Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 376

June 16, 202236 counties in New York; 42 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 16, 2022, 2:43 PM EDT for 36 counties in New York; 42 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 16, 2022, 2:43 PM EDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 16, 2022, 11:00 PM EDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 78 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Erie County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Warren County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 95%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 16, 2:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Warren	74 min
Jun 16, 3:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Franklin	27 min
Jun 16, 3:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans	59 min
Jun 16, 3:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne	55 min
Jun 16, 3:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Wyoming	54 min
Jun 16, 3:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	CTP	Warren	43 min
Jun 16, 3:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne	18 min
Jun 16, 4:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BGM	Onondaga	59 min
Jun 16, 4:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Genesee, Monroe, Orleans, Wayne	35 min
Jun 16, 4:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Allegany, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne, Wyoming	65 min
Jun 16, 4:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Jefferson, Oswego	61 min
Jun 16, 4:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne	40 min
Jun 16, 4:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BTV	Franklin, St. Lawrence	52 min
Jun 16, 4:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	CTP	Cameron, Elk	80 min
Jun 16, 4:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BTV	Franklin, St. Lawrence	62 min
Jun 16, 4:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Madison, Onondaga, Seneca	55 min
Jun 16, 4:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Jefferson, Lewis	55 min
Jun 16, 5:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Cayuga, Monroe, Ontario, Oswego, Wayne	56 min
Jun 16, 5:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Onondaga	50 min
Jun 16, 5:19 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Elk	26 min
Jun 16, 5:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BTV	Clinton, Franklin, St. Lawrence	65 min
Jun 16, 5:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga	64 min
Jun 16, 5:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	CTP	Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton	36 min
Jun 16, 5:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	BTV	Clinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence	45 min
Jun 16, 5:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Clinton, Lycoming	36 min
Jun 16, 5:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BUF	Cayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego, Wayne	62 min
Jun 16, 6:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	CTP	Centre, Clinton	60 min
Jun 16, 6:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	CTP	Centre	28 min
Jun 16, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BTV	Clinton, Franklin	61 min
Jun 16, 6:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Oneida	17 min
Jun 16, 6:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Centre, Clinton	33 min
Jun 16, 7:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Centre, Mifflin, Snyder	49 min
Jun 16, 8:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	CTP	Juniata, Perry	58 min
Jun 16, 8:21 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Juniata, Perry	54 min
Jun 16, 8:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Cumberland, Dauphin	61 min
Jun 16, 9:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, York	46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1311 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1206 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 8:35 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Steuben and 1 more	115 min
Jun 16, 1:17 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung, Erie and 13 more	118 min
Jun 16, 3:38 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cayuga, Erie, Genesee, Herkimer, Jefferson, Lewis and 14 more	97 min
Jun 16, 1:00 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Beaver, Lawrence, Mercer	90 min
Jun 16, 2:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 11 more	11 hr
Jun 16, 3:31 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 7 more	89 min
Jun 16, 5:34 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Greene	86 min
Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cameron, Clinton, Lycoming	55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2022 Tornado Watches in New York, 2022 Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.