Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2022

Red Flag Warning 46, NWS Pueblo, CO

May 12, 202215 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at May 12, 2022, 2:25 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 13, 2022, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2022, 2:25 PM MDT (20:25 UTC)
In effect from
May 13, 2022, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 13, 2022, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 281 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -32 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
5525 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

268 
WWUS85 KPUB 122025
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect through 10 PM this evening
for strong winds and very low relative humidity, for fire weather
zones 220 through 237, which includes the mountains, the valleys 
and all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Friday from 11 AM to 8 PM
for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 
220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys of south
central and southeast Colorado and El Paso County...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued from late Saturday morning
through Saturday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for fire weather zones 220 through 230, which includes the mountains
and valleys of south central and southeast Colorado, and the I-25
Corridor including El Paso County, Pueblo County, and western Huerfano
and Las Animas Counties...

COZ220>225-131230-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0039.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224 AND 225...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
220...221...222... 223...224 AND 225... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY EVENING GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224 AND 225...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning
which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Friday. A Fire Weather 
Watch has also been issued for Saturday. 

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 
  224 and 225.

* Timing...until 10 pm Thursday. Again late Friday morning through
  Friday evening and late Saturday morning through Saturday
  evening. 

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph today. West to
  southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph Friday and
  Saturday. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 4 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-227-131230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 226 and 227... 

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226 
AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226 AND 227...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Friday. A Fire 
Weather Watch has also been issued for Saturday.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226 and 227.

* Timing...until 10 pm Thursday.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph this
  afternoon. South to southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up
  to 35 mph Friday and Saturday. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 2 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-131230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch which is in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday 
evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing...until 10 pm Thursday. Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM. 

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph this
  afternoon. South to southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
  mph Saturday. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 2 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ231>237-130400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 231...232...233...234... 
  235...236 and 237.

* Timing...Until 10 pm Thursday.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 2 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
508 
WWUS85 KPUB 130348
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
948 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT 
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
221...226 AND 227...THIS INCLUDES THE ENTIRE PIKES PEAK REGION

...A Red Flag Warning expires at 10 PM this evening for strong 
winds and very low relative humidity, for fire weather zones 
220...222 to 225 and 228 through 237, which includes all areas 
except the Pikes Peak region...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Friday from 11 AM to
8 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather
zones 220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys
of south central and southeast Colorado and El Paso County...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued from late Saturday
morning through Saturday evening for gusty winds and low relative
humidity for fire weather zones 220 through 230, which includes
the mountains and valleys of south central and southeast
Colorado, and the I-25 Corridor including El Paso County, Pueblo
County, and western Huerfano and Las Animas Counties...

COZ220-222>225-132000-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
948 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...222...223...224 AND 225...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...223...224 and 
  225.

* Timing...Friday morning through Friday evening and late 
  Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 3 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-132000-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
948 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
228...229 AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 2 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ231>237-130500-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0400Z/
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
948 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

Wind have decreased and humidity values will increase as a weak
cool front moves down the plains. 

$$

COZ221-226-227-132000-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
948 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...226 and 227.

* Timing...until Midnight tonight. Again late Friday morning 
  through Friday evening and late Saturday morning through 
  Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 2 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

Hodanish
774 
WWUS85 KPUB 130404
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1004 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
221...226 AND 227...THIS INCLUDES THE ENTIRE PIKES PEAK REGION...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Friday from 11 AM to 8 
PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather 
zones 220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys of
south central and southeast Colorado and El Paso County...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued from late Saturday
morning through Saturday evening for gusty winds and low relative
humidity for fire weather zones 220 through 230, which includes
the mountains and valleys of south central and southeast
Colorado, and the I-25 Corridor including El Paso County, Pueblo
County, and western Huerfano and Las Animas Counties...

COZ221-226-227-132015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
1004 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...226 and 227.

* Timing...until Midnight tonight. Again late Friday morning 
  through Friday evening and late Saturday morning through 
  Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ220-222>225-132015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
1004 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...223...224 and 
  225.

