Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 134, NWS Tucson, AZ

August 9, 2022Cochise County, Graham County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 9, 2022, 6:12 PM MST for Cochise County, Graham County, Arizona. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2022, 6:12 PM MST (01:12 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2022, 7:00 PM MST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2022-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 478 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2022-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
478 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2293 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 9, 3:24 PM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 3:24 PM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
324 PM MST Tue Aug 9 2022

.SYNOPSIS...A favorable flow pattern for daily thunderstorms will
persist through the week as the upper high remains centered near the
Four Corners region. Daytime temperature will remain near seasonable
readings.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Convection is ongoing across SEAZ this afternoon
with some flash flood concerns already. Activity for the next few
hours may have peaked with more isolated showers/storms producing
heavy rain on the edges of the early day activity. However there
is still a weather disturbance that will move through southern AZ
this evening into the overnight with addiotinal convection
expected. Heavy rain and flash flooding remains the main risk, but
a wet microburst or two cannot be ruled out.

This active pattern will continue for the next several days with
robust SE/E flow. Each 24hr period looks to have an IT/Vort
rotating through, which will enhance the convection each
afternoon/night. In this type of pattern, most nights will have
convection going well into the overnight or all night.

The ground remains saturated in many locales, so flash flooding
will continue to be a threat possibly into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 11/00Z. BKN clouds at 7k-10k ft AGL
with BKN-OVC above 15k ft AGL. CIGS may briefly lower to 3k-6k ft
AGL with the TSRA/+TSRA, along with mountain obscurations and
wind gusts to 40+ kts. Otherwise, SFC wind will generally be less
than 12 kts, favoring a NWLY/NLY direction during the afternoon
hours and variable in direction at other times. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...An active monsoon period is expected to continue
through the week, with daily rounds of scattered showers and
thunderstorms. The typical threats of strong gusty winds and heavy
rainfall remain, as well as the potential for precipitation outside
the normal afternoon/evening cycles. Flash flooding will also
remain a concern each day this week. Wind trends are otherwise
light following a diurnal pattern.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for AZZ501>515.

&&

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 9, 4:31 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 4:47 PM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 9, 4:48 PM MST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 9, 4:54 PM MST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 9, 5:39 PM MST, 33 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 9, 6:00 PM MST, 12 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 5:27 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Aug 9, 5:39 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise51 min
Aug 9, 6:00 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise45 min
Aug 9, 6:54 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise51 min
Aug 9, 7:00 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham2 hr
Aug 9, 7:07 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise113 min
Aug 10, 1:15 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima2 hr
Aug 10, 4:23 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC52 min
Aug 10, 4:33 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.