Alert archive / Montana / Blizzard Warnings in 2022

Blizzard Warning 4, NWS Great Falls, MT

December 21, 2022Beaverhead County, Madison County, Montana

NWS Great Falls, MT issued this blizzard warning at Dec 21, 2022, 9:04 AM MST for Beaverhead County, Madison County, Montana. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2022, 9:04 AM MST (16:04 UTC)
Expired
Dec 21, 2022, 1:00 PM MST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Great Falls, MT

Counties Beaverhead County, MT, Madison County, MT

The radar

The Pocatello radar (KSFX), 236 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 21, 10:45 AM MSTBLIZZARD5 Ssw Twin Bridges, MTBLIZZARD CONDITIONS LIKELY CONTINUING DUE TO PERSISTENT WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH REPORTED FROM SITE MTM56.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 285 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2022-12-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2022-12-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -132 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

174 
WWUS45 KTFX 211604
WSWTFX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

MTZ328-220715-
/O.UPG.KTFX.WW.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KTFX.BZ.W.0004.221221T1604Z-221221T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1900Z-221223T0100Z/
Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-
Including the following locations: Bannack, Glen, Waterloo, and
Dillon
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, blizzard conditions. Additional 
  snow accumulations up to one inch. For the Wind Chill Warning, 
  dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 50 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 3 PM MST this afternoon. 
  For the Wind Chill Warning, from Noon today to 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Plan on slippery 
  road conditions. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. Exposed skin 
  may become quickly frostbitten or frozen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, 
have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with 
your vehicle. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 
5 1 1 or visiting the MDT Road Report website.

&&

$$

MTZ315-319-320-322-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald Pass-Helena Valley-Big Belt,
Bridger and Castle Mountains-Elkhorn and Boulder Mountains-
Including the following locations: Corbin, Lincoln, Flesher Pass,
Helena, Trident, Clancy, MacDonald Pass, Battle Ridge Pass,
Bozeman Pass, Deep Creek Pass, Boulder, Montana City, Wickes,
Maudlow, Homestake Pass, Marysville, and Elk Park Pass
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills. 
  Wind chills as low as 60 below zero. For the Winter Storm Warning, 
  heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains, Elkhorn and 
  Boulder Mountains, Helena Valley and Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald 
  Pass.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, until 6 PM MST Thursday. For 
  the Winter Storm Warning, until 11 AM MST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Blowing snow can 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the Wednesday morning commutes. The dangerously cold wind 
  chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 5 
  minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ316-317-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T1800Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
Gates of the Mountains-Little Belt and Highwood Mountains-
Including the following locations: Wolf Creek, Monarch, Canyon
Creek, Kings Hill Pass, Neihart, and Craig
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills. 
  Wind chills as low as 60 below zero.

* WHERE...Gates of the Mountains and Little Belt and Highwood 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, until 11 AM MST Friday. For the 
  Winter Storm Warning, until 11 AM MST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Blowing snow can 
  significantly reduce visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 5 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia are possible if precautions are not 
  taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ327-330-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1900Z-221223T0100Z/
Northwest Beaverhead County-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains
and Centennial Mountains-
Including the following locations: Big Hole Pass, Wisdom, Big
Sky, Raynolds Pass, Chief Joseph Pass, Targhee Pass, West
Yellowstone, Dewey, and Wise River
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For 
  the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills expected. 
  Wind chills as low as 55 below zero.

* WHERE...Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial 
  Mountains and Northwest Beaverhead County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 11 AM MST this morning. 
  For the Wind Chill Warning, from Noon today to 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will be 
  slick and hazardous. Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten 
  or frozen.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ321-323>326-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WW.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
Meagher County Valleys-Canyon Ferry Area-Missouri Headwaters-
Madison River Valley-Gallatin Valley-
Including the following locations: Winston, Ennis, Cameron,
Whitehall, Townsend, Bozeman, Martinsdale, Toston, Checkerboard,
Gallatin Gateway, Jeffers, White Sulphur Springs, Ringling,
Willow Creek, Pony, Harrison, Three Forks, McAllister, and Norris
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills. 
  Wind chills as low as 55 below zero. For the Winter Weather 
  Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...The Interstate 90 Corridor between Bozeman and Whitehall, 
  Meagher County Valleys, Canyon Ferry Area, and Madison River 
  Valley.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, until 6 PM MST Thursday. For 
  the Winter Weather Advisory, until 11 AM MST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Blowing snow can 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin 
  in as little as 5 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ329-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1900Z-221223T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WW.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains-
Including the following locations: Monida Pass
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For 
  the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills expected. 
  Wind chills as low as 55 below zero.

