Alert archive / Delaware / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2022

Coastal Flood Warning 3, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

January 28, 2022Sussex County, Delaware; Cape May County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Jan 28, 2022, 2:11 PM EST for Sussex County, Delaware; Cape May County, New Jersey. It took effect at Jan 29, 2022, 2:00 AM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. 18 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 28, 2022, 2:11 PM EST (19:11 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 29, 2022, 2:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 29, 2022, 8:32 AM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Sussex County, DE, Cape May County, NJ

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 29, 5:14 AM ESTSNOW 9.3Eldora, NJ
Jan 29, 5:15 AM ESTSNOW 10Cape May, NJ
Jan 29, 5:25 AM ESTBLIZZARD2 Wnw Lewes, DEA 66 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT THE LEWES WEATHER FLOW STATION, WITH A SUSTAINED WIND OF 44 MPH AT 540 AM. WEBCAMS INDICATE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.
Jan 29, 5:49 AM ESTSNOW 9.5Villas, NJ
Jan 29, 6:42 AM ESTSNOW 11Erma, NJ
Jan 29, 6:44 AM ESTSNOW 12.5Ocean View, NJ
Jan 29, 6:45 AM ESTSNOW 11.8Long Neck, DE
Jan 29, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 11Eldora, NJ
Jan 29, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 11.71 W Rehoboth Beach, DE
Jan 29, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 15Avalon, NJ
Jan 29, 7:13 AM ESTSNOW 12Lewes, DE
Jan 29, 7:20 AM ESTSNOW 112 Nw Cape May, NJ
Jan 29, 7:21 AM ESTSNOW 14Sea Isle City, NJVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 29, 7:35 AM ESTSNOW 10Ocean City, NJ
Jan 29, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 11Cape May Court House, NJ
Jan 29, 8:10 AM ESTSNOW 12.5Goshen, NJ
Jan 29, 8:20 AM ESTSNOW 10Potato Island, NJ
Jan 29, 8:20 AM ESTSNOW 13Lower Twp, NJ

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2022-01-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2022-01-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -44 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2052 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

954 
WHUS41 KPHI 281911
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-290815-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0003.220129T0700Z-220129T1500Z/
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Cape May and Atlantic Coastal Cape May. 
  In Delaware, Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
  coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
  waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
  vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that moderate or major tidal
flooding is occurring or imminent. Be prepared for rising water
levels and take appropriate action to protect life and property.
Follow the recommendations of local emergency management
officials. 

Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be
deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in
danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly
repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Delaware Bay at Lewes
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/05 PM     4.0       -0.7        0.7       None    
 29/06 AM     7.3        2.7        2.4     Moderate  
 29/06 PM     5.6        1.0        2.1       None    
 30/07 AM     5.8        1.2        0.7       None    
 30/07 PM     3.7       -1.0        0.0       None    
 31/08 AM     5.1        0.5       -0.2       None

Great Egg Harbor Bay at Ocean City
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.3 ft, Moderate 6.3 ft, Major 7.3 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/05 PM     3.3       -0.7        0.3       None    
 29/05 AM     6.0        2.0        1.6      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.2        1.2        2.2       None    
 30/06 AM     5.2        1.2        0.6       None    
 30/06 PM     3.2       -0.8        0.0       None    
 31/07 AM     4.3        0.3       -0.5       None

Cape May Harbor at Cape May
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.2 ft, Moderate 7.2 ft, Major 8.2 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.1 ft, Moderate 2.1 ft, Major 3.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/05 PM     3.9       -1.2        0.4       None    
 29/05 AM     7.4        2.3        2.1     Moderate  
 29/05 PM     5.8        0.7        2.2       None    
 30/06 AM     6.3        1.2        0.8      Minor    
 30/06 PM     4.1       -1.0        0.2       None    
 31/07 AM     5.5        0.4       -0.2       None

