Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Charleston, WV

571 
WGUS71 KRLX 261247
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
847 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KYC127-261445-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-220626T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lawrence KY-
847 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM EDT THIS 
MORNING FOR CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTY...

At 847 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms produced heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 2.5 inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Yatesville Lake State Park and Houckville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 8286 3822 8273 3805 8262 3799 8277
      3811 8289 3812 8289 3812 8290 3813 8290
      3813 8291 3814 8291 3815 8291

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

SL

484 
WGUS71 KRLX 261436
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1036 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KYC127-261446-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-220626T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lawrence KY-
1036 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR 
CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3817 8286 3822 8273 3805 8262 3799 8277
      3811 8289 3812 8289 3812 8290 3813 8290
      3813 8291 3814 8291 3815 8291

$$

SL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
659 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Chance for showers and storms increases this afternoon and
evening, ahead and along a cold front. High pressure for much
of the work week. Another front arrives next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 322 AM Sunday...

Surface high pressure shifts east, allowing a cold front to approach
from the west this evening. Meanwhile, chance PoPs will increase
this morning in response of a mid-level wave, moving into our area
from the west. This feature will bring showers or storms to the
Middle Ohio Valley and portions of WV this morning. Most of this
convection will be decaying upon arrival though.

Diurnal heating and high low level moisture will contribute to
unstable conditions resulting in strong convection this afternoon
and evening ahead of the approaching cold front. The front will
arrive to the OH River around 00Z this evening and cross east
during the overnight hours.

The primary threats with this activity will be damaging wind gusts
along with locally very heavy rain. SPC currently has the entire
forecast area outlooked in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms
with damaging winds being the main threat. Meanwhile, WPC has the
entire area under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall,
suggesting isolated flooding will be possible.

Despite of expected clouds cover, temperatures this afternoon will
remain above normal, generally in the upper 80s lowlands, ranging
into the lower 70s higher elevations. Near normal temperatures are
expected tonight with fresher airmass filtering behind the
front.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 410 AM Sunday...

The aforementioned cold front is expected to clear the area
early Monday morning. While precipitation may linger over the
mountains through the morning, surface high pressure and drier
air building in from the west are expected to bring dry
conditions to the rest of the CWA. Any residual showers over the
mountains should come to an end Monday afternoon as high
pressure builds further east into the area.

Monday night through Tuesday night, an upper level trough will be
present overhead, though surface high pressure and a dry air
mass in the lower levels are expected to maintain quiet weather
across the area.

Below normal temperatures will follow the cold front, with highs on
Monday expected to be in the mid to upper 70s across the lowlands,
and low 60s to 70s in the mountains. Temperatures warm by a few
degrees for Tuesday, rising to upper 70s to low 80s in the lowlands
and mid 60s to 70s in the mountains. Overnight temperatures in the
lowlands are projected to be in the low to mid 50s Monday night,
then mid 50s to around 60s for Tuesday night. Across the mountains,
lows should bottom out in the upper 40s to low 50s Monday night, and
low to mid 50s for Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 410 AM Sunday...

Surface high pressure begins to shift eastward out of the area mid
week as a shortwave trough passes to the north, then heights
begin to lift as upper ridging briefly builds for Thursday.
Meanwhile, dry air lingering in the low levels is expected to
maintain primarily dry conditions through Thursday.

Ridging recedes late this week as an upper trough pushes a
cold front towards the area from the northwest. Chances for
showers and storms are expected to return late week into next
weekend as moisture increases ahead of the approaching front.
Shower and storm chances are then expected to persist as the
front crosses through during the weekend.

Temperatures are projected to warm mid to late week, rising
above normal by Thursday as the upper ridge builds over the
area.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 659 AM Sunday...

Radar imagery shows areas of VFR light rain moving across the
northern half of the CWA. In addition, thunderstorms are
developing across southern portions of WV and northwest VA
moving northeast.

It will be very unstable this afternoon and evening with model
SB CAPE exceeding 3000 J/Kg, low deep layered shear, high
helicities and PWATs around 2 inches ahead of the front.
Therefore, coded VCTS at most sites due to uncertainty if sites
will be hit directly by storms.

This pose the potential for strong convective development, and
associated brief periods of IFR/LIFR visibilities under heavy
rain.

Light south to southwest winds will prevail this morning into
the afternoon hours. Strong gusts and erratic winds will be
possible near thunderstorms.

Light west to southwest flow aloft will strengthen a bit from
the southwest this afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Evolution of convection and its impacts on
TAF sites may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21
EDT 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    M    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 12Z MONDAY...
IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms tonight into Monday
morning, and in river valley fog early Tuesday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/JLB
NEAR TERM...ARJ
SHORT TERM...JLB
LONG TERM...JLB
AVIATION...ARJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
521 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>034-039-040-515>526-270930-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-
Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-
Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-
Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
521 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, southwest Virginia and much of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon and evening ahead of and along an approaching cold front.
The primary threat with these storms will be locally damaging wind
gusts. Heavy rainfall may also lead to localized flooding today and
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
524 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

VAZ004-261000-
Buchanan VA-
524 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central
Buchanan County through 600 AM EDT...

At 523 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Big Rock, or near Grundy, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Grundy, Big Rock, Vansant and Roseann.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 8211 3733 8227 3739 8218 3737 8204
      3727 8198
TIME...MOT...LOC 0923Z 292DEG 17KT 3732 8216

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
605 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KYZ105-261045-
Lawrence KY-
605 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Lawrence
County through 645 AM EDT...

At 604 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Webbville, or 7 miles north of Blaine, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Yatesville Lake State Park and Houckville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3819 8271 3810 8262 3799 8272 3810 8291
      3812 8289 3813 8291 3816 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1004Z 280DEG 11KT 3814 8283

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
648 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KYZ105-WVZ005-261115-
Lawrence KY-Wayne WV-
648 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Lawrence and west central Wayne Counties through 715 AM EDT...

At 648 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Yatesville Lake State Park, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Yatesville Lake State Park, Fort Gay, Clifford, Glenhayes and
Gallup.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 8274 3816 8247 3796 8254 3796 8255
      3795 8256 3795 8258 3793 8258 3793 8259
      3803 8279
TIME...MOT...LOC 1048Z 283DEG 9KT 3809 8271

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

20