Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Tucson, AZ

361 
WGUS75 KTWC 280256
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
756 PM MST Mon Jun 27 2022

AZC003-280400-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220628T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cochise AZ-
756 PM MST Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING 
FOR CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

At 756 PM MST, The heaviest rainfall had end in the warned area, but 
runoff from the previous downpours will likely continue to flood 
normally dry washes and small creeks in the area.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Dragoon and Texas Canyon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3206 11013 3217 11012 3216 11004 3211 10996
      3200 10992 3192 10995 3196 11010

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JTD

727 
WGUS75 KTWC 280355
FFSTWC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
855 PM MST Mon Jun 27 2022

AZC003-280405-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220628T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cochise AZ-
855 PM MST Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. However, light rain continued to fall over 
the warned area and will off and on for a few more hours. Elevated 
flows in normally dry washes and creeks will likely continue as well 
but the life threatening flash flooding has ended. Please continue 
to heed remaining road closures and avoid any low water crossings, 
especially in the dark.

LAT...LON 3206 11013 3217 11012 3216 11004 3211 10996
      3200 10992 3192 10995 3196 11010

$$

JTD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 PM MST Mon Jun 27 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms will be present each afternoon
and evening this week across southeast Arizona with plenty of
moisture in place. High temperatures will remain near to slightly
below normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Today through this weekend.

Convection has gotten a slower start this afternoon with only the
first showers popping up in that last hour or so. Activity is
still expected to less widespread than we saw yesterday as well as
weaker with more limited instability. Plenty of moisture remains
in place with current RAP analysis indicating PWAT values between
1.2"-1.6" from east to west respectively. This will continue the
threat for some localized areas seeing flooding issues with slow
moving storms or heavier showers as well as limiting the strong
wind threat with storms. The trough which fueled the overnight
showers is lifting to the north as as a ridge shifts inland today
over Nevada. As this transition occurs there could still be
showers triggered overnight across the area into early Tuesday
morning. Heights will continue to rise on Tuesday as the ridge
centers over northern Arizona. This should allow for another
slightly below average day in terms on storm coverage with best
chances across southern and western Pima County and the higher
elevations. A longwave trough will set up off the Pacific coast
Tuesday through late in the week as a shortwave ejects onshore
mid-week. This looks to weaken and split the ridge, opening the
door for continued moisture and wave activity moving up the
western flank of the mid-level ridge. This will continue the
active monsoon period through the week and into the holiday
weekend. If you are planning outdoor activities this weekend,
please stay up to date with the forecast as the weekend draws
closer.

Temps will remain near normal Tuesday and Wednesday with the ridge
in place before dropping back down a few degrees below normal
Thursday onward.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 29/00Z.
Isolated -SHRA/-TSRA will develop from central Pima County eastward
this afternoon into the evening. The best chances will be along the
international border. Some -SHRA may linger through the overnight
hours. Skies will be SCT-BKN 6-10k ft AGL for most of the period.
Outside of showers and storms, winds will be out of the
east/southeast 8-12 kts with some occasional gusts possible.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Monsoon moisture will remain in place over the next
several days keeping RH values above critical thresholds. Showers
and storms will be possible each afternoon across differing portions
of southeast Arizona each day, potentially lingering into the late
night hours some nights. Any storms will carry the threats of
lightning, strong winds gusts, and localized flooding.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Public...Guillet
Aviation...Hardin
Fire Weather....Guillet

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson