Storm Warning 7, NWS Anchorage, AK

365 
FZAK51 PAFC 011158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-020045-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front moves over the North Gulf Coast Mon afternoon. A 956 mb 
low 100 nm Southwest of Akhiok moves to 50 nm Northeast of Akhiok 
at 970 mb for Sun morning, then moves over the Alaska Peninsula 
through Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-020045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt except E 50 kt near the coast. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas
26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-020045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-020045-
Resurrection Bay-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-020045-
Prince William Sound-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-020045-
Port Valdez-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-020045-
Valdez Narrows-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-020045-
Valdez Arm-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-020045-
Passage Canal-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kts. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts to
40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-020045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-020045-
Barren Islands East-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-020045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-020045-
Chiniak Bay-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-020045-
Marmot Bay-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-020045-
Shelikof Strait-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-020045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow with rain and
light freezing rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-020045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft subsiding to
9 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Rain and
light freezing rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 5 ft. Rain and light freezing rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-020045-
Kachemak Bay-
258 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain, snow and light freezing rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

517 
FZAK51 PAFC 012101 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-020430-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front moves over the North Gulf Coast Mon afternoon. A 956 mb 
low 100 nm Southwest of Akhiok moves to 50 nm Northeast of Akhiok 
at 970 mb for Sun morning, then moves over the Alaska Peninsula 
through Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-020430-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt except E 50 kt near the coast. Gusts to
65 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-020430-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-020430-
Resurrection Bay-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-020430-
Prince William Sound-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-020430-
Port Valdez-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-020430-
Valdez Narrows-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-020430-
Valdez Arm-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-020430-
Passage Canal-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-020430-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-020430-
Barren Islands East-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-020430-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-020430-
Chiniak Bay-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-020430-
Marmot Bay-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-020430-
Shelikof Strait-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain. 
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-020430-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow with rain
and light freezing rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-020430-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft subsiding to
9 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Rain and
light freezing rain. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 5 ft. Rain and light freezing rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-020430-
Kachemak Bay-
1201 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain, snow and light freezing rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

464 
FZAK51 PAFC 020053
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021330-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front spreads over the North Gulf Coast by Mon afternoon. A 960
mb low 95 nm East of Castle Cape moves to 70 nm West of Kodiak 
City at 973 mb for Mon morning, then shifts over then shifts over 
the Alaska Peninsula for Mon afternoon. A 981 mb North Pacific low
Tue morning moves to 57N 147W for Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-021330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021330-
Resurrection Bay-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021330-
Prince William Sound-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021330-
Port Valdez-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021330-
Valdez Narrows-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021330-
Valdez Arm-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain showers with snow showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021330-
Passage Canal-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021330-
Barren Islands East-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021330-
Chiniak Bay-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...Variable  wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021330-
Marmot Bay-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021330-
Shelikof Strait-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after 
midnight. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas in 
ice free waters 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021330-
Kachemak Bay-
353 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
556 AM AKST Sat Dec 31 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Longwave pattern persists across much of Alaska, the Gulf of
Alaska, and the North Pacific through the weekend, embedded with
a series of lows and shortwaves. Satellite imagery is showing
multiple rotations, one between Kodiak Island and the Alaska
Peninsula, near the Pribilof Islands, and two south of the
Aleutian Islands. The surface low near Kodiak and the Pribilofs
are both weakening, their energy being absorbed by the low(s) in
the North Pacific. A front is lifting across the Gulf of Alaska
this weekend, aided by a subtropical jet who is guiding a swath of
moisture towards the north Gulf coast. A developing atmospheric
river that can be seen on the CIMMS Mimic satellite will push into
the Gulf and over Southcentral over the weekend, bringing the
next round of active weather to Southern Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model agreement continue to improve for the large complex system
south of the Aleutian Chain. There is also somewhat better
agreement with the progression of the front as it cross the Gulf
of Alaska towards the Southcentral coast. There remains
inconsistencies beyond 40 hours, which is typical as models tend
to struggle with pinpointing embedded lows within a complex system
like this. Models spread is still relatively large on Sunday
evening as the low crosses Kodiak Island and the Alaska Peninsula
towards the Bristol Bay area.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist. Winds will gradually increase
through the afternoon hours, becoming gusty by this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Pretty quiet conditions this morning across Southcentral with
temperatures in the 20s and 30s across most locations, aside from
the Copper River Basin where temperatures are in the single digits
as of 5AM. A broad and elongated low remains in place across most
of southern Alaska, slowly tracking north, spreading a cloud shield
out ahead of it. This is telling of the next system to impact the
region beginning overnight tonight.

