Gale Warning 583, NWS Anchorage, AK

665 
FZAK51 PAFC 042246
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051215-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front extending across the Southern Gulf moves to the North 
Gulf Coast for Thu afternoon, and dissipates Fri afternoon. 
Several troughs move over the Gulf through Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ710-051215-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ711-051215-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ712-051215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ715-051215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ716-051215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ714-051215-
Resurrection Bay-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming Variable 
wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ724-051215-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-051215-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-051215-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-051215-
Port of Valdez-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-051215-
Valdez Narrows-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-051215-
Valdez Arm-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-051215-
Passage Canal-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-051215-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ731-051215-
Barren Islands East-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ733-051215-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ732-051215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ734-051215-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ736-051215-
Chiniak Bay-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ737-051215-
Marmot Bay-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ738-051215-
Shelikof Strait-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-051215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. 
S of Anchor Point, NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ740-051215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-051215-
Kachemak Bay-
246 PM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
In the outer bay, NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

894 
FZAK51 PAFC 051149
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-060030-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front extending across the southern Gulf moves to the North 
Gulf Coast for Thu afternoon, and dissipates Fri afternoon. 
Several troughs move over the Gulf through Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ710-060030-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ711-060030-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ712-060030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ715-060030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ716-060030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ714-060030-
Resurrection Bay-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming Variable wind
10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ724-060030-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-060030-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-060030-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-060030-
Port of Valdez-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-060030-
Valdez Narrows-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-060030-
Valdez Arm-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-060030-
Passage Canal-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-060030-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19
ft
subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ731-060030-
Barren Islands East-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18
ft
subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ733-060030-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ732-060030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ734-060030-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ736-060030-
Chiniak Bay-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ737-060030-
Marmot Bay-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ738-060030-
Shelikof Strait-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-060030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-060030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-060030-
Kachemak Bay-
349 AM AKDT Thu Oct 5 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
522 PM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2023

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

One shortwave moving over the PWS area has moved east, as another
shortwave moves southeast across the interior, just brushing the
northern portion of the forecast area where light rain showers
have been noted in the Bethel area. A ridge of high pressure
stretched north across the central Aleutians and eastern Bering.
Farther west, a front is pushing north across the western Aleutian
Islands, bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and waves to 20 ft.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue in fairly good agreement on the overall synoptic
pattern. The shortwave over the interior will continue on it's
southeastward trajectory. A low pressure system moving north
toward the eastern Aleutians and the low moving toward the western
Bering is progged to reorient the high pressure ridge to align
west-east across west-central AK by Thursday morning. Medium
range models show the center of the western low roughly over the
far western Aleutian islands with the other just south of Unimak
Island. East of this low, strong southerly winds will usher in a
deep layer of relatively warm, moist air from the eastern
Aleutians eastward across the Gulf, that could persist through
Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist Tuesday and most of the day
Wednesday before clouds roll in at the tail end of the TAF period
as precip approaches from the south. Winds will remain light
northerly.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Thursday night)...

Using latest satellite imagery, clear skies are found over
southcentral Alaska this afternoon. But looking farther south, the
next weather maker can be found.

An area of low pressure will track northward towards southwest
Alaska and the Aleutians. A front associated with the low will
swing towards the southern coast, should reach the coast Wednesday
night. Along the front will be elevated wind speeds, upwards of 25
to 40 kts for marine areas, land areas will see sustained wind
speeds around 10 to 20 mph. Higher wind gusts likely.

This front will also bring precip. While rain is mostly expected,
some snow is possible before the warmer air arrives. Confidence
is high that coastal locations will see rain with this event.
However, there should be enough cold air in place across the
Copper River Basin for at least a couple of inches of snow before
the snow mixes with or changes over to rain Thursday afternoon. A
similar scenario is also possible for the Susitna Valley; however,
there is a higher level of uncertainty as to how much cold air
will be in place at the start of the event. Currently, it looks
like areas around Willow and Skwentna could see some snow before a
changeover to rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3, TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

Predominately dry and cool conditions, with nighttime lows around
freezing for the near-term across the Southwest - the first prominent
bout of colder temperatures into Southwest this Fall. Elsewhere
along the Aleutians, overnight temperatures in the 40s will
prevail. The focus of this discussion will be on the two low
pressure systems affecting the west. The first is currently moving
from west to east bringing light to moderate rainfall and gusty
winds (up to gale-force) over a vast swath of the western
Aleutians and surrounding marine areas. This system will slow and
fizzle by Wednesday morning as the low to the south of the eastern
Aleutians and western AKPen continues to propagate northward.
This system will bring widespread gusty gale-force winds (as far
north as Bristol Bay) and mixed precipitation to the region,
spreading northward across the southwest where cold air is already
in place. Light snow is forecast for interior locations, rain to
coastal areas, and a rain-snow mix is forecast for the area in
between beginning as early as Wednesday night as the system
progresses north. There is a period where freezing rain may be
noted across areas of the Lower Kuskokwim early Thursday through
the afternoon. For now, while confidence in low in this occurring
(3-8% chance of occurrence), have chosen to not add this into the
forecast, but will have to continue to monitor as the forecast
evolves.

Upper level support for this system transitions east Thursday
night and early Friday, with the low quickly losing strength over
the period. Should see it drop south of the AKPen as it fizzles
into the weekend.

Lastly, Shishaldin is still lofting ash, as detected on satellite
imagery. Areas south and west could see trace amounts of ash under
the current pattern. Please see the current Special Weather
Statement for further information.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...

A well developed upper level longwave trough extends across the
Bering into the Gulf of Alaska through Tuesday. Several model
defined embedded surface low centers will transit through and
around the trough on various tracks, bringing unsettled weather
across the region. This pattern is expected to continue through
the end of the forecast period.

Saturday opens with a low centered over the Alaska Peninsula, and
is accompanied by a front spreading precipitation across much of
southern mainland Alaska. Rainfall will be heaviest along the
Eastern Kenai Peninsula Coast all the way over to the Copper River
Delta and Canadian Border with lesser amounts, but possibly mixed
rain and snow inland, and tapering off through Tuesday.

Northeasterly winds drawn from Interior Alaska through the
Kuskokwim Delta will result in gusty offshore winds increasing to
near gale force for Kuskokwim Bay and parts of Bristol Bay and gap
winds off the Alaska Peninsula and Barren Islands for Sunday into
Tuesday. Gusty winds across the Pribilofs to the Aleutians Sunday
through Tuesday. A weak ridge over the Western Bering yields to a
North Pacific low center moving along the Pacific side of the
Western Aleutians for the end of the period.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...NR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...GS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AB
LONG TERM...MK