Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2022

Wind Advisory 1, NWS New York, NY

January 15, 20224 counties in Connecticut; 8 counties in New York

NWS New York, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 15, 2022, 4:02 PM EST for 4 counties in Connecticut; 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 17, 2022, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2022, 4:02 PM EST (21:02 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2022, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 17, 2022, 9:25 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -148 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

222 
WWUS71 KOKX 152102
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
402 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

CTZ008>011-NYZ071>075-078-080-176>179-161000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
402 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...From midnight Sunday night to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-161000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.A.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
402 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...East winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern New London County. In New 
  York, Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
905 
WWUS71 KOKX 160838
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
338 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-162200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.HW.A.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.W.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
338 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern New London County. In New 
  York, Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071>075-176>179-162200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1300Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
338 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield County. In New 
  York, Southern Nassau, Southern Westchester, Richmond (Staten 
  Island), Bronx, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Southern 
  Queens, New York (Manhattan) and Kings (Brooklyn) Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ008-010-011-NYZ078-080-162200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
338 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern New London, Southern 
  Middlesex and Southern New Haven Counties. In New York, 
  Northwest Suffolk and Southwest Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
357 
WWUS71 KOKX 162128
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
428 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.W.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
428 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts 60 to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern New London County. In New 
  York, Southeast Suffolk and Northeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

CTZ008-010-011-NYZ078-080-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
428 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern New London, Southern 
  Middlesex and Southern New Haven Counties. In New York, 
  Northwest Suffolk and Southwest Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071>075-176>179-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.220117T0500Z-220117T1300Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
428 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield County. In New 
  York, Southern Nassau, Southern Westchester, Richmond (Staten 
  Island), Bronx, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Southern 
  Queens, New York (Manhattan) and Kings (Brooklyn) Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
279 
WWUS71 KOKX 170831
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
331 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-171500-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
331 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern New London County. In New 
  York, Southeast Suffolk and Northeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

CTZ008-010-011-NYZ078-080-171500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
331 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern New London, Southern 
  Middlesex and Southern New Haven Counties. In New York, 
  Northwest Suffolk and Southwest Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071>075-176>179-171300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1300Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
331 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield County. In New 
  York, Southern Nassau, Southern Westchester, Richmond (Staten 
  Island), Bronx, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Southern 
  Queens, New York (Manhattan) and Kings (Brooklyn) Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
673 
WWUS71 KOKX 171207
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

NYZ079-081-171315-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The damaging winds have moved northeast of the region. Southwest 
winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected to 
redevelop this morning and continue into tonight.

$$

CTZ009-NYZ071>075-176>179-171315-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1300Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The strong winds have moved northeast of the region. Southwest 
winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected to 
redevelop this morning and continue into tonight.

$$

NYZ078-080-171315-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The strong winds have moved northeast of the region. Southwest 
winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected to 
redevelop this morning and continue into tonight.


$$

CTZ012-171500-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Southern New London County.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

CTZ008-010-011-171500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
707 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Northern New London, Southern New Haven and Southern 
  Middlesex Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
942 
WWUS71 KOKX 171425
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
925 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

CTZ012-171530-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Southern New London-
925 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The threat of damaging winds has ended. 

$$

CTZ008-010-011-171530-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-220117T1500Z/
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
925 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The threat of wind gusts over 45 mph has ended. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 15, 1:17 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 1:17 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
117 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Arctic high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes region
through tonight and moves off the northeast coast Sunday.
Developing low pressure over the southeast will track north and
intensify as it passes over or just to the west of the area
Sunday night into Monday. The storm system lifts into southeast
Canada Monday night as high pressure builds into the area
through Tuesday. A quick moving frontal system passes Wednesday
into Wednesday night followed by high pressure late in the
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The forecast remains on track this afternoon.

A strong Arctic high will continue to build toward the region
through tonight as weak upper ridging builds into eastern
Canada. Winds and wind gusts will continue to diminish as deep
low pressure continues to move toward the Canadian Maritimes.

The peak of the Arctic air will move into the region tonight as
winds diminish and skies become nearly clear. Temperatures will
be in in single digits across much of the region, with sub zero
air temperatures possible across Orange County New York, and
around 10 near the coast. Winds will be less than 10 mph,
however sub zero wind chills will again be possible tonight away
from the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Guidance remains consistent with the track of a strong coastal
low with impacts to the region Sunday night into Monday. The low
will be approaching from the south during Sunday with the outer
precipitation shield possibly reaching the metro area by late in
the day. With Arctic air still in place the precipitation will
begin as light snow. However, the lower levels will be quickly
warming, especially aloft, and the warm air will push farther
inland. As a result rain will quickly mix in and change to all
rain along the coastal sections. And with warmer air aloft a
period of light freezing rain will be possible farther inland as
the precipitation transitions from snow to rain. At this time a
light glaze is possible. Also with the warm air quickly moving
inland snow totals have been reduced, with little to none along
the coast and 4 to 6 inches across Western Passaic County and
Orange County.

