Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2022
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Mar 3, 2022, 2:49 PM MST for 10 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Mar 4, 2022, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 3, 2022, 2:49 PM MST (21:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 4, 2022, 11:00 AM MST
- Expired
- Mar 4, 2022, 8:00 PM MST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2803 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
524 WWUS85 KPUB 032149 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 249 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 8 PM MST this evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 233...235...236...and 237, which includes eastern Las Animas, Bent, Prowers, and Baca counties... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... COZ233-235>237-041400- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0004.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220304T0300Z/ Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 249 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 233...235...236 AND 237... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 233...235...236 AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 233...235...236 and 237. * Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 4 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ226>232-234-041400- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0004.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Kiowa County Including Eads- 249 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 234... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226...227...228...229... 230...231...232 and 234. * Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
5 follow-up statements
166 WWUS85 KPUB 040253 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 753 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning expires at 8 PM MST this evening for Fire Weather Zones 233...235...236...and 237, which includes eastern Las Animas, Bent, Prowers, and Baca counties... ...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... COZ233-235>237-041900- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220304T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 753 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 233... 235...236 AND 237... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 233...235...236 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 233...235...236 and 237. * Winds for Friday...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity Friday...As low as 4 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ226>232-234-041900- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Kiowa County Including Eads- 753 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...230...231...232 AND 234... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226...227...228...229... 230...231...232 and 234. * Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Hodanish
505 WWUS85 KPUB 040339 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 839 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... COZ226>237-041945- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 839 PM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235... 236 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226...227...228...229... 230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237. * Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ Hodanish
526 WWUS85 KPUB 041054 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 354 AM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MST Friday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... ...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 230, 233, and 237, which includes Las Animas and Baca Counties... COZ230-233-237-050300- /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0005.220305T1700Z-220306T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 354 AM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 230...233 and 237. * Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ226>229-231-232-234>236-050300- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.220304T1800Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- 354 AM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...231...232...234...235 AND 236... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226...227...228...229... 231...232...234...235 and 236. * Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
492 WWUS85 KPUB 042118 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 218 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 8 PM MST this evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 10 AM to 5 PM Saturday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 230, 233, and 237, which includes Las Animas and Baca Counties... COZ230-233-237-051330- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0005.220305T1700Z-220306T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0006.220305T1700Z-220306T0000Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220305T0300Z/ Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 218 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM MST SATURDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo continues a Red Flag Warning through 8 PM tonight and has issued a Red Flag Warning for Saturday from 10 AM to 5 PM. The Fire Weather Watch for Saturday is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 230...233 and 237. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * Timing...Gusty west winds will continue across the southern tier of Colorado through the early evening, with winds diminishing through late evening. Gusty west winds are expected to pick up again Saturday morning and continue through the afternoon. * Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ226>229-231-232-234>236-050300- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- 218 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...231...232...234...235 AND 236... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226...227...228...229... 231...232...234...235 and 236. * Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
