Small Craft Advisory 607, NWS Juneau, AK

381 
FZAK52 PAJK 281251
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-290700-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A strong Gale force front will move into the Northern and
Eastern Gulf of Alaska on Wednesday. A second system is expected
to move across the southern Gulf of Alaska towards the southern
panhandle Thursday night. 

$$

PKZ641-290700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. W
swell. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ661-290700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision from 15 to 90 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. W swell in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt late. Seas 7 ft. W
swell. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ642-290700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. W swell in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 7 ft. W
swell. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ662-290700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe from 15 to 80 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the morning, then
becoming light in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft
building to 8 ft.
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ643-290700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Spencer out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft diminishing to 7 ft by midday. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 7 ft. SW
swell. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ663-290700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Spencer from 15 to 80 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft
diminishing to 7 ft. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ644-290700-
Cape Spencer to Cape Fairweather out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY 
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
diminishing to 7 ft by midday. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 8
ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ664-290700-
Cape Spencer to Cape Fairweather from 15 to 85 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 7 ft
building to 9 ft.
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ651-290700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. SW
swell in the evening. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ671-290700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape from 15 to 80 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE 
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 7 ft building
to 10 ft.
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ652-290700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND LATE 
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft diminishing to 7 ft by midday. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 7 ft
building to 10 ft.
.WED...E gale to 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ672-290700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling from 15 to 80 NM-
351 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

...GALE WARNING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...E gale to 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

453 
FZAK52 PAJK 290243 AAA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-292045-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A strong Gale force front will move into the Northern and
Eastern Gulf of Alaska on Wednesday. A second system is expected
to move across the southern Gulf of Alaska towards the southern
panhandle Thursday night. 

$$

PKZ641-292045-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E in the evening, then
increasing to 15 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 



$$

PKZ661-292045-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision from 15 to 90 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E in the evening, then
becoming SE 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft late. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 



$$

PKZ642-292045-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft late. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 



$$

PKZ662-292045-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe from 15 to 80 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 12 ft late. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 



$$

PKZ643-292045-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Spencer out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming E 15 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ663-292045-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Spencer from 15 to 80 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 14 ft late. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 



$$

PKZ644-292045-
Cape Spencer to Cape Fairweather out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming E 15 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 



$$

PKZ664-292045-
Cape Spencer to Cape Fairweather from 15 to 85 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt in the evening,
then increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 30 kt late. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ651-292045-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
bays and passes. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

PKZ671-292045-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape from 15 to 80 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt late. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 



$$

PKZ652-292045-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling out to 15 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft
building to 11 ft late. 
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late.
Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft late. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 



$$

PKZ672-292045-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling from 15 to 80 NM-
543 PM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building
to 12 ft late. 
.WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 16 ft late. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
521 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2023

.SHORT TERM.../ through Monday night / First frontal band is
moving through the remainder of the southern Panhandle Monday
morning. A secondary band moving across the north central Gulf of
Alaska this morning will spread rain into the Northeast Gulf
Coast this morning and to the northern panhandle by midday. The
front is not overly strong, primarily small craft winds
associated with the feature, it does have a cooler pool of air
behind it that will will be lowering snow levels across the
northern half of the panhandle over night. Predominately higher
terrain areas will see the better chance of any measurable snow.
Expect that chances of rain will diminish overnight after the
feature passes through. A weak onshore flow continues behind the
feature so low chances may persist overnight along the western
slopes in the flow into Monday night.

.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Thursday/...A series of shortwave troughs
will impact the panhandle through the week.

Tuesday looks to be the break day with a ridge building aloft and a
transient high pressure keeping most of the precipitation out of the
panhandle. The northern areas may see a few showers and a small
chance of some enhanced northerly winds up to 15 knots in Lynn Canal
during this time. Furthermore, light winds and plenty of leftover
moisture will drive some fog development across the area.

Unfortunately for those who wanted 'drier' weather, another system
looks to push in from the gulf on Wednesday. From yesterday, the low
center does indeed look to track just north of Kodiak island which
will limit the increased wind speeds for most of the outer coast.
Unfortunately, the system does seem stronger than initially
anticipated; therefore, gales are expected from Cape Spencer
northward along the NE gulf coast. Expecting to see a burst of small
craft winds in the inner channels as the thermal gradient pushes
northward. The timing on this front is still in flux however.

In terms of model usage, unfortunately, due to the constant
shortwaves moving along the main trough located near the Aleutians
from Tuesday into Wednesday onward, model agreement continues to be
less than ideal. Heavy ensemble influences were used during the
Thursday time period to represent high uncertainty on additional
surface lows developing. Ensemble guidance does seem to converge on
a 980 mb low moving into the northern gulf for Thursday into Friday.
After conferring with WPC, current thought it another low center is
likely to develop to the southwest of the southern panhandle moving
northeast. While this scenario may or may not play out, the overall
pattern for SE AK is active.

&&

.AVIATION...Widespread MVFR conditions and isolated IFR conditions
will continue through Monday morning for the Panhandle. As the
first front continues moving through the area, conditions in many
areas could see improvement to VFR conditions from North to South
before another weaker system moves in through Monday afternoon.
This weaker system will bring more rain showers and some increased
winds primarily to the northern half of the Panhandle. Significant
LLWS is not expected with this weaker system.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-053-641>644-651-652-661>664-671-
     672.

&&

SHORT TERM...Bezenek
LONG TERM....NC
AVIATION...STJ

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