Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Watches in 2023

River Flood Watch 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

March 30, 2023Arenac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this river flood watch at Mar 30, 2023, 3:39 PM EDT for Arenac County, Michigan. It took effect at Apr 1, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2023, 3:39 PM EDT (19:39 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 1, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 1, 2023, 11:28 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Arenac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rifle River near Sterling (STRM4). The gauge peaked at 6.21 ft at Apr 2, 2023, 3:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate51003/3003/3104/0104/02
Action stage
5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04142000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood watch went out at Mar 30, 2:45 PM EDT, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 2:45 PM EDT, 54 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 2:42 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
242 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2023

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-311845-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
242 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A wintry mix of precipitation will develop across northern
Michigan later this evening. Precipitation will start as snow
across northern Lower...then mix with or change to a brief period
of freezing rain and sleet before changing over to all rain.
Across eastern Upper, precipitation will fall mostly as snow
before possibly mixing with freezing rain and sleet toward
daybreak Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Another winter storm will impact northern Michigan Friday night
into Saturday. Greatest impacts are expected across eastern Upper
Michigan with a higher likelihood of heavy snowfall combined with
strong winds creating hazardous driving conditions. See ongoing
Winter Storm Watch for details.

Precipitation is expected to change to all snow across northern
Lower Michigan Saturday...along with gusty winds and temperatures
falling below freezing.

Heavy rainfall is expected across northern Lower Michigan Friday
through Friday night. Runoff from this rainfall into the existing
snowpack will result in rises on area streams and rivers.

Thunderstorms are possible across northern Lower Michigan Friday
and Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall and snowfall amounts
to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three
ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord

Twitter:  twitter.com/nwsgaylord

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-311845-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
242 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Gale force winds are likely Friday night through Saturday. See
ongoing gale watch for additional details.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 4:53 AM EDTWinter Storm WatchAPXChippewa, Mackinac32 hr
Mar 30, 4:55 AM EDTGale WatchAPX23 hr
Mar 30, 3:36 PM EDTRiver Flood WatchAPXWexford44 hr

Nearby

River Flood Watches in Michigan, 2023Every river flood watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.