Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2022

Red Flag Warning 32, NWS Pueblo, CO

April 22, 202216 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Apr 22, 2022, 2:34 PM MDT for 16 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Apr 23, 2022, 10:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 22, 2022, 2:34 PM MDT (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 23, 2022, 10:00 AM MDT
Expired
Apr 23, 2022, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 23, 11:58 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 525 Ese Wetmore, COMESONET STATION RDDC2 RED CREEK.
Apr 23, 12:37 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 501 N Penrose, COMESONET STATION GW1550 PENROSE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 247 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-04-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-04-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3696 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

529 
WWUS85 KPUB 222034
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
234 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 9 AM to 9 PM MDT
Friday for gusty winds, low relative humidity values, and dry
lighting, for fire weather zones 220, 221, 222, and 224 through
237, which includes the San Luis Valley, the Wet Mountain Valley,
and all of the southeast mountains and plains. The dry lightning
may occur across Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca counties...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 10 AM to 8 PM Saturday for
gusty winds and low relative humidity values, for fire weather 
zones 224, 222 and 227 through 237, which includes the San Luis 
Valley, Fremont county, and most of the southeast plains...

COZ222-224-227>237-231245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0026.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0300Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
234 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT 
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 
222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* Timing...Friday, 9 AM to 9 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 5 percent.

* Lightning...Cloud to Ground Lightning may occur over the 
  plains today mainly across portions of Kiowa, Bent, Prowers 
  and Baca counties which could cause fire ignitions.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ220-221-225-226-230300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0300Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
234 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...225 AND 226...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...225 and 226.

* Winds...Southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* Timing...Friday, 9 AM to 9 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will occur during the warning time.
A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm
temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. Cloud to
Ground lightning may ignite grass fires over the plains.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
497 
WWUS85 KPUB 230158
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
758 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 10 PM MDT for gusty 
winds, low relative humidity values, and dry lighting, for fire 
weather zones 221, 222, and 225 through 237, which includes the 
the Wet Mountain Valley, and all of the southeast mountains and 
plains. The dry lightning may occur across Kiowa, Bent, Prowers 
and Baca counties...

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect 10 AM to 8 PM Saturday for 
gusty winds and low relative humidity values, for fire weather 
zones 224, 222 and 227 through 237, which includes the San Luis 
Valley, Fremont county, and most of the southeast plains...

COZ224-231800-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
758 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224.


* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Saturday from 10 AM to 8 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ220-230300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0300Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
758 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220.

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has cancelled the Red Flag
Warning.

Temperatures have cooled and humidity has increased behind a
passing front. This has allow for the Red Flag Warning, which was
in effect until 9 pm, to be canceled early. 

$$

COZ222-227>237-231800-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
758 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 
AND 237... 

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT 
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...227...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on Friday.
  West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up 50 mph on Saturday.

* Timing...Until 10 PM Friday. Saturday from 10 AM to 8 PM. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 4 percent.

* Lightning...Cloud to Ground Lightning may occur over the plains
  Friday evening mainly across portions of Kiowa, Bent, Prowers 
  and Baca counties which could cause fire ignitions.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ221-225-226-230400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0400Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
758 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...225 AND 226...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...225 and 226.

* Winds...West to southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing...Until 10 PM Friday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will occur during the warning time.
A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm
temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. Cloud to
Ground lightning may ignite grass fires over the plains.

&&

$$
965 
WWUS85 KPUB 230356
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
956 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect 10 AM to 8 PM Saturday for 
gusty winds and low relative humidity, for fire weather zones 
222, 224 and 227 through 237, which includes the Fremont County, 
the San Luis Valley, and most of the southeast plains...

COZ222-227>237-232000-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
956 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222... 227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 
AND 237... 

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...227...228...229...230...231...232... 
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...227...228...229... 
  230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Saturday from 10 AM to 8 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ221-225-226-230500-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220423T0400Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
956 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...225 AND 226...

