River Flood Warning 12, NWS Topeka, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
239 AM CDT Thu May 26 2022

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 238 AM CDT Thu May 26 2022

Forecast Key Points:

- Rain Ends Today, Fog Possible Tonight

- Warmer Temperatures for the Holiday Weekend

- More Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Next Week

As of 230 AM Thursday morning the slow-moving midlevel low continues
to rotate across eastern KS. The axis of rainfall within the
deformation region has been decreasing in coverage over the past few
hours. This trend will likely continue into the daytime today as dry
midlevel air moves into the region with a passing shortwave trough
across the northern Plains. While, a few scattered showers are
probable through the day, widespread, stratiform rain like the past
couple of days is unlikely. In-fact, clouds are expected to clear
north central KS by mid to late afternoon to all for temperatures to
approach 70 degrees. Far eastern KS will likely see steady
temperatures in the 50s to near 60 most of the day. Transitioning
into tonight, surface ridge slides into the area decreasing clouds
from west to east by midnight with light winds. Recent rainfall
combined with small dew point depressions and light winds should
yield some fog formation towards sunrise Friday morning.

For Friday and beyond, a midlevel shortwave ridge overspreads the
region Friday into the weekend. This will set the stage for warmer
temperatures with afternoon highs reaching the upper 70s/80s Friday
and Saturday. Even warmer temperatures are expected Sunday with
highs around 90. The next chance for rain and thunderstorms arrives
early next week as a deep western midlevel trough slowly advances
into the central Rockies.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Thu May 26 2022

The bulk of the rainfall has moved west of the terminals and
should remain the case through much of the nighttime hours. A few
showers are possible after sunrise through midday, otherwise dry
conditions will prevail. IFR to MVFR CIGS will persist through
much of the day before VFR conditions return by late
afternoon/early evening. Winds will back to the north near 10 kts
for much of the period.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Baerg
AVIATION...Baerg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
242 AM CDT Thu May 26 2022

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-270745-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
242 AM CDT Thu May 26 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
423 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREELEY                 38.37N 95.13W
05/25/2022  E2.50 INCH       ANDERSON           KS   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

JP