* WHERE...Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 11 AM MST this 
  morning. For the Wind Chill Warning, from Noon today to 6 PM MST 
  Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Blowing snow can 
  significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin 
  in as little as 5 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills will be coldest Wednesday night 
  through early Thursday afternoon.

$$

MTZ301>314-318-220715-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T1800Z/
East Glacier Park Region-Northern High Plains-Eastern Glacier,
Western Toole, and Central Pondera-Eastern Toole and Liberty-Hill
County-Northern Blaine County-Southern Rocky Mountain Front-
Southern High Plains-Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Western
and Central Chouteau County-Bears Paw Mountains and Southern
Blaine-Cascade County below 5000ft-Judith Basin County and Judith
Gap-Fergus County below 4500ft-Snowy and Judith Mountains-
Including the following locations: Choteau, Chinook, Browning,
Kiowa, Fort Belknap, Joplin, Chester, Santa Rita, Galata, Conrad,
Raynesford, Havre, Hogeland, Rocky Boy, Benchland, Harlem,
Dupuyer, Carter, Hobson, Windham, Floweree, Stanford, Moccasin,
Great Falls, Cut Bank, Geyser, Shelby, Bynum, Ledger, East
Glacier Park, Hilger, Brady, Fort Benton, Marias Pass, Heart
Butte, Rogers Pass, Ethridge, Pendroy, Whitlash, Lothair, Devon,
Babb, Saint Mary, Zurich, Logan Pass, and Lewistown
904 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 55 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of central and north central Montana.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Blowing snow can 
  significantly reduce visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 5 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia are possible if precautions are not 
  taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$
2 follow-up statements
888 
WWUS45 KTFX 211748
WSWTFX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

MTZ327-330-220900-
/O.EXP.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1800Z-221223T0100Z/
Northwest Beaverhead County-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains
and Centennial Mountains-
Including the following locations: Big Hole Pass, Wisdom, Big
Sky, Raynolds Pass, Chief Joseph Pass, Targhee Pass, West
Yellowstone, Dewey, and Wise River
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low 
  as 55 below zero.

* WHERE...Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial 
  Mountains and Northwest Beaverhead County.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ315-319-320-322-220900-
/O.EXP.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald Pass-Helena Valley-Big Belt,
Bridger and Castle Mountains-Elkhorn and Boulder Mountains-
Including the following locations: Corbin, Lincoln, Flesher Pass,
Helena, Trident, Clancy, MacDonald Pass, Battle Ridge Pass,
Bozeman Pass, Deep Creek Pass, Boulder, Montana City, Wickes,
Maudlow, Homestake Pass, Marysville, and Elk Park Pass
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 60 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains, Elkhorn and 
  Boulder Mountains, Helena Valley and Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald 
  Pass.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ316-317-220900-
/O.EXP.KTFX.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T1800Z/
Gates of the Mountains-Little Belt and Highwood Mountains-
Including the following locations: Wolf Creek, Monarch, Canyon
Creek, Kings Hill Pass, Neihart, and Craig
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 60 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Gates of the Mountains and Little Belt and Highwood 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ329-220900-
/O.EXP.KTFX.WW.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1800Z-221223T0100Z/
Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains-
Including the following locations: Monida Pass
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low 
  as 55 below zero.

* WHERE...Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

$$

MTZ321-323>326-220900-
/O.EXP.KTFX.WW.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-221221T1800Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
Meagher County Valleys-Canyon Ferry Area-Missouri Headwaters-
Madison River Valley-Gallatin Valley-
Including the following locations: Winston, Ennis, Cameron,
Whitehall, Townsend, Bozeman, Martinsdale, Toston, Checkerboard,
Gallatin Gateway, Jeffers, White Sulphur Springs, Ringling,
Willow Creek, Pony, Harrison, Three Forks, McAllister, and Norris
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 60 
  below zero.

* WHERE...The Interstate 90 Corridor between Bozeman and Whitehall, 
  Meagher County Valleys, Canyon Ferry Area, and Madison River 
  Valley.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ328-220900-
/O.EXT.KTFX.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-221221T2000Z/
/O.EXT.KTFX.WC.W.0003.221221T1800Z-221223T0100Z/
Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-
Including the following locations: Bannack, Glen, Waterloo, and
Dillon
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, ground blizzard conditions due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously 
  cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 55 below zero.