The elongated low's primary surface low is packing a punch, with
satellite imagery indicating some upper level instability and
lightning across it's southern reaches. This convection is not
expected to be drawn northward into Southcentral, however, as the
upper level jet folds and draws a southerly fetch into the Gulf of
Alaska, warmer temperatures aloft will overspread the region, and
an atmospheric river will take aim at southcentral. The good news
is that this is a fast moving pattern and the fold will quickly
disintegrate as it transitions east; but in the meantime, active
weather is in store for us beginning overnight tonight as these
warmer temperatures infiltrate the atmospheric column, bringing
areas of mixed precipitation Sunday, finally tapering off Monday.

Precipitation is expected to begin as snow except along the
coastlines, including in Kodiak Island, the southern Kenai
Peninsula and Prince William Sound as temperatures are already
warmer in these locations. Warmer air will finally make its way
inland tonight resulting in a wintry mix of snow and freezing
rain, eventually transitioning to all freezing rain across the
Anchorage Bowl, Matanuska Valley, western Kenai Peninsula and the
lower elevations of the Copper Basin, south of Copper Center. Cold
air is expected to make it's way back into the region MOnday,
with precipitation eventually transitioning to snow.

Lastly, as this system is paired with a folded jet and stronger
winds aloft, gusty surface winds are expected at the higher
elevations, along Portage Pass, Turnagain Pass, and the Matanuska
Valley. There are several Winter Weather Advisories and a Winter
Storm Watch issued for this upcoming system. Please refer to them
for further details.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

This morning south of Unalaska there is a 955 mb low. This low is
going to track eastward this morning. A new low will form along
the frontal boundary south of Kodiak later today. By Sunday
morning that low will move across the Alaska Peninsula and into
Bristol Bay/southwest Alaska. On satellite imagery there is a
fetch of modified tropical air entrained into this system. This
system will bring a fresh batch of snow to Southwest AK. The
pressure gradient force is also strong with this system so expect
blowing snow add gales over Bristol Bay. The surface low will
wobble around Bristol Bay into Tuesday morning, but the low

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

This morning south of Unalaska there is a 955 mb low. This low is
going to track eastward this morning. A new low will form along
the frontal boundary south of Kodiak later today. By Sunday
morning that low will move across the Alaska Peninsula and into
Bristol Bay and southwest Alaska. On satellite imagery (CIMSS
MIMIC PW) there is a discernible fetch of modified tropical air
entrained into this system. This system will bring snow to the
Alaska Peninsula, to the central and eastern Aleutians. Even
though this system has a tropical connection, there is fierce
cold air pushing across the Bering and over SW AK. Additionally,
freezing spray will develop as far south as the Pribilof Islands
this forecast period. On satellite imagery, the ice shield
continues to grow over portions of the north and eastern Bering
and near Egegik.

$$.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

Going into the long term, the low forecast to bring this
weekend's active weather to southern mainland Alaska will have
weakened significantly, elongating along the Southwest coast and
across the Alaska Peninsula on Tuesday. By that point, mainly
only upslope precipitation will be lingering along the Gulf coast
as southerly flow continues to wrap around the weakening low.
Scattered, showery precipitation may also continue to be present
in Bristol Bay and along the Alaska Peninsula in the vicinity of
the decaying low. Any precipitation is likely to be all snow.
Elsewhere, inland locations will be mostly dry. Beyond Tuesday,
uncertainty increases, with large spread in the timing and track
of various features. One of the higher confidence features is a
potentially gale-force low entering the eastern Gulf of Alaska
Tuesday night and tracking toward the western Gulf coast by
Wednesday night. Several other lows look to take a similar track
following this one, however, models disagree on where the energy
is focused, meaning the strength of this feature is highly
uncertain. Its impacts, primarily another round of coastal
precipitation, are most likely to be focused between Kodiak
Island and the eastern Kenai Peninsula Wednesday into Wednesday
night. Some light overrunning precipitation may move into the
Cook Inlet region and Southwest Alaska, but it is likely to be all
snow. As the low weakens into Thursday, southern mainland Alaska
looks to dry out with weak flow and no major source of moisture
available, though some upslope shower activity may continue along
the coastal mountains.

Out west, northerly flow prevails across the central and eastern
Bering Sea at the beginning of the period, with scattered snow
showers moving into the Aleutians. In the western Bering, a large
upper-level low supported by a cold air mass moving out of East
Asia begins to encroach. It is led by a front, which appears to
bring mostly snow to the western and central Aleutians through
Tuesday night. The Pacific jet will retain a primarily zonal
orientation far south of the forecast area, meaning that as the
upper low slowly moves over the Bering/Aleutians, it will bring
with it many embedded hard to resolve, weak-to-moderate intensity
lows. This will keep relatively cold air in place and bring
periodic chances for snow reaching as far east as the eastern
Bering/Aleutians by Friday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Watch: 125
		 Winter Weather Advisory: 101 111 121 141 145
MARINE...Storm Warning: 119 120 130 131 139
		 Gale Warning: 125 128 132 136 137 138 140 150 160 351 352
		 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning: 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS
LONG TERM...CQ