Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Pueblo, CO

508 
WWUS85 KPUB 061545
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
945 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 9 PM this evening 
for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather zones 
224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and 
all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Thursday from 11 AM 
to 8 PM for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather 
zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley 
and all of the southeast plains...

COZ224-226>237-070745-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220407T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1700Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
945 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing...Winds increasing this morning and persisting through 
  the late evening hours. Winds are expected to diminish tonight 
  but increase again later Thursday morning, and then continue 
  through early Thursday evening.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread today and again on Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

572 
WWUS85 KPUB 062056
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
256 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 9 PM this evening
for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather zones
224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and
all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Thursday from 11 AM
to 8 PM for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather
zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley
and all of the southeast plains...

COZ224-226>237-071300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220407T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1700Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
256 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will slowly decrease over the far eastern plains
  late this afternoon into this evening. Winds are expected to 
  increase again late Thursday morning, and then continue through 
  early Thursday evening.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread today and again on Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Hodanish

190 
WWUS85 KPUB 070143
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
743 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 9 PM this evening
for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather zones
224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and
all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning is now in effect for Thursday from 9 AM
until 8 PM for strong winds and low humidity values for fire 
weather zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis
Valley and all of the southeast plains...

COZ224-226>237-071745-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1500Z-220408T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220407T0300Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
743 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing...Winds will slowly decrease over the far eastern plains
  late this afternoon into this evening. Winds are expected to
  increase again Thursday morning, and then continue through 
  early Thursday evening.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

354 
WWUS85 KPUB 070253
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
853 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...The Red Flag Warning will expire at 9 PM this evening for 
fire weather zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the 
San Luis Valley and all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Thursday from 9 AM 
until 8 PM for strong winds and low humidity values for fire 
weather zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis
Valley and all of the southeast plains...

COZ224-226>237-071900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220407T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1500Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
853 PM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...
236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on
  Thursday.

* Timing...Winds will increase again Thursday morning, and then 
  continue through early Thursday evening.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread on Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

987 
WWUS85 KPUB 070935
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
335 AM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 9 AM until 8 PM today 
for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather zones 
224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and 
all of the southeast plains...

COZ224-226>237-080145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1500Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
335 AM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224...226...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 and 237.

* Winds...North 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph, strongest 
across the far southeast plains.

* Timing...From 9 AM to 8 PM Thursday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread on Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

508 
WWUS85 KPUB 071454
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
854 AM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 9 AM until 8 PM
today for strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather
zones 224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley
and all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM Friday for
strong winds and low relative humidity values for fire weather
zones 234, 236 and 237, which includes Kiowa, Prowers and Baca
Counties...

COZ234-236-237-080700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0017.220408T1700Z-220409T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1500Z-220408T0200Z/
Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
854 AM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
234...236 AND 237... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
234...236 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Friday.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 234...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph for
  today, northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph for Friday.

* Timing...From 9 AM to 8 PM today, and 11 AM to 7 PM for Friday.

* Relative Humidity...10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread on Thursday and Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ224-226>233-235-080200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.220407T1500Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Bent County Including Las Animas-
854 AM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233 and 235.

* Winds...North 25 to 35 mph with gusts 50 to 60 mph.

* Timing...From 9 AM to 8 PM today.

* Relative Humidity...10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread through this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

629 
WWUS85 KPUB 072053
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
253 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 8 PM today for 
strong winds and low humidity values for fire weather zones 224 
and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and all of
the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 11 AM until 7 PM 
Friday for strong winds and low relative humidity values for fire 
weather zones 234, 236 and 237, which includes Kiowa, Prowers and 
Baca Counties...

COZ234-236-237-081300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220408T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0017.220408T1700Z-220409T0100Z/
Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
253 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
234...236 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 234...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 234...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts 50 to 65 mph through
  this evening, northwest 15 to 25 with gusts to 35 mph on Friday.

