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None    
 05/02 AM  10.8/11.3   0.5/ 1.0   0.7/ 1.1     3       None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 ft, Moderate 9.0 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 7.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/09 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 02/09 PM   5.4/ 5.9   1.0/ 1.5   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 03/10 AM   4.9/ 5.4   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 03/10 PM   5.4/ 5.9   1.0/ 1.5   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 04/10 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.8/ 1.3   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/11 PM   5.9/ 6.4   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5    2-3      None

Vineyard Haven
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.2/ 0.8   0.5/ 1.0    1-2      None    
 03/01 AM   2.5/ 3.0   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None    
 03/01 PM   2.3/ 2.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 04/02 AM   2.5/ 3.0   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.2/ 0.8   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 03/02 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.9/ 1.4   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 03/02 PM   3.6/ 4.1   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 04/02 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0     2       None    
 04/03 PM   3.7/ 4.2   0.2/ 0.7   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Aug 2, 1:28 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 1:28 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
128 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2023

.SYNOPSIS...

High pressure over the Northeast will provide dry weather with
cool nights and mild days into Thursday. A frontal system brings
showers and scattered thunderstorms Thursday night, Friday and
Fri night. Drying out this weekend, with showers returning
possibly by early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

950 PM Update...

* Dry & cool overnight with lows bottoming out mainly in the
  upper 40s to the middle 50s

Previous forecast is on track. A ridge of high pressure building
in from the west was resulting in mainly clear skies and
light/calm winds this evening. This coupled with a very dry
airmass for this time of year will result in a cool night. Low
temps should bottom out about 10 degrees below normal for early
August standards. Lows should range from the upper 40s in the
normally coolest outlying locations...to the lower to middle 50s
elsewhere. Even the Urban Heat Island of Boston should bottom
out around 60. Localized patchy ground fog is possible late in
the typically prone locations but nothing widespread.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...

215 PM Update:

High pressure remains in control. Upper flow begins to become
more anticyclonic Wed afternoon so we don't see as much in way
of diurnal cloudiness tomorrow. Gradient is weaker today with
high pressure nearby, so we do think there will be sea breezes
along both coasts. Another night of clear skies and light winds
means another round of ideal radiational cooling tomorrow night,
thus once again leaned toward cooler MOS guidance for lows.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

215 PM Update:

Key Points...

* Dry weather with comfortable humidity continues into Thursday

* Scattered showers and thunderstorms Thu night/Fri/Fri night along
  with increasing humidity.  Heavy downpours possible too.

* Dry & comfortable weather returns this weekend

Thursday...dry, pleasant weather should linger thru the daylight
hours, as ensembles hold off heights fall until Thursday night.
Still comfortable humidity Thu with dew pts in the upper 50s and
lower 60s. Morning sunshine may become filtered by mid/high WAA
clouds in the afternoon, but nonetheless, a very nice summer day
with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s and again, dew pts in the
upper 50s and lower 60s. Height falls and increasing PWATs from
approaching northern stream trough will yield increasing shower
chances from west to east Thu night across SNE. Not nearly as cool
as past night, given WAA and increasing cloud cover.

Friday...northern stream s/wv approaches from the NW with good
height falls and moisture advection across SNE. This will support
scattered showers and thunderstorms, along with increasing humidity
as dew pts climb into the 60s. Cloud cover likely limits highs to
the 70s Friday, but will feel warmer given the higher humidity.
Regarding potential for severe weather, with northern stream trough
tracking NW to SE across southern Ontario and Quebec, the true warm
sector air appears to be shunted to the west and south of SNE. This
shows up on ensemble 850 mb temps remaining at or cooler than normal
across SNE, along with probs of CAPEs exceeding 1000 j/kg remaining
west and south of New England. In addition, wind fields aloft remain
fairly weak, Thus not sufficient to overcome marginal instability.
Therefore the combination of marginal shear & CAPE likely limits the
severe convective potential. Although, still 3 days away so need to
continue monitor later model trends thru the week. Also, CIPS
analogs and CSU machine learning probs do offer low probs of severe
storms. More reason to follow this closely. Perhaps more of a threat
could be heavy rain, as PWATs climb to about 125% of normal as a
modest low to mid level jet develops over the Atlantic into SNE Thu
night into Fri night. WPC continues to have SNE in a slight risk for
excessive rainfall. Something to watch as this event enters the
shorter range/hi res model window.

Weekend...

Ensembles have mean trough axis pushing offshore 12z Sat, followed
by height rises and much lower PWATs advecting across the area from
west to east. This will support increasing sunshine, lowering
humidity and highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s Sat. Shaping up to
be a very beautiful day after any early morning clouds/showers over
eastern MA. Ensembles continue to advertise ridging and dry/low
humidity airmass over SNE Sunday, thus nice weather should linger
all weekend!

Early next week...turning warmer and more humid Mon/Tue ahead of
next approaching northern stream trough. Cyclonic flow and
increasing moisture plume will support a risk of showers/
thunderstorms both Mon/Tue. Not expecting a washout both days but
too early to pinpoint which day will be the wetter of the two days
at this time range. Ensembles indicate a fairly progressive flow, so
one of the two days should be dry.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z TAF Update...

Today...High Confidence.

VFR. Light winds with generally a northerly component for most
of the day but with afternoon sea breezes along the immediate
coast.

Tonight...High Confidence.

Generally VFR outside localized patchy ground fog that will be
possible late in the typically prone locations. Calm/light SSW
winds.

Thursday...High Confidence.

VFR. SW winds increasing to between 8 and 15 knots with a few
afternoon gusts on the order of 20 to 25 knots. Generally dry
weather expected but a few spot showers possible late across the
distant interior.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF. A classic ESE sea breeze
expected to develop in the 15z to 17z time frame.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Friday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. SHRA likely,
scattered TSRA.

Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Scattered TSRA, chance SHRA.

Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

215 PM Update:

High pressure will remain in control through Wed night as it
builds from Great Lakes into the Northeast. Expect sea breezes
near both coasts Wed, otherwise light winds and flat seas
expected.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance
of rain showers.

Friday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Friday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers,
isolated thunderstorms.

Saturday and Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated
thunderstorms.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

High astro tides with very little surge will allow some spots
along E MA coast, including Cape Cod and Islands, to come very
close to flood stage during high tide late tonight (around
midnight) and again late tomorrow night.

Really only expecting some very limited impact for the most
vulnerable locations. Even the worst case would only bring
these locations right up to flood stage (not above). Planning to
continue with a Coastal Flood Statement.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Nocera/JWD
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...JWD
LONG TERM...Nocera
AVIATION...Frank/Nocera
MARINE...Nocera/JWD
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 4:08 PM EDT, 11 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
408 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2023

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-022015-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
408 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, all of
Massachusetts east of Berkshire County, and Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-022015-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
408 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode
Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For more information on upcoming hazardous weather, please see the
Area Forecast Discussion on our webpage for the latest forecast
thinking. There is also our Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook at
www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Massachusetts, 2023Every coastal flood statement in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.