Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2023

Gale Warning 52, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 14, 2023

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 14, 2023, 4:19 AM AKST. It was in force for 47 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 14, 2023, 4:19 AM AKST (13:19 UTC)
Expired
Jan 16, 2023, 3:36 AM AKST
In force
47 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

544 
FZAK51 PAFC 141319
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150230-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 mb low 100 nm south of Kodiak moves to 60 nm west of Kodiak 
as it dissipates Sat afternoon. A North Pacific low moves to 180
nm southeast of Chignik at 973 mb Sun morning and then moves to 
50 nm east of Pilot Point as it crosses the Alaska Peninsula by 
Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-150230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Near
the coast, NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150230-
Resurrection Bay-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150230-
Prince William Sound-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150230-
Port Valdez-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150230-
Valdez Narrows-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150230-
Valdez Arm-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150230-
Passage Canal-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150230-
Barren Islands East-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150230-
Chiniak Bay-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft in
the morning building to 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150230-
Marmot Bay-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft
in the morning building to 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150230-
Shelikof Strait-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft
building to 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray N of Anchor Point
in the morning. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150230-
Kachemak Bay-
419 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
357 
FZAK51 PAFC 141556 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150415-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 mb low 100 nm south of Kodiak moves to 60 nm west of Kodiak 
as it dissipates Sat afternoon. A North Pacific low moves to 180
nm southeast of Chignik at 973 mb Sun morning and then moves to 
50 nm east of Pilot Point as it crosses the Alaska Peninsula by 
Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-150415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Near
the coast, NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Near the coast, NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable
10 kt.  Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150415-
Resurrection Bay-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150415-
Prince William Sound-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150415-
Port Valdez-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and
rain. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150415-
Valdez Narrows-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150415-
Valdez Arm-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150415-
Passage Canal-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain with snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150415-
Barren Islands East-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.  Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150415-
Chiniak Bay-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft
in the morning building to 9 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150415-
Marmot Bay-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming E wind 30 kt. Seas
5 ft in the morning building to 10 ft. Rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150415-
Shelikof Strait-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 
9 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray N of Anchor
Point in the morning. Snow and rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150415-
Kachemak Bay-
656 AM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
569 
FZAK51 PAFC 150010
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-151330-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A remnant low over Kodiak Island pushes a front northward into 
Prince William Sound this afternoon. A North Pacific low moves to 
60 nm south of Akhiok at 970 mb Sun afternoon and moves to 70 nm 
north of Port Heiden at 976 mb by Mon morning. A new front moves 
northward across the Gulf, reaching Prince William Sound by Sunday
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-151330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-151330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-151330-
Resurrection Bay-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-151330-
Prince William Sound-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-151330-
Port Valdez-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and
rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers and rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-151330-
Valdez Narrows-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-151330-
Valdez Arm-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-151330-
Passage Canal-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-151330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-151330-
Barren Islands East-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-151330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-151330-
Chiniak Bay-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-151330-
Marmot Bay-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-151330-
Shelikof Strait-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-151330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-151330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-151330-
Kachemak Bay-
310 PM AKST Sat Jan 14 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
283 
FZAK51 PAFC 151224
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160100-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 mb 130 nm SW of Akhiok tracks just W of Kodiak Island Sun 
afternoon before rotating into Southwest Alaska Sun night. A North 
Pacific low moves to 150 nm S of Middleton Island at 973 mb Mon 
night.

$$

PKZ119-160100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 5 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160100-
Resurrection Bay-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt early becoming S 10 kt...then
becoming variable less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160100-
Prince William Sound-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160100-
Port Valdez-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160100-
Valdez Narrows-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160100-
Valdez Arm-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160100-
Passage Canal-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160100-
Barren Islands East-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160100-
Chiniak Bay-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160100-
Marmot Bay-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160100-
Shelikof Strait-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160100-
Kachemak Bay-
324 AM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
688 
FZAK51 PAFC 160049
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161330-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 974 mb low 60 nm W of Akhiok moves across the Alaska Peninsula 
Sun afternoon before rotating into Southwest Alaska Sun night. A 
front swings northward, reaching Prince William Sound by Monday 
morning. A N Pacific low moves 160 nm S of Middleton Island at 972
mb Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ119-161330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161330-
Resurrection Bay-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161330-
Prince William Sound-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161330-
Port Valdez-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161330-
Valdez Narrows-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161330-
Valdez Arm-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161330-
Passage Canal-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161330-
Barren Islands East-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt except SE wind 20 kt in the evening
N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161330-
Chiniak Bay-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161330-
Marmot Bay-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161330-
Shelikof Strait-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161330-
Kachemak Bay-
349 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E wind 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
286 
FZAK51 PAFC 161236
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170200-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A broad trough extends over the Gulf of Alaska through Mon 
evening. A 982 mb low skirting the trough 270 nm S of Yakutat 
rotates to 150 nm S of Cordova Tue morning while becoming somewhat
stationary through Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-170200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. W of Middleton Island, E wind 25 kt becoming N 
in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain 
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170200-
Resurrection Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170200-
Prince William Sound-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming N 15 kt. Seas 5 ft in 
the morning subsiding to 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170200-
Port Valdez-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and
rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170200-
Valdez Narrows-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170200-
Valdez Arm-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170200-
Passage Canal-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 kt near
Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170200-
Barren Islands East-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt in the morning becoming NW 15 
kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. S of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 15 kt becoming
SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. South of Dangerous Cape, variable wind less
than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. N of 
Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170200-
Chiniak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170200-
Marmot Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170200-
Shelikof Strait-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming NW 25 kt. Seas 3 ft 
building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free
waters 1 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170200-
Kachemak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 16 2023

