Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2022

Small Craft Advisory 104, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 14, 2022

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Dec 14, 2022, 3:36 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 15, 2022, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2022, 3:36 PM EST (20:36 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 15, 2022, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 15, 2022, 6:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

926 
WHUS71 KPHI 142036
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
336 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

ANZ450>452-150930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.221215T1700Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0022.221215T2300Z-221216T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T1700Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
336 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts 
  up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 12 ft expected. For the Small Craft 
  Advisory, east winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 4 to 7 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM Thursday to noon EST 
  Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from noon to 6 PM EST 
  Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gusts near storm force are possible
  early Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-150930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.221215T1700Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0022.221215T2300Z-221216T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
336 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts 
  up to 40 kt and very rough waters expected. For the Small Craft 
  Advisory, east winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM Thursday to 4 AM EST 
  Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from noon to 6 PM EST 
  Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-150930-
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0022.221215T1700Z-221216T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T1700Z-221216T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
336 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  seas 7 to 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From noon Thursday to 6 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and seas will build quickly Thursday
  afternoon with gale force wind gusts expected by late afternoon
  and evening. A few gusts near storm force are possible Thursday
  night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

Staarmann
3 follow-up statements
550 
WHUS71 KPHI 150826
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
326 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

ANZ450>452-152130-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.221215T1700Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T1700Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
326 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts 
  up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 12 ft expected. For the Small Craft 
  Advisory, east winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 4 to 7 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Great Egg Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to noon 
  EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from noon today to 6 
  PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gusts near storm force are possible 
  early Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-152130-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.221215T1700Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
326 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts 
  up to 40 kt and very rough waters expected. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, east winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt 
  and rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 4 AM 
  EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from noon today to 6 
  PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-152130-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T1700Z-221216T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
326 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and 
  seas 6 to 11 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet NJ to Fenwick 
  Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From noon today to 6 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and seas will build quickly 
  Thursday afternoon with gale force wind gusts expected by late 
  afternoon and evening. A few gusts near storm force are 
  possible Thursday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

Johnson
929 
WHUS71 KPHI 151716
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1216 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

ANZ450>452-152315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T1700Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
1216 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts 
  up to 45 kt and seas 7 to 12 ft expected. For the Small Craft 
  Advisory, east winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 4 to 7 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to noon 
  EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gusts near storm force are possible 
  early Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-152315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.221215T2300Z-221216T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1216 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt and very rough waters expected. For the Small Craft
  Advisory, east winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 4 AM 
  EST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-152315-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-221216T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1216 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and 
  seas 6 to 11 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and seas will build quickly this
  afternoon with gale force wind gusts expected by late afternoon
  and evening. A few gusts near storm force are possible tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

Staarmann
081 
WHUS71 KPHI 152307
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
607 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

ANZ430-431-160900-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-221216T0900Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
607 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and very 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-161215-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-221215T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-221216T1700Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
607 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 12 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-161100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-221216T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
607 PM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  seas 6 to 11 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 14, 3:33 PM EST, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 3:33 PM EST, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
333 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will break down this evening leading to thickening
skies overnight. A coastal low will develop and bring a mixture of
wintry weather early Thursday before transitioning to all rain
Thursday night into Friday. High pressure will build throughout the
weekend and into the middle of next week with below normal
temperatures in store.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
The large scale weather pattern remains dominated by a blocking
pattern over the North Atlantic and this is continuing to hold a
strong, expansive high in place off to our north. This feature has
held cold and dry across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The low
that will be responsible for our weather remains off to our west
across the Midwest.

The quiet and chilly weather has persisted through the day today as
a ridge of high pressure extending from well off to our north into
Ontario continues to dominate. Afternoon satellite shows a fairly
expansive cirrus shield primarily still off to our west, and it will
continue to push closer overhead and upper level clouds will thicken
through this evening as the system approaches. Despite dew points
expected to be in the low teens tonight, low temperatures will
bottom out in the 20s areawide with the cloud cover and elevated
winds offsetting optimal radiational cooling.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Summary: Forecast remains on track for a significant coastal storm
expected to impact the area Thursday through Friday with heavy rain,
wintry precipitation, strong winds, and the potential for coastal
flooding. There were not any wholesale changes with this update as
guidance consensus remains quite good with this system overall. One
thing to note though is the GFS still has a slightly colder solution
than most of the other models as it also tracks the low slightly
farther south and east. This is worth mentioning due to potential
impacts on ptypes. Given the synoptic setup and upper jet structure
with the large, dominant upper low well to our west, we think that a
more north/west solution is more likely.