Winds will be more of an impact with strong southeast winds
ahead of the low as as the low becomes occluded late Sunday
night a low level jet of 70 to 80 kts could bring warning level
gusts to the coastal sections.

Heavy rainfall late SUnday night into early Monday may produce
minor poor drainage and urban flooding.

With high astronomical tides and the strong winds widespread coastal
flooding will also be an impact. See the tides and coastal
flooding section for details.

The storm will be quick moving and precipitation will be ending
during Monday as the dry slot moves through the region. There is
a chance of wrap around precipitation into Monday afternoon
with snow mixing with the rain as colder air returns.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
No major changes to the forecast Monday night through the rest
of the week.

The storm system lifts up into southeast Canada Monday night
with a strong pressure gradient left in its wake. A gusty NW
flow will result in strong CAA Monday night. Temperatures will
fall back into and through the 20s in all likelihood, with wind
chills down mostly in the teens into Tuesday morning. The
pressure gradient relaxes on Tuesday as high pressure settles
nearby, resulting in a good amount of sunshine and slightly
below normal temperatures through Tuesday night.

A return flow gets established on Wednesday with the high
pushing offshore. A warm front extending down into the region
from a clipper system pushing through the Great Lakes will bring
increasing clouds. Temperatures will turn a bit milder and
should be a few degrees above normal. The clipper low then moves
to the north late Wednesday and Wednesday night, dragging its
frontal system across the region. This should be all primarily
northern branch energy with little moisture to work with.
Perhaps there will be a few rain and snow showers late Wednesday
and Wednesday night, but the frontal system should come through
without any meaningful precipitation. By Thursday, a large 1040
mb high will move into the the nation's mid section and will
build east through Friday. This will provide a return to much
colder conditions, with noticeably colder air moving in for
Thursday night into Friday. At the present time, it does not
appear to be as cold as recent cold waves. Temperatures should
however run about 10 degrees or so below normal by Thursday
night and Friday. Highs on Friday may not get out of the 20s
region wide.

Model spread and uncertainty is high to start next weekend. The
high may remain over the area with shortwave energy developing
low pressure off the Carolinas. Used the NBM for Saturday given
the time range and plenty of time to monitor deterministic and
ensemble trends.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
***HIGH IMPACT STORM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING***

VFR as high pressure gradually builds today and settles over the
area tonight.

N winds should still prevail at mainly 10-15kt, with gusts
20-25 kt mainly out east (KJFK/KHPN/KBDR/KISP/KGON). Some gusts
up to 20 kt may hang on at the NYC metros into this evening but
become sporadic at best, then speeds should drop below 10 kt
across the board during this evening.

Winds veer to the NE late tonight into Sunday morning, then
should shift E-SE and increase to around 10 kt along the coast
by afternoon.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled AMD expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.Sunday afternoon...MVFR cigs begin to develop NYC metros/coast,
then spread inland toward evening.

.Sunday night...MVFR to IFR cond developing throughout, with
increasing E winds, compression and LLWS.

For the NYC metros/coast: Snow changing to rain. E winds
15-20G25kt in the evening, increasing to 20-30G40-45kt late,
with LLWS.

At KHPN: Snow changing to rain after midnight, E winds
increasing to 20G40kt late, with LLWS.

At KSWF: Snow mixing with sleet/freezing rain after midnight
and changing to rain late. E winds increasing to 15G30kt late,
with LLWS possible.

Runway snow accumulations: none KISP/KJFK, little to none
KGON/KBDR/KLGA, up to an inch KEWR/KTEB, 1-2 inches KHPN, 3-4
inches KSWF.

.Monday...Rain with MVFR to IFR cond, possibly mixing with or
changing back to snow in the afternoon before ending.

Winds:

At the NYC metros: SE winds 15-20G30kt, becoming SW G25kt by
afternoon.

At KISP/KBDR/KGON: E winds 20-25G40-45kt early, becoming SW
15G25-30 kt by afternoon. LLWS still likely at KGON early.

At KHPN/KSWF: E winds 15G25-35kt, becoming SW 10G20kt by
afternoon.

.Monday night...Mainly VFR. W winds 15G25kt.
.Tuesday...VFR. NW winds 15G25kt.
.Tuesday night...VFR. NW winds G20-25kt in the evening.
.Wednesday...VFR. SW winds G15-20kt.
.Wednesday night...Chance of snow showers with MVFR or lower
cond, mainly KSWF/KGON.
.Thursday...Mainly VFR. NW winds 10-15G20kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Allowed the Small Craft Advisory on the non-ocean waters to
expire as wind gusts have generally fallen below 25 kt.

