Alert archive / New Jersey / Gale Watches in 2022

Gale Watch 16, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

September 30, 2022

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this gale watch at Sep 30, 2022, 3:54 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 2, 2022, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2022, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 2, 2022, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 1, 2022, 3:55 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

226 
WHUS71 KPHI 301954
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

ANZ452>455-010900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221001T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 40 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. For the Gale Watch, 
  northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 8 
  to 13 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to 
  Cape May NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape 
  Henlopen DE out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to 
  Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Saturday. For the 
  Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected between the Gale Warning currently in effect and the 
  proposed Gale Watch on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ431-010900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221001T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 35 kt and very rough waters. For the Gale Watch, 
  northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and rough 
  waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Saturday. For the 
  Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected between the Gale Warning currently in effect and the 
  proposed Gale Watch on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-010900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T1400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northeast winds 20 to 30 
  kt and seas 7 to 10 ft. For the Gale Watch, northeast winds 20 
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 6 to 11 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gale force winds likely for Sunday and
  Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ451-010900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T1400Z/
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northeast winds 20 to 30 
  kt and seas 7 to 10 ft. For the Gale Watch, northeast winds 25 
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 8 to 13 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gale force winds likely for Sunday and
  Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-010900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
354 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
474 
WHUS71 KPHI 010130
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

ANZ451-011430-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221001T1400Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 35 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. For the Gale Watch, 
  northeast winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 8 
  to 13 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Saturday. For the 
  Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected between the Gale Warning currently in effect and the 
  Gale Watch on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-011430-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221001T1400Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 40 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. For the Gale Watch, 
  northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 8 
  to 13 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet NJ to Fenwick 
  Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Saturday. For the 
  Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected between the Gale Warning currently in effect and the 
  Gale Watch on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ431-011430-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221001T1400Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 35 kt and very rough waters. For the Gale Watch, 
  northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and rough 
  waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Saturday. For the 
  Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected between the Gale Warning currently in effect and the 
  Gale Watch on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-011430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T1400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northeast winds 20 to 30 
  kt and seas 7 to 10 ft. For the Gale Watch, northeast winds 20 
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 6 to 11 ft possible.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-011430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
930 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Johnson
394 
WHUS71 KPHI 010755
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
355 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022

ANZ451>455-012100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221003T2200Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
355 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and 
  seas 8 to 13 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Great Egg 
  Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May 
  NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape 
  Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will diminish for a time this
  afternoon into this evening before increasing again by later
  tonight continuing all the way through Monday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ431-012100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-221003T1000Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
355 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  very rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will diminish for a time this
  afternoon into this evening before increasing again by later
  tonight continuing all the way into Monday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-012100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221002T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0016.221002T1000Z-221003T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0023.221002T1000Z-221003T2200Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
355 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 35 kt and seas 7 to 11 ft expected. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, northeast winds 20 to 30 kt and seas 7 to 10 
  ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EDT 
  Monday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-012100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-221003T2200Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
355 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Sep 30, 2:16 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 2:16 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
216 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
The remanants of Ian will linger across the eastern US into the
weekend as strong high pressure will be centered north of the
Great Lakes. This pattern will bring an extended period of wet
and breezy conditions across the region through the weekend and
into early next week. The remnant low of Ian is then forecast to
finally depart offshore on Wednesday. High pressure with drier
and more seasonable conditions will build back into the area on
Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High clouds have overspread most of our area this morning,
putting an end to our extended period of sunny weather, with the
exception of perhaps northwest NJ up into the Poconos where some
dim sunshine may linger through midday. This forecast update
focused mainly on the timing and amounts of rain through
Saturday. Currently radar and sfc obs indicating light rain may
just be entering southern Delaware late this morning, but will
spread northward into southern NJ this afternoon, reaching PHL
possibly by sunset. Overall the main change with this update was
to speed up the progression of the steadier rain later today and
tonight, but then reduce amounts on Saturday as that batch of
rain moves out. The exception will be toward the NJ coast,
especially central and northern portions, but much of our area
even back into DE and PA will remain overcast and drizzly. That
said, overall total amounts through Saturday remain about the
same, with an inch along the I-95 corridor, lesser amounts to
the northwest, and up to 2 inches in southern DE and south NJ
coast. It will be a rather gloomy and raw day Saturday even
where the rain tapers off, with still some drizzle around and
northeast breezes. Northeast winds will generally range from 10
to 15 mph today, however, winds will be stronger along the
coast, ranging from 15 to 20 mph with gusts of 25 to 30 mph.
Those winds will actually ease back noticeably along the DE and
S NJ coast, but will remain stiff 15 to 20 mph N of ACY. Temperatures
will run several degrees below normal today, generally in the
mid and upper 60s. Similar temps are expected Saturday, but
several degrees cooler from the I-95 corridor northwestward.