The Winter Storm Watch was upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for
Monroe County and to a Winter Weather Advisory for Carbon County.
Given the marginal thermodynamic profiles and poor SLRs, the
combination of snow and ice totals are anticipated to warrant a
Warning for Monroe County. However, if confidence increases in
Warning level impacts for Carbon County, the Advisory may need to be
upgraded to a Warning in a future update. The previously issued
Winter Weather Advisory was expanded to include Kent and Queen
Anne's Counties in maryland where confidence has increased that a
light glaze of ice may impact the morning commute. Elsewhere, Winter
Weather Advisories remain in effect for the remaining E/SE
Pennsylvania counties as well as the NJ counties adjacent to the
Philly metro, NW NJ, and northern DE.

Details...

The period will start off quiet overnight with the cold and dry
surface high over Quebec ridging southward into the mid Atlantic
region. Meanwhile, a large surface low impacting the north central
US and Mississippi River Valley will slowly push north and east,
gradually impeding on high pressure across the Northeast. Low clouds
will increase overnight as the large storm system inches closer to
the region, but we will still see temps drop into the low to upper
20s across the area. This cold, dry airmass in place will be an
important factor as the large low pressure system moves into the
region, beginning early Thursday morning.

The big picture shows a primary low over the Midwest early Thursday
with a secondary low beginning to take shape over the SE CONUS near
the system's triple point. This low will then track northeastward
along the coast relatively slowly Thursday through Friday while
deepening. This still doesn't look to be an exceptionally rapidly
deepening low. However the problem will be the strong high banked to
the north supplying the cold air for the wintry precip, slowing the
system down bringing a more prolonged period of moderate to heavy
precip. This will also force a very strong pressure gradient causing
strong E/NE winds by Thursday night into early Friday. So confidence
remains high we will have windy/stormy weather for the Thursday
through Friday period with significant precip amounts.

The onset of precipitation will begin early Thursday morning across
the Delmarva, southeast PA, and extreme southern NJ. Around
daybreak, precip will start light with primarily snow NW of the I-95
corridor with a light mix of rain, snow, sleet, and freezing rain
near and SE of the I-95 corridor, including southern DE and the
Eastern Shores of MD. Through the morning, precip begins to spread
gradually north and east across the region while increasing in
intensity. This is when the morning commute along the I-95 corridor
and points north looks to become wintry, with frozen precipitation
totals of a light glaze of ice and perhaps a dusting of snow/sleet.
This activity continues to support the Winter Weather Advisory.

Easterly winds increasing throughout the day on Thursday will begin
to usher in warmer maritime air across the region, transitioning any
snow to become a wintry mix of snow/sleet/freezing rain, and
eventually to all rain. Unfortunately, we are expecting this
transition to a wintry mix across much of the I-95 corridor to begin
just after daybreak Thursday, impacting the morning rush hour and
resulting in hazardous travel. This wintry mix may only last a
couple hours or even less before turning into all rain along the I-
95 corridor and points south and east, but the impacts will be ill-
timed with the morning commute. The easterly winds will bring in
mild enough air (above freezing) to locales near and north of
Trenton before precipitation begins, so much of central and north
central New Jersey (near and north of I-195) should experience
mostly rain and no wintry travel impacts are expected.

