Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2022

Mesoscale Discussion 856

May 21, 202230 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, Lancaster County, Marlboro County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 21, 2022, 3:34 PM EDT for 30 counties in North Carolina; Chesterfield County, Lancaster County, Marlboro County, South Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2022, 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2022, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 33 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Chesterfield County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Marlboro County, SC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 79 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2022-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 908 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2022-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -99 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
908 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-126 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1340 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 12:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Calhoun and 23 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2022Every mesoscale discussion in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.