Red Flag Warning 65, NWS Pueblo, CO

185 
WWUS85 KPUB 211549
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
949 AM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

COZ228>230-220800-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0064.221021T1549Z-221022T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
949 AM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228, 229, AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228, 229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Until 7 PM this evening and again on Saturday from 11
  AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ226-227-231>237-220800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
949 AM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226, 227, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235,
236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 227, 231, 232, 233, 
  234, 235, 236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

799 
WWUS85 KPUB 212107
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
307 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

COZ228>230-221315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-221022T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
307 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228, 229, AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228, 229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Until 7 PM this evening and again on Saturday from 11 
  AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ231>237-221315-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0054.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
307 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND
237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH 
HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
236, AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds, low relative humidity, and high haines
indices, which is in effect from Sunday morning through Sunday
evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
  236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday
  morning through Sunday evening. 

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph on 
  Saturday. Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on 
  Sunday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-227-221315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
307 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226 and 227.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

619 
WWUS85 KPUB 220038
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
638 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

COZ228>230-221645-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-221022T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
638 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 228, 229, AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228,
229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ231>237-221645-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0054.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
638 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
  236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-227-221645-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
638 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226 and 227.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

838 
WWUS85 KPUB 220247
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
847 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

COZ231>237-221900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0054.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
847 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
  236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226>230-221900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
847 PM MDT Fri Oct 21 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 226, 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 227, 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

383 
WWUS85 KPUB 221012
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
412 AM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

COZ231>237-230600-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0054.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0066.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
412 AM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for very strong winds and low relative humidity, which is
in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch 
is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
  236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ226>230-230100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.221022T1700Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
412 AM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226, 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 227, 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Cohen

741 
WWUS85 KPUB 222023
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
223 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

COZ226>230-231230-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0066.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.000000T0000Z-221023T0100Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
223 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 226, 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
226, 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low relative humidities, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Sunday.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 227, 228, 229 and 230.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ231>237-231230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0065.000000T0000Z-221023T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0066.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
223 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237... 

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT 
SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 
  236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

560 
WWUS85 KPUB 230037
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
637 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

COZ226>237-231645-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0065.000000T0000Z-221023T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0066.221023T1700Z-221024T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
637 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND
237...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226,
227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 
  231, 232, 233, 234, 235, 236 and 237.

* Timing...Saturday from 11 AM to 7 PM and again late Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* Winds...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Hodanish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1155 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 345 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

Key Messages:

1) Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11am - 7pm for the lower
elevations of Pueblo, Huerfano, and western Las Animas Counties,
primarily for the gap flow prone areas.

2) Well above average high temperatures are expected Friday
afternoon.

Currently and the Rest of Tonight..

Very dry air has been observed across the lower elevations. The
lowest dew point observed today, so far, was -5F at KAFF at around
1PM this afternoon. Winds have been light, so no critical fire or
near critical fire weather conditions have been observed. Looking at
satellite and out our window... it is hard to even find a cloud in
the sky, outside of thin cirrus over the mountains. This air mass is
DRY. West to southwesterly winds are expected over the southern
plains throughout the overnight, so I bumped up winds as compared to
guidance around the region, but the lower Arkansas River Valley and
north may have temperatures near freezing, but not close enough to
issue any frost related highlights.

Tomorrow:

I believe the low dew points being observed today only indicate the
type of air mass that we will experience tomorrow, therefore I
decreased dew points across the area using a model blend of the
previous forecast and the HRRR 18z run. I used the 90th percentile
for winds and wind gusts to increase gap flow wind values, since the
coarser resolution models don't handle the magnitude quite as well.
Overall, that means that there will be critical fire weather
conditions over the southern I-25 corridor from Pueblo to the New
Mexico border. I would have added Fremont County, but the fuels were
deemed not critical by the BLM in that area, but I do have to say
that the meteorological conditions for critical fire weather will be
there. Northern El Paso County is an area of uncertainty for
critical fire weather conditions, but most guidance outside of the
90th percentile NBM says that the winds will be too weak. The split
flow from Pikes Peak may not be resolved well enough, so perhaps the
RFW will need to be extended there, however it has not been included
in the RFW at this point in time. Outside of critical fire weather
and gusty winds, tomorrow will be dry.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 345 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

Key Messages:

1) Warm and breezy with critical fire weather conditions possible
   across the plains on Saturday.

2) Widespread snow developing Saturday night and Sunday across the
   higher terrain along the Continental Divide, with windy conditions
   expected across all of south central and southeast Colorado.