Temperatures continue to cool as humidity levels rise behind 
a strong cold. Despite gusty westerly continuing this evening, 
critical fire weather conditions are no long anticipated. 

$$

COZ224-232000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
956 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
224...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Saturday from 10 AM to 8 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for extreme rates of 
  fire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
612 
WWUS85 KPUB 230937
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
337 AM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect 10 AM to 8 PM Saturday for
gusty winds and low relative humidity, for fire weather zones
222, 224 and 227 through 237, which includes the Fremont County,
the San Luis Valley, and most of the southeast plains...

COZ222-224-227>237-240145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.220423T1600Z-220424T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
337 AM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
  Strongest gusts will occur in the morning.

* Timing...Saturday from 10 AM to 8 PM.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
342 
WWUS85 KPUB 232050
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
250 PM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

...Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 8 PM this evening for
gusty winds and low relative humidity, for fire weather zones 
222, 224 and 227 through 237, which includes the Fremont County, 
the San Luis Valley, and most of the southeast plains...

COZ222-224-227>237-240200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-220424T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
250 PM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222...224...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
897 
WWUS85 KPUB 240210
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
810 PM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

COZ222-224-227>237-240315-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-220424T0200Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
810 PM MDT Sat Apr 23 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 
AND 237...

While winds may remain gusty, relative humidity values will
continue to improve this evening.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 22, 11:20 AM MDT, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 22, 11:20 AM MDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1120 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 347 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

Key Messages:

1) High Winds and Extreme Fire Danger along with extensive
blowing dust today through this evening

2) Potential for isolated Severe Thunderstorms far eastern plains

3) Snow and Blowing snow central mountains tonight

The western U.S. upper trough will take on a negative tilt today as
it moves through the Great Basin and closes off over WY and northern
CO tonight.  On the southern periphery of the storm, this will put
southeast CO under a strong mid/upper level jet core. The lee side
surface low will deepen rapidly today and will shift eastward
through the plains during the late afternoon and evening as strong
dynamics from the upper system moves in from the west. Multifaceted
hazardous weather impacts will spread across southern CO ranging
from high winds and extreme fire danger, to a localized severe
thunderstorm risk across the southeast plains...to snow and blowing
snow across the central mountains.

High Winds and Extreme Fire Danger:

The primary concern will be the high winds and extreme fire danger
which should ramp up across the San Luis Valley, southeast mountains
and southeast plains late this morning through this afternoon. Deep
mixing will bring gusts up to 60 to 70 mph, with the strongest gusts
occuring mainly south of highway 50. The lower elevations of Chaffee
county have been consistently hitting 58+ mph so will include this
zone into the suite of Red Flag Warnings.  The higher surrounding
terrain has high wind criteria gusts of 75 mph which does not look
likely at this point.  With a south southwesterly wind component,
this will pose hazards to high profile vehicles on east-west or
northwest-southeast oriented roads. Extensive blowing dust will be
likely this afternoon with the potential for 1/4 mile or lower
visibility at times especially in the more dust prone areas. It is
quite possible dust storm warnings will be needed as well, though
will have to wait to see where these pockets of more dense blowing
dust occur.  This could evolve into a long fused dust storm warning
event depending on how extensive the poor visibility gets. But for
now will let the high wind warning products address this potential.

These strong winds will coincide with very low humidity values to
result in Extreme Fire Danger across much of southern CO today.
Given the strong winds, conditions will be volatile for fire spread
and this event will be on the higher side of the Red Flag Warning
spectrum. A large enough portion of zone 220 (Chaffee and Lake
counties) will be impacted by critical fire weather conditions
today, and given that the fuels status has flipped to the critically
dry category, will be including them in the Red Flag warning.  This
will be for elevations mainly below 9500 feet.  As the cold front
crosses the mountains this evening, humidity values will come up and
Red Flag Warnings may be able to come down a little sooner for
western portions of the warning area. Otherwise, Red Flag Warnings
will continue until 9 PM.