Localized poor drainage flooding is possible in some urban areas
overnight, especially where drains may get clogged from fallen
leaves. But widespread flooding is not anticipated, given how
dry it has been. For southern Delaware and extreme southeast New
Jersey, although poor drainage flooding may be a bit more
widespread, still not expecting widespread flooding or flash
flooding.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
There should be a break in the rainfall from Saturday afternoon
through Saturday evening until the next round of rain
approaches Saturday night through Sunday morning as weak low
pressure develops over the Mid-Atlantic and tracks east of New
Jersey. There is some uncertainty as to how much rain will fall
during this time as models are indicating the possibility of a
dry slot over the area with the heaviest rain offshore. However,
bands of rain will spread back towards the coast by Sunday
afternoon. Showers continue to linger into Sunday night.

With that low just off the Jersey Shore, easterly winds will
increase to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph throughout the
area, however, right along the shores, winds will be as high as 20
to 30 mph with 35 to 45 mph gusts. Will continue to monitor if a
Wind Advisory is needed, but for now, winds look to fall short of
Advisory criteria.

Overall, QPF totals from through Sunday night will generally
average 1 to 2 inches of rain along and north and west of I-95,
and from 2 to 4 inches of rain south and east of I-95, with as
much as 3 to 5 inches of rain in southern Delaware and into
extreme southeast New Jersey.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The surface low just east of the Delmarva will remain close
enough to the coast to bring rain and strong north to northeast
winds to areas along and south/east of the I-95 corridor into
Wednesday. Coastal flooding is still a good bet around times of
high tide given the onshore fetch. To the north/west of the
I-95 corridor, high pressure over the Great Lakes will result in
dry and cool conditions. Surface high pressure returns to the
area early on Thursday, followed by a cold front passing
through the region on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Today...VFR. Thickening high clouds and gradually lowering ceilings
but ceilings stay above 10K ft. Some 030-050 BKN ceilings around
KACY, may try to expand westward toward MIV this afternoon. NE
to ENE winds around 10-15 kt, gusting near 20kts at KPHL and
KILG and 20-25 kt southern NJ and DE. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...Conditions lower to MVFR this evening as showers begin
to move north. Heavier rain will move in after midnight with IFR
ceilings gradually coming in from south to north. Expect reduced
visibilities as well during moderate to heavy rain. East to
northeast winds around 10-15 knots overnight with gusts 15-25
knots possible. Timing for moderate to heavy rain looks to be
somewhere between 03z-06z at KACY/KMIV, 04z-08z at the I-95
terminals, and 08z-10z at KRDG/KABE. Confidence is high on gusty
northeast winds persisting, though moderate on timing of
MVFR/IFR ceilings/visibilities.

Outlook...

Saturday through Saturday night...Rain tapers off from west to east
by Saturday afternoon, but another round of rain is possible
Saturday night. MVFR/IFR CIGs throughout the period. E winds 10 to
20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Moderate confidence.

Sunday through Sunday night...Periods of rain throughout the day.
MVFR/IFR conditions. E winds 15 to 20 kt with 20 to 30 kt gusts,
stronger at KACY. Moderate confidence.

Monday...Mainly VFR ceilings, however rain may introduce periods of
MVFR at times. Northeast winds 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts,
stronger at ACY. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Northerly winds 10-15 kts
with gusts of 20-15 kts possible. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
With wind gusts at Buoy 9 already starting to reach 33-35 kt
this morning, have begun the Gale Warning for Lower Delaware
Bay and the Delaware and southern NJ ocean waters now, which
will peak tonight as wind gusts increase to 35 to 40 kt. SCA
otherwise on northern NJ and upper Delaware Bay, though that may
need to be upgraded off Ocean County, zone 451. VSBY restrictions
in rain tonight and Saturday. Isolated thunderstorms possible
as well into Saturday.

Gales may end earlier on Saturday for the southern waters on
Saturday, but stronger winds will linger near and north of
Barnegat Light Saturday afternoon and evening. Otherwise expect SCA
conditions then on tap with a lull through Saturday night.