&&

$$

NJZ013-014-290815-
/O.EXA.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Western Monmouth and Eastern Monmouth.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most vulnerable
  roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along inland tidal
  waterways. Some partial or full road closures are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Watson Creek at Manasquan
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.7 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 7.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/04 PM     3.9       -0.5        0.2       None    
 29/05 AM     6.3        1.9        1.4      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.6        1.2        1.7       None    
 30/06 AM     5.3        0.9        0.2       None    
 30/06 PM     3.7       -0.7       -0.4       None    
 31/07 AM     4.9        0.5       -0.4       None

Sandy Hook Bay at Sandy Hook
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.7 ft, Moderate 7.7 ft, Major 8.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 3.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/04 PM     4.5       -0.7        0.5       None    
 29/05 AM     6.8        1.6        1.5      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.9        0.7        1.6       None    
 30/06 AM     5.7        0.5        0.1       None    
 30/06 PM     4.2       -1.0       -0.3       None    
 31/07 AM     5.6        0.4       -0.2       None

&&

$$

DEZ002-290815-
/O.EXA.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Kent-
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Kent.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most vulnerable
  roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along inland tidal
  waterways. Some partial or full road closures are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Murderkill River at Bowers Beach
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.1 ft, Moderate 7.1 ft, Major 8.1 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.9 ft, Moderate 1.9 ft, Major 2.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/06 PM     4.2       -1.0        0.1       None    
 29/06 AM     6.6        1.4        0.5      Minor    
 29/07 PM     4.4       -0.8        0.1       None    
 30/07 AM     6.1        0.9       -0.3      Minor    
 30/08 PM     4.2       -1.0       -0.4       None    
 31/08 AM     6.0        0.8       -0.6       None

&&

$$

NJZ020-026-027-290815-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Ocean-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Coastal Ocean, Ocean and Southeastern Burlington.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Barnegat Bay at Barnegat Light
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.0 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 3.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/04 PM     1.9       -0.6        0.3       None    
 29/05 AM     4.2        1.7        1.7      Minor    
 29/05 PM     3.8        1.3        2.1      Minor    
 30/06 AM     3.4        0.9        0.8       None    
 30/06 PM     2.0       -0.5        0.1       None    
 31/07 AM     2.6        0.1       -0.1       None

&&

$$

NJZ022-025-290815-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-
211 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Coastal Atlantic and Atlantic.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Atlantic Ocean at Atlantic City
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.4 ft, Major 3.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/04 PM     3.7       -0.9        0.5       None    
 29/05 AM     6.6        2.0        1.9      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.7        1.1        2.4       None    
 30/05 AM     5.6        1.0        0.8       None    
 30/06 PM     3.6       -1.0        0.1       None    
 31/06 AM     5.0        0.4       -0.1       None

&&

$$

JEO
3 follow-up statements
094 
WHUS41 KPHI 290212
CFWPHI

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
912 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-291100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.220129T0700Z-220129T1500Z/
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
912 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Atlantic Coastal Cape May and Cape May. 
  In Delaware, Delaware Beaches and Inland Sussex.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in 
  coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal 
  waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to 
  vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that moderate or major tidal
flooding is occurring or imminent. Be prepared for rising water
levels and take appropriate action to protect life and property.
Follow the recommendations of local emergency management
officials. 

Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be
deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in
danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly
repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Delaware Bay at Lewes
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/06 AM     7.3        2.7        2.4     Moderate  
 29/06 PM     5.6        1.0        2.1       None    
 30/07 AM     5.8        1.2        0.7       None    
 30/07 PM     3.7       -1.0        0.0       None    
 31/08 AM     5.1        0.5       -0.2       None

Great Egg Harbor Bay at Ocean City
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.3 ft, Moderate 6.3 ft, Major 7.3 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.0        2.0        1.6      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.2        1.2        2.2       None    
 30/06 AM     5.2        1.2        0.6       None    
 30/06 PM     3.2       -0.8        0.0       None    
 31/07 AM     4.3        0.3       -0.5       None

Cape May Harbor at Cape May
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.2 ft, Moderate 7.2 ft, Major 8.2 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.1 ft, Moderate 2.1 ft, Major 3.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     7.4        2.3        2.1     Moderate  
 29/05 PM     5.8        0.7        2.2       None    
 30/06 AM     6.3        1.2        0.8      Minor    
 30/06 PM     4.1       -1.0        0.2       None    
 31/07 AM     5.5        0.4       -0.2       None

