Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2022

Red Flag Warning 53, NWS Pueblo, CO

May 28, 202216 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at May 28, 2022, 4:07 AM MDT for 16 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 29, 2022, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2022, 4:07 AM MDT (10:07 UTC)
In effect from
May 29, 2022, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 29, 2022, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 29, 6:52 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 622 S Alamosa, COASOS STATION KALS ALAMOSA AIRPORT.
May 29, 8:52 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 612 S Alamosa, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 247 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2022-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 171 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2022-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
171 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
4168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

259 
WWUS85 KPUB 281007
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
407 AM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for TODAY from 11 AM to 
10 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather 
Zones 222 through 224, and 226 through 237, which includes the 
Interstate-25 corridor eastward across the plains as well as 
Fremont County below 8000 feet, in addition to the Eastern San 
Juan Mountains, the La Garita Mountains, and the San Luis 
Valley...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for TOMORROW from Noon to 
8 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather 
Zones 222...224... and 226 through 237...which includes all of 
the plains, Fremont county and the San Luis Valley...

COZ222-224-226>237-290215-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0045.220529T1800Z-220530T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1800Z-220530T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0052.220528T1700Z-220529T0400Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
407 AM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...226...227...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...
235...236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...226...227... 
  228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible tomorrow afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties, 
  and possibly the San Luis Valley. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ223-290215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0052.220528T1700Z-220529T0400Z/
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
407 AM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 223.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
055 
WWUS85 KPUB 282119
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
319 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 10 PM today for 
gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 222 
through 224, and 226 through 237, which includes the Interstate 25
corridor eastward across the plains as well as Fremont County 
below 8000 feet, in addition to the Eastern San Juan Mountains, 
the La Garita Mountains, and the San Luis Valley...

...A Red Flag Warning is now in effect for Sunday from 11 AM 
until 9 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire 
Weather Zones 222, 224 and 226 through 237...which includes all of
the plains, Fremont county below 8000 feet and the San Luis 
Valley...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for late Monday morning
through Monday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for Fire Weather zones 222, 224, and 227 through 237 which
includes Fremont county below 8000 feet, the San Luis Valley, 
southern El Paso county and all of the southeast plains... 

COZ222-224-227>237-291330-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
319 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 mph.
  Strongest gusts will be over the mountains. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be
  possible Sunday afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties, 
  and possibly the San Luis Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-291330-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
319 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 226...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
226...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 226.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be
  possible tomorrow afternoon over El Paso county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ223-290400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
319 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 223...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 223.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
868 
WWUS85 KPUB 290419
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1019 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is now in effect for Sunday from 11 AM
until 9 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire
Weather Zones 222, 224 and 226 through 237...which includes all
of the plains, Fremont county below 8000 feet and the San Luis
Valley...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for late Monday morning
through Monday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for Fire Weather zones 222, 224, and 227 through 237 which
includes Fremont county below 8000 feet, the San Luis Valley,
southern El Paso county and all of the southeast plains...

COZ222-224-227>237-292030-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
1019 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222... 224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible Sunday afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties, 
  and possibly the San Luis Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-292030-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
1019 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 226... 

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 226.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible tomorrow afternoon over El Paso county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ223-290530-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220529T0400Z/
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
1019 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

Winds have lightened up and the RH values have increased, 
therefore the Red Flag Warning has been allowed to expire. 

$$
152 
WWUS85 KPUB 290537
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1137 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is now in effect for Sunday from 11 AM
until 9 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire
Weather Zones 222, 224 and 226 through 237...which includes all
of the plains, Fremont county below 8000 feet and the San Luis
Valley...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for late Monday morning
through Monday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for Fire Weather zones 222, 224, and 226 through 237 which 
includes Fremont county below 8000 feet, the San Luis Valley, 
El Paso county and all of the southeast plains...

COZ222-224-227>237-292145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
1137 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222... 224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible Sunday afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties, 
  and possibly the San Luis Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-292145-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
1137 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 226... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING 
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in 
effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 226.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Temperatures...In the upper 50s.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible Sunday afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties, 
  and possibly the San Luis Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
516 
WWUS85 KPUB 291002
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
402 AM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for TODAY from 11 AM until 9 
PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather 
Zones 222, 224 and 226 through 237...which includes all of the 
plains, Fremont county below 8000 feet and the San Luis Valley...