* WHERE...Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 1 PM MST this afternoon. 
  For the Wind Chill Warning, until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Localized whiteout conditions are expected in blowing 
  and drifting snow. Severe driving conditions are occurring on 
  sections of highways 41 and 287. Roads remain snow covered and 
  icy. Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, 
have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with 
your vehicle. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 
5 1 1 or visiting the MDT Road Report website.

&&

$$

MTZ301>314-318-220900-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T1800Z/
East Glacier Park Region-Northern High Plains-Eastern Glacier,
Western Toole, and Central Pondera-Eastern Toole and Liberty-Hill
County-Northern Blaine County-Southern Rocky Mountain Front-
Southern High Plains-Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Western
and Central Chouteau County-Bears Paw Mountains and Southern
Blaine-Cascade County below 5000ft-Judith Basin County and Judith
Gap-Fergus County below 4500ft-Snowy and Judith Mountains-
Including the following locations: Choteau, Chinook, Browning,
Kiowa, Fort Belknap, Joplin, Chester, Santa Rita, Galata, Conrad,
Raynesford, Havre, Hogeland, Rocky Boy, Benchland, Harlem,
Dupuyer, Carter, Hobson, Windham, Floweree, Stanford, Moccasin,
Great Falls, Cut Bank, Geyser, Shelby, Bynum, Ledger, East
Glacier Park, Hilger, Brady, Fort Benton, Marias Pass, Heart
Butte, Rogers Pass, Ethridge, Pendroy, Whitlash, Lothair, Devon,
Babb, Saint Mary, Zurich, Logan Pass, and Lewistown
1048 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 60 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of central and north central Montana.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near record cold daytime maximum and 
  overnight minimum temperatures are likely today through Thursday. 
  Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below zero expected tonight 
  with isolated colder readings possible.

$$
648 
WWUS45 KTFX 212006
WSWTFX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
106 PM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

MTZ328-221115-
/O.EXP.KTFX.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-221221T2000Z/
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-
Including the following locations: Bannack, Glen, Waterloo, and
Dillon
106 PM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 50 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below 
  zero expected tonight with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ301>314-316>318-221115-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T1800Z/
East Glacier Park Region-Northern High Plains-Eastern Glacier,
Western Toole, and Central Pondera-Eastern Toole and Liberty-Hill
County-Northern Blaine County-Southern Rocky Mountain Front-
Southern High Plains-Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Western
and Central Chouteau County-Bears Paw Mountains and Southern
Blaine-Cascade County below 5000ft-Judith Basin County and Judith
Gap-Fergus County below 4500ft-Gates of the Mountains-Little Belt
and Highwood Mountains-Snowy and Judith Mountains-
Including the following locations: Choteau, Monarch, Chinook,
Browning, Kiowa, Fort Belknap, Joplin, Chester, Santa Rita,
Galata, Conrad, Neihart, Craig, Raynesford, Havre, Hogeland,
Rocky Boy, Benchland, Harlem, Dupuyer, Carter, Hobson, Windham,
Floweree, Stanford, Moccasin, Great Falls, Cut Bank, Geyser,
Shelby, Bynum, Ledger, East Glacier Park, Hilger, Brady, Wolf
Creek, Fort Benton, Canyon Creek, Marias Pass, Heart Butte,
Rogers Pass, Kings Hill Pass, Ethridge, Pendroy, Whitlash,
Lothair, Devon, Babb, Saint Mary, Zurich, Logan Pass, and
Lewistown
106 PM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 55 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of central and north central Montana.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM MST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below 
  zero expected tonight with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ315-319>326-221115-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald Pass-Helena Valley-Big Belt,
Bridger and Castle Mountains-Meagher County Valleys-Elkhorn and
Boulder Mountains-Canyon Ferry Area-Missouri Headwaters-Madison
River Valley-Gallatin Valley-
Including the following locations: Helena, Trident, Jeffers,
White Sulphur Springs, Deep Creek Pass, Wickes, Willow Creek,
Homestake Pass, Elk Park Pass, Winston, Ennis, Lincoln, Cameron,
Martinsdale, Checkerboard, Montana City, Maudlow, Flesher Pass,
Whitehall, Townsend, Bozeman, Boulder, McAllister, Harrison,
Three Forks, Norris, Marysville, Corbin, Clancy, Toston,
MacDonald Pass, Gallatin Gateway, Bozeman Pass, Ringling, Pony,
and Battle Ridge Pass
106 PM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 55 
  below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of central and southwest Montana.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below 
  zero expected tonight with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

MTZ327-329-330-221115-
/O.CON.KTFX.WC.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221223T0100Z/
Northwest Beaverhead County-Ruby Mountains and Southern
Beaverhead Mountains-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and
Centennial Mountains-
Including the following locations: Big Hole Pass, Wisdom, Big
Sky, Raynolds Pass, Chief Joseph Pass, Monida Pass, Targhee Pass,
West Yellowstone, Dewey, and Wise River
106 PM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 55 
  below zero.

