Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2022

River Flood Warning 5, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 24, 2022Adair County, Delaware County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Apr 24, 2022, 8:08 AM CDT for Adair County, Delaware County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Apr 25, 2022, 4:49 AM CDT. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 24, 2022, 8:08 AM CDT (13:08 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 25, 2022, 4:49 AM CDT
Expired: Apr 25, 2022, 9:57 PM CDT
In force: 17 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

Counties Adair County, OK, Delaware County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Illinois River (AR OK) near Watts (WTTO2). The gauge peaked at 14.75 ft at Apr 25, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 13 ft
Minor stage: 13 ft
Moderate stage: 17 ft
Major stage: 23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07195500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

068 
WGUS44 KTSA 241308
FLWTSA

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
808 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa OK has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.


OKC001-041-250115-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0005.220425T0949Z-220426T1643Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.220425T0949Z.220425T1800Z.220426T1042Z.NO/
808 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 18.0 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

7 follow-up statements

080 
WGUS84 KTSA 241845
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
145 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.


OKC001-041-250645-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.220425T0949Z-220426T1642Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.220425T0949Z.220425T1800Z.220426T1042Z.NO/
145 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 4.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 18.0 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

618 
WGUS84 KTSA 250113
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
813 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.


OKC001-041-251315-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.220425T0922Z-220426T1645Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.220425T0922Z.220425T1800Z.220426T1045Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. Several cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may be flooded. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 4.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 18.2 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

750 
WGUS84 KTSA 250754
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
254 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair, Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties.

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County.


OKC001-041-252000-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.220425T1323Z-220426T1530Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.220425T1323Z.220425T1800Z.220426T0930Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TOMORROW 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...From this morning to late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 9.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this morning to a crest of 17.0 feet this afternoon. It will
    then fall below flood stage late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

OKC001-021-041-252000-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.220425T2318Z-220426T2112Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.220425T2318Z.220426T0600Z.220426T1512Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO TOMORROW 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River at Chewey.

* WHEN...From this evening to tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset 
  Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast 
  of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east 
  of the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river unsafe for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 5.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 13.6 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487


$$

OKC021-252000-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.220426T0020Z-220427T1350Z/
/TALO2.2.ER.220426T0020Z.220426T1200Z.220427T0750Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Tahlequah.

* WHEN...From this evening to Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs 
  Bridge near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence 
  makes the river too hazardous for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 7.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 14.0 feet tomorrow morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496
      3603 9496


$$

Lacy

297 
WGUS84 KTSA 251346
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair, Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties.

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County.


OKC001-041-260200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220426T1110Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.220425T1426Z.220425T1800Z.220426T0510Z.NO/
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 15.6 feet this afternoon. It
    will then fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

OKC001-021-041-260200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.220426T0240Z-220426T1617Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.220426T0240Z.220426T0600Z.220426T1017Z.NO/
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TOMORROW 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River at Chewey.

* WHEN...From this evening to late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Road access near the river to 
  residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. 
  Water begins to impact 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County 
  line. Floating the river is too hazardous due to strong turbulence.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 12.5 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487


$$

OKC021-260200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.220426T0300Z-220427T1036Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.220426T0300Z.220426T1200Z.220427T0436Z.NO/
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Tahlequah.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging 
  Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs 
  Bridge near Eagles Bluff may be threatened. Extreme turbulence 
  makes the river too hazardous for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 7.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 13.0 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496
      3603 9496


$$

RJS

082 
WGUS84 KTSA 251912
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
212 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County.

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair, Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties.


OKC001-041-260715-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220426T1118Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.220425T1551Z.220426T0000Z.220426T0518Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.3
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

OKC021-260715-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.220426T0150Z-220427T0931Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.220426T0150Z.220426T1200Z.220427T0331Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Tahlequah.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging 
  Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs 
  Bridge near Eagles Bluff may be threatened. Extreme turbulence 
  makes the river too hazardous for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 8.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 13.0 feet tomorrow morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496
      3603 9496


$$

OKC001-021-041-260715-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.220426T0532Z-220426T1312Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.220426T0532Z.220426T0600Z.220426T0712Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TOMORROW 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River at Chewey.

* WHEN...From late tonight to tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Road access near the river to 
  residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. 
  Water begins to impact 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County 
  line. Floating the river is too hazardous due to strong turbulence.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 9.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 12.1 feet just
    after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487


$$

RJS

650 
WGUS84 KTSA 260056
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
756 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County.

  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair, Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties.