* Timing...Friday morning through Friday evening and late 
  Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-132015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
1004 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
326 
WWUS85 KPUB 130533
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1133 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
226 AND 227...This includes all of the Pikes Peak region...

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Friday from 11 AM to 8 PM 
for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 
220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys of south
central and southeast Colorado and El Paso County...

...A Fire Weather Watch is in effect from late Saturday morning 
through Saturday evening for gusty winds and low relative humidity
for fire weather zones 220 through 230, which includes the 
mountains and valleys of south central and southeast Colorado, and
the I-25 Corridor including El Paso County, Pueblo County, and 
western Huerfano and Las Animas Counties...

COZ221-226-227-132145-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0045.000000T0000Z-220513T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
1133 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...226 and 227.

* Timing...Friday morning through Friday evening and late 
  Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ220-222>225-132145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
1133 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...222...223...224 AND 225...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...222...223...224 and 
  225.

* Timing...Friday morning through Friday evening and late 
  Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-132145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
1133 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

Hodanish
159 
WWUS85 KPUB 130939
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
339 AM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for today from 11 AM to 8 PM 
for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 
220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys of south
central and southeast Colorado, and El Paso County...

...A Fire Weather Watch is in effect from late Saturday morning
through Saturday evening for gusty winds and low relative
humidity for fire weather zones 220 through 230, which includes
the mountains and valleys of south central and southeast
Colorado, and the I-25 Corridor including El Paso County, Pueblo
County, and western Huerfano and Las Animas Counties...

COZ220>227-140145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.220513T1700Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
339 AM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...225...
226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...
225...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226 and 227.

* Timing...Friday morning through Friday evening and late 
  Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-140145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
339 AM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

Hodanish
793 
WWUS85 KPUB 132054
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
254 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for today from 11 AM to 8 PM
for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather zones
220 through 227, which includes the mountains and valleys of
south central and southeast Colorado, and El Paso County...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Saturday from 11 AM to 8
PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather 
zones 220 through 230, which includes the mountains and valleys of
south central and southeast Colorado, and the I-25 Corridor 
including El Paso County, Pueblo County, and western Huerfano and 
Las Animas Counties...

COZ220>227-141300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0047.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-220514T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
254 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
220...221...222... 223...224...225...226 AND 227...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The 
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226 and 227.

* Timing...This evening, and again late Saturday morning through 
  Saturday evening.

* Winds...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-141300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0040.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0047.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
254 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
228...229 AND 230...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in 
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is 
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
105 
WWUS85 KPUB 140146
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
746 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Saturday from 11 AM to 
8 PM for gusty winds and low relative humidity for fire weather 
zones 220 through 230, which includes the mountains and valleys of
south central and southeast Colorado, and the I-25 Corridor including
El Paso County, Pueblo County, and western Huerfano and Las Animas
Counties...

...A Red Flag Warning will expire at 8 PM tonight for gusty winds
and low relative humidity for fire weather zones 220 through 227,
which includes the mountains and valleys of south central and 
southeast Colorado, and El Paso County...

COZ220>227-141800-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-220514T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0047.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
746 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226 and 227.

* Timing...Saturday 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...West to southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 5 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ228>230-141800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0047.220514T1700Z-220515T0200Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
746 PM MDT Fri May 13 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228...229 and 230.

* Timing... Saturday from 11 AM to 8 PM.

* Winds...South to southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 
  mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 12, 12:25 PM MDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 12:25 PM MDT, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1225 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1223 PM MDT Thu May 12 2022

Due to latest model guidance as well as recent reports that
suggest occasional gusts above 50 mph being possible over El Paso
and Huerfano Counties, the High Wind Warning has been extended for
these areas until 2 PM.

UPDATE Issued at 907 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

PoPs and PotThunder has been updated due to some moderate
convection buildups over the far southeastern plains. There is
enough mid level omega forcing that could allow some more isolated
showers and/or thunderstorms. Some lightning strikes have already
shown up on radar. Dry lightning will also be possible, which could
spark a fire. -Stewey

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 327 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

Key Messages:

1) High fire danger expected for all of south central and southeast
Colorado today. High end critical fire weather conditions, with
locally extremely critical fire weather conditions are still likely.
Red Flag Warning for areas along and west of I-25 is now in effect,
as of 3 AM MDT.

