Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Warnings in 2022

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 27, 2022Custer County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood warning at Jun 27, 2022, 4:47 PM MDT for Custer County, Fremont County, Saguache County, Colorado. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2022, 4:47 PM MDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2022, 6:51 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Custer County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2022-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-443 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1503 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

395 
WGUS55 KPUB 272247
FFWPUB
COC027-043-109-280200-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.W.0005.220627T2247Z-220628T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
447 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Hayden Pass Burn Scar in...
  Southwestern Fremont County in central Colorado...
  Northeastern Saguache County in central Colorado...
  Northwestern Custer County in southeastern Colorado...

* Until 800 PM MDT.

* At 447 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. The expected rainfall 
  rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts up to 
  1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing 
  or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass
           Burn Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Moore
4 follow-up statements
894 
WGUS75 KPUB 272256
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
456 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COC027-043-109-280200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220628T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
456 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, 
NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES...

At 456 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Up to 1 inch of rain has 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1.5 to 2.5 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the warned 
area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1.5-2.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Moore
800 
WGUS75 KPUB 272319
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
519 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COC027-043-109-280200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220628T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
519 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, 
NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES...

At 519 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Up to 1.5 inches of rain has 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts up to 1/2 inch are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Moore
812 
WGUS75 KPUB 280012
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
612 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COC027-043-109-280200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220628T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
612 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, 
NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTIES...

At 612 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain 
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts up to 1/2 inch are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hayden Pass Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
Cutty's Resort On Hayden Creek Road and Big Cottonwood Creek along 
County Road 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Hayden Pass Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also 
be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away 
in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Moore
451 
WGUS75 KPUB 280051
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
651 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COC027-043-109-280101-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220628T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Fremont CO-Saguache CO-
651 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAYDEN PASS BURN SCAR IS CANCELLED 
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FREMONT, NORTHEASTERN SAGUACHE AND NORTHWESTERN 
CUSTER COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3830 10585 3837 10579 3829 10565 3822 10575

$$

Moore

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 27, 3:05 PM MDT, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 3:05 PM MDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
305 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 254 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

Key messages:

1) Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected tomorrow
afternoon, which poses a low risk for flash flooding over the Chalk
Cliffs and the burn scars.

Currently:

Showers have moved out the region over the eastern plains, but
showers and thunderstorms have developed over mountains and parts of
the mountain valleys. Environmentally, clearing over the mountain
and mountain valleys has allowed for an increase in instability,
with values near 1000 J/kg across the I-25 corridor and west. 0-6km
bulk shear values are around 30 to 35 kts over the El Paso County,
in response to low level winds from the east-southeast and upper
level wind from the Northwest. One note is that the winds are
notably stronger than model's depiction of what was supposed to
happen today, meaning that there is more mass transport heading
towards the Pikes Peak Region. This leads me to believe there is a
bit better of a chance for thunderstorm development later this
afternoon and into this evening.

Tonight and Tomorrow:

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the mountains,
mountain valleys, and the northern I-25 corridor this evening. With
thunderstorms developing in an environment with around 1000 J/kg of
CAPE, there is a chance for flash flooding over the Chalk Cliffs and
the Decker and Hayden Pass burn scar. Like mentioned before there is
the possibility for a stronger storm over the northern I-25 corridor
in El Paso County, since the environment has around 1000 J/kg of
CAPE and 0-6km bulk shear values of around 30 to 35 kts. All storms
should dissipate by around midnight tonight.

Thunderstorm coverage will become more isolated than scattered
tomorrow afternoon, but as with previous day before tomorrow, there
is a low end chance for burn scar flash flooding and flash flooding
over the Chalk Cliffs. Environmentally, CAPE values greater than 500
J/kg are expected over the majority of the region, however the
limiting factor will be any large scale ascent to initiate
thunderstorms. We will return to the warm temperatures tomorrow,
with high temperatures in the low to mid 90s across the plains and
the upper 70s to low 80s over the mountain valleys.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 254 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

Key messages:

1) Isolated PM thunderstorms are going to be possible over the
mountains, with a very slight chance over the adjacent plains/I-25
corridor on Wednesday.