&&

$$

NJZ013-014-020-026-027-291100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
912 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Coastal Ocean, Ocean, Eastern Monmouth, Western 
  Monmouth and Southeastern Burlington.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Watson Creek at Manasquan
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.7 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 7.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.3        1.9        1.4      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.6        1.2        1.7       None    
 30/06 AM     5.3        0.9        0.2       None    
 30/06 PM     3.7       -0.7       -0.4       None    
 31/07 AM     4.9        0.5       -0.4       None

Sandy Hook Bay at Sandy Hook
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.7 ft, Moderate 7.7 ft, Major 8.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 3.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.8        1.6        1.5      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.9        0.7        1.6       None    
 30/06 AM     5.7        0.5        0.1       None    
 30/06 PM     4.2       -1.0       -0.3       None    
 31/07 AM     5.6        0.4       -0.2       None

Barnegat Bay at Barnegat Light
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.0 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 3.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     4.2        1.7        1.7      Minor    
 29/05 PM     3.8        1.3        2.1      Minor    
 30/06 AM     3.4        0.9        0.8       None    
 30/06 PM     2.0       -0.5        0.1       None    
 31/07 AM     2.6        0.1       -0.1       None

&&

$$

NJZ022-025-291100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-
912 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Coastal Atlantic and Atlantic.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Atlantic Ocean at Atlantic City
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.4 ft, Major 3.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.6        2.0        1.9      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.7        1.1        2.4       None    
 30/05 AM     5.6        1.0        0.8       None    
 30/06 PM     3.6       -1.0        0.1       None    
 31/06 AM     5.0        0.4       -0.1       None

&&

$$

DEZ002-291100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Kent-
912 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Kent.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Murderkill River at Bowers Beach
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.1 ft, Moderate 7.1 ft, Major 8.1 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.9 ft, Moderate 1.9 ft, Major 2.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 28/07 PM     4.2       -1.0        0.3       None    
 29/06 AM     6.6        1.4        0.5      Minor    
 29/07 PM     4.4       -0.8        0.1       None    
 30/07 AM     6.1        0.9       -0.3      Minor    
 30/08 PM     4.2       -1.0       -0.4       None    
 31/08 AM     6.0        0.8       -0.6       None

&&

$$
484 
WHUS41 KPHI 290713
CFWPHI

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
213 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-291500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220129T1500Z/
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
213 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level in low-
   lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Cape May County In Delaware, Sussex
  County.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in 
  coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal 
  waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to 
  vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that moderate or major tidal
flooding is occurring or imminent. Be prepared for rising water
levels and take appropriate action to protect life and property.
Follow the recommendations of local emergency management
officials. 

Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be
deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in
danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly
repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Delaware Bay at Lewes
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/06 AM     7.1        2.5        2.2     Moderate  
 29/06 PM     5.3        0.7        1.8       None    
 30/07 AM     6.1        1.5        1.0      Minor    
 30/07 PM     3.9       -0.8        0.2       None    
 31/08 AM     5.2        0.5       -0.1       None    
 31/08 PM     4.1       -0.5        0.2       None

Great Egg Harbor Bay at Ocean City
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.3 ft, Moderate 6.3 ft, Major 7.3 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.0        2.0        1.6      Minor    
 29/05 PM     4.9        0.9        1.9       None    
 30/06 AM     5.3        1.3        0.7      Minor    
 30/06 PM     3.3       -0.7        0.1       None    
 31/07 AM     4.5        0.5       -0.3       None    
 31/07 PM     3.4       -0.6        0.0       None

Cape May Harbor at Cape May
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.2 ft, Moderate 7.2 ft, Major 8.2 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.1 ft, Moderate 2.1 ft, Major 3.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     7.3        2.2        2.0     Moderate  
 29/06 PM     5.5        0.4        1.8       None    
 30/06 AM     6.3        1.2        0.8      Minor    
 30/06 PM     4.2       -0.9        0.3       None    
 31/07 AM     5.6        0.5       -0.1       None    
 31/07 PM     4.4       -0.7        0.2       None