Outlook...

A Gale Watch will likely be needed for Sunday for widespread 35
to 40 kt gusts.

VSBY restrictions in rain and isolated to scattered thunderstorms
through the weekend.

Monday...Gales likely. Northeast winds 20-30 kts with gusts up to 40
kts. Seas 8-12 feet. Winds and seas will begin to subside overnight.
A chance of rain.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions likely.
North winds around 15-20 kts with gusts up to 30 kts. Seas 7-10
feet. A chance of rain.

Rip Currents...

Onshore flow strengthens with northeast winds around 20-25 kts. The
period will increase as well getting near/over 8 seconds. With a
medium/long period northeast swell, and breaking waves around 3 to 5
feet, there is a HIGH risk for the development of dangerous and life
threatening rip currents at New Jersey and Delaware ocean
beaches.

Due to prolonged onshore flow and high surf, an elevated rip
risk is likely to continue through at least mid week next week.

Given prolonged elevated risk of rip currents, we are currently
evaluating if we will extend the issuance of the SRF beyond what
was scheduled to be the final SRF forecast this morning.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is an increasing risk for minor tidal flooding beginning
this afternoon for the Delaware Bay and Atlantic Ocean coasts
of Delaware and on Saturday for the Atlantic Coast of New
Jersey. Northeasterly winds will be the primary driver of the
increasing tides. Peak water levels are currently expected to
occur on Sunday producing minor coastal flooding. Minor
approaching moderate flooding is possible on Sunday and Monday
particularly in Sussex County, Delaware and Cape May County, New
Jersey. The coastal flooding threat will occur primarily with
the afternoon/evening high tide cycle but spotty minor
conditions will be possible with the overnight high tides.

While some spotty minor flooding is possible in other tidal
areas today, Sussex County, Delaware and Cape May County, New
Jersey should experience the most widespread minor flooding.
Therefore, a Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for the
late morning high tide today for these zones.

Additional advisories or watches will be needed for the coming
tide cycles, so be sure to monitor the latest forecasts.

Tide levels are expected to remain below minor flooding thresholds
for the tidal Delaware River and the upper eastern shore of
Chesapeake Bay.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for
     NJZ023-024.
     High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT tonight for NJZ014-
     024>026.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for
     DEZ003-004.
     High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT tonight for DEZ004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ430-450-451.
     Gale Warning until 2 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ431-452>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Kruzdlo/Staarmann
NEAR TERM...AAD/MPS
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...Franklin/Staarmann
AVIATION...AAD/Hoeflich/MPS/Staarmann
MARINE...AAD/Kruzdlo/MPS/Staarmann
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 4:44 AM EDT, 11 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ013-017>019-011000-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Western Monmouth-Gloucester-
Camden-Northwestern Burlington-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland, central
New Jersey and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rain leading to localized flooding is possible tonight through
Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-011000-
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Mercer-Carbon-
Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, northern
New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, east central Pennsylvania,
northeast Pennsylvania and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

DEZ001-002-NJZ016-020>022-027-011000-
New Castle-Kent-Salem-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-
Southeastern Burlington-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northern
Delaware and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rain leading to localized flooding is possible tonight through
Saturday.

Minor tidal flooding is possible with the afternoon high tide
cycles Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NJZ014-025-026-011000-
Eastern Monmouth-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rain leading to localized flooding is possible tonight through
Saturday.

Minor tidal flooding is possible with the afternoon high tide
cycles Saturday and Sunday.

Wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are possible Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

DEZ004-NJZ024-011000-
Delaware Beaches-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rain leading to localized flooding is possible tonight through
Saturday.

Minor tidal flooding is possible with the afternoon high tide
cycles Saturday and Sunday.

Wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are possible Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

DEZ003-NJZ023-011000-
Inland Sussex-Cape May-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heavy rain leading to localized flooding is possible tonight through
Saturday.

Minor tidal flooding is possible with the afternoon high tide
cycles Saturday and Sunday.

Wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are possible Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ431-452>455-011000-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Gale force winds are likely Sunday through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ430-450-451-011000-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
444 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Gale force winds are likely Sunday through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MPS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 4:28 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHICape May12 hr
Sep 30, 3:55 PM EDTCoastal Flood WatchPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Ocean38 hr
Sep 30, 3:55 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 4 more4 days
Sep 30, 3:55 PM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Cape May, Monmouth, Ocean4 days

Nearby

Gale Watches in New Jersey, 2022Every gale watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.