Flash Flood Warning 38, NWS Tallahassee, FL

055 
WGUS72 KTAE 252315
FFSTAE

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
715 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLC067-252325-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-220826T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lafayette FL-
715 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EASTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 2994 8311 3000 8313 3004 8302 3003 8301
      3001 8300 3001 8298 2999 8296 2997 8296

$$

EB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
539 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

.NEAR TERM [Through Friday]...

Showers and thunderstorms are currently ongoing along our eastern
half where the overcast had cleared out earlier. Convection is
expected to persist along the Florida Big and SW Georgia through
this evening where instability is the greatest. After sunset a lull
in activity is expected overnight before convection fires up over
our Gulf waters tomorrow morning followed by a rinse and repeat day
tomorrow afternoon. Expect overnight lows in the low to mid 70s with
daytime highs in the mid to upper 80s.

.SHORT TERM [Friday Night Through Saturday Night]...

Upper level ridging starts to build into the region; however, we
will not be rain free. This will return us to our summer like
pattern of diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms along the
sea breeze. High temperatures should make into the upper 80s,
while overnight lows remain warm and in the low 70s

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

The upper-level ridging to our north will not be drying us out.
Showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast in a typical
summertime diurnal cycle for the long term. PWAT values will
continue the potential for heavy downpours that could lead to flash
flooding with any shower or thunderstorm. PoPs for the long term
range from 50-70% during the afternoons. Temperatures for the long
term will be in the upper 80s to low 90s for the Highs and the Lows
will be in the low 70s.

There are some global ensemble members and deterministic models
indicating the potential for a tropical disturbance/feature to reach
the western Caribbean by the end of the long term. As it currently
stands, the ridging that develops to our north should help deflect
any approaching disturbance to our west into the western Gulf of
Mexico, should anything materialize. That being said, since we are
approaching the climatological peak of the season it is recommended
to remain prepared as we continue to monitor the tropics.

Now would be a good time to look over your hurricane preparedness
kits, be sure to check out www.weather.gov/safety/hurricane-plan for
valuable planning resources.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Friday]

Low cigs are currently present across the region with vicinity
showers and thunderstorms. This will continue into the evening with
increasing cigs after sunset. Patchy fog may be possible tomorrow
morning impacting all terminals except ECP a few hours before
sunrise with cigs increasing a few hours after sunrise.

&&

.MARINE...

Light to gentle breezes and seas around 1 foot are expected through
the forecast period. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
day, which may produce frequent lightning, waterspouts, heavy rain,
erratic winds, and elevated seas. &&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Above average rain chances will continue for the next several days.
This, along with recent wetting rains, will keep fire weather
concerns to a minimum. The exception is afternoon low dispersions
which will continue into this weekend.&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day, bringing
renewed chances for localized flash flooding. Poor drainage, urban,
and low lying areas will have the best chances, in addition areas
that have already had heavy rain. Riverine flooding is not expected
over the next 7 days.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   73  88  72  89  73 /  30  70  30  70  30
Panama City   74  86  74  88  75 /  50  60  30  70  30
Dothan        71  84  72  87  71 /  40  70  20  70  20
Albany        73  86  72  87  73 /  40  60  20  70  20
Valdosta      72  88  72  89  72 /  50  70  30  70  30
Cross City    73  89  73  90  73 /  50  70  40  80  40
Apalachicola  75  86  75  87  75 /  30  70  40  60  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Oliver
SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM...Montgomery
AVIATION...Oliver
MARINE...KR
FIRE WEATHER...Oliver
HYDROLOGY...KR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
425 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ018-019-252200-
Inland Jefferson FL-Madison FL-
425 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Jefferson
and southwestern Madison Counties through 600 PM EDT...

At 424 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southeast of Monticello, moving northwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Minor flooding due to heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flood impacts including roadway ponding are expected.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Moseley Hall, Ebb, Lamont, Aucilla, Eridu and Sirmans.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8360 3030 8375 3042 8392 3054 8371
      3037 8356
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 130DEG 5KT 3035 8370

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Boothe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
440 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ013-014-016>018-026-027-GAZ158-252115-
Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Calhoun FL-Inland Jefferson FL-Inland Gulf FL-
Inland Wakulla FL-Leon FL-Thomas GA-
440 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of north central Gulf
and southeastern Calhoun Counties in the Panhandle of Florida,
northwestern Wakulla, central Gadsden, central Liberty, northwestern
Jefferson, Leon Counties in Big Bend of Florida and south central
Thomas Counties in south central Georgia through 515 PM EDT/415 PM
CDT/...

