Tornado Warning 23, NWS Paducah, KY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
402 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

Quickly evolving line of severe thunderstorms with all gambits of
severe threats, including damaging winds, large hail and
tornadoes will continue to move quickly east across mainly
portions of wrn KY this evening.

Thereafter, drier and much cooler air will rush in behind the cold
front overnight. Could see some scattered frost in portions of
southeast MO/sw IL by sunrise, as winds cut off fairly well with
clear conditions. High pressure will then build in for the Thu/Thu
night time frame. Another weak cold front will drop southeast into
region Friday night. Does not look to be much of an impact with
this moisture starved system in near zonal flow aloft.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

High pressure will drop into the Great Lakes and upper OH River
Valley Saturday, keeping things mainly dry and seasonal. However,
a weak mid level short wave is expected to move east into the mid
and upper MS River Valley on the back side of the surface high by
Sunday. This, combined with an overall moisture increase, will
lead to the next chance of showers across the region, mainly
Sunday and Sunday night. Thereafter, drier and seasonably cool
conditions will return for the first part of next week as another
surface high drops southeast into the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

MVFR to VFR cigs and gusty south winds 20-30 kts expected ahead
of a line of strong to severe thunderstorms that will cross the
region from west to east this afternoon and early tonight. VFR
conditions expected in wake of the frontal passage with gusty nw
winds around 20 kts or so.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ILZ075>078-080>094.

     Flood Watch until 11 PM CDT this evening for ILZ092>094.

MO...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ076-086-087-100-
     107>112-114.

     Flood Watch until 11 PM CDT this evening for MOZ112.

IN...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for INZ081-082-085>088.

KY...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KYZ001>022.

     Flood Watch until 11 PM CDT this evening for KYZ001>013-016-017-
     021-022.

&&

SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...RST
AVIATION...GM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
401 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-141000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
401 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Wind Advisory is posted from 9 AM through 7 PM CDT for the
entire outlook area. Please see the latest Wind Advisory for
details.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 10 pm CDT for southern
sections of west Kentucky. Please refer to the latest Flood watch
for details.

A significant severe weather episode is likely today and this
evening for the entire outlook area. The Storm Prediction Center
has the entire area in a Moderate Risk of Severe Weather.

Damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph winds or higher, large hail up to
two inches, and tornadoes are all possible.

A few storms may reach severe limits this morning over part of the
outlook area, but the main concern will be with the line of
thunderstorms expected to move from west to east across the
entire outlook area between 1 pm to 10 pm this Wednesday.

Widespread damaging straight line winds are expected. A few
embedded tornadoes are possible within the line of storms this
afternoon and evening. Large hail will be mostly likely over the
Purchase area of west Kentucky and across parts of southeast
Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A few isolated thunderstorms are possible Friday
night. Heavy rain and lightning would be the primary hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation may be required today and this evening
across the entire outlook area. Please relay and reports of severe
weather or damage to the National Weather Service in Paducah
Kentucky.

Smith

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