The wintry precip will last longer farther north where it may
persist through most of the day for places like the Lehigh Valley
and points northward into the southern Poconos and NW NJ. However,
even in much of this region the initial snow should start to mix
with sleet and freezing rain into the afternoon as warmer air moves
in aloft. By Thursday evening and overnight, we expect a change to
rain for most of the region with the southern Poconos hanging on the
longest to a wintry mix through perhaps as late as the predawn hours
Friday. The coastal low will be over eastern Virginia Thursday
evening with winds beginning to ramp up and precip becoming heavier.
The low will track slowly north across the coastal plain through the
night reaching southern NJ by Friday morning. This will mean a very
stormy night and it is during this time we should see the heaviest
precip and strongest winds. Expect rain, heavy at times, for most of
the area and it could even be enough to result in some localized
flooding issues. Forecast profiles are also indicating some elevated
instability over southern Delmarva and parts of southern / coastal
NJ so even some thunder will be possible.

Winds will be the other story Thursday night through early Friday
with east winds of 20 to 30 gusting to 40 to 50 mph along the coast
and winds of 15 to 25 gusting 25 to 40 mph inland. These winds could
lead to some power outages for coastal areas and also in our
northern zones (the southern Poconos) due to the combination of the
winds plus snow/ice load. A Wind Advisory has been issued for
portions of the Atlantic coast of Delaware and New Jersey.

In terms of how much snow will accumulate, this remains the lowest
confidence portion of the forecast as this zone across our north
(north of I-80) is likely to be very near a sharp gradient in
snowfall due to the very marginal temperatures at the height of the
storm Thursday night. As mentioned above, there are indications
slightly more warm air could make it in, especially aloft. Amounts
were kept fairly consistent with this update to generally upwards of
3 to 6 inches in the southern Poconos and 1-3 inches just south of
here. However if it manages to stay a bit colder, amounts could
still be higher. Also, icing amounts could exceed one tenth of an
inch in the highest elevations. Storm total snow accumulations
elsewhere will be limited with perhaps 1-2 inches across the Lehigh
Valley and Berks County with a coating to an inch just south of
here. Storm total ice accumulations will only be a few hundredths of
an inch along the I-95 corridor and parts of eastern PA before
changing over to all rain by Thursday afternoon.

For Friday, the low will track slowly from southern NJ towards
southern New England. This will mean rain continuing across much of
the area into the morning with a lingering wintry mix still possible
in the southern Poconos. Precip should then slowly begin winding
down southwest to northeast as the day progresses, meaning parts of
NE PA into NW NJ may not see complete end until Friday evening.
However, the bulk of any impactful precipitation should end by late
Friday morning. E/NE winds mentioned above will persist into the
morning but then shift around to NW in the afternoon and start to
diminish in intensity on the backside of the low. Highs Friday will
be mostly in the 40s except around 50 near the coast and 30s over
the southern Poconos and northwest NJ. These highs won't be too much
warmer though than the temperatures in place to start the day, and
temperatures may actually begin to fall a couple degrees into the
afternoon.

Skies should begin to clear out late Friday and Friday night with
westerly winds remaining elevated near 10-15 mph. Temperatures
should fall to near freezing near and southeast of I-95 and into the
mid to upper 20s northwest of I-95. Areas of black ice may develop
north of I-78 in sheltered areas, but the elevated winds should dry
things out pretty quickly in more exposed areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The headline of the long term period will feature an extended period
of dry weather along with below normal temperatures.

By Saturday morning, the coastal low which brought us the wet
weather to end the work-week will be long gone, moving into the Gulf
of Maine and Canadian Maritimes into early next week. This means
skies will be clear by daybreak on Saturday. In addition, high
pressure will be building over the South-Central US and the upper
low over the Great Lakes will be pivoting east with the base of the
trough axis (finally) passing east of our area on Sunday night.

This weekend, highs will range in the lower 30s to lower 40s with an
abundance of sunshine and lows ranging in the mid teens to mid 20s
and mostly clear skies. Diurnally driven westerly winds may become
gusty at times during the afternoon, but winds will subside by
sunset each day.

Not much change is expected Monday into Wednesday as the high
pressure ridge will move overhead, so expect the dry/cool
weather to continue through the middle of the next week. The
next threat of precipitation is not likely until at least the
end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of Today...VFR with increasing cirrus increasing from SW to NE.
Northwesterly winds 5-10 KT. High confidence.