&&

$$

NJZ013-014-020-026-027-291400-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
213 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Ocean, Monmouth, and Southeastern Burlington Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Watson Creek at Manasquan
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.7 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 7.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.4        2.0        1.5      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.6        1.2        1.7       None    
 30/06 AM     5.6        1.2        0.5       None    
 30/06 PM     3.9       -0.5       -0.2       None    
 31/07 AM     5.1        0.7       -0.2       None    
 31/07 PM     4.4       -0.0        0.0       None

Sandy Hook Bay at Sandy Hook
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.7 ft, Moderate 7.7 ft, Major 8.7 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 3.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.9        1.7        1.6      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.9        0.7        1.6       None    
 30/06 AM     6.1        0.9        0.5       None    
 30/06 PM     4.4       -0.8       -0.1       None    
 31/07 AM     5.7        0.5       -0.1       None    
 31/07 PM     5.2       -0.0        0.4       None

Barnegat Bay at Barnegat Light
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.0 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 3.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     4.2        1.7        1.7      Minor    
 29/05 PM     3.5        1.0        1.8      Minor    
 30/06 AM     3.5        1.0        0.9      Minor    
 30/06 PM     2.0       -0.5        0.1       None    
 31/07 AM     2.7        0.2        0.0       None    
 31/07 PM     2.2       -0.3        0.2       None

&&

$$

NJZ022-025-291400-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-
213 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Atlantic County.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Atlantic Ocean at Atlantic City
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.4 ft, Major 3.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/05 AM     6.7        2.1        2.0      Minor    
 29/05 PM     5.5        0.9        2.2       None    
 30/06 AM     5.9        1.3        0.9       None    
 30/06 PM     3.7       -0.9        0.2       None    
 31/06 AM     5.0        0.4       -0.1       None    
 31/07 PM     4.0       -0.6        0.3       None

&&

$$

DEZ002-291400-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.220129T0800Z-220129T1400Z/
Kent-
213 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Kent County.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding begins on the most 
  vulnerable roads in coastal and bayside communities, and along 
  inland tidal waterways. Some partial or full road closures are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is
expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road
closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood. 

Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The
water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting
yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to
costly repairs. 

Visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at
water.weather.gov/ahps for additional water level and flood
impact information for your local tide gauge.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Murderkill River at Bowers Beach
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.1 ft, Moderate 7.1 ft, Major 8.1 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.9 ft, Moderate 1.9 ft, Major 2.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure          
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  --------
 29/07 AM     6.9        1.7        0.9      Minor    
 29/07 PM     5.1       -0.1        0.8       None    
 30/07 AM     6.9        1.7        0.5      Minor    
 30/08 PM     4.8       -0.4        0.2       None    
 31/08 AM     6.4        1.2       -0.2      Minor    
 31/09 PM     4.9       -0.3        0.1       None

&&

$$
938 
WHUS41 KPHI 291332
CFWPHI

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
832 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-291445-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220129T1500Z/
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
832 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELED...

Water levels are declining, and no additional coastal flooding is
expected. Therefore the warning has been canceled.

$$

DEZ002-NJZ013-014-020-022-025>027-291445-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-220129T1400Z/
Kent-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Atlantic-
Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
832 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Water levels are declining, and no additional coastal flooding is
expected. Therefore the advisory has been canceled.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Jan 28, 1:09 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 28, 1:09 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
109 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong coastal storm developing off the Southeast coast will lift
just off the east coast through Saturday night. High pressure
returns for the end of the weekend and early next week. Another low
pressure system may approach our region late next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
10AM...No major changes to the near term forecast for today with
mid morning update.

No significant changes with this update. A cold front extended
across the eastern Great Lakes region this morning. The
boundary will sink to the southeast and it is forecast to reach
the Poconos early this afternoon. The front will continue to
work its way through the rest of eastern Pennsylvania and New
Jersey, and into eastern Maryland and Delaware late in the day.
It should eventually begin to be absorbed into the developing
circulation around the strengthening low moving up the East
Coast.

Some light precipitation is drifting northeastward out of the
Ohio River Valley across portions of Pennsylvania, in advance
of the cold front. It is separate from the significant
precipitation event that will impact our region tonight into
Saturday. This initial shot of light precipitation should spread
into eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey this morning,
before expanding southeastward into eastern Maryland, Delaware
and southern New Jersey this afternoon.

The expected temperature profiles suggest areas of light snow for
much of eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey with a light
dusting possible during the daylight hours. Boundary layer
temperatures should warm enough in much of eastern Maryland,
Delaware and southern New Jersey for this afternoon to cause much of
this initial shot of precipitation to be areas of light rain at
those locations.

Even though we are anticipating a cloudy sky for today, the general
southwest flow ahead of the approaching boundary will likely allow
temperatures to rise into the upper 30s and lower 40s in eastern
Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey. Temperatures are
forecast to rise into the lower and middle 30s in much of
southeastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey, with readings not
getting above the 20s in the Poconos.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Major winter storm expected to affect much of the region
Friday night and Saturday...

10AM Update: Not many changes to the forecast grids at this
time as the new model data is just starting to come in...it
generally supports current forecast if not suggests snow amounts
even a bit higher than currently forecast. The main change was
to upgrade inland Sussex Co Delaware to a blizzard warning. We
will have a full forecast update this afternoon. Previous
discussion follows below.

Bottom Line Up Front: Rest of winter storm watch upgraded to
winter storm warning. Warning expanded to include Hunterdon and
Morris Counties in NJ. Coastal counties of NJ and the coastal
strip of Sussex County DE upgraded to a blizzard warning. Winter
weather advisory issued in a narrow corridor to the west of the
winter storm warning (Chester County PA to Sussex County NJ).
Wind chill advisory issued for the southern Poconos for Saturday
night.

And if you followed all of that...

From a forecasting standpoint, the good news is that models are
steadily converging on the overall evolution of the winter storm
anticipated to affect much of our area during the short-term period.
Models continue to exhibit two important trends that are becoming
more favorable for significant snowfall in the eastern half or so of
the CWA. (1) A southern-stream vort max is trending faster in its
migration eastward from the southern Plains on Friday. (2) A
northern-stream digging vort max is trending slightly slower and
stronger/deeper. The NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and CMC are all trending in
this direction (to varying degrees and with somewhat varying
consistency) with both phenomena, as well as respective ensembles.
This has led to a general westward shift in the surface low just off
the East Coast attendant to the more quickly phasing large-scale
trough in the eastern U.S. Friday night and Saturday (as well as a
noticeably deeper and more negatively-tilted trough). Consensus
snowfall totals are beginning to increase in areas to the south and
east of the Fall Line, and confidence continues to increase that
warning-level snow will occur in much if not most of the winter
storm watch area. As a result, have upgraded remaining portions of
the watch to a warning on this shift.

The forecasting challenges tonight have been associated with the
margins. For example, how much will snowfall totals decrease on the
northwest periphery of the precipitation shield? Well, guidance
suggests that this cutoff will be quite sharp, which is unsurprising
given the strong push of cold/dry air on the northwest side of the
synoptic system. There will likely be a very narrow corridor (read:
around or less than 30 miles) where totals go from warning levels to
sub-advisory levels, and confidence remains considerably lower on
where this corridor will set up. Given the westward shift with the
guidance in general the past 24 hours, this looks to be roughly near
or more likely a little southeast of the Fall Line (at this time
anyway; we will see how this forecast shifts the next couple of
cycles). As a result, the adjoining winter weather advisory is for a
narrow geographic region: Chester County PA to Sussex County NJ.
Forecast snow totals drop off quickly to sub-advisory levels for the
Lehigh Valley, southern Poconos, and Berks County; therefore, no
advisory was issued for these areas at this time.

Another margin: Will portions of the region reach blizzard criteria?
Short-range ensemble guidance strongly suggests the near-coast will
feature several hours with winds above 30 mph and visibilities near
or below a quarter mile. It will be increasingly tough to do farther
inland, but think this threat spills into the eastern portions of
the inland coastal zones of New Jersey. As a result, have upgraded
the winter storm warning in these areas to a blizzard warning.
Notably, inland Sussex County in Delaware remains in a winter storm
warning, owing to increased uncertainty that these conditions will
spill into much more than the immediate Atlantic coast. Blizzard
conditions are very tough to meet (reaching the above conditions for
3+ hours), but even if they fall just short in the blizzard-warning
area, conditions are very likely to be quite hazardous, with nearly-
impossible travel expected.