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 13, 4:31 PM AKST, 11 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 13, 4:31 PM AKST, 11 hours 48 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
431 PM AKST Fri Jan 13 2023

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A large mature vertically stacked low continues to spin nearly
stationary over the Aleutians and southern Bering Sea. The
remnants of the occluded front and associated gale force winds
and steady precipitation continue to lift northward across the
Bering Sea, with a position today north and west of the Pribilof
Islands. That has left much of the region in a showery regime
with weaker winds. The atmosphere warmed just enough behind the
front that most of the showers are in the form of rain.

Meanwhile, a broad trough if lifting northward out of the northeast
Pacific into the Gulf of Alaska and toward southern Alaska. A
series of weak short-waves and surface lows are making their way
across the Gulf and Kodiak Island, leading to areas of rain along
with areas of small craft advisory level winds for the Kodiak
Island waters. As short-waves cross the Alaska Peninsula into
Bristol Bay, they meet up with opposing flow associated with the
Aleutian low. This is leading to frontogenesis from around Port
Heiden and Nelson Lagoon along the Alaska Peninsula northwestward
off the coast of Southwest Alaska. An area of steady
precipitation, mostly in the form of snow, is forming along this
front. Most of southern Alaska remains quiet for the moment, under
the influence of a west-east oriented short- wave ridge aloft.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

As would be expected, models are struggling with the host of weak
short-waves crossing southern Alaska the next 36 hours or so. This
creates a challenge for the timing and location of precipitation,
especially inland. An added challenge for the western Kenai Peninsula
and Anchorage areas is precipitation type, with marginally warmer
air streaming across the mountains and a chance for localized
areas of freezing rain on Saturday. This will be highly dependent
on track of short-waves and locations where precipitation is
reaching the ground. The next feature of interest is a low moving
out of the central Pacific on Sunday. The 12Z NAM has become a big
outlier in tracking this low eastward south of the Gulf. The
GFS/EC/Canadian and ensemble data all continue to support a track
to south of Kodiak Island Sunday, with a dissipating low backing
northwestward into Bristol Bay Sunday night/Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...A series of weak short-waves will pass overhead on Saturday.
At a minimum this will cause ceilings to lower down to low end
VFR. The likelihood and timing of precipitation is highly
uncertain at this time. Any precipitation that does fall would be
light and mostly in the form of snow, with a slight chance for
freezing rain or freezing sprinkles. The steadier and heavier the
precipitation, the more likely it would fall as all snow. Worst
case scenario, would expect a few hours of MVFR conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Monday)...

Generally benign weather conditions continue across much of
Southcentral with weak flow, ample low level moisture, and areas
of fog in place under a weak upper-level ridge. Widespread fog has
primarily been confined to the valleys of the Copper River Basin
today. An elongated upper trough continues to lift into the Gulf
from the North Pacific. As a result, multiple embedded shortwaves
and surface lows traverse the Gulf and Kodiak Island and maintain
light rain for locations near sea level, snow for higher
elevations, and small craft winds for the Kodiak Island waters. As
the trough lifts northward, it will send a series of upper-level
shortwaves across Southcentral tonight through Sunday.
Precipitation will spread to Prince William Sound and the eastern
Kenai Peninsula earlier on Saturday morning and should begin as
snow before transitioning to rain later that morning/afternoon.
Homer and Seward may experience a brief period of freezing rain
before transitioning to rain. Areas of light precipitation (snow
and periods of freezing rain) are possible for the western Kenai
Peninsula and Anchorage area starting Saturday afternoon, however,
impacts are expected to be minimal. Going into Sunday,
precipitation lingers along the coast while the trough exits to
the north and the next system approaches Kodiak Island from the
North Pacific. Models have continued to struggle with the
evolution of this low and whether or not it will track
northwestward into Bristol Bay by Sunday night into Monday. There
is general consensus, however, for its front to reach Kodiak
Island on Sunday morning and then continue to the north Gulf
coast, maintaining precipitation there through Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Monday)...

