Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 372

June 15, 202211 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 15, 2022, 6:51 PM EDT for 11 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2022, 6:51 PM EDT (22:51 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2022, 11:20 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Alger County, MI, Baraga County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Iron County, MI, Luce County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMenominee36 min
Jun 15, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDickinson, Menominee24 min
Jun 15, 9:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTAlger, Schoolcraft42 min
Jun 15, 9:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTAlger, Luce, Schoolcraft23 min
Jun 15, 9:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac67 min
Jun 15, 9:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTLuce46 min
Jun 15, 10:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2022-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1556 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2022-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -27 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1556 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-161 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1252 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 6:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Delta, Dickinson, Menominee, Schoolcraft95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2022Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.