Storm Warning 62, NWS Anchorage, AK

624 
FZAK62 PAFC 011238
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-020345-
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 994 mb Kamchatka low moves to 55N 173E at 992 mb this afternoon. 
It then skirts to 57N 170W at 988 mb Thu morning before diving 
southeastward across the Alaska Peninsula as a weaker open wave 
trough Thu evening. The next western Bering low brings a front into 
the Western Aleutians Fri morning.

$$

PKZ411-020345-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 to 25 kt becoming S 20 to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.

$$

PKZ412-020345-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.

$$

PKZ413-020345-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 35 to 50 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 27 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ414-020345-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
338 AM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 17 to 23 ft. Extreme freezing 
spray at a rate of 4 cm per hour or greater may rapidly accumulate on
vessels N of 58N. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 to 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 to
16 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.

$$

983 
FZAK62 PAFC 020028
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-021400-
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 990 mb low at 55N 172E moves to 56N 163W at 1003 mb Thu morning 
and dissipates Thu afternoon. Its front moves over the Aleutians Thu 
morning, then South of the Alaska Peninsula Thu afternoon. A 992 mb 
North Pacific low approaches the Western Aleutians Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-021400-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 9 to 17 ft
after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...S wind 35 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ412-021400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ413-021400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt becoming W 35 to 50 kt after
midnight. Seas 13 to 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 27 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ414-021400-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
328 PM AKST Wed Mar 1 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...SE wind 15 to 30 kt becoming N 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas
10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

$$

105 
FZAK62 PAFC 021208
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-030200-
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 992 mb low near 57N 177W moves over the Pribilof Islands later 
this morning. It then dives southeastward across the Alaska 
Peninsula and into the N Pacific as an open wave trough later this
evening. A Kamchatka low brings a front across the Western and 
Central Aleutians through Sat morning.

$$

PKZ411-030200-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.FRI...S wind 35 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-030200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt increasing to 30 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 12 ft building to 10 to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ413-030200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

PKZ414-030200-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
308 AM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt becoming N 30 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 to 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind up to 20 kt becoming S 10 to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

549 
FZAK62 PAFC 030013
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-031430-
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A ridge moves across the Bering through Sat morning. A 994 mb 
South Kamchatka low moves to the North Kamchatka Coast at 993 mb 
and dissipates Sat afternoon. Its front moves over the Bering 
through Sat afternoon. A 999 mb North Pacific low moves to 54N 
179W at 983 mb for Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-031430-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Freezing spray.
Snow.
.FRI...S wind 35 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ412-031430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt increasing to 30 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-031430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W to NW wind 35 to 50 kt becoming S 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 9 to
15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ414-031430-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
313 PM AKST Thu Mar 2 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE to NW wind 35 to 50 kt becoming NW 15 to 25 kt 
after midnight. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt becoming S 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.

$$

244 
FZAK62 PAFC 031253
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-040230-
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A ridge moves across the Bering Sea through Sat morning. A 987 mb
South Kamchatka low moves to the North Kamchatka Coast at 994 mb 
and dissipates Sat afternoon. Its front also moves over the Bering
through Sat afternoon. A 995 mb North Pacific low moves to 54N 
179W at 982 mb for Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-040230-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ412-040230-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft building to 11 to 19 ft
in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ413-040230-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 to 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ414-040230-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
353 AM AKST Fri Mar 3 2023

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 10 to 25 kt becoming S 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
800 AM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A strong low is now centered near St. Matthew Island with it's
warm front extending from the Lower Kuskokwim Valley into
Southcentral. It's occlusion has now reached the Kuskokwim Delta,
where blizzard conditions were prevalent for much of the overnight
hours. A baroclinic leaf can be seen on Satellite south of Adak,
showing the early development of a strong system expected to move
into the Western Gulf tomorrow. What began as a clear night last
night over Southcentral has since become overcast with the front
moving into the area. As such temperatures have moderated and
warmed overnight.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are now in good agreement overall and have clustered near
the GFS solution (which was the outlier) with each run. The key
feature that they were struggling with was the development of a
strong low over the North Pacific which will then move near or
over Kodiak Island early Wednesday morning and then along the
coast Wednesday into Thursday. The low is significantly stronger
that guidance was showing the past few days, with hurricane force
gusts now looking likely over the Western Gulf Waters and
potentially the western and southern shores of Kodiak Island.
There are still a few minor timing and locational differences
amongst the models, but overall they have cluster together.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Light to moderate snow is expected to begin around 15Z and
will linger through the early afternoon. LIFR visibility is
likely for a period this morning due to the snowfall but should
return to MVFR in the afternoon as downsloping decreases snowfall
rates and raises ceilings. An additional storm is expected to move
into the Gulf Wednesday morning, which may return IFR to MVFR
visibility and ceilings. Winds are expected to remain light out of
the north.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tuesday through Thursday night)...

Widespread snow is moving over the western half of Southcentral
this morning as an occluded front advances from the west. Snow
over Kodiak City this morning is expected to change over to rain
as the front lifts north of the island and easterly winds usher
in slight warmer, maritime air. A triple point low will then
develop along the front northeast of Kodiak Island and stall, its
front draped along the Southcentral coast, with snow and gust gaps
winds persisting along the coast. A vigorous upper-level moving
from south of the Aleutians toward Kodiak Island, along with its
attendant surface low, will then quickly move over Kodiak Island.
These feature will phase with the aforementioned low, allowing for
the development of a rapidly deepening surface low. This new 960
mb low will move toward Prince William Sound, wrapping storm-force
winds along its front and around the back side of the low.

For the coast, the snow will remain quite persistent, along with
gusty winds, through the duration of the event until the low moves
east late Wednesday or early Thursday. For inland locations from
the western Kenai Peninsula north to Talkeetna, this event will
likely be more of a one-two punch. The first, will be a burst of
moderate to heavy snow this morning, with several inches of
accumulation, especially along the western Kenai and across the
southwest facing foothills of the Talkeetnas. The snow should then
taper off a time this afternoon before filling back in for
Wednesday. As the low moves to close to the coast, northerly winds
along Cook Inlet and Resurrection Bay will also increase,
resulting in blowing snow for coastal western Kenai, Homer, and
Seward. The snow and gusty winds then shift to Thompson Pass and
the southern Copper River Basin for Wednesday, as light snow
lingers along Cook Inlet and the west facing foothills of the
Chugach and Kenai Mountains.

The other big story with this system is the expected strong winds
across Kodiak Island for Wednesday in the wake of the low. Strong
pressure rises will allow for strong gusts early Wednesday
morning across the island before diminishing slightly through
the afternoon. A shortwave trough moving from the Alaska
Peninsula into the western Gulf ,along with resultant cold air
advection, will bring a second peak in the stronger winds
Wednesday evening through early Thursday before the winds finally
begin to taper off.

A return of colder air and gusty outflow winds is expected for
the latter half of the week as the low exits the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Gusty winds and periods of heavy snow have been observed across
Southwest Alaska over night and will continue through this
morning, gradually easing up into the afternoon hours. Blizzard
conditions along the Kuskokwim Delta coast will improve early
this morning, but light snow and increased winds are likely to
continue and blowing snow may be an issue at times. Conditions
across Southwest Alaska as a whole are expected to improve tonight
into Wednesday morning, with some residual wrap around snow/winds
along the Kuskokwim and Kilbuck Mountain Ranges and portions of
the Kuskokwim Delta, primarily Bethel, that may produce another
quick round of blowing snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Active weather continues across the Bering Sea and Aleutian Chain.
A band of storm force winds passing over the Pribilof Islands has
bumped them up to High Wind Warning criteria so a product was
issued for the area through mid-morning. Widespread gale force
winds and precipitation (both rain and snow for some areas along
the Aleutian Chain) will continue through Wednesday morning. The
next system moves over the Western Aleutians late Wednesday
morning. While it will be weaker then the current system, there
will still be a small area of storm force winds and widespread
gale force winds.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