2) Better chance of widely scattered PM thunderstorms over the
mountains and an increasing chance over the plains on Thursday. Most
areas will see a chance of PM storms from Friday through Monday.

3) Temperatures will be very warm Wednesday through Thursday,
followed by a slight cooling trend on Friday through Saturday after
passage of a cool front Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will
rebound again Sunday through Monday.

Detailed discussion:

Tuesday night through Wednesday...

Any remaining isolated showers and/or thunderstorms over the
mountains will continue to diminish during the evening hours on
Tuesday. The HRRR is showing only a few discrete cells being over
the San Juans until around 7 PM and then a weak cell a little later
in evening around 10 PM over the northern Sawatch Range. The NAM 4km
Nest is similar in showing a few cells still over the central
mountains and Rampart Range, and one discrete cell over the southern
Sangre de Cristo Mountains, which all weaken by 9 PM. Skies will
continue to clear and winds will become light across all of the CWA
with temperatures dropping down into the mid 50s to low 60s over the
plains, and the upper 30s to around 50 for high country.

The ridge will begin to flatten and troughing upstream will allow
for the mid and upper level winds to become a little more
southwesterly at the 700mb level and westerly at the 500mb level.
The monsoonal moisture plume does tend to be shifted back to the
west a bit more than the models have been displaying in previous
days. Mid level flow will become primarily out of the northwest,
although with moisture an instability lacking, most of the
thunderstorms that do form from orographic lifting will remain over
the mountains. With mid level flow being relatively weak, there is
the possibility that some thunderstorms that develop over burn scar
areas could become stationary and bring about the possibility of
flash flooding, although the risk of this is low. Instability will
be even less over the plains, and therefore any thunderstorms that
do move off the mountains and over the adjacent plains will likely
be short lived. Temperatures will warm back to the seasonal average
or even slightly above for locations on the plains and southerly
flow at the surface increases. downsloping southwesterly winds will
result in very warm temperatures over the plains and valleys, near
100 degrees for some locations in the lower Arkansas River Valley.

Thursday through Friday...

On Thursday, with even more of a west-northwesterly mid level wind
flow as weak longwave troughing to the north sends a minor 500mb
perturbation over the region. This will also send a cool front
through the area during the afternoon on Thursday, although timing
is not completely certain at this point as models vary. If the front
moves through a little sooner than what the ensembles reflect at
this time (of around 3 PM over the northern portions of the CWA and
5 PM over southern portions), then this could keep max temperatures
from getting to be quite as warm as what is currently displayed on
the plains and also allow for some potentially stronger to severe
thunderstorm development along the boundary. Otherwise, max
temperatures will be very warm with the downsloping southwesterly
winds ahead of the trough, heating up the valleys and the plains at
or slightly above the seasonal average.

On Friday, as the monsoonal moisture plume remains in place and
there is persistent northwesterly flow in the mid to upper levels,
thunderstorms will become widely scattered to numerous during the
afternoon and then move over the plains later in the evening.
Potential flash flooding with ample moisture available will be
possible, especially over burn scar areas. Behind the frontal
passage on Thursday afternoon, cooler air advection will result in a
cooling trend on Friday through Saturday, where high temperatures
will be anywhere from 5 to 10 degrees below the seasonal average.

Saturday through Monday...

Ensembles and deterministic models have varied slightly but remain
fairly consistent with the longwave trough propagating to the
northeast and then ridging occuring behind it over the Great Basin
on Saturday that will move over the region on Sunday and Monday with
a negatively tilted axis. There will also be a decaying upper level
low over California and the remnants of a tropical system that will
be absorbed into the ridge and enhance the mid level monsoonal
moisture plume. This will allow for further destabilization in the
mid levels, allowing for an uptick in thunderstorm development later
in the afternoon and evening over most areas for all three days.
With the 700-500mb level winds remaining out of the west-northwest,
this will help to push off any convection over the mountains into
the plains by later in the evening. Numerous thunderstorms could
result in flash flooding, especially over burn scar areas.
Temperatures will be the coolest on Saturday, then begin to warm
back up by Sunday through Monday as the ridge moves over and
southerly to southwesterly surface winds increase over the CWA.
-Stewey