123 WWUS85 KPUB 050237 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 737 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...A Red Flag Warning will expire at 8 PM MST this evening for Fire Weather Zones 226 through 237, which includes all of the southeast plains... ...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 10 AM to 5 PM Saturday for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 230, 233, and 237, which includes Las Animas and Baca Counties... COZ230-233-237-051845- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220305T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.220305T1700Z-220306T0000Z/ Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 737 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM MST SATURDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 230...233 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 230...233 and 237. * Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * Timing...Gusty west winds will continue across the southern tier of Colorado through the early evening, with winds diminishing through late evening. Gusty west winds are expected to pick up again Saturday morning and continue through the afternoon. * Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ226>229-231-232-234>236-050345- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220305T0300Z/ Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Crowley County Including Ordway- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas- Prowers County Including Lamar- 737 PM MST Fri Mar 4 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226...227...228...229...231...232...234...235 AND 236... $$ Hodanish
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 3, 10:41 AM MST, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 10:41 AM MST, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1041 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 416 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 1) Critical fire weather conditions are expected across the far southeast plains this afternoon into early evening. Spotty critical fire weather conditions are possible across the far southern I-25 corridor. Red Flag Warning expanded to include E. Las Animas, Bent, and Prowers counties. 2) Well above normal temperatures continue across southern Colorado today, with record breaking max temps possible at COS, PUB, and ALS. Another very warm day expected across southern Colorado, with record breaking max temps appearing likely at all three climate locations today. Another mild start to the morning along with sunny skies across southern Colorado, as upper ridge builds from the west. This ridge will move overhead today, supporting additional warming to the already warm air mass in place. Temps at 700mb still look to approach the 7-8C mark later today, which is a very spring like air mass. In all, expect well above normal temps today along with record breaking max temps (see Climate Section). Previous forecast high temps for today were still on track, and only made minor upward adjustment in spots. Widespread 70s and 80s are expected over the plains, with mid to even upper 60s expected over the mountain valleys. While temps are mild this morning, expect even milder temps tonight across the plains. Given the air mass in place tonight and some steadier winds, wouldn't be surprised to see many spots over the plains remain in the 50s tonight into early Friday morning. Fire weather concerns continue across the plains this afternoon into this evening, and given recent trends, did expand the current Red Flag Warning to include eastern Las Animas, Bent, and Prowers counties. Above normal warmth, very low RH values of 5-10% and gusty south southeast winds will lead to critical fire weather conditions across the far southeast plains. The winds may take some time to note increases later today, but do anticipate gusts of 30 to 35 mph by mid afternoon and continuing into early evening. Did debate adding Kiowa into the Warning, but at this time, the stronger winds appear to develop later in this location. Do think that a couple hour window of critical fire weather conditions will be possibe though. Lastly, the far southern I-25 corridor will likely note occasional and spotty higher winds/gusts this afternoon. At this time, it's not enough to support adding this area into the Red Flag Warning. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 416 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 Key messages: 1) Due to strong and gusty winds, coupled with low relative humidity values, fire weather conditions are expected across the entire plains on Friday afternoon through early evening. There will also be fire weather concerns for Saturday afternoon as well across the southern plains, mainly east of the I-25 corridor and south of US-50. 2) Due to the well amplified ridge ahead of the trough currently overhead and downsloping winds, record high temperatures will be possible across some areas, especially the plains and Lower Arkansas River Valley. 3) A broad longwave trough will move in over the region by Friday and going into the early part of next week, which will allow for several major shortwave troughs to impact southeast Colorado with colder temperatures, snow, and gusty winds from Friday through Monday. There will also be a slight chance of thundersnow showers over the Central Mountains late Friday evening into Saturday morning. 4) High pressure conditions will temporarily build in by the mid part of next week, although the longwave trough will still be in place so temperatures will remain cool. Detailed discussion: Friday through Saturday... As the trough continues to propagate eastward from the western CONUS and the associated low begins to approach the region, all models have continued to be in generally good agreement that the position of the first low pressure center will eject out somewhere over northeastern Colorado. The well-amplified ridging ahead of the longwave trough moving in this weekend will allow for very warm southerly winds to be in place and therefore record highs will be possible (see climate section). The HRRR and NAM Nest have continuously shown in previous model runs that winds are going to be strong across nearly all locations over the plains. Due to this, winds have been adjusted up using a blend of ADJMAV, ADJMET, and NBM 90th percentile for both Friday and Saturday. Dewpoints needed to be lowered based off of CONSMOS data, as they were too