Alert archive / Idaho / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Pocatello, ID

September 21, 2022Cassia County, Oneida County, Power County, Idaho

NWS Pocatello, ID issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 21, 2022, 4:34 PM MDT for Cassia County, Oneida County, Power County, Idaho. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2022, 4:34 PM MDT (22:34 UTC)
Expired
Sep 21, 2022, 5:00 PM MDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Pocatello, ID
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Cassia County, ID, Oneida County, ID, Power County, ID

The radar

The Pocatello radar (KSFX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 21, 12:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2022-09-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 52 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2022-09-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
52 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2043 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 21, 1:20 PM MDT, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 21, 1:20 PM MDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
120 PM MDT Wed Sep 21 2022

.SHORT TERM...tonight through Thursday night.

Upper low over northern California will move into eastern Oregon
tonight before arriving in western Montana on Thursday. Central
and eastern Idaho is under a favorable area for severe
thunderstorms with over 50kts of 0-6km shear present over the
region. Main severe threat includes large hail and damaging winds,
an isolated tornado due to interaction with the terrain is
possible but not likely because of weak low level shear. A severe
thunderstorms watch is in effect for most of central and east
Idaho into the early evening hours. A cold front will march
through the area this evening, with cooler more stable air
filtering into the region. HREF shows rounds of showers and
thunderstorms moving from southwest to northeast through the
night. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through the day
tomorrow, mainly across the high country. Storms are moving rather
quickly which will limit the flooding threat, however, given
precipitable water values of greater than 0.75" some heavy
downpours are possible. As these storms advance into the upper
Snake highlands, we expect the rainfall totals to mount through
the night and into Thursday. Rainfall totals of 0.1-0.5" inches
are likely most areas with 0.7-1.5" possible across the greater
Island Park/Driggs areas. Rainfall amounts may vary greatly
depending upon which areas see storms tonight.

13

.LONG TERM...Friday through Wednesday
The extended forecast is looking warm and dry for the most part.
Ridging starts to build back in on Friday and strengthens throughout
the weekend and early next week. We will still be a bit breezy on
Friday as the closed low continues farther north an east with gusts
around 15-25 kts. As the ridge strengthens, our temperatures will
warm into the upper 70s and low 80s by Sunday and stay above average
for this time of the year at least into midweek. Generally speaking,
record highs next week are in the low to mid 80s, so we will be back
in record-high territory with our afternoon highs Monday through
Wednesday. The higher elevations will see highs in the mid to upper
70s. There is a bit of disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF on
timing, but both models show a weak shortwave working its way
through during the late Tuesday/Wednesday time frame. This would
help flatten the ridge a bit ahead of the next potential system
arriving at the end of next week. As that system is outside of the
forecast period and over a week away, there are plenty of
uncertainties with it and for now is just something to watch as
models evolve over the next week. AMM

&&

.AVIATION...18Z Wednesday - 18Z Thursday
Expect showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon, evening, and
overnight into Thursday. Conditions look to stay overall VFR, but
CIGs/VIS will approach and could drop to MVFR when storms pass over
terminals. These storms could produce some good downpours,
lightning, and gusty winds. Some storms could be severe, producing
60+ mph gusts. Outside of storms, gusts around 20-25 kts will be
possible, though gusts from outflow boundaries could be stronger.
While the bulk of the widespread activity looks to wrap up around
12Z Thursday, spotty showers will continue through Thursday before
we dry out completely by Friday morning. AMM

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A low pressure system and associated cold front
will work through the region tonight. Many areas will see showers
and thunderstorms with widespread wetting rains likely. Isolated
to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are possible
Thursday. Gusty winds are likely as well on Thursday with gusts of
20-25 mph possible..

13

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 21, 4:02 PM MDT, 32 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 21, 4:18 PM MDT, 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 21, 4:24 PM MDT, 10 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 21, 4:27 PM MDT, 7 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 21, 4:27 PM MDT, 7 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 21, 4:33 PM MDT, 1 minute before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Pocatello, ID issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 12:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHPower37 min
Sep 21, 12:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBannock37 min
Sep 21, 1:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBlaine41 min
Sep 21, 1:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHCuster39 min
Sep 21, 2:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHLincoln, Minidoka42 min
Sep 21, 2:10 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBear Lake, Franklin50 min
Sep 21, 2:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHCaribou42 min
Sep 21, 2:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBannock, Bear Lake, Caribou34 min
Sep 21, 2:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBlaine, Custer, Lincoln65 min
Sep 21, 2:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHPower62 min
Sep 21, 3:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHTeton37 min
Sep 21, 3:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHButte67 min
Sep 21, 4:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHPower33 min
Sep 21, 4:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPIHButte, Clark, Jefferson46 min
Sep 21, 4:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHPower46 min
Sep 21, 5:31 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHClark44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Idaho, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.