OKC001-041-260800-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220426T0758Z/
/WTTO2.N.ER.220425T1551Z.220425T2100Z.220426T0158Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Watts.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to near Fidler's Bend. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  unsafe for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling and remain below flood
    stage.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

OKC021-261300-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.220426T0207Z-220427T0707Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.220426T0207Z.220426T1200Z.220427T0107Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River near Tahlequah.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging 
  Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs 
  Bridge near Eagles Bluff may be threatened. Extreme turbulence 
  makes the river too hazardous for floating.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 12.8 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496
      3603 9496


$$

OKC001-021-041-261200-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.220426T0600Z-220426T1200Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.220426T0600Z.220426T0600Z.220426T0600Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TOMORROW 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Illinois River at Chewey.

* WHEN...From late tonight to tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Road access near the river to 
  residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. 
  Water begins to impact 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County 
  line. Floating the river is too hazardous due to strong turbulence.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487


$$

871 
WGUS84 KTSA 260257
FLSTSA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
957 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties.

OKC001-041-260400-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220426T0257Z/
/WTTO2.N.ER.220425T1551Z.220425T2100Z.220426T0104Z.NO/
957 PM CDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Illinois River near Watts.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall and remain below
    flood stage.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 24, 6:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 24, 6:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
637 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

A couple of semi-organized areas of thunderstorms are ongoing
early this morning that are relevant to eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas: the first being along the cold front situated
just northwest of the forecast area in north central Oklahoma and
southern Kansas and the second associated with the low level jet
aligned just south of I-44. With time, the frontal convection is
expected to become dominant, as a decreasing trend in the
intensity of the more southern area of thunderstorms is already
being observed. However, the ongoing localized moderate to heavy
rains immediately south of I-44 are setting the stage for the
increased flooding threat expected later today and tonight. Given
the above, shower and thunderstorm chances will increase from
northwest to southeast today as the front slowly sinks southward.
While at least scattered showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing
through the day, more robust convection is expected late afternoon
and into the evening as a mid level vort max interacts with the
front. The severe weather threat during this time is low but
nonzero due to the combination of increasing deep layer wind shear
and modest instability. However, the aforementioned flooding
threat is expected to be a larger concern due to the slow movement
of the front, likelihood of training storms, well above normal
precipitable water values and favorable antecedent conditions. The
timing and areal extent of the Flood Watch will be left unchanged,
as will the rainfall amount messaging with widespread 2 to 4 inch
and localized 6 inch totals remaining likely.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

The bulk of the heavy rainfall should end prior to sunrise Monday
morning as the cold front is expected to be south of the area by
then. Low rain chances will persist across far southeast Oklahoma
and western Arkansas into the afternoon, with dry conditions
persisting from Monday evening into Wednesday. Expect below normal
temperatures for a few days in the wake of the cold front, with
frost potential in favored locations of northeast Oklahoma and far
northwest Arkansas Tuesday morning. As has been the case the last
couple of mornings, point-specific adjustments were made to the
NBM low temperature guidance for Tuesday morning to bring
forecast lows closer to traditional MOS guidance values in these
favored locations given good radiational cooling conditions.

Northwest flow aloft builds into the region for the middle to
latter part of the week, bringing warmer temperatures and
increasing shower and thunderstorm chances to much of the area.
For the weekend, a storm system will move through the Plains
leading to even higher shower and thunderstorm chances by Saturday
afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

A cold front will bring deteriorating conditions at most sites
thru the day today, both in lower cigs and lower vsbys in showers
and storms. NE OK sites will see MVFR cigs/vsbys thru late morning
to midday before cigs climb to VFR. The SE OK into NW AR sites
will see the worst conditions, with cigs expected to drop into the
IFR range in cigs and vsbys in more persistent showers and storms.
An improvement possibly all the way back to VFR is possible toward
the very end of the forecast from NW to SE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  46  66  42 /  80  70   0   0
FSM   77  54  70  45 /  60 100  30  10
MLC   72  51  66  45 /  90 100  20  10
BVO   68  44  65  36 /  50  40   0   0
FYV   71  48  65  37 /  80 100  20  10
BYV   73  49  64  42 /  80 100  20  10
MKO   69  49  65  42 /  90  90  10  10
MIO   65  46  63  39 /  80  70   0   0
F10   68  48  65  42 /  90  90  10   0
HHW   79  56  69  47 /  40  90  40  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Monday morning for OKZ049-053-062-063-
     065>076.