3) Cooler temperatures through the middle of week, with chances of
   precipitation continuing Sunday night and Monday.

Friday night-Saturday...Latest models remain in good agreement of
increasing west to southwest flow aloft across the region through the
day Saturday, as a strong eastern Pacific storm system remains progged
to dig across the Pacific Northwest Coast and into the Great Basin
trough the day Saturday. With the increasing west to southwest flow
aloft through the day on Saturday, combined with steep lapse rates and
expected deep mixing, models continue to indicate critical fire weather
conditions across most of southeast Colorado Saturday afternoon and
into the early evening, and with that said have issued a Fire Weather
Watch for all of the I-25 Corridor and southeast Plains. Slowly
increasing moisture within the increasing southwest flow on Saturday
will also bring increasing chances of showers to the ContDvd late
Saturday afternoon. The increasing westerly flow will keep temperatures
at and above seasonal levels, with highs in the 70s and 80s expected
across the eastern plains, and mainly in the 50s and 60s across the
higher terrain, save for 30s and 40s at the peaks.

Saturday night-Sunday...Models continue to be in good agreement with
the movement of Great Basin system across northwestern Colorado and
into the Northern Rockies with a strong jet core translating across
south central and southeast Colorado through the day Sunday. This will
bring windy to very windy conditions to the region, with the potential
for high wind warning criteria being met across portions of the
southeastern Mts and southern I-25 Corridor late Saturday night and
early Sunday morning, with h7 flow progged to increase to 50 to 60 kts.
Strong westerly winds looks to spread east across the southeast plains
through the day Sunday and will need to access later models data for
the inclusion of a high wind watch for this timeframe. In addition, the
strong west to southwest upslope flow and increasing moisture
associated with the passing system, will bring widespread precipitation
to the higher terrain, especially along and west of the ContDvd, where
the first significant snowfall of the season. While total snowfall
amounts continue to vary between advisory and warning criteria, the
snow combined with the strong winds will create hazardous travel
conditions across the higher mountain passes of the ContDvd late
Saturday night and through the day on Sunday, with the first winter
weather highlights of the season becoming more likely. With the strong
winds, there will be continue to be high fire danger across the plains,
however, latest guidance suggest slightly cooler temperatures and
increasing moisture associated with the passing trough could keep rhs
in the 15 to 25 percent and too high for critical fire weather
conditions. With the passing trough, will see scattered scattered
showers spreading across the high mtn valleys through the eastern mts
Saturday night and Sunday, with some light snow accumulations possible
as snow level drop to between 7-8K ft on Sunday.

Sunday night-Tuesday...Models continue to differ on location of
secondary energy digging across the region in the Sunday night and
Monday timeframe, with guidance now shifting further south with said
energy. While the Canadian model remains the most aggressive with
precipitation across southeast Colorado with a closed low moving
across northern New Mexico, the latest EC now develops a closed
low across the Four Corners Sunday night which dives into southern
New Mexico through Monday, with the latest GFS in between the
other solutions. With such model diversity, have stayed with the
NBM which keeps the best pops across the ContDvd Sunday night and
early Monday, with chance pops spreading across the eastern mts
and plains. As for temperatures, highs in the 60s and 70s early
Sunday across the plains, cool into the 50s on Monday, with the
potential for a widespread hard freeze across the plains Monday
night and Tuesday night.

Wednesday-Thursday...Cool northwest flow remains progged across the
region through the middle of the work week, with another system
possible digging across the Intermountain West later next week. Current
NBM keeps temperatures below seasonal norms through the middle of next
week, with slight chances of precipitation across the higher terrain,
mainly along the ContDvd.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1151 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for all TAF sites (KALS,
KCOS, and KPUB) throughout the forecast period. Winds will be
primarily diurnally driven towards the beginning of the forecast
period but then begin to become influenced by the trough upstream,
increasing and becoming gusty out of the SSW-WSW'ly direction for
all terminals by later in the afternoon tomorrow.  -Stewey

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for COZ226>237.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Friday for COZ228>230.

&&

SHORT TERM...SKELLY
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...STEWARD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
412 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-211200-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
412 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Snow is likely for the Continental Divide region late Saturday
into Sunday with some locally heavy amounts possible.

Strong winds are likely on Sunday over the entire area with wind
gusts in excess of 50 mph possible on the plains as well as some
mountain locations. The strong winds could also produce areas of
critical fire weather conditions.

Spotty critical fire weather conditions are possible Friday along
portions of the Interstate 25 corridor. On Saturday the potential
for critical fire weather conditions expands onto the eastern
plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

EHR/06