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 254 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

All TAF stations, KALS, KCOS and KPUB, will have VFR conditions
through the end of the forecast period.  Winds will be mostly light
at all TAF stations, but will have brief gusty periods due to
outflow winds during showers and thunderstorms.  Cigs could lower at
any of the TAF stations during thunderstorm activity, but the
prevailing condition is expected to be VFR.  Overnight at KPUB,
according to model soundings, there will be a period of ground
saturation, but conditions are not looking favorable for radiational
fog formation.
- RISER

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RISER/SKELLY
LONG TERM...STEWARD
AVIATION...RISER/SKELLY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 11:49 AM MDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1149 AM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-281800-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1149 AM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop over mainly the mountains and mountain valleys this
afternoon into this evening. If those showers develop over a burn
scar or the chalk cliffs, flash flooding will be possible. A few
storms may move east into the Interstate 25 corridor, especially
across El Paso and Pueblo Counties. While the risk of severe
weather is low at this time, a few stronger storms capable of
producing wind gusts to around 50 mph and hail to the size of
pennies are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Isolated to scattered higher based afternoon thunderstorms will
remain possible into the middle of the work week, with the best
coverage of storms expected over the higher terrain. More widespread
showers and thunderstorms will return for later in the work week
and into the 4th of July Holiday weekend, with an expected
resurgence of available moisture across the Rockies. This will
again lead to an increased threat of flash flooding, especially
over area burn scars.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

SKELLY/23

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 27, 12:47 PM MDT, 4 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1247 PM MDT MON JUN 27 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE SPANISH PEAKS     37.45N 104.92W
06/27/2022  M0.68 INCH       HUERFANO           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.68 INCHES OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
            OVERNIGHT. 1.00 REPORTED ON 6/26 FOR A STORM
            TOTAL OF 1.68 INCHES.

&&
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 2:50 PM MDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
250 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COZ060-065-069-272115-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
250 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Saguache County through 315 PM MDT...

At 248 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bonanza, or 15 miles southwest of Decker Burn Scar, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Villa Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3825 10624 3834 10612 3825 10592 3807 10614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 314DEG 9KT 3824 10612

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 3:28 PM MDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
328 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COZ081-083-272200-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
328 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Fremont
and southeastern Teller Counties through 400 PM MDT...

At 328 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Victor, or 18 miles southwest of Colorado Springs, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Fremont and southeastern Teller Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 10526 3881 10513 3872 10497 3858 10515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 319DEG 8KT 3872 10514

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 4:27 PM MDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
427 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COZ069-070-072-073-272300-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
427 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Alamosa
and southeastern Saguache Counties through 500 PM MDT...

At 427 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Crestone Peak, or 27 miles south of Hayden Pass Burn Scar, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Alamosa and southeastern Saguache Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3795 10577 3800 10565 3783 10549 3775 10568
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 335DEG 17KT 3791 10566

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 4:38 PM MDT, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
438 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

COZ072-073-077-272315-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
438 PM MDT Mon Jun 27 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Fremont, northwestern Custer and northeastern Saguache Counties
through 515 PM MDT...

At 438 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Coaldale, or near Hayden Pass Burn Scar, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Coaldale around 445 PM MDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Hayden Pass Burn
Scar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3839 10592 3845 10580 3831 10564 3821 10581
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 323DEG 11KT 3835 10583

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MOORE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 2:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache25 min
Jun 27, 3:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller32 min
Jun 27, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont, Teller33 min
Jun 27, 4:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster33 min
Jun 27, 4:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont37 min
Jun 27, 4:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont24 min
Jun 27, 5:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa33 min
Jun 27, 5:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont29 min
Jun 27, 5:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache26 min
Jun 27, 5:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every flash flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.