Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2022

Mesoscale Discussion 2021

December 13, 20224 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 13, 2022, 6:23 PM CST for 4 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2022, 6:23 PM CST (00:23 UTC)
Expired
Dec 13, 2022, 9:30 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Heavy snow
All 24 counties

Clay County, MN, Norman County, MN, Polk County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brown County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2022-12-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2022-12-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 277 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
607 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
277 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
289 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

686 
ACUS11 KWNS 140024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140023 COR
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-140330-

Mesoscale Discussion 2021
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

Areas affected...northeastern South Dakota...southwestern North
Dakota...and western Minnesota

Concerning...Heavy snow 

Valid 140023Z - 140330Z

CORRECTED FOR MISSING GRAPHIC

SUMMARY...Heavy snow with rates up to 1"/hr possible along with
reduced visibility due to blowing snow.

DISCUSSION...A surface low currently located over Nebraska continues
to lift northeastward this evening. Across the Dakotas, favorable
moisture profiles show deep saturation within the dendritic growth
layer, which will allow for snowfall rates around 1"/hr. Recent
surface observations show winds across central and eastern South
Dakota gusting to around 30-40 mph. Areas of blowing snow will be
possible, with reduced visibility. A transition zone from snowfall
to mixed precipitation (rain and freezing rain) continues just east
of the Big Sioux River, where surface temperatures are just above
freezing. HREF ensemble forecasts indicate that the zone of heaviest
snowfall rates of 1"/hr will continue to shift northward through the
evening into portions of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota
as the low continues to track north and east.

..Thornton/Grams.. 12/14/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON   45369945 45719933 46739840 47109801 47829685 48019639
            47659586 47029590 46699604 46319623 45459687 45019691
            44589725 44479805 44509916 45369945

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 4:06 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Benton, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca and 6 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2022Every mesoscale discussion in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.