* WHERE...The Mountains of Southwestern Montana south of Interstate 
  90.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Exposed skin may become quickly frostbitten or frozen. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minimum temperatures of 30 below to 40 below 
  zero expected tonight with isolated colder readings possible.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Dec 21, 4:20 AM MST, 4 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 4:20 AM MST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
420 AM MST Wed Dec 21 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A period of gusty north winds and snow follow the passage of an
Arctic cold front through Southwest Montana early this morning
with snow ending for most areas by late this morning. Near record
cold daytime and overnight temperatures are expected today and
tonight with dangerously cold wind chills. By Friday, warmer
temperatures are expected, with mild temperatures by Christmas Day
along with the return of strong winds.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Arctic frontal boundary is surging south through SW MT early this
morning, recently having moved south of I90 by 3am where many
locations are seeing temperature drops of 20 degrees or more in less
than 15 minutes. The onset of snow and gusty north winds will follow
the frontal passage through SW MT this morning, likely reaching the
Dillon, Ennis and Big Sky by 5am and continuing to the ID border
by 9am. Snow has ended across much of north-central MT while
winter weather highlights for snow continue through this morning
for much of SW MT with snow likely diminishing by 6am along and
north of I90 and ending by 9am.

A strong surface high pressure ridge and associated Arctic airmass
will continue to slide south along the Canadian Rockies into the
area today and tonight. Surface pressure should peak over west-
central MT Thursday morning around 1060mb, which will be near the
highest observed in the area (1062 mb at GTF 1983/1962 is the
record). More importantly, this will be related to the coldest
surface temperatures across the region with daytime temperatures
today likely to remain steady across north-central MT today and fall
through the day across SW MT. Record cold maximum temperatures
around -15F to -20F are likely for many locations today with daily
minimum temperature records likely to be broken at several locations
tonight as temps fall to 30 below zero or lower across most of the
area. Minimum temperatures of -40 or colder are certainly
attainable Thursday morning in some locations where skies clear
with light winds. Potential for these optimal conditions is best
across west-central into northern portions of SW MT with some of the
usually colder higher elevation valleys potentially seeing even
colder minimum temps to near -50F.

Wind chills will remain dangerously low today through tonight with
steady north winds producing readings of -40 to -55 with some
isolated higher elevation locations seeing even lower values.
Lighter winds and slowly moderating temperatures Thursday and
Friday will improve wind chills some though the hazardous
cold/wind chill conditions are likely to persist until more
significant warming spreads east across the area late Friday
though Saturday morning.

Milder conditions developing this weekend will be accompanied by
increasing west to southwest winds, which will bring another set of
hazards with blowing and drifting snow, especially early in the
transition Friday into early Saturday while the snowpack is still
loose. Potential for strong winds in excess of 55mph will increase
Saturday though Monday, initially along the Rocky Mtn Front and
across additional portions of north-central MT Sunday and Monday.
Another hazard that will continue to be monitored related to the
warming temperatures will be the increased risk for ice jams on
rivers going into early next week. Hoenisch

&&

.AVIATION...
1050 PM MST Tue Dec 20 2022 (21/06Z TAF period)

At 06z, light snow continues over North Central MT, with a band of
moderate/heavy snowfall moving southward through Southwest MT. This
band of snow will move into the Bozeman area around 08z. Snow
diminishes over the morning over North Central MT and in the late
morning/afternoon over Southwest MT. Very cold temps/and record
surface high pressure possible Wednesday. Mountains/passes will be
obscured through Wed morning, before some clearing Wed afternoon.
Brusda

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF -20 -35 -14 -25 /  10   0   0   0
CTB -21 -37 -15 -28 /   0   0   0   0
HLN -15 -39 -13 -25 /  30   0   0   0
BZN  -6 -42 -18 -30 /  80   0   0  10
WYS  19 -38  -3 -24 /  80   0   0  10
DLN  11 -29 -10 -16 /  40   0   0  10
HVR -17 -34 -18 -37 /   0   0   0   0
LWT -20 -33 -15 -26 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Warning until 11 AM MST Friday for Bears Paw
Mountains and Southern Blaine-Cascade County below 5000ft-East
Glacier Park Region-Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central
Pondera-Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Eastern Toole and
Liberty-Fergus County below 4500ft-Gates of the Mountains-Hill
County-Judith Basin County and Judith Gap-Little Belt and
Highwood Mountains-Northern Blaine County-Northern High Plains-
Snowy and Judith Mountains-Southern High Plains-Southern Rocky
Mountain Front-Western and Central Chouteau County.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM MST this morning for Big Belt,
Bridger and Castle Mountains-Elkhorn and Boulder Mountains-
Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial Mountains-
Gates of the Mountains-Helena Valley-Little Belt and Highwood
Mountains-Northwest Beaverhead County-Upper Blackfoot and
MacDonald Pass.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning for
Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-Canyon Ferry Area-
Gallatin Valley-Madison River Valley-Meagher County Valleys-
Missouri Headwaters-Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead
Mountains.

Wind Chill Warning until 6 PM MST Thursday for Big Belt, Bridger
and Castle Mountains-Canyon Ferry Area-Elkhorn and Boulder
Mountains-Gallatin Valley-Helena Valley-Madison River Valley-
Meagher County Valleys-Missouri Headwaters-Upper Blackfoot and
MacDonald Pass.

Wind Chill Warning from noon today to 6 PM MST Thursday for
Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-Gallatin and Madison
County Mountains and Centennial Mountains-Northwest Beaverhead
County-Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 21, 5:39 AM MST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
539 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE TWIN BRIDGES      45.54N 112.30W
12/21/2022  M62 MPH          MADISON            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION KRVF RUBY VALLEY FIELD
            AIRPORT.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 21, 5:48 AM MST, 3 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
548 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  27 N HAVRE              48.93N 109.62W
12/21/2022  M-64 F           HILL               MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW0217 HAVRE.

0530 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  6 NE WHITLASH           48.98N 111.16W
12/21/2022  M-61 F           LIBERTY            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW9565 WHITLASH.

0517 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  11 SSW WHITLASH         48.75N 111.30W
12/21/2022  M-60 F           TOOLE              MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION GW0659 GRASSY BUTTE 2SE.

0520 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  6 NNW SUNBURST          48.96N 111.94W
12/21/2022  M-59 F           TOOLE              MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTSWT SWEETGRASS (MT DOT).

0527 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  20 E WHITLASH           48.94N 110.82W
12/21/2022  M-59 F           LIBERTY            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION GW0637 BEARS DEN 9 ENE.

0526 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  13 S MARYSVILLE         46.56N 112.31W
12/21/2022  M-58 F           LEWIS AND CLARK    MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTMDP MACDONALD PASS (MT
            DOT).

0527 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  3 SW CUT BANK           48.60N 112.37W
12/21/2022  M-58 F           GLACIER            MT   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KCTB CUT BANK AIRPORT.

0527 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  2 SE WICKES             46.32N 112.07W
12/21/2022  M-57 F           JEFFERSON          MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTBOU BOULDER HILL (MT DOT).

0540 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  6 ENE KREMLIN           48.59N 109.95W
12/21/2022  M-54 F           HILL               MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DVI02964 HAVRE.

0527 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  4 NNE MCALLISTER        45.50N 111.70W
12/21/2022  M-52 F           MADISON            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTNOR NORRIS HILL (MT DOT).

&&
Local storm report, Dec 21, 6:35 AM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
635 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 AM     SNOW             1 E EAST HELENA         46.59N 111.89W
12/21/2022  E3.0 INCH        LEWIS AND CLARK    MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED ABOUT 3 INCHES OF
            NEW SNOWFALL.

&&

PIERCE
Local storm report, Dec 21, 6:54 AM MST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
654 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  1 NW CHINOOK            48.60N 109.25W
12/21/2022  M-52 F           BLAINE             MT   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KS71 CHINOOK APT.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 21, 8:11 AM MST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
811 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HEAVY SNOW       1 SE MONTANA CITY       46.52N 111.91W
12/21/2022  M5.0 INCH        JEFFERSON          MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE OF
            -22F.

&&

ML
Local storm report, Dec 21, 8:13 AM MST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
813 AM MST WED DEC 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 AM     SNOW             6 NE CRAIG              47.14N 111.89W
12/21/2022  M3.9 INCH        CASCADE            MT   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

ML

Nearby

Blizzard Warnings in Montana, 2022Every blizzard warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.