Relatively quiet weather will persist over the region for the
next few days. A narrow upper-level ridge is located roughly along
an east-west axis over southern Alaska, running from roughly
Yakutat and Cordova, across Southwest, and over the northern
Bering Sea. Simultaneously, a nearly stationary and large
vertically stacked low continues to meander slowly across the
western Aleutians/Bering. A shortwave associated with the
aforementioned low will track northward across the region and will
bring light snow showers to the Alaska Peninsula tonight, work
its way north into Bristol Bay for Saturday, before finally
reaching the Kuskokwim Delta and Kuskokwim Valley Saturday night
into Sunday. Accumulations from the aforementioned system will be
light. Offshore flow will continue through the forecast period and
increase in response to a North Pacific low tracking across the
Alaska Peninsula. Models are having a hard time resolving the
aforementioned low, which will impact the sensible weather as a
result. Confidence is high that the impacts from this system will
overall be benign, but be sure to check back in with the forecast
for updates as the finer details become resolved.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 3: Tonight
through Monday)...

An unsettled weather pattern will continue across the
Bering/Aleutians as a nearly stationary and large vertically
stacked low continues to meander slowly across the western
Aleutians/Bering, with the center located near Amchitka this
evening. The aforementioned low's occluded front continues to
slowly track northward between the eastern Aleutians and much of
the central/western Bering. A narrow upper-level ridge is located
roughly along an east-west axis over southern Alaska and extends
into the eastern and northern Bering Sea. Areas of gale force
winds associated with the large low located in the northern
Bering will continue to shift north through tonight and be
replaced by areas of small craft winds. This trend of small craft
winds will continue as the aforementioned low slowly tracks across
the Bering. A North Pacific low will track across the Alaska
Peninsula and into the Bristol Bay region early next week. Models
are having a hard time resolving the track and strength of the
aforementioned low, so be sure to check back in with the forecast
as we continue to monitor the potential impacts of this system.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through
Friday)...

The general pattern remains on track, with unsettled weather
expected over Southern Alaska and the Bering Sea. The area to
watch continues to be the North Gulf coast as several lows make a
beeline for this region. Models diverge by Tuesday, so it will be
difficult to dial into forecast specifics for these lows.
However, areas of consensus and overall model trends can give us
an idea of what to expect for next week. For Tuesday, guidance
continues to suggest the development of a surface low near Kodiak
Island. However, forecast confidence has diminished as the GFS
deterministic model and ensemble mean are suggesting that the
surface low remains in the North Pacific, with few appreciable
impacts to Southern Alaska. This is a major departure from the
current Canadian and ECMWF models, and from the model solutions we
saw yesterday. With the low remaining fairly weak, the main
impact for the Canadian/ECMWF solution will likely be light to
moderate snow (with a mix or rain at lower elevations and near
the coasts) for Eastern Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound.
As this system looks to be weaker, there is also the potential
for some precipitation to creep inland.

The next storm to move into the Southern Mainland should arrive
around Thursday and linger through Friday. Timing discrepancies
have diminished since yesterday's model runs, and there is
increasing confidence that this could be an impactful storm. The
main hazards look to be elevated winds along the North Gulf coast
and potentially in Matanuska Valley as a barrier jet develops
along the coast. Heavy precipitation may also be a concern for the
Eastern Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound. For Southwest
Alaska, the current forecast track of the low means that elevated
northerly winds, especially through Alaska Peninsula gaps, may be
the primary hazard. These hazards may shift as models better hone
in on the low track in subsequent runs.

Quieter overall weather is expected for the Bering Sea and
Aleutian Islands. The main story will be a low near the Kamchatka
Peninsula, which will slowly slide southeastward towards the
Western Aleutians and Bering. The track of the low center itself
is subject to uncertainty, but this system looks to be fairly
benign, with small craft winds and snow showers expected.
Northerly flow with the departure of this low will likely lead to
dipping temperatures.

Looking at Friday and beyond, there is increasing confidence for
a change in the storm track. With the jet stream amplifying into
next weekend, we are likely to see a return to stronger, more
impactful systems moving up into Southern Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale 185. Heavy Freezing Spray 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ADI
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
LONG TERM...KC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 13, 3:19 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Jan 14, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Jan 14, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jan 14, 4:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 days
Jan 14, 4:19 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 days
Jan 14, 6:56 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2023Every gale warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.