Alert archive / Illinois / Flash Flood Warnings in 2022

Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Paducah, KY

August 1, 2022Edwards County, Wabash County, Wayne County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this flash flood warning at Aug 1, 2022, 11:53 PM CDT for Edwards County, Wabash County, Wayne County, Illinois. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2022, 11:53 PM CDT (04:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2022, 3:45 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Edwards County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2022-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1255 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2022-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1255 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1489 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 1, 7:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 7:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
717 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 717 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2022

Updated aviation section for 00z TAF package issuance.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2022

The atrocious humidity is back, with dew points 75 to 80 and heat
index values up to 105, or so from SEMO into southern IL and far
west KY. Values are not quite as high from southwest IN into the
KY Pennyrile. There is an area of enhanced CU from KIND west to
south of KSPI to KIRK. The suite of HREF HiRes guidance varies
somewhat. Some of the models develop convection and move it south,
to southwest across our area late today into tonight, becoming
cold pool and outflow dominant with time. The NAM and HRRR are not
as bullish on such a scenario, keeping the focus more on the
Evansville Tri-State region. We will carry slight chances a bit
farther west to account for some of the HiRes guidance. Such a
scenario is not uncommon in this setup. It is very unstable with
favorable mid level lapse rates, and decent effective bulk shear
over the northeast 1/2 of the region.

Convective chances will appear again Tuesday. Then we should see a
break Wednesday, with convective chances back in the forecast
Wednesday night as the unsettled pattern remains in place. We will
continue with our Heat Advisory as is, and a Special Weather
Statement elsewhere.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2022

Very humid conditions will persist into early next week. South to
southwest winds will continue to pump tropical humidity into our
region. The moisture-laden atmosphere will be prone to generating
locally heavy downpours in any convection. The highest chances for
storms will be on Thursday into Friday, when a weak surface boundary
may push as far south as the lower Ohio Valley and southeast
Missouri.

On Thursday and Friday, the 500 mb pattern will consist of a Bermuda
high and a Plains high. Between these two systems, a weak trough
will exist over the Ohio Valley area. This will help support
scattered thunderstorms near the weak surface front.

Over the weekend, the models still indicate the 500 mb high over the
Plains will strengthen and expand east across the mid and upper
Mississippi Valley. This upper-level high should reduce convective
coverage to just isolated across most of the area. Heat and humidity
will build back up, with heat indices topping 100 in the forecast
both days.

There is quite a bit of model variability for Monday. The general
model trend seems to be for the 500 mb high to retreat westward back
to the Plains. This would allow a little more northwest flow over
our region, along with a bit of an increase in convection and a bit
lower heat.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 717 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2022

Strong to severe tstms with gusts of 45-60kts possible through
03z at KEVV/KOWB. MVFR to LIFR conditions expected with storms.
Isolated activity expected after 03z with predominant VFR
conditions. At KCGI/KPAH/MVN, VFR conditions expected through the
TAF period. At all sites, winds will be from the south to
southwest at 5 to 10 mph.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for ILZ075-080-081-084-
     085-088-092.

MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for MOZ076-086-087-100-
     107>111.

IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

AVIATION...RST
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 11:22 PM CDT, 31 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 1, 9:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 1, 9:33 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 1, 11:20 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 1, 11:23 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 1, 11:34 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 1, 11:46 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPAHDaviess, Henderson50 min
Aug 1, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHDaviess, McLean51 min
Aug 1, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHenderson29 min
Aug 1, 9:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHHenderson44 min
Aug 1, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHUnion23 min
Aug 1, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHUnion, Webster47 min
Aug 1, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHopkins, Muhlenberg41 min
Aug 1, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPAHHenderson31 min
Aug 1, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCrittenden, Union, Webster38 min
Aug 1, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHenderson, Union39 min
Aug 1, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Webster35 min
Aug 1, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHUnion14 min
Aug 1, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Hopkins33 min
Aug 1, 11:40 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHUnion3 hr
Aug 1, 11:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHHopkins, Webster3 hr
Aug 2, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Christian, Hopkins34 min
Aug 2, 12:28 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHCaldwell, Crittenden3 hr
Aug 2, 12:57 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHCaldwell, Christian, Hopkins3 hr
Aug 2, 1:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHCaldwell, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall59 min
Aug 2, 1:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHChristian, Trigg44 min
Aug 2, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Trigg47 min
Aug 2, 2:01 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHChristian119 min
Aug 2, 2:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHChristian, Todd60 min
Aug 2, 7:42 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHHenderson3 hr
Aug 1, 7:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHWabash36 min
Aug 1, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash29 min
Aug 1, 8:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHWayne35 min
Aug 1, 9:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne40 min
Aug 1, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, White50 min
Aug 1, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wayne49 min
Aug 1, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWhite30 min
Aug 2, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne26 min
Aug 2, 1:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHWayne50 min
Aug 2, 6:59 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne3 hr
Aug 2, 7:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHWhite3 hr
Aug 2, 9:35 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne6 hr
Aug 2, 10:03 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHWhite6 hr
Aug 2, 11:37 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningPAHGallatin, Wayne, White17 days
Aug 2, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHStoddard18 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2022Every flash flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.