The next margin discussed here is the winds themselves. Speeds
exceeding 25-30 mph are pretty likely for much of the day on
Saturday, with only a slow drop-off expected Saturday night. Gusts
of 40+ mph are quite possible, especially in the Poconos and near
the coast. Winter products will cover the winds along the coast, but
the Poconos will not reach snow criteria. However, with temperatures
falling in the cold-advection regime in the wake of the coastal low,
very low wind chills are expected Saturday afternoon through
Saturday night. Confidence is high that advisory conditions will be
reached in the southern Poconos. Have gone ahead and hoisted a wind
chill advisory Saturday evening through Sunday morning.

The final margin is associated with QPF and snow ratios. QPF is
trending a little higher across the region, as to be expected with
the westward shift in model consensus. Snow ratios will be very high
(much greater than 10:1), thanks to the antecedent cold
thermodynamic profiles; however, guidance looks a little too bullish
in general with these values, based on past experience. It will be
interesting how these two forecast fields play out over the course
of the event, as this will have pretty significant implications on
snow totals near the coast (where the highest QPF exists) and near
the northwest fringe of the snow shield (where the highest snow
ratios exist, and where uncertainty in QPF is highest). My current
feeling is that totals on the coast may be a little on the high side
given a potential positive snow-ratio forecast bias, but may be a
little on the low side in the northwest CWA (where snow ratios may
be higher, and where forecasts have trended west with QPF in recent
model suites).

Bottom line here: even though confidence in the overall evolution of
the storm is increasing, there are still very challenging aspects to
the winter storm that may have significant implications on the
overall impacts of the system location to location. Continue to
monitor the latest forecasts, as substantial changes may still
occur.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Overview: Tranquil conditions are expected for much of the long term
as a surface high slides over the region at the beginning of the
week. By mid week, a low pressure system lifting northeast out of
the lower Mississippi Valley.

Details:

Sunday...pressure gradient should decrease quickly Sunday Morning,
and should see a subsequent decrease in wind speeds as well. None
the less, low level flow will generally stay northwesterly and
westerly through the day, meaning there will be little opportunity
for warm air advection on Sunday. As a result, temperatures across
the region are likely to stay below freezing Sunday and Sunday
night. However, mostly sunny conditions early in the day may help
somewhat with snow melt. For Sunday night, have stayed close to a
blend of guidance for low temperatures. Increasing clouds (in
response to a weak mid level short wave trough passing over the
region) will act against efficient radiational cooling, though
expansive snow field could mean that the guidance is too warm.

Monday and Tuesday...Surface high slides over the region Monday into
Tuesday. Another weak mid level short wave trough may cross the
region late Monday into Monday night, but will little opportunity
for moisture advection ahead of it, we aren't expecting any
precipitation with it. We'll start to see a modest warming trend on
Monday, but a much more significant warming trend going into Tuesday
as a mid level ridge briefly builds over the region. By Tuesday,
highs should be mostly in the 40s (with the exception of the
southern Poconos and NW NJ, which may stay in the 30s).

Wednesday and Thursday...From Wednesday into Thursday, will be
watching a low which now looks like it will develop over the lower
Mississippi Valley lift northeast into western New England. This is
a slightly further east track than what much of the deterministic
models were depicting yesterday, so will be watching closely to see
if this trend continues. For now though, this track would mean the
warming trend would continue especially Wednesday night into
Thursday when the warm front associated with this low would lift
through our region. With this track, our region would be within the
warm sector during most of the period when we were expecting
precipitation, so it would likely be mostly, if not all, rain. Two
things that could change this are a northern stream low crossing
southern Canada Tuesday into Wednesday and the trend east with the
main low. If the northern stream low digs further southeast, or if
the center of the main low passes east of our region, we could see
dramatically different outcomes from the current forecast. That
being said, there is surprisingly good agreement between most of the
deterministic models on the current solution, so will stay close to
a blend of guidance in this period for now.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of the afternoon... VFR for KACY/KMIV. Lower CIGS/VSBYS at
times for the Delaware Valley and Lehigh Valley areas with some
light snow at times. Flight categories mostly MVFR, but some IFR
VSBYS may occur too. More than usual variability in conditions.