Tonight...VFR likely through daybreak Thursday. Very late tonight
lower clouds between 2,000-4,000 feet will start to move in from the
southwest. KILG will have the highest chance to see MVFR ceilings
and a wintry mix of precip before daybreak. Winds starting
northwesterly around 5 knots, becoming northeast 5 to 10 kt
overnight. Moderate confidence for the overall forecast, lower
confidence on the timing of MVFR ceilings.

Outlook...

Thursday...Starting VFR most areas, but expecting ceilings and
visibility to quickly drop to MVFR and then IFR by late Thursday
morning in tandem with precipitation overspreading the region.
Precipitation will begin on either side of 12z for all terminals. A
short window of snow showers is possible at precipitation onset for
the I-95 terminals and KRDG/KABE, before transitioning to a few hour
period of a wintry mix of snow/freezing rain/rain/possible sleet.
KMIV/KACY are expected to have only a rain/sleet mix. By early
afternoon, all terminals except KRDG/KABE should be all rain; it may
stay a wintry mix for much of the day at KRDG and KABE. Easterly
winds 10-25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, with gusts up to 40 kt
possible at KACY. High confidence in IFR or lower conditions, low
confidence in exact timing.

Friday...IFR conditions with rain showers continuing through at
least the first half of the day with gradual improvement to VFR for
the evening. Easterly winds, shifting northwesterly by the
afternoon, at 10-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Moderate confidence
on the overall pattern, low confidence in exact timing.

Saturday and Sunday...VFR. Westerly winds 5 to 15 kt. Moderate
confidence.

Monday...VFR. Westerly winds 10-15 knots. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Fair weather. Conditions expected to remain below SCA criteria
through tonight. Northwesterly winds becoming northeasterly
overnight at 10-15 knots. Seas 3-4 feet.

Outlook...

Thursday through Friday night...A strong coastal storm will impact
the waters beginning Thursday morning through Friday. Easterly winds
and seas will increase through Thursday. Expect winds increasing to
20-25 kts with gusts up to 30-35 kts, strongest across the Atlantic
waters south of Atlantic City, and seas 4-6 feet. Winds and seas
will continue to build Thursday night as the storm approaches.
Expect easterly winds increasing to 25-35 kts with gusts near 40-45
kts and seas building to 8-12 feet by daybreak Friday. As the storm
moves up the coast early Friday, winds will diminish for a short
period then increase again from the northwest to west around 15-25
kts with gusts of 25-35 kts. Winds will gradually diminish through
Friday night. Seas will remain around 4-7 feet Friday through Friday
night. Moderate to heavy rain is likely from Thursday through Friday
morning, then fair weather through Friday night.

The Gale Watch was upgraded to a Gale Warning for all waters. A
Small Craft Advisory was also issued for the daytime Friday for
Delaware Bay and Atlantic waters north of Atlantic City where gale
force winds are likely to hold off until Thursday night.

Saturday through Monday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possibly
continuing. West to northwest winds 15-20 kts with gusts up to 25
kts and seas 3-5 feet. Fair Weather.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
One to two inches of liquid is expected HSA-wide by the time the
precipitation ends Friday or Friday night. By late Thursday,
everywhere except the Poconos and NW NJ should see just plain rain.
So with most of the precipitation falling as plain rain across much
of the area, we will have to content with some runoff.

The rain should increase in intensity Thursday evening and persist
through the overnight. It's at this time where nuisance and low
lying flooding is most likely to develop. It's not February and the
ground isn't frozen in most areas. This will allow some water to
work its way sub-surface. On the other hand, it's still the time of
year where leaves can hamper drainage. If you plan to be on the road
Thursday night, be aware that minor roadway flooding is possible.

The bulk of the runoff will start hitting area creeks/streams/rivers
Thursday night and continue through Friday. We are not expecting any
of our forecast points to reach flood stage at this point, but we
will likely get close at Blackwell's Mills.

