Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Great Falls, MT

June 18, 2022Chouteau County, Hill County, Liberty County, Montana

NWS Great Falls, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2022, 3:56 PM MDT for Chouteau County, Hill County, Liberty County, Montana. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2022, 3:56 PM MDT (21:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2022, 4:45 PM MDT
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Great Falls, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
1.5 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Chouteau County, MT, Hill County, MT, Liberty County, MT

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 18, 12:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2022-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2022-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-651 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1196 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 2:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 2:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
200 PM MDT Sat Jun 18 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms will move through North Central MT this
evening, while a steady rain is forecast to develop on Sunday
evening and then continue on Monday over much of Central MT.
Afternoon temperatures will be cool on Monday, but expect near
normal temperatures by mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Monday night...With a strong upper level
disturbance moving northeastward through Central MT this evening,
expect thunderstorms, some severe, to accompany this disturbance.
Thus a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until early this
evening over a good portion of North Central MT. Scattered
showers/thunderstorms continue through Sunday, with the
precipitation becoming more stratiform by Sunday evening. A
widespread rainfall continues to be likely over much of Central MT
from Sunday evening through Monday. The airmass will be cold
enough that snow will be likely in the mountains of Southwest MT.
At this time, most of the snow accumulations will be above 8000
feet, thus no winter highlights are planned for this area at this
time. Afternoon temperatures will be well below normal on Monday.

Tuesday through Saturday...Expect drier and warmer conditions to
develop, as weak upper level ridging develops over Monday. The
chances for precipitation will be decreasing on Tuesday as the
drier/warmer air moves in. At this point, afternoon temperatures
are forecast to be about 5 degrees above normal for a few days
late this week, but it should not be as hot as this past Friday.
Brusda

&&

.AVIATION...
1055 AM MDT Sat Jun 18 2022 (18/18Z TAF period)

VFR conditions are expected, however an area of
showers/thunderstorms will affect much of North Central MT this
afternoon/evening. Some storms will be severe, with the main threat
being gusty winds and large hail. The storms diminish overnight, but
scattered showers will continue through Sunday morning. Brusda

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation weather
and hazard information.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
The main concern with any thunderstorm tonight could produce
isolated areas of heavy rainfall.

For Sunday/Monday...the forecast models continue to prog over 1
inch of rainfall over much of Central MT. At this time, there is
about a 60 percent chance of the rainfall being this heavy over
the Plains, so some adjustments to the amounts/locations are
likely over the next day.

There is a small potential the Battle Creek and Gallatin River
near Logan could go above flood stage by Tuesday, thus a flood
highlight might be needed in the next day or two. Brusda

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  51  68  47  58 /  60  70  60  70
CTB  49  66  47  60 /  60  50  50  80
HLN  56  67  49  58 /  50  80  70  70
BZN  51  70  45  58 /  30  80  80  80
WYS  41  63  36  51 /  30  50  60  80
DLN  47  63  41  54 /  30  80  80  70
HVR  56  73  52  63 /  50  60  60  80
LWT  53  68  46  59 /  60  80  80  80

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 18, 3:18 PM MDT, 38 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 18, 3:21 PM MDT, 35 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 18, 3:22 PM MDT, 34 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 18, 3:24 PM MDT, 32 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 18, 3:41 PM MDT, 15 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 18, 3:44 PM MDT, 12 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Great Falls, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 6:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier27 min
Jun 17, 6:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier, Pondera45 min
Jun 17, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier, Pondera, Toole43 min
Jun 17, 7:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXToole29 min
Jun 17, 9:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXCascade28 min
Jun 18, 1:03 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier27 min
Jun 18, 1:14 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier31 min
Jun 18, 4:17 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier28 min
Jun 18, 4:41 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier34 min
Jun 18, 12:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXTeton33 min
Jun 18, 1:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier30 min
Jun 18, 1:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark48 min
Jun 18, 1:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark47 min
Jun 18, 1:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark36 min
Jun 18, 1:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark, Teton8 min
Jun 18, 2:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTFXCascade, Lewis and Clark, Teton42 min
Jun 18, 2:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXGlacier30 min
Jun 18, 2:21 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXTeton24 min
Jun 18, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier36 min
Jun 18, 2:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXPondera30 min
Jun 18, 2:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTFXCascade, Lewis and Clark, Teton44 min
Jun 18, 2:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera, Teton39 min
Jun 18, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTFXCascade, Chouteau, Teton46 min
Jun 18, 3:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXPondera30 min
Jun 18, 3:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXCascade42 min
Jun 18, 3:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTFXCascade, Chouteau, Pondera, Teton47 min
Jun 18, 3:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXToole31 min
Jun 18, 4:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXToole59 min
Jun 18, 4:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXLiberty32 min
Jun 18, 4:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXHill33 min
Jun 18, 4:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXHill, Liberty31 min
Jun 18, 5:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXHill27 min
Jun 18, 5:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Hill37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.