2) A short window of localized southwest to west winds gusting to
around 60 mph are expected this morning through midday for El Paso
and Huerfano Counties, where a High Wind Warning is now in effect.

Early morning satellite imagery showing the fairly stout mid/upper
level low quickly approaching from the west, while flow out ahead of
this feature continues to increase. This feature and increasing flow
will be responsible for strengthening surface winds/gusts and the
arrival of much drier air to all of southern Colorado. Have already
begun to see these trends across parts of southern Colorado with
occasionally gusty winds and falling dew points noted. This has been
responsible for near critical to spotty critical fire weather
conditions over areas along and west of I-25 over the last hour or
two. With flow expected to increase and dew points falling this
morning, don't see any reason why conditions won't hold or get even
worse. So, did start the Red Flag Warning here at 3 AM for I-25 and
westward to account for these trends. Further to the east over the
plains, lee surface low is responsible for southerly winds gusting
to around 40 mph for much of the night. Dewpoint are in the upper
40s and 50s though, with RH values not a concern at this time. So
have kept the start time of 8 AM for the Red Flag Warning the same
for the eastern plains.

No big change in thinking today with very low RH values, likely area
wide around 1 percent. This will be due to some rather dry air
quickly approaching from the west, and noted this morning once again
consistently on model soundings and on recent water vapor imagery.
Additional changes to the dew points were to incorporate more of the
HRRR guidance, which I think is capturing how low the dew points
will get. So, once again, the changes made were to lower dew points
more well below zero across much of the area. Even though I lowered
them, the forecast may still likely not be low enough. Either way,
am getting RH values of around 1 percent, which is dangerously low.
This really dry air coupled with some very strong winds will once
again support very high fire danger today. Messaging for today
continues to be with widespread high end critical fire weather
conditions, with locally extremely critical fire weather conditions.
Despite the really dry and dangerous air in place today, the winds
are the limiting factor for not messaging more widespread extreme
conditions. Most locations will observe very strong winds, with
winds of 20 to 30 gusting to 40 to 50 mph. Where the locally extreme
will be today is the eastern mountains and adjacent lower elevations
where winds of 30 kt plus gusting to around 60 mph are expected.
Once again, conditions will be rather dangerous either way for all
locations today.

Did issue a High Wind Warning for El Paso and Huerfano Counties from
6 am to noon today. Expect this stout and negatively upper low to
pivot right over central Colorado this morning, providing some
mountain wave action and increase in speeds. Locations over the
eastern mountains and adjacent lower levels will be most impacted,
with gusts expected to increase to around 60 mph. While parts of
Fremont and the west/southwest areas of Pueblo may feel these
winds/gusts, don't expect coverage or duration to be enough to
include them at this time. For the higher terrain, don't expect
gusts to be quite high enough for a Warning. Upper low and stronger
flow shift northeast of the area, with the more persistent stronger
winds and gusts expected to end around midday. Do expect stronger
westerly winds to remain in place through the afternoon though, with
isolated gusts in the 50 to 60 mph briefly possible.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 327 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

...Critical to near Critical Fire Weather Conditions expected Friday
early next week in and near the mountains though conditions do
not look as extreme...

Key Messages:

1) Fire Weather Watch added for Friday for the mountains and
interior valleys

Persistent zonal flow will be in place for Friday and Saturday
before heights begin to rise with some shortwave ridging for Sunday.
Humidity levels remain very low so winds will be the determining
factor in critical fire weather conditions over the next several
days. Deep mixing should not have much trouble mixing westerly
gusts around 25 mph into the mountains and adjacent lower
elevations so have hoisted another Fire Weather Watch for Friday
for the mountains and interior valleys. Some uncertainty lingers
for the adjacent I- 25 corridor, however, where conditions may be
more spotty. El Paso county is one of these areas as enhanced
southeasterly winds on the back side of the plains surface high
could bring a 2-4 hour window of critical fire weather conditions
given the poor humidity recovery. Winds relax through the
sounding in the afternoon which leads to some uncertainty on the
persistence of the stronger winds. For now, have left El Paso
county out of the Fire Weather Watch for Friday but later shifts
may need to include this zone depending on the strength of the
southeast winds as resolved by later model runs.