At 439 PM EDT/339 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles northeast of
Stonemill Creek to 7 miles northeast of Woodville. Movement was north
at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Florida State University, Quincy, Tallahassee Comm College,
Tallahassee, Blountstown, Midway, Florida A and M, Havana, Woodville,
Doak Campbell Stadium, Wewahitchka, Orange, Bristol, Lake Bradford,
Alma, Cody, Jewel Fire Tower, Vilas, Florence and Chipola Cutoff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3049 8512 3072 8382 3031 8405 3011 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 197DEG 25KT 3018 8509 3035 8412

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
449 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ014-015-026-115-252115-
Inland Franklin FL-Liberty FL-Inland Gulf FL-Coastal Franklin FL-
449 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Gulf,
southwestern Liberty and northwestern Franklin Counties through 515
PM EDT/415 PM CDT/...

At 448 PM EDT/348 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 13 miles northeast of Port St. Joe, moving northeast at
5 mph.

HAZARD...Minor Flooding due to heavy rain and Winds in excess of 30
         mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flood impacts including roadway ponding are expected.
         Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Howard Creek, Willis Landing, Buck Siding, Beverly, Hays Place and
Fort Gadsden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2977 8509 2991 8522 3008 8507 2987 8487
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 230DEG 5KT 2989 8510

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
500 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ034-128-134-252130-
Coastal Dixie FL-Inland Dixie FL-Coastal Taylor FL-
500 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Dixie
County through 530 PM EDT...

At 458 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Steinhatchee. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Minor Flooding due to heavy rain and Winds in excess of 30
         mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flood impacts including roadway ponding are expected.
         Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cross City, Shamrock, Hines, Jonesboro and Jena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2967 8308 2954 8331 2970 8339 2973 8336
      2972 8335 2976 8334 2976 8333 2977 8333
      2982 8328 2982 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 245DEG 4KT 2966 8328

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
515 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ011>013-016-017-026-027-GAZ157-158-252145-
Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Inland Bay FL-Calhoun FL-Jackson FL-
Inland Wakulla FL-Leon FL-Grady GA-Thomas GA-
515 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Jackson,
northeastern Bay and Calhoun Counties in the Panhandle of Florida,
northwestern Wakulla, Gadsden, northern Liberty and Leon Counties in
Big Bend of Florida, southeastern Grady County in southwestern
Georgia and southwestern Thomas Counties in south central Georgia
through 545 PM EDT/445 PM CDT/...

At 515 PM EDT/415 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 16 miles east of Lynn Haven
to near Florida A and M. Movement was north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Florida State University, Quincy, Tallahassee Comm College,
Tallahassee, Havana, Blountstown, Midway, Florida A and M, Woodville,
Doak Campbell Stadium, Greensboro, Gretna, Bristol, Altha, Lake
Bradford, Rock Bluff, Clarksville, Florence, Quincy Airport and
Lowry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 8547 3057 8544 3061 8544 3072 8394
      3067 8397 3067 8401 3060 8400 3030 8417
      3025 8546
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 192DEG 21KT 3032 8539 3040 8419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
549 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

FLZ016-017-GAZ157-252215-
Gadsden FL-Leon FL-Grady GA-
549 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Gadsden,
central Leon and southwestern Grady Counties through 615 PM EDT...

At 548 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Tallahassee Comm College, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Minor Flooding due to heavy rain and Winds in excess of 30
         mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flood impacts including roadway ponding are expected.
         Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tallahassee Comm College, Florida State University, Tallahassee,
Havana, Florida A and M, Midway, Doak Campbell Stadium, Lake
Bradford, Freemont, Macon Community Park, Darsey, Gaither Community
Center, Lake Munson, Tallahassee Memorial Hosp, Scotland, Jamieson,
Iamonia, Killearn Estates, Lake Ella and Tallahassee Mall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3036 8446 3069 8446 3069 8438 3071 8438
      3068 8415 3034 8426
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 188DEG 21KT 3043 8435

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH