Tornado Warning 73, NWS Tallahassee, FL

820 
WWUS52 KTAE 150227
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
927 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

FLC037-077-150237-
/O.CAN.KTAE.TO.W.0073.000000T0000Z-221215T0245Z/
Liberty FL-Franklin FL-
927 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY AND NORTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EST for Big Bend of
Florida.

LAT...LON 3001 8453 3000 8454 3002 8456 3002 8457
      3004 8460 3005 8460 3006 8462 3024 8444
      3006 8429 3000 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 233DEG 27KT 3006 8451 

$$

FLC129-150245-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0073.000000T0000Z-221215T0245Z/
Wakulla FL-
927 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
WAKULLA COUNTY...
    
At 927 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 12 miles southwest of Crawfordville, moving northeast at
30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Crawfordville around 955 PM EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Shell
Point, Medart, Buckhorn, Arran, Spring Creek, Sopchoppy, Sanborn,
Curtis Mill, Tully and Panacea.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3001 8453 3000 8454 3002 8456 3002 8457
      3004 8460 3005 8460 3006 8462 3024 8444
      3006 8429 3000 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 233DEG 27KT 3006 8451 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Haner

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
851 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...New NEAR TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 846 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

Ongoing scattered showers and thunderstorms, some severe, will
continue through the next few hours. The main line of storms is
expected to reach the western counties of the CWA beginning around
9pm CT and march east through the night into tomorrow morning.
Strong wind gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns. A
Tornado Watch is currently in effect through 2am ET. Be sure to
have multiple ways to receive warnings, especially while you're
sleeping tonight!

The QLCS will begin to gradually weaken as upper level support
moves off to the north and the stable layer near the surface
strengthens with eastern extent. The QLCS is expected to move out
of the CWA by the late morning, ushering in clear and dry
conditions as high pressure builds in its wake. High temperatures
are expected to range from the low 60s to low 70s and overnight
lows will drop into the low 40s as a dry, cold continental airmass
envelops the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 358 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

In the wake of the strong cold frontal passage on Thursday, a much
cooler and drier air mass is in store for Thursday Night. Lows
away the coast will range from the mid-30s to mid-40s. A continued
dry air mass through Friday Night as high pressure gradually
builds in. High temperatures on Friday mostly in the 60s, which is
near average, falling back to the mid-30s to mid-40s Friday
Night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 358 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

From this weekend into the middle of next week, we'll be watching
a couple southern stream systems lead to the development of waves
of low pressure in the gulf. The first opportunity for showers is
Saturday and Saturday Night, with the highest chances south of a
Valdosta to Panama City line. The next chance of precip looks to
be Monday Night thru Tuesday Night, and may be more significant.
Overall, with low tracks expected to remain south of the area, we
kept thunder out of the forecast, as instability is lacking attm.
The bigger story may be highs only reaching the 50s this weekend
into early next week, and combined with the aforementioned clouds/
precip, would make it feel raw at times. The precip timing as well
as temps will be fine tuned, as there is uncertainty. For example,
temps have the potential to run warmer than currently forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

Showers and thunderstorms, some severe, are making their way into
our CWA this evening. Scattered thunderstorms will continue
through this evening. TLH and VLD may experience LLWS before the
squall line between 02z and 05z. The main line of storms, some of
which will be severe with strong wind gusts and a few tornadoes,
is expected to arrive at our western terminals between 05-08z. The
squall line will travel east through the overnight and morning
hours and should begin clearing out of the region around 14z with
some lingering showers behind. During the storms, expect IFR cigs
and low vsbys during the heavier rains. Following the rains, the
winds will shift to the northwest due to the frontal passage. The
winds may still be gusting up to 20kts into the afternoon. Cigs
will begin to lift late in the morning and we can expect clear
skies by 12z Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 837 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

A strong cold front will move across the coastal waters tonight
into Thursday. Preceding this front, winds will increase ahead of
a fast moving line of severe thunderstorms, which will sweep
across the waters from west to east late this evening into
Thursday morning. These storms will be capable of producing
waterspouts and gusty winds. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect
thru Thursday. In addition, brief gale force wind gusts are
possible mainly west of the Ochlocknee River, well ahead of the
line of severe thunderstorms. Looking ahead, more tranquil
conditions will return on Friday into Saturday. North to northeast
winds will increase to around 20 knots on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 358 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

A cold front will bring storms to the area tonight with a
wetting rain to much of the region. Past this, a cold and dry
continental airmass will fill in which will raise the fire ceiling
and drop RH values to near critical values through the period. No
fire weather concerns are expected at this point in time.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 358 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall tonight into
Thursday morning mainly west of an Albany to Tallahassee line. As
a squall line tracks across the tri-state region during this time
frame, localized rainfall amounts of 1 to perhaps 2 inches are
possible. Given the dry antecedent conditions, main concern is
ponding of water in low-lying/urban areas leading to minor
flooding. Looking ahead, next chance of any meaningful rainfall is
Monday Night into Tuesday Night, the bulk of which looks to
remain south of I-10 attm.