AR...Flood Watch through Monday morning for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-
     020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...30

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 24, 4:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
450 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
450 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...FLOOD WATCH SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 TODAY AND TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...South of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...South of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...South of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as a slow-moving cold front sinks into the
region. Additional, more robust development along the front is
expected this afternoon and into the overnight hours, with heavy
rain and flooding being the primary concerns. A Flood Watch
continues through tonight for areas south of Interstate 44, where
widespread 2 to 4 inches of rainfall and isolated amounts to 6
inches are expected. Both flash flooding and flooding of mainstem
rivers will be possible. There is also a limited threat of severe
weather.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential...
         High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing Monday morning in parts of
southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with activity expected
to end by Monday evening. The threat for heavy rain and additional
flooding will end by sunrise Monday, however.

Below normal temperatures and a brief period of dry weather is
expected in the wake of the cold front. A few favored locations in
northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas may see frost
Tuesday morning.

Shower and thunderstorm chances increase again from Wednesday
night and persist into the next weekend due to a return to
southerly winds and a favorable upper level flow pattern. With
gusty south winds prevailing, there may be an uptick in the fire
weather concerns to the northwest of Tulsa late this week,
depending on how fuels respond to the current rains.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 24, 2:08 AM CDT, 6 hours before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
208 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

OKZ060>062-067-240730-
Tulsa OK-Rogers OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-
208 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...Gusty winds from decaying storms will impact portions of
southwestern Rogers, southwestern Mayes, Wagoner and southeastern
Tulsa Counties through 230 AM CDT...

At 207 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong winds just off the
surface on the north side of decaying storms.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tulsa...                          Broken Arrow...
Wagoner...                        Bixby...
Coweta...                         Catoosa...
Chouteau...                       Inola...
Sportsmen Acres Community...      Oneta...
Mazie...                          Leonard...
Murphy...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 235 and 240.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 9519 3621 9575 3591 9590 3591 9532
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 241DEG 32KT 3609 9539 3598 9575

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Special weather statement, Apr 24, 2:24 AM CDT, 5 hours 44 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
224 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

OKZ061-062-067-240800-
Rogers OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-
224 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...Gusty winds from decaying storms will impact portions of south
central Rogers, southwestern Mayes and northwestern Wagoner Counties
through 300 AM CDT...

At 223 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated gusty winds from decaying
storms near Inola, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Coweta...                         Inola...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3596 9548 3601 9570 3623 9562 3622 9536
TIME...MOT...LOC 0723Z 204DEG 10KT 3611 9554

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Special weather statement, Apr 24, 3:06 AM CDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
306 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

OKZ057-062-240830-
Craig OK-Mayes OK-
306 AM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022

...Gusty winds from decaying storms will impact portions of
southeastern Craig and Mayes Counties through 330 AM CDT...

At 304 AM CDT, Doppler radar and Oklahoma Mesonet observations
indicated gusty winds near Pryor. These winds will gradually spread
northeast toward Langley and surrounding areas.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Pryor...                          Pryor Creek...
Chouteau...                       Salina...
Langley...                        Adair...
Ketchum...                        Spavinaw...
Disney...                         Big Cabin...
Pensacola...                      Hoot Owl...
Cherokee State Park...            Spavinaw State Park...
Sportsmen Acres Community...      Strang...
Snowdale State Park...            Disney Little Blue State Park...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 261 and 276.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 9500 3658 9501 3645 9500 3632 9501
      3612 9543 3644 9543 3668 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 0804Z 204DEG 49KT 3635 9524

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 23, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee	53 min
Apr 23, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	49 min
Apr 23, 9:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata, Washington	54 min
Apr 23, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	61 min
Apr 23, 9:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig	40 min
Apr 23, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	44 min
Apr 23, 10:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	45 min
Apr 23, 10:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	44 min
Apr 23, 11:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes, Wagoner	44 min
Apr 24, 12:50 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	25 min
Apr 24, 2:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	22 min
Apr 24, 2:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	36 min
Apr 24, 3:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	24 min
Apr 24, 8:10 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	45 hr
Apr 24, 8:11 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	60 hr
Apr 24, 8:12 AM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	19 hr
Apr 24, 8:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	67 hr
Apr 24, 9:31 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	3 hr
Apr 24, 5:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	50 min
Apr 24, 6:10 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	4 hr
Apr 24, 6:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	42 min
Apr 24, 6:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	53 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2022 Every river flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.