* Timing...until 8 PM today, and 11 AM to 7 PM for Friday.

* Relative Humidity...10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread on Thursday and Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ224-226>233-235-080200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Bent County Including Las Animas-
253 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224...226...227...228... 
  229...230...231...232...233 and 235.

* Winds...North 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Timing...until 8 PM today.

* Relative Humidity...10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread through this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

712 
WWUS85 KPUB 080145
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
745 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...A Red Flag Warning will expire at 8 PM for fire weather zones 
224 and 226 through 237, which includes the San Luis Valley and 
all of the southeast plains...

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from 11 AM until 7 PM
Friday for strong winds and low relative humidity values for fire
weather zones 234, 236 and 237, which includes Kiowa, Prowers and
Baca Counties...

COZ234-236-237-081745-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220408T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0017.220408T1700Z-220409T0100Z/
Kiowa County Including Eads-Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
745 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 234...236 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 234...236 and 237.

* Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Timing...11 AM to 7 PM Friday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ224-226>233-235-080245-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220408T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Bent County Including Las Animas-
745 PM MDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233 AND 235...

Winds have begun to decrease and relative humidity is expected to
recover quickly after sunset, putting an end to Red Flag
conditions. A few areas of gusty winds to around 30 knots will
persist for a few more hours. 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
331 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 330 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

Key messages:

1) Windy again today with Critical Fire Weather conditions expected
across much of south central and southeast Colorado.

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis continues to
indicate strong northwest flow aloft across the region, as a strong
120 kt jet core digs down the backside of a long wave trough and
upper low across the Rockies and Upper Midwest. At the surface,
regional radars, satellite and observations at 3 am are indicating a
secondary cold front pushing south across eastern El Paso County
through Kiowa County, with MSAS data indicating 3 hrly pressure
rises of 2-3 mb across northeastern Colorado attm.

No big changes in the current forecast for today, as flow aloft
remains progged to become more northerly but remains strong with the
jet continuing to dig down the back side of the Upper Midwest low
pressure system. With increasing gradient flow and expected mixing,
will see north to northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 40
to 60 mph across south central and southeast Colorado again today,
with the strongest winds across the far southeast plains where a
High Wind Warning is in effect from 9 AM to 7 PM. The strong winds
may also produce areas of blowing dust across the eastern plains
this afternoon, as well as areas of blowing snow across the higher
terrain, mainly over and near the higher elevations of the Sawatch
Range.

Temperatures aloft cool with the digging system leading to cooler
temperatures today and highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s across the
lower elevations, and mainly in the 20s and 30s across the higher
terrain. Latest model data and current observations indicate much
drier air moving into the region within the northerly flow aloft,
with dew pts already in the single digits across northern and
eastern portions of Colorado this morning. With that said and in
spite of the cooler temperatures, Critical Fire Weather conditions
are expected to be met across the San Luis Valley and the southeast
Plains where Red Flag Warnings will start at 9 AM and continue
through 9 PM. The strong winds look to decouple through the late
evening hours, and with the dry airmass in place, overnight lows
will be on the chilly side, mainly in the 20s across the plains and
in the single digits through the teens across the higher terrain.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

Key Messages:

1) Critical fire weather conditions expected on Thursday.

2) High Wind Watch issued from late morning on Thursday lasting
through early evening for the eastern plains along the Kansas border.

3) Potential for fire weather conditions on Saturday through Tuesday
over portions of plains and for the San Luis Valley.

4) Closed low will develop over the Great Basin Monday and Tuesday
bringing potential for rain over the lower elevations and snow over
the higher elevations.