...A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for late Monday morning 
through Monday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity 
for Fire Weather zones 222, 224, and 226 through 237 which 
includes Fremont county below 8000 feet, the San Luis Valley, and 
all of the southeast plains...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for late Tuesday morning 
through Tuesday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for Fire Weather zones 224, which includes the San Luis Valley...

COZ224-300215-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0047.220531T1700Z-220601T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
402 AM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. The
  strongest winds will occur today. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be
  possible this afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-226>237-300215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.220529T1700Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
402 AM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. The strongest
  winds will occur across Baca and Huerfano counties.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be
  possible this afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

Hodanish
318 
WWUS85 KPUB 292059
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
259 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 9 PM today for 
gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 222,
224 and 226 through 237...which includes all of the plains, 
Fremont county below 8000 feet and the San Luis Valley...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for 11 AM through 8 PM
Monday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather
zones 222, 223, 224, and 226 through 237 which includes Fremont 
county below 8000 feet, the eastern San Juan and La Garita
mountains below 9000 feet, the San Luis Valley, and all of the 
southeast plains...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for late Tuesday morning
through Tuesday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for Fire Weather zones 223 and 224, which includes the San Luis 
Valley and the eastern San Juan and La Garita mountains...

COZ224-301300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0047.220531T1700Z-220601T0300Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
259 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
224...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts between 40 and 55 mph.
  The strongest gusts will occur on Monday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-226>237-301300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0046.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-220530T0300Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
259 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts between 40 and 55 mph. The
  strongest gusts will occur on Monday south of highway 50.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible this afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ223-301300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0047.220531T1700Z-220601T0300Z/
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
259 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Monday. A Fire Weather Watch has
also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low
relative humidity is in effect from Tuesday morning through
Tuesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 223.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on
  Monday.  Gusts up to 45 mph possible on Tuesday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread, below 9000 feet on Monday and across a more
  widespread area for Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
515 
WWUS85 KPUB 300244
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
844 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for 11 AM through 8 PM 
Monday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather 
zones 222, 223, 224, and 226 through 237 which includes Fremont 
county below 8000 feet, the eastern San Juan and La Garita 
mountains below 9000 feet, the San Luis Valley, and all of the 
southeast plains...

...A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for late Tuesday 
morning through Tuesday evening for gusty winds and low relative 
humidity for Fire Weather zones 223 and 224, which includes the 
San Luis Valley and the eastern San Juan and La Garita 
mountains...

COZ224-301845-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0047.220531T1700Z-220601T0300Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
844 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 224...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts between 40 and 55 mph.
  Strongest winds will occur on Monday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-226>237-301845-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-220530T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
844 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222... 226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237... 

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS 
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 222...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236
AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be very favorable for rapid rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

* Lightning...Isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes will be 
  possible this afternoon over El Paso and Fremont counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ223-301845-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0054.220530T1700Z-220531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0047.220531T1700Z-220601T0300Z/
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
844 PM MDT Sun May 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 223... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY 
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 223.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts between 40 and 55 mph. The
  strongest gusts will occur on Monday south of highway 50.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread, below 9000 feet on Monday and across a more 
  widespread area for Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 27, 11:14 PM MDT, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 11:14 PM MDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1114 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 228 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

Key Messages:

1) Critical Fire Weather conditions are expected across the San Luis
Valley, the western mountains, and eastern plains tomorrow.

Tonight... Tonight will be relatively quiet across southern
Colorado. The HREF and SREF ensemble models are in strong agreement
that a large trough will start digging southeastward toward Colorado
overnight. As the system starts to approach, synoptic ascent and
winds aloft will begin to increase across the region. With the
increasing synoptic ascent, and better orographic forcing from the
stronger winds aloft, high level cirrus clouds will overspread much
of southern Colorado tonight. Otherwise though, the forecast area
will remain dry and above average overnight. As westerly winds aloft
start to increase, downsloping winds will become stronger. These
downsloping winds will allow for compressional warming to take
place, which will keep most of southern Colorado 5-10°F above
average. The plains falling into the low to mid 50s, the valleys
dropping into the mid 30s to low 40s, and the mountains cooling into
the 30s.