Tonight... Deteriorating conditions from S to N with IFR then
LIFR at the terminals. Snow at first the blowing snow too mostly
after midnight. NE winds 10 to 15 knots then N winds 20 to 25
knots with gusts to 30-35 knots late. Blizzard conditions with
VSBYS 1/4SM or lower and gusts around 35 knots at KACY.

Outlook...

Saturday into Saturday night...IFR/LIFR early with snow and
blowing snow then snow ending with improving conditions by
afternoon. Improvement begins earlier KRDG/KABE and later
KACY/KMIV. Strong/gusty winds decreasing Sat night.

Sunday thru Tuesday...VFR conditions expected.

Wednesday...Lower CIGS/VSBYS possible with rain/snow possible.

&&

.MARINE...
A southwest wind near 10 knots this morning is forecast to become
northwest to north for this afternoon as a cold front pushes
southeast toward the coastal waters of New Jersey and Delaware. Wave
heights on our ocean waters should be around 2 feet, with waves on
Delaware Bay at 2 feet or less.

Outlook...

Friday night through Saturday night...Rapid deterioration in
conditions likely Friday night, as northeast winds quickly increase
during the evening. At least advisory conditions expected by late
evening, with gales developing on all waters overnight; the
previously issued gale warning remains in effect.

Winds will become north to northwest on Saturday, with gusts
exceeding 40-45 kt likely. Storm conditions appear increasingly
probable off the northern and central NJ coast. Have issued a storm
warning off Monmouth/Ocean Counties for Saturday, while the rest of
the waters retain gale-warning status. Winds should peak during the
afternoon and early evening, with a gradual diminishing trend late
Saturday night. Gales will likely continue through the night.

Additionally, heavy snow is likely late Friday night through at
least Saturday afternoon. Visibility restrictions are likely.
Finally, with increasingly cold air and strong northwest winds on
Saturday night, freezing spray is likely to develop, primarily close
to the coast. A freezing spray advisory has been issued for all
waters Saturday night.

Sunday through Tuesday...once winds and seas drop below 25 kt and 5
ft later in the day on Sunday, winds and seas should stay below SCA
criteria through Tuesday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The potential for minor tidal flooding along much of the New Jersey
and Delaware coastline on Saturday morning has increased based on
the latest track of the forecast northeaster.

A north northeast wind is expected to develop this evening, with
wind speeds increasing to 25 to 35 MPH late tonight. Ekman transport
will push water toward the coast. The period of time with an onshore
push leading up to Saturday morning's high tide will be somewhat
limited (less than 12 hours). However, it should be a long enough
duration to produce the surge of +1.2 to +1.4 feet needed to begin
causing minor flooding along the coasts of Delaware and New Jersey.
The ETSS guidance has been coming into better agreement with the
NYHOPS forecasts as the GFS model has been trending westward with
the track of the low.

Based on the latest guidance, it appears as though widespread minor
tidal flooding is likely in our coastal counties from Ocean in New
Jersey, southward to Sussex in Delaware. Those counties have been
placed under a Coastal Flood Advisory.  Only spotty minor flooding
is anticipated for Monmouth County in New Jersey, and for Kent
County in Delaware. Based on the expected wind direction and
duration of the onshore flow, no flooding is forecast along Raritan
Bay, along the New Jersey side of Delaware Bay, along the tidal
Delaware River or on the upper eastern shore of Chesapeake Bay.

Even as the wind backs to the northwest for Saturday evening, water
levels along the coast should remain elevated. Saturday evening's
high tide is the lower of the two daily high tides, so no flooding
is expected at that time.