An isolated severe thunderstorm risk still exists across the far
southeast plains late this afternoon and evening along a sharpening
dry line.  While most CAMS models keep storm initiation just east of
CO border , the high res NAM members have been consistent with a
more western dry line position and the potential for initiation
across Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca counties.  CAPE values of 2000+
J/kg will reside near the KS border with deep layer shares around 50
kts. Hodographs take on a more curved structure between 00z and 03z
with the potential for surface winds to back a bit.  The position of
the SPC marginal to slight risk severe area looks on target with
large hail and damaging winds the most likely storm risks.  An
isolated tornado can not be ruled out near the KS border, and if a
more westward dryline position does verify this could back a little
further into eastern CO. All of these mesoscale details will need to
be honed down as we see how things evolve later today. It still
looks like there will be 2 windows for severe thunderstorm
development with one this afternoon in the 21z-00z time frame along
the dry line and another this evening through around midnight as the
cold front overtakes the dry line and fires off a line of
thunderstorms which will push east into Kansas.

Snow will spread into the Continental Divide tonight. Snowfall
totals are hitting low end advisory criteria with around 2 to 7
inches of snow across western Chaffee county with a little less
across eastern Lake county.  However given the blowing snow
potential tonight, will highlight this area with winter weather
advisories as visibilities could be make travel difficult tonight
into Saturday morning.

Overall it will be a complex and multi-faceted hazardous weather
event over the next 24 hours.  Please monitor the weather closely.
-KT

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 347 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

There is decent agreement in the models through the extended
period, with modest ensemble spreads. Overall, confidence in the
extended forecast is elevated. The main concerns will be continued
fire weather conditions across the region, and rain/snow potential
through Monday.

Saturday through Monday...the strong upper level low will
continue to lift northeast away from the area, as a secondary
shortwave trough moves into Utah and across Colorado. Ahead of
this shortwave, strong westerly flow will remain in place across
southern Colorado, with another round of dangerous fire weather
conditions expected Saturday. Winds will initially be westerly,
and swing northwest during the afternoon. Gusts in excess of 40
mph are expected, and combine with humidity values near or under
10 percent to produce the dangerous fire weather conditions. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the lower elevations. Snow
shows are expected over the higher terrain, with a few inches
possible through Saturday afternoon, mainly north of Cottonwood
Pass.

The secondary shortwave trough will shift east out of Utah and
across Colorado Sunday into early Monday. As this system
approaches, a cold front will drop south over the Plains Saturday
night into Sunday morning. This will shift low level flow
northeasterly upslope, and usher in better moisture. The latest
guidance continues to indicate a decent shot of high elevation
snow, and lower elevation rains for areas along and west of the
I-25 corridor. Several inches of snow are expected, from the
Central Mountains, southeast into the Sangre de Cristo and Wet
Mountain Ranges. These areas will need to be monitored for
possible winter weather highlights. As for the lower elevations,
snow levels should remain elevated through the day on Sunday,
lowering to near 6 kft by Monday morning. A dusting of snow may be
possible over the Palmer Divide, down to near ColoradO Springs by
Monday morning. Overall, rainfall totals do not look overly
impressive with this quick moving system. Areas along the lower
slopes of the Eastern Mountains could see a quarter inch of
rainfall, while areas into the I-25 corridor could see up to a
tenth of an inch. Shower activity should come to an end Monday
morning as the upper system shifts east into the Central Plains. A
few lingering showers are possible on the Raton Mesa, ending by
Monday afternoon.

Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible across the
San Luis Valley on Sunday due to gusty southwest winds and
continued low relative humidity values.

Tuesday into Friday...flat, zonal high pressure will build across
southern Colorado for mid week before the next upper storm system
begins to impact the area by Friday. Temperatures will warm during
this period, with 80s expected across the Plains. With the drier
weather, a return to spotty, near critical fire weather conditions
are forecast, from the San Luis Valley, into the Eastern Plains
each afternoon Tuesday through Thursday. Southwesterly flow will
increase by Friday with more widespread critical fire weather
conditions possible. Weak energy moving through the ridge on
Wednesday may spark a couple of showers along the Continental
Divide. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected through late week.
Mozley

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1113 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

Mostly VFR conditions at all stations but there may be periods of
blowing dust causing LIFR conditions starting around 22Z for a
couple of hours.  Winds will be mostly gusty throughout the forecast
period with gusts ranging from 25 to 50 KTS at KCOS and KPUB and up
to 60 KTS at KALS.  Winds will be predominately out of the southwest
early in the forecast period, then out of the northwest late in the
forecast period at all stations. - Riser

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until midnight MDT tonight for COZ062-069>075-
077>080-083>089-093>099.