Tomorrow... During the day Saturday, the aforementioned trough will
continue to trek southeastward. Synoptic ascent and winds aloft will
continue to increase ahead of the approaching system. Like
overnight, the synoptic ascent and strong orographics will induce
widespread high level cirrus clouds through most of the day. Also
with the stronger winds aloft, as diurnal mixing becomes
established, these stronger winds will become mixed down to the
surface. Winds are expected to be gusting to around 30-40 kts at
lower elevations, with 40-55kts at higher elevations. As the system
does start pushing over the region, drier air will be advected
across southern Colorado, and given the stronger winds, will become
also become mixed down to the surface. Given expected hot
temperatures tomorrow, and drier air overspreading the area, RH
values will drop to 10% or less for lower elevations, and to around
15% at higher elevations. With the combination of strong winds and
low RH, meteorologically, Critical Fire Weather conditions are
expected across all of southern Colorado. With that said though,
most areas along the eastern and central mountains saw appreciable
moisture over this past weekend, and grasses and most flora in those
areas may not be as dry as compared to what they are at other
locations across southern Colorado. Because of this, the highest
confidence in overall fire conditions will be within the San Luis
Valley, the San Juan and La Garita Mountains, and the eastern
plains; see the dedicated Fire Section below for more details.
Otherwise across southern Colorado, expect dry and much above
average temperatures. Strong downsloping winds will keep the
compressional warming in place across the forecast area, and
temperatures will be 10-20°F above average. The plains will heat up
into the 90s, and possibly low 100s. The valleys will warm into the
mid 70s to low 80s, and the mountains will rise into the 50s to low
60s.|

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 228 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

Key Messages:

1) Critical fire weather conditions continue for Sunday, especially
in the San Luis Valley. See detailed fire weather discussion below.

2) High elevation snow and possible thunderstorms on Sunday and
Monday for the Continental Divide, the Pikes Peak region, and the
Palmer Divide.

3) Upslope moisture with cooler temperatures for Tuesday and
Wednesday.

4) Ridging and a warming trend set up for Thursday and Friday.

Saturday Night through Monday..

A large upper trough continues to advance southeastward into the
Great Basin through Sunday and Monday, bringing with it cooler
temperatures, southwesterly winds, and chances for precipitation.
With this placement, most of the available moisture stays off to our
north and west, but we should see some showers and thunderstorms
developing in our central mountains and moving into the Pikes Peak
Region and the Palmer Divide. This could include some light snow in
higher elevations as well. Monday's setup looks very similar, with a
weak cold front pushing through to our northwest, bringing continued
chances for showers and weak thunderstorms through the same areas as
Sunday. Dryline thunderstorm activity on both days looks to stay on
the Kansas side of our eastern border.

Critical fire weather conditions will likely continue into Monday,
especially for the San Luis Valley, with strong southwesterlies
continuing into next week. See detailed fire discussion below.
Potential fire starts from lightning in the mountains will need to
be monitored closely through this period as well.

Tuesday and Wednesday..

Ensembles start to deviate on timing during this period, but the
general consensus is to keep us fairly dry as this system weakens
somewhat and pushes off to our northeast early Tuesday. Behind the
initial cold front, Tuesday will likely be the coolest day of the
week with daytime highs about 5-10 degrees below normal for this
time of year. Another wave looks to pass through sometime late
Tuesday/early Wednesday, when we could see some better chances for
precipitation and even some upslope moisture through Wednesday. The
GFS and EC have significantly higher pops during this timeframe than
the the NBM, but we should see some much needed precipitation either
way. Northerly and easterly winds along with improved humidity
values behind this cold front should bring some relief for fire
weather concerns on both days as well, especially for the plains.

Thursday and Friday..