With low pressure departing well to the northeast and Arctic
high pressure building toward the region wind gusts have
diminished below gale force. Wind gusts to small craft advisory
levels will continue through the afternoon on the ocean. Also,
ocean seas will remain at or above SCA levels through tonight.

Conditions will be sub SCA Sunday. Gales will become more
probable Sunday night into Monday, lasting longest for the
ocean. Also, there is the possibility of storm force wind gusts
near 50 kt across the eastern waters for several hours late
Sunday night into early Monday Morning. A gale watch is in
effect for all waters 6PM Sunday until 12PM Monday, and for the
the watch extends until 6PM Monday.

Gales may continue on the ocean Monday night with SCA
elsewhere. SCA conditions should then continue into Tuesday
before winds diminish late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Ocean
seas will remain elevated Monday night into Tuesday and subside
Tuesday night. After sub SCA conditions early Wednesday morning,
look for small craft conditions to return out on the ocean and
perhaps the eastern LI sound during the afternoon on a SW flow.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
One to 1.5 inches of liquid equivalent is expected Sunday night
through Monday, much of which is expected to be rain across the
coastal sections. A wintry mix will begin at the coast with
inland sections having a wintry mix most of Sunday night. Some
heavy rain will be possible at times along the coast especially
late Sunday night into early Monday morning. Areas of minor
nuisance flooding will be possible, especially with periods of
heavy rain late Sunday night into early Monday morning.

The Wallkill River at Gardiner stage may be impacted by ice.

Mainly dry conditions are expected Monday night through Friday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
With an upcoming storm system moving up from the south late in
the weekend and with the approach of a full moon, there will be
increasing potential for coastal flooding during and around
times on Monday mornings. The Monday daytime coastal flooding
looks to be potentially worse and quite widespread with the
possibility of moderate coastal flooding. This is all contingent
on the precise track of the low which more models are depicting
to pass just west of the waters.

Monday morning high tide cycle poses the highest threat as
winds substantially increase out of the E-SE Sunday night into
early Monday adding to the surge component, effectively piling
more water along the coastlines. Ekman transport will also
result in higher water levels along coastline. Forecast surge of
2 to 4 feet early Monday will allow for this widespread coastal
flooding, of which quite a few locations especially the South
Shore Bays, lower NY Harbor and Western Long Island Sound
shorelines could get moderate coastal flooding. A coastal flood
watch has been issued. Latest guidance indicates that perhaps
the eastern CT sound shore has a chance of reaching major
coastal flood benchmarks, and perhaps a few locations along the
north fork and along Peconic Bay, Western LI Sound, and S
Nassau.

Also, another potential coastal hazard will be the potentially
strong winds, high surf that would result erosion along the
ocean beaches. Forecast ocean seas get to 10 to 15 ft late
Sunday night through Monday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Coastal Flood Watch from late Sunday night through Monday
     afternoon for CTZ009>012.
NY...Coastal Flood Watch from late Sunday night through Monday
     afternoon for NYZ071-073-078>081-176-177-179.
     Coastal Flood Watch from late Sunday night through Monday
     morning for NYZ074-075-178.
     Coastal Flood Watch from late Sunday night through Monday
     morning for NYZ072.
NJ...Coastal Flood Watch from late Sunday night through Monday
     morning for NJZ006-106-108.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     ANZ350-353-355.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JE/MET/DS
NEAR TERM...FEB/MET
SHORT TERM...MET
LONG TERM...JE/DS
AVIATION...BG
MARINE...JE/MET/DS/FEB
HYDROLOGY...JE/MET
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:08 AM EST, 11 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-075-178-161100-
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Southern Queens-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills Saturday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-073-078>081-176-177-179-161100-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Southern Westchester-Bronx-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills Saturday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ072-161100-
New York (Manhattan)-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather that
would meet NWS warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-161100-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Western Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

See special weather statement about subzero wind chills this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ350-353-355-161100-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ340-345-161100-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Long Island bays.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazards weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-161100-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Long Island Sound.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ338-161100-
New York Harbor-
408 AM EST Sat Jan 15 2022

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New York Harbor.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 4:02 PM ESTHigh Wind WatchOKXSoutheastern Connecticut Planning Region12 hr
Jan 15, 4:02 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region44 hr
Jan 15, 3:49 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX26 hr
Jan 15, 4:02 PM ESTGale WarningOKX3 days
Jan 15, 4:02 PM ESTStorm WatchOKX12 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2022Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2022Every wind advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.