As mentioned, at this time, we are thinking 1 to 2 inches of liquid.
As a contingency, if the Raritan or the Passaic basins end up
receiving more than 2 inches of rain across a large portion, a
forecast point or two (Blackwell's Mills and Pine Brook) will be
more prone to seeing water levels approaching/reaching flood
stage.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A developing coastal low will increase the risk for coastal flooding
Thursday night into Friday. Onshore (easterly and northeasterly)
flow appears likely from Thursday morning through Friday morning.
This set up will increase the risk for coastal flooding for the
Atlantic ocean front and Delaware Bay. While less certain, it
appears there is a low risk for tidal flooding on tidal portions of
the Delaware river. Tidal flooding is not expected on the
northeastern shore of the Chesapeake Bay.

With this timing, the good news is that the peak of the storm surge
will be with the lower of the two daily astronomical high tides on
Thursday night. Also, this will fall pretty much right on the
quarter moon, meaning even the higher of the astronomical tides will
still be more than 2 ft below minor flood thresholds on the Atlantic
oceanfront. These factors should help to keep the magnitude of tidal
flooding, if it occurs, in the minor category even on the Atlantic
oceanfront and Delaware Bay. While the peak surge will be with the
Thursday night high tide, higher tidal levels may persist with the
Friday high tide, especially for back bays.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to noon EST Thursday for
     PAZ070-071-101>106.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM Thursday to midnight EST
     Thursday night for PAZ054.
     Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday
     for PAZ055.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM EST Thursday for
     PAZ060>062.
NJ...Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to noon EST Thursday for
     NJZ016>019.
     Wind Advisory from 6 PM Thursday to 4 AM EST Friday for
     NJZ022>025.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon Thursday to midnight EST
     Thursday night for NJZ001-007.
     Wind Advisory from 9 PM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday for
     NJZ013-014-020-026-027.
DE...Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to noon EST Thursday for
     DEZ001.
     Wind Advisory from 6 PM Thursday to 4 AM EST Friday for DEZ003-
     004.
MD...Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to 9 AM EST Thursday for
     MDZ012-015.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon to 6 PM EST Thursday for ANZ430-
     431-450>452.
     Gale Warning from 6 PM Thursday to 4 AM EST Friday for ANZ430-
     431.
     Gale Warning from 6 PM Thursday to noon EST Friday for
     ANZ450>452.
     Gale Warning from noon Thursday to 6 AM EST Friday for
     ANZ453>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DeSilva
NEAR TERM...Brudy
SHORT TERM...Fitzsimmons/Staarmann
LONG TERM...DeSilva
AVIATION...Brudy
MARINE...Brudy/Staarmann
HYDROLOGY...Kruzdlo
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:31 PM EST, 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

DEZ001-152031-
New Castle-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-152031-
Kent-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-152031-
Inland Sussex-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-152031-
Delaware Beaches-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-152031-
Carbon-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-152031-
Monroe-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-152031-
Berks-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-152031-
Lehigh-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-152031-
Northampton-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-152031-
Delaware-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-152031-
Philadelphia-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-152031-
Western Chester-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-152031-
Eastern Chester-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-152031-
Western Montgomery-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-152031-
Eastern Montgomery-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-152031-
Upper Bucks-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-152031-
Lower Bucks-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-152031-
Sussex-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-152031-
Warren-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-152031-
Morris-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-152031-
Hunterdon-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-152031-
Somerset-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-152031-
Middlesex-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-152031-
Western Monmouth-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-152031-
Eastern Monmouth-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Thursday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-152031-
Mercer-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-152031-
Salem-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-152031-
Gloucester-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-152031-
Camden-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-152031-
Northwestern Burlington-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-152031-
Ocean-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-152031-
Cumberland-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-152031-
Atlantic-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-152031-
Cape May-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-152031-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-152031-
Coastal Atlantic-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-152031-
Coastal Ocean-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-152031-
Southeastern Burlington-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-152031-
Kent MD-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-152031-
Queen Annes-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-152031-
Talbot-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-152031-
Caroline-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-152031-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-152031-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-152031-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-152031-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-152031-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-152031-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-152031-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-152031-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0331 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 3:16 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem, Sussex, Warren45 hr
Dec 14, 3:31 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Monmouth, Ocean41 hr
Dec 14, 3:36 PM ESTGale WarningPHI48 hr
Dec 14, 3:23 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe42 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2022Every small craft advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.