Saturday does not look much different from Friday, except that lee
troughing may help spread westerly afternoon breezes farther east
into portions of the I-25 corridor. So once again we could be
looking at another critical to marginally critical fire weather
day in and near the mountains. Fortunately, neither Friday or
Saturday have the extreme magnitude of winds that today (Thursday)
carries, but given the persistent dryness of fuels, extreme care
should still be taken to avoid fire starts.

Conceptually winds should be a little weaker on Sunday under
shortwave ridging aloft, but with very low relative humidity
values, it won't take much to mix down some 20-25 mph winds in the
afternoon across the mountains and valleys. So once again,
another near critical fire weather day will be possible, but this
may be the day with the lowest fire weather risk. Temperatures
should come down a few degrees across the plains behind a
reinforcing surge of a cold front.

Temperatures heat up again early next week with weak shortwaves
riding through west to southwest flow aloft through early next
week. There will be a dry line waving west to east across the
plains each day with a low grade chance of thunderstorms across
northern and far eastern sections of the area each day, with
Tuesday looking like the best chance for thunderstorms when CAPE
could be a respectable 1000-1500 J/kg across the eastern counties.
With easterly surface flow beneath westerly flow aloft, shear
could be strong enough for a strong to severe thunderstorm or two
each day, though the position of the dry line will be the
determining factor. With best forcing expected for Tuesday, this
may be the day to watch for potential severe threat. Fire weather
risk may ramp up again for Wednesday and Thursday as strong zonal
flow with another trough riding by to the north increases winds
across southern Colorado. Unfortunately, any chances for rain look
spotty and light through the extended, so no relief is in store
for the current drought. -KT

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1125 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

VFR conditions are expected at all three TAF sites, KCOS, KPUB and
KALS, for the next 24 hours. Strong westerlies will continue to gust
for the next few hours at about 35-45kt for all three terminals.
Winds will weaken this afternoon and this evening, and eventually
diurnal wind trends will set up for tonight. Southerlies and
southwesterlies return for tomorrow afternoon, but will be much
weaker than we've seen in the past several days. KCOS will still
likely see gusts around 20-25kt tomorrow afternoon, but overall an
improvement on where we've been recently.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 10 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>237.

Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening
for COZ220>226.

High Wind Warning until 2 PM MDT this afternoon for COZ084-085-
087.

&&

UPDATE...STEWARD
SHORT TERM...RODRIGUEZ
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...EHR
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 9:27 AM MDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
927 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-131530-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
927 AM MDT Thu May 12 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

High fire danger continues today for all of south central and
southeast Colorado. High end critical fire weather conditions, with
locally extremely critical fire weather conditions are likely. Areas
of most concern for extreme conditions are the eastern mountains and
adjacent lower levels. There could be some dry lightning strikes
this morning over the far southeastern plains, which could also
spark a fire.

Local gusts to 60 mph will be possible along and west of I-25 this
morning, particularly in western El Paso and Huerfano counties.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Critical to near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
each day in and near the mountains. A Fire Weather Watch has been
posted for late Friday morning through Friday evening for the the
mountains and valleys in south central and southeast Colorado.

While breezy afternoon and winds and low relative humidity values
will keep elevated fire weather conditions across southern
Colorado into early next week, isolated thunderstorms will be
possible across the far eastern plains and northern El Paso county
Monday through Wednesday. While most thunderstorms will be high
based producing only spotty light rainfall at best, there is the
chance for a strong storm or two near the Kansas border,
especially on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

STEWARD/23

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 3:22 AM MDTHigh Wind WarningPUBEl Paso, Huerfano11 hr
May 12, 3:26 AM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, El Paso and 9 more11 hr
May 12, 2:25 PM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, El Paso and 9 more24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every red flag warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.