The guidance continues to hinting at a lingering round of spotty
minor flooding with Sunday morning's high tide before the water
begins to drain away from the coast.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Saturday for PAZ070-071-104-106.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 3 PM EST
     Saturday for PAZ101>103-105.
     Wind Chill Advisory from 6 PM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday for
     PAZ054-055.
NJ...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Saturday for NJZ008>010-012-015>019-021.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday for
     NJZ020-022>027.
     Blizzard Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday
     for NJZ013-014-020-022>027.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 3 PM EST
     Saturday for NJZ001-007.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday for
     DEZ003-004.
     Blizzard Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday
     for DEZ003-004.
     Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 3 PM EST
     Saturday for DEZ001-002.
MD...Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 3 PM EST
     Saturday for MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...Freezing Spray Advisory from 6 PM Saturday to noon EST Sunday
     for ANZ430-431-450>455.
     Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Sunday for
     ANZ430-431-452>455.
     Storm Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM EST Saturday for ANZ450-451.
     Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Saturday for
     ANZ450-451.

&&

Synopsis...Johnson
Near Term...Fitzsimmons/Iovino
Short Term...CMS
Long Term...Johnson
Aviation...O'Hara
Marine...CMS/Iovino/Johnson
Tides/Coastal Flooding...WFO PHI
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 28, 11:04 AM EST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

DEZ001-291604-
New Castle-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-291604-
Kent-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-291604-
Inland Sussex-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-291604-
Delaware Beaches-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-291604-
Carbon-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-291604-
Monroe-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-291604-
Berks-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-291604-
Lehigh-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-291604-
Northampton-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-291604-
Delaware-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-291604-
Philadelphia-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-291604-
Western Chester-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-291604-
Eastern Chester-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-291604-
Western Montgomery-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-291604-
Eastern Montgomery-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-291604-
Upper Bucks-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-291604-
Lower Bucks-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-291604-
Sussex-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-291604-
Warren-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-291604-
Morris-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-291604-
Hunterdon-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-291604-
Somerset-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-291604-
Middlesex-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-291604-
Western Monmouth-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-291604-
Eastern Monmouth-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-291604-
Mercer-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-291604-
Salem-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-291604-
Gloucester-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-291604-
Camden-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-291604-
Northwestern Burlington-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-291604-
Ocean-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-291604-
Cumberland-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-291604-
Atlantic-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-291604-
Cape May-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-291604-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-291604-
Coastal Atlantic-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-291604-
Coastal Ocean-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-291604-
Southeastern Burlington-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-291604-
Kent MD-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-291604-
Queen Annes-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-291604-
Talbot-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-291604-
Caroline-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-291604-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-291604-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-291604-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-291604-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-291604-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-291604-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-291604-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-291604-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1104 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 28, 12:31 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1231 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     SNOW             STEWARTSVILLE           40.69N 75.11W
01/28/2022  M1.1 INCH        WARREN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO
Local storm report, Jan 28, 12:41 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1241 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     SNOW             MORTON                  39.91N 75.32W
01/28/2022  M1.0 INCH        DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO
Local storm report, Jan 28, 1:10 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
110 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             EAST COVENTRY TWP       40.20N 75.62W
01/28/2022  M2.0 INCH        CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO
Local storm report, Jan 28, 1:32 PM EST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
132 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     SNOW             FURLONG                 40.30N 75.08W
01/28/2022  M1.5 INCH        BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO
Local storm report, Jan 28, 2:02 PM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
202 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     SNOW             EAGLEVILLE              40.16N 75.41W
01/28/2022  M1.6 INCH        MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UPDATES PREVIOUS REPORT.

&&

STAARMANN
Local storm report, Jan 28, 2:05 PM EST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
205 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     SNOW             NORRISTOWN              40.12N 75.33W
01/28/2022  M2.1 INCH        MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UPDATES PREVIOUS REPORT.

&&

STAARMANN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 28, 2:54 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIKent, Sussex30 hr
Jan 28, 3:23 AM ESTBlizzard WarningPHISussex37 hr
Jan 28, 3:23 AM ESTStorm WarningPHI38 hr
Jan 28, 3:23 AM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray AdvisoryPHI57 hr
Jan 28, 3:23 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryPHISussex, Warren35 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2022Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2022Every coastal flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.