high for the downsloping nature of the winds for both days. Low RH values of around 9 to 11 percent, and winds reaching criteria will make fire weather conditions likely across nearly all of the plains on Friday, and across the southern plains on Saturday afternoon, due to the post-frontal westerly winds as the low pressure system moves over the area. The position of the low still looks to track over the same general area of of northeast Colorado with very little variance between the models. Colder air will remain to the north with a very slow moving cold front, therefore many areas will still be relatively warmer over the plains, although cooler from where they were on Friday. Snow showers will begin later in the evening over the Central Mountains. There is going to be some instability associated with the upper level low associated with this system, along with some PVA over the southwestern portion of the CWA. CAPE values look to be anywhere from 100 to 200 J/kg, given these values, there will be the possibility of some thundersnow showers possible. These snow showers will spread over into the eastern mountains and adjacent plains later in the morning on Saturday. Winds over the plains will shift from a southerly direction to a more westerly direction and continue to increase throughout the day. Best chance of snow for the adjacent plains will be over the Palmer Divide, and very little chance for the rest areas west of the I-25 corridor. Sunday through Monday... Models still reflect generally good agreement with the position of the next upper level low that is going to transition over the area on Sunday. There is going to be better isentropic upgliding associated with this that will provide a better chance for snow over the plains. Colder air advection will also occur with this secondary upper level closed low as it meanders behind the other exiting shortwave and move out from over the Four Corners area. There will also be another upper level low the drops down rapidly into Monday, and the deterministic models have been fairly consistent showing this moving over western Colorado and providing a better chance for snow over the mountains, and only a small chance of snow over the plains. Tuesday through Wednesday... High pressure will subsequently build in with a return to more tranquil weather conditions, although remaining cool as the longwave trough will still be in place overhead. Overall temperatures will still be slightly below the seasonal average for this time of year. There will be another major shortwave trough upstream that will begin to move into the region by late in the day on Wednesday, however, models are still in a slight disagreement with the timing and proximity of this trough this far out in the forecast period. It will be something that will need to be monitored in model data for continuity in the upcoming days ahead. -Stewey && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) Issued at 1034 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 Upper ridge moves to the east today, with increasing southwest flow aloft across the state. Mid and high level cloudiness will be on the increase as well over the next 24 hrs. Snow will return to the Continental Divide by Friday midday, with conditions degrading to MVFR to IFR over mt passes by the end of the forecast period. However, much of the forecast area will experience VFR conditions over the next 24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 431 AM MST Tue Mar 1 2022 Above normal warmth will continue to build across the region today into Friday, with record high temperatures still possible across southern Colorado. Below is a list of the record high daily temperatures, as well as the forecasted high temperatures for Alamosa, Colorado Springs, and Pueblo. Record high temperature (year set), and forecast highs: Alamosa: March 3...record high: 62 (2009), forecast high for Thursday: 65 March 4...record high: 64 (2016), forecast high for Friday: 63 Colorado Springs: March 3...record high: 71 (2009), forecast high for Thursday: 74 March 4...record high: 70 (2009), forecast high for Friday: 73 Pueblo: March 3...record high: 77 (2009), forecast high for Thursday: 80 March 4...record high: 77 (2009), forecast high for Friday: 79 && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for COZ226>237. Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for COZ233-235>237. && SHORT TERM...RODRIGUEZ LONG TERM...STEWARD AVIATION...MOORE CLIMATE...RODRIGUEZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 3, 4:55 AM MST, 9 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 455 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 COZ058>089-093>099-041200- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 455 AM MST Thu Mar 3 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Critical fire weather conditions are expected across the far southeast plains this afternoon into early evening. Spotty critical fire weather conditions are possible across the far southern I-25 corridor. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday On Friday, above normal temperatures with low relative humidity values and gusty winds will result in critical fire weather conditions across all of the plains, mainly east of the I-25 corridor. Critical fire weather conditions will be likely on Saturday over the southern plains, mainly east of the southern I-25 corridor and south of the US-50. Snow showers will begin over the Central Mountains on Friday morning and spread eastward throughout the day. Some show showers will occur over the Palmer Divide later in the evening and throughout the morning on Saturday. Snow showers will continue throughout the weekend and into Monday with some snow over the plains on Sunday and along the west of the I-25 corridor on Monday. Light snowfall totals will occur over the plains and more moderate snowfall totals will occur over the mountains from Friday through Monday. A few snow showers will occur over the northern Sawatch range late in the day on Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight. RODRIGUEZ/STEWARD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2:59 PM MST | Winter Storm Warning | PUB | Conejos, Mineral, Rio Grande | 3 days |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every red flag warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.