Models have come into better agreement for the long-term in terms
of synoptic features, but are still struggling with the finer
details. By Friday afternoon the leading front of a northern
Bering low approaches Southwest Alaska. This front will bring
widespread light showers from the Kuskokwim Delta, to the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley and Greater Bristol Bay region through Saturday
afternoon. This wave is expected to break-up along the Alaska
Range, and not extend into Southcentral. High confidence is had
that a ridge of high pressure will build over the Mainland and
bring warmer temperatures to Southwest. These temperatures may be
moderated by shortwaves that traverse over the ride near the
Kuskokwim Delta/Valley, but the Bristol Bay region and AKPen are
expected to be "warmer". The aforementioned ridge will also aide
in keeping much of the activity out of Southcentral during this
period. Late Saturday evening a North Pacific low will surge
towards the Western/Central Aleutians, bringing widespread light
precipitation and southerly gales from Adak to Unalaska lasting
until Sunday morning. Precipitation associated with this system
will likely be blocked to the east, with only a few showers
possibly reaching the Southwest coastline late Sunday morning.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning: 125
         Winter Weather Advisory: 121 131 141 152 161 171
         High Wind Warning: 171 195
MARINE...Storm Warning: 119 120 131 132 150 155 170 171 178 179 351 352 412 414
         Gale Warning: 125 130 136-139 141 160 165 172-177 180 181 185 411 413
         Heavy Freezing Spray: 127 130 139 414 160 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CJ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
LONG TERM...NS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
1230 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

AKZ101-010900-
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian,
and Eklutna
1230 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

...PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW FOR THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE AND SEWARD
HIGHWAY...

Gusty winds across the Anchorage hillside and along the Seward
Highway corridor along Turnagain Arm will produce brief periods
of blowing snow with the higher wind gusts, which could reduce
visibilities. Please use caution while traveling.

A secondary wave will bring more snow on Wednesday morning, with
moderate uncertainty regarding the location of the heaviest bands.
Additional snowfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected through
Wednesday night, though locally higher amounts are possible,
especially along the Anchorage Hillside. Fluffy, loose snow could
lead to higher snow totals. Forecast snow amounts may change as
this low progresses east. Please check back for the latest
forecast.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
249 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

AKZ101-010900-
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian,
and Eklutna
249 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

...PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW FOR THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE AND SEWARD
HIGHWAY...

Gusty winds across the Anchorage Hillside and along the Seward
Highway corridor along Turnagain Arm will produce brief periods
of blowing snow with the higher wind gusts, which could reduce
visibilities. Driving on dry, fluffy snow could resuspend snow
and reduce visibility as well. Please use caution while traveling.

A secondary wave will bring more snow on Wednesday morning, with
moderate uncertainty regarding the location of the heaviest bands.
Additional snowfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected through
Wednesday night, though locally higher amounts are possible,
especially along the Anchorage Hillside. Fluffy, loose snow could
lead to higher snow totals. Forecast snow amounts may change as
this low progresses east. Please check back for the latest
forecast.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
254 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

AKZ111-145-010900-
Matanuska Valley-Susitna Valley-
Including the cities of Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, Chickaloon,
Talkeetna, and Willow
254 PM AKST Tue Feb 28 2023

...REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO RESUSPENDED SNOW FROM VEHICULAR
TRAFFIC POSSIBLE ALONG AREA ROADWAYS THIS EVENING...

Snow across the Mat-Su Valleys may result in hazardous driving
conditions during the Tuesday evening commute. The dry, fluffy
nature of the snow may result in reduced visibilities along area
roadways due to resuspended snow from vehicular traffic. Motorists
are urged to slow down and use caution.