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ220>222-
224>237.

Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for COZ222-224-227>237.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon MDT
Saturday for COZ058-060.

&&

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...RISER
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 22, 11:37 AM MDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1137 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-231745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1137 AM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Damaging winds and extreme fire danger will spread across most of
south central and southeast Colorado through this evening. Strong
south to southwest winds will gust up to 70 mph, which when
combined with very low relative humidity and the persistently dry
conditions, will result in volatile conditions for rapid fire
spread. Strong cross winds will occur on east west oriented roads
and extensive blowing dust could reduce visibility to under 1 mile
at times. Road closures and power outages will be possible.

Isolated and potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible
near the Kansas border this afternoon and evening, with the main
hazards being hail up to 2.5 inches and damaging wind gusts of 60
mph or more. However, an isolated tornado cannot be entirely ruled
out, especially close to the Kansas border. These severe weather
risks will be highly dependent on the position of a dry line which
is expected to advance eastward across the plains late this
afternoon through tonight. For now, the area with the greatest
risk for severe thunderstorms will be Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and
Baca counties with locations along the Kansas border having the
highest risk.

Snow will spread into the mountains tonight with 2 to 7 inches of
accumulation possible by Saturday morning across the eastern Sawatch
and western Mosquito ranges. Areas of blowing snow will cause poor
visibility over the mountain passes tonight. Lighter amounts of 1 to
3 inches will be possible across the eastern San Juan and La Garita
mountains and the crest of the Sangre De Cristo mountains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Snow showers are expected Saturday from the La Garita Range, north
into the Central Mountains. Minor snow accumulations possible,
with the highest totals forecast north of Cottonwood Pass.
Dangerous fire weather conditions will spread across southern
Colorado Saturday afternoon, with winds gusting in excess of 40
mph and low humidity values.

A quick moving storm system will impact the region Sunday into
Monday with high elevation snow, and lower elevation rainfall,
mainly west of Interstate 25. Snow levels will initially start out
high, lowering to 6000 feet by Monday morning. Minor snow
accumulations are possible from the Central Mountains, south into
the Sangre de Cristo and Wet Mountain Ranges. A dusting of snow
may be possible by Monday morning over the Palmer Divide. Near
critical fire weather conditions will remain possible over the San
Luis Valley on Sunday.

Spotty, critical fire weather conditions will be possible each
afternoon, Tuesday through Thursday due to low relative humidity
values, and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely today and tonight across all of south central and southeast
Colorado.

GARBEROGLIO/10

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
118 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY       37.86N 104.83W
04/22/2022  M53 MPH          HUERFANO           CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CO029 025S066 APACHE CITY.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:20 PM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
120 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW PUEBLO WEST       38.34N 104.82W
04/22/2022  M50 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION AR893 ARVADA.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:28 PM MDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
128 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE COLORADO CITY      37.95N 104.84W
04/22/2022  M50 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CW4784 COLORADO CITY.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 22, 2:16 PM MDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
216 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE           38.21N 105.00W
04/22/2022  M50 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION RDDC2 RED CREEK.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 22, 2:18 PM MDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
218 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S FOUNTAIN            38.57N 104.70W
04/22/2022  M50 MPH          EL PASO            CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FW6605 FOUNATIN.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 22, 2:19 PM MDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
219 PM MDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 9 NNW WOODLAND PARK     39.11N 105.14W
04/22/2022  M58 MPH          TELLER             CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION HACC2 MANCHESTER.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 22, 3:55 AM MDTWinter Weather AdvisoryPUBChaffee, Lake, Saguache35 hr
Apr 22, 3:59 AM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley and 10 more11 hr
Apr 22, 1:06 PM MDTBlowing Dust AdvisoryPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla and 13 more10 hr
Apr 22, 3:39 PM MDTDust Storm WarningPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Rio Grande, Saguache96 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every red flag warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.