Thursday:

Strong winds and critical fire weather conditions are expected for
Thursday, late morning through evening. A cut-off upper level low
will remain in place over the midwest and its associated jet streak
will orient itself from north-northwest to south-southeast over
plains. A dry continental-arctic airmass, though relatively warm,
will bring very dry air across the region. Strong winds will
coincide with the dry air which will lead to critical fire weather
conditions, therefore a Red Flag Warning has been issued from 11am -
8pm on Thursday for the San Luis Valley and all of the plains. The
strongest winds are expected to be near the Kansas border and from
11am through 7pm wind gusts around 50kts are possible, therefore a
High Wind Watch has been issued during the aforementioned time
period. Blowing dust was also included in the weather grids,
primarily near the Kansas border.

Friday and Saturday:

A similar pattern to Thursday is expected, however the upper level
jet will be weaker and further to the east and and amplified ridge
will develop over the western portion of the state. Low dew points
are once again expected, but winds will be weaker. At this time, the
forecast winds will be too weak for critical fire weather conditions
over the majority of the state, however near the Kansas border some
near 20kt winds are expected, so near critical fire weather
conditions will exist.

Another upper level system will make its way from the Pacific
Northwest towards Colorado. Downslope winds off of the Rockies will
create another potential critical fire weather day over the San Luis
Valley and the I-25 corridor. There is some divergence amongst
ensemble guidance, which would effect how strong the winds are at
the surface. The EPS has weaker wave located further north than the
GEFS, which would result in weaker winds over the aforementioned
area. The GEFS has a stronger wave that is further south, which
would result in stronger wind at the surface. So overall, expect
near critical fire weather conditions over the San Luis Valley and I-
25 corridor, with an upside of being critical.

Sunday through Tuesday:

A weak wave will push a cold front over the region on Sunday, which
may bring scattered snow showers to the mountains and isolated rain
showers over the lower elevations. Near critical fire weather
conditions are possible over the San Luis Valley and the I-25
corridor. The I-25 corridor's fire weather conditions will be
dependent on how fast the cold front moves over the plains.

There is ensemble agreement that a closed low will develop over the
Great Basin region beginning Monday and Tuesday (and beyond), though
there is plenty of disagreement of the intensity and the exact
location. Honestly, it is hard to say which one is correct. The
general idea of impacts will be near critical fire weather
conditions over the San Luis Valley and portions of the plains. A
cold front may bring more widespread rainfall over the plains. The
front will determine where near critical fire weather conditions are
and where the precipitation chances are. Again, hard to give fine
details at this point.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 330 AM MDT Wed Apr 6 2022

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours at COS, PUB and
ALS. Gusty north winds will prevail across all of south central and
southeast Colorado today with winds increasing through the morning
to between 30-45 kts at COS and PUB which will then continue through
afternoon. North to northwest winds gusting to 35 kts remain
expected at ALS into the afternoon. Winds will gradually decrease
through late afternoon and evening for all three terminals.&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening
for COZ224-226>237.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Thursday for COZ224-
226>237.

High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 7 PM MDT this
evening for COZ095>099.

High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening
for COZ095>099.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...SKELLY
AVIATION...MW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
942 PM MDT Tue Apr 5 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-070345-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
942 PM MDT Tue Apr 5 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong winds will gradually decrease overnight but will remain
windy across most areas with gusts up to 30 to 45 mph. This will
cause patchy blowing dust across the plains and areas of blowing
snow across the higher mountains. Light snow across the central
mountains will diminish after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Another round of strong winds and high fire danger will spread
across southern Colorado with critical fire weather conditions
expected across the San Luis Valley and all of the southeast
plains beginning late Wednesday morning and continuing through
Wednesday evening. Strong north winds gusting to 60 mph will be
possible across eastern portions of Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca
counties on Wednesday.

Critical fire weather conditions will likely return to the area
for Thursday as another round of strong winds and low relative
humidity impact the region. Friday and Saturday will be a little
less windy, but smaller areas of high fire danger will be
possible both days. Winds increase again for Sunday and Monday
with a return of critical fire weather conditions for the plains
and some showers for the mountains and valleys.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible across the central mountains and far southeast plains
tonight.

31/31