Upslope moisture looks to be cut off by Thursday as a general trend
towards ridging starts to set up for the remainder of the week.
Daytime high temperatures should rebound back to around normal for
Thursday, and slightly above normal by Friday, with generally quiet
weather for both days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1110 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB over the next
24 hours. At KALS, gusty west-southwest winds will set in
overnight, gusting upwards of 40 knots in the afternoon. Will be
investigating the need to consider blowing dust in tonight's
forecast updates, which could bring vis down to MVFR-IFR for brief
amounts of time. Confidence in dust hitting the terminal is still
too low to include at this time. At KCOS and KPUB, southwest
winds gusting to around 30 knots will set in during the afternoon,
with cloud cover increasing closer to the end of this forecast
period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 228 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

Background fuel conditions across the Interstate-25 corridor and
eastward across the plains continue to evolve. This is an area that
experienced copious amounts of precipitation during the past week,
with upwards of 250-500 percent of normal precipitation during that
time period across portions of the region. In many circumstances,
this precipitation would result in substantial mitigation to the
subsequent fire-weather risk, from increasing fuel moisture and
green-up. However, in this particular case, fuels do not appear to
be responding as much as would be expected given the aforementioned
amount of precipitation across the NWS Pueblo County Warning Area.
This could be the result of a combination of antecedent significant
drought, aided by an extended duration of very warm and dry
conditions prior to the recent precipitation event especially in
April. While green-up has occurred in some areas, fuels across
southeast Colorado appear to reflect a distinctly less-green
character, overall, compared to areas farther north, and also west
across the eastern mountains, based on the latest observed indices.
Moreover, fuel moisture in northern El Paso County -- even in
locations where over a foot of snow fell about a week ago -- have
been observed as significantly declining during the past two days
following the cessation of precipitation.

Given the previously mentioned factors, there appears to be growing
concern that fuel dryness in some areas across southeastern Colorado
(even where recent precipitation was abundant) will be adequate to
support potential extreme fire-behavior including rapid fire spread,
upon coordination with land management agencies. This would apply
especially this weekend, when west-southwesterly winds gusting
upwards of 40-50 mph overtake single digit relative humidity values
materializing across the Interstate-25 corridor vicinity eastward
across the southeast plains. And given expected very warm to hot
temperatures in the 80s and 90s, these conditions could contribute
to further drying of fuels.

Ultimately, there may be notable variability across the region in
fuel states -- resulting from differences in fuel responsiveness to
the recent precipitation. However, given the expected critical
meteorological conditions across southeast Colorado, and the growing
concern for the influence of long-term drought to support favorable
fuels for fire spread upon coordination with land management
agencies, fire-weather highlights have been initiated for this
weekend over southeastern Colorado. For the southeast Colorado
plains, Interstate-25 corridor, and then westward through the
Arkansas River Valley in Fremont County below 8000 feet, a Red Flag
Warning has been issued for Saturday late morning into the evening,
and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Sunday afternoon and
early evening. Fire-weather highlights have not been issued over the
eastern/central mountains where fuel moisture remains notably
elevated.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM MDT Saturday for COZ222>224-
226>237.

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
for COZ222-224-226>237.

&&

SHORT TERM...SIMCOE
LONG TERM...EHR/COHEN
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
FIRE WEATHER...COHEN
Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 12:32 PM MDT, 15 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1232 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-281830-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1232 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions are expected to occur across the
eastern San Juan and La Garita mountains into the San Luis Valley
this afternoon and early evening.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the mountains and I-25
corridor region this afternoon and early evening. The primary concern
will be isolated cloud to ground lightning flashes and gusty winds
of 40 to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

On Saturday and through Monday, there will be more widespread
critical fire weather conditions across the southwest mountains
through the San Luis Valley and out across the southeast plains
during the afternoon and early evening hours.

Thunderstorms and some high elevation snow will be possible over
the central mountains early Sunday morning. More widespread
thunderstorms may occur over the southern mountains and along the
adjacent plains during the afternoon and evening hours on Sunday
and Monday. Little to no snow accumulations are expected for the
higher elevations, however a more convective shower and or
thunderstorm may produce a brief period of heavy and rapidly
accumulating snow.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over
the far eastern plains late Tuesday evening, with the main threat
being strong and gusty outflow winds, and large hail. More
marginal thunderstorms will be possible over the eastern mountains
and along the I-25 corridor late Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible again for the eastern
mountains and plains on Wednesday and Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

SIMCOE/STEWARD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 6:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCrowley41 min
May 27, 8:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca42 min
May 28, 3:19 PM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley and 10 more24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every red flag warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.