&&

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
severe weather conditions and/or damage (while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or
tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   60  68  42  64 / 100  50   0   0
Panama City   56  64  45  64 / 100  10   0   0
Dothan        52  61  38  60 / 100  10   0   0
Albany        57  64  39  61 / 100  30   0   0
Valdosta      61  68  40  63 /  90  70   0   0
Cross City    66  73  44  67 /  70  90   0   0
Apalachicola  61  68  45  65 / 100  30   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112-
     114-115.

     High Surf Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for FLZ108-112-114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for GMZ730-750-752-
     755-765-770-772-775.

&&

NEAR TERM...Montgomery/Worster
SHORT TERM...Franck
LONG TERM....Franck
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...Franck
FIRE WEATHER...Worster
HYDROLOGY...Franck

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
457 PM EST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     WATER SPOUT      2 SW WEST PANAMA CITY   30.16N 85.83W
12/14/2022                   GMZ750             FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE PICTURES AND VIDEOS ON SOCIAL MEDIA
            AND IN BROADCAST MEDIA OF A PAIR OF
            WATERSPOUTS A COUPLE MILES OFF THE SHORE OF
            PANAMA CITY BEACH.

&&

AH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
645 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

FLZ010-011-150115-
Jackson FL-Washington FL-
645 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Jackson
and northeastern Washington Counties through 715 PM CST...

At 645 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Chipley, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Marianna, Malone, Cottondale, Greenwood, Alford, Campbellton, Bascom,
Richter Crossroads, Jacob City, Kynesville, Steele City, Cottondale
Airport, Jacobs, Bahoma, Ellaville and Sills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for southeastern
Alabama...and the Panhandle of Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8538 3100 8507 3097 8503 3069 8537
      3080 8553
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 222DEG 22KT 3081 8540

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Haner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
803 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

ALZ069-FLZ011-GAZ142-150130-
Houston AL-Jackson FL-Early GA-
803 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Houston,
north central Jackson and southwestern Early Counties through 830 PM
EST/730 PM CST/...

At 803 PM EST/703 PM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Cottonwood, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cottonwood, Ashford, Columbia, Malone, Greenwood, Gordon, Jakin,
Bascom, Saffold, Pansey, Crosby, Grangeburg, Howards Mill, Lovetown,
Sealy Springs, Killarney, Chattahoochee SP, Lucy, Farley Nuclear
Plant and Cedar Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EST/100 AM CST/ for
southeastern Alabama...the Panhandle of Florida...and southwestern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3117 8492 3110 8492 3107 8495 3107 8503
      3105 8501 3102 8501 3085 8519 3099 8538
      3131 8514 3131 8511
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 220DEG 26KT 3099 8523

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Haner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
845 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

GAZ142-143-155-150215-
Miller GA-Seminole GA-Early GA-
845 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Miller,
southern Early and northwestern Seminole Counties through 915 PM
EST...

At 845 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northwest of Donalsonville, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Colquitt, Blakely, Centerville, Jakin, Saffold, Howards Mill, Mayhaw,
Cuba, Killarney, Enterprise, Harmony Church Rd/hwy 45, Cedar Springs,
Jeterville and Hentown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EST for southeastern
Alabama...and southwestern Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3122 8467 3101 8499 3102 8501 3105 8501
      3107 8503 3111 8503 3112 8506 3114 8506
      3116 8508 3138 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 219DEG 28KT 3111 8499

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Haner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
801 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

FLZ008-108-150245-
Central Walton FL-South Walton FL-
801 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Walton
County through 845 PM CST...

At 801 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Santa Rosa Beach, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Santa Rosa Beach, De Funiak Springs, Eglin Air Force Base, Freeport,
Douglass Crossroad, Portland, Villa Tasso, Rock Hill, Miramar Beach,
Eucheeanna, Pleasant Ridge, Gulf Pines, New Home, Knox Hill,
Sandestin and Four Mile Village.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for the Panhandle
of Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 3040 8639 3038 8633 3045 8631 3047 8631
      3048 8632 3046 8639 3071 8639 3070 8590
      3043 8614 3044 8616 3048 8614 3045 8619
      3042 8622 3039 8617 3027 8627 3029 8632
      3034 8640
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 216DEG 36KT 3039 8631

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

55-SCHOLL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
911 PM EST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 PM     TORNADO          5 WSW TWIN POLE         30.07N 84.92W
12/14/2022                   LIBERTY            FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TDS LOCATED IN LIBERTY COUNTY.

0856 PM     TORNADO          5 NNW YENT PLACE        29.93N 84.73W
12/14/2022                   FRANKLIN           FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TDS LOCATED IN FRANKLIN COUNTY.

&&