Flood Watch 4, NWS Tulsa, OK

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
445 PM CDT Sun May 1 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
445 PM CDT Sun May 1 2022

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Along and South of Interstate 40.
	ONSET...After Midnight.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will increase from west to east after midnight with
widespread coverage expected by sunrise Monday. Elevated instability
will increase overnight, and isolated severe storms will be
possible. Large hail will be the primary hazard. Additionally,
locally heavy rainfall is possible across parts of southeast
Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
         Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
            Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread thunderstorms will be ongoing Monday morning with a
risk of isolated severe weather. The morning thunderstorms will
gradually end from west to east. Conditions will become increasingly
unstable late Monday afternoon across parts of eastern Oklahoma.
Storms may again develop by late afternoon along a dryline located
through central Oklahoma. If these storms develop they will
likely become severe as they move into northeast Oklahoma and pose
a risk of large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Storm
chances will increase Monday evening as a cold front pushes
south into northeast Oklahoma, and these storms will also pose a
risk of severe weather. The cold front will sweep south Monday
night with a continued risk of severe weather and locally heavy
rainfall.

The active weather pattern continues with the next storm system
increasing thunderstorm chances early Wednesday. Conditions are
likely to become increasingly favorable for severe weather by
Wednesday afternoon and severe weather along with additional heavy
rainfall appears likely Wednesday evening through Wednesday night.
Thunderstorm chances will decrease on Thursday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.