Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
303 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms are continuing to develop across West and Middle
Tennessee this afternoon with a few storms bordering on the
strong to severe side. No reports of any damage or severe weather
as of yet, but think we have a window of opportunity especially
for areas near I-65 and west. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in
effect until 9PM for these areas with the main threats being
damaging straight line winds up to 60mph and small hail. Although
it is possible a brief tornado could develop over the next few
hours across western Middle Tennessee. Once the sun sets, the
severe weather threat will wind down with showers and
thunderstorms expected through the overnight hours.

Another round of strong with a few isolated severe thunderstorms
with gusty winds could develop and impact the Plateau Friday
morning, but these should race out the area by mid day leaving
mostly showers in it's place. Friday afternoon and evening will be
somewhat of a cool, cloudy, and rainy setup as the upper low
slowly moves across Middle Tennessee. There's some uncertainty as
to how quickly this upper low and subsequent rainfall will move
out of the forecast area, so think clouds and showers may be slow
to clear out of the area on Saturday. Obviously, the timing will
impact Highs on Saturday, so think this is something that could
easily change with future forecasts.

Sunday and beyond starts a dry warm-up trend as temperatures not
only reach seasonal normals, but many locations will likely hit
the 90 degree mark for the first time this year. Tuesday and
Wednesday may even see a few High Temperature records fall as that
upper ridge really builds over the eastern U.S. By the end of next
week, the above mentioned upper low will retrograde back to the
region and once again impact the weather for Middle Tennessee
during the Friday through weekend time frame. At least it will
give us a break from the record heat.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Showers and a few thunderstorms crossing the MS River at issuance
will progress into Middle TN and begin affecting our terminals
later this afternoon. Brief MVFR isn't out of the question if
heavier rain is experienced, but mainly VFR should be seen.
Additional round of storms possible this evening and MVFR should
follow that rain starting around 03Z/Friday.

Southwest winds will be relatively light, with occasional gusts
of less than 20 kts with rains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  74  56  68  52 /  70  80  30  10   0
Clarksville    63  71  54  68  50 /  70  70  30  10   0
Crossville     62  70  52  60  49 /  70  80  60  40   0
Columbia       63  74  55  68  50 /  70  70  20  10   0
Lawrenceburg   63  74  56  67  50 /  70  80  20  10   0
Waverly        62  70  54  69  51 /  70  70  30  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......Hurley
AVIATION........Unger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
242 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061945-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
242 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms can be expected through tonight
across Middle Tennessee. Main hazards with any severe thunderstorm
that develops will be damaging winds and small hail. The formation
of a tornado or two can not be ruled out especially for locations
west of I-65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A few strong thunderstorms can be expected through Friday mid-day
across the Plateau. Main hazards with any thunderstorm that develops
will be gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS Nashville.

Hurley

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
259 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ008-027-028-052030-
Davidson TN-Wilson TN-Sumner TN-
259 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Davidson, south central Sumner and northwestern Wilson Counties
through 330 PM CDT...

At 259 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lakewood, or 8 miles northeast of Nashville, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, Lebanon, Hendersonville, Mount Juliet, Lakewood, Hermitage,
Old Hickory and Green Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8665 3625 8670 3638 8649 3621 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 248DEG 24KT 3623 8665

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
312 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ008-028-052045-
Wilson TN-Sumner TN-
312 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Sumner and
northwestern Wilson Counties through 345 PM CDT...

At 312 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gallatin, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, Hendersonville, Portland, Cottontown, Bethpage and Oak
Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 8646 3632 8665 3661 8654 3654 8625
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 203DEG 26KT 3636 8653

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Shamburger

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
323 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ008-028>030-052100-
Wilson TN-Trousdale TN-Sumner TN-Smith TN-
323 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Smith,
southeastern Sumner, northern Wilson and Trousdale Counties through
400 PM CDT...

At 323 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lebanon, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lebanon, Hartsville and Dickerson Chapel Recreation Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 8617 3644 8614 3622 8607 3618 8645
      3630 8649 3647 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 251DEG 25KT 3626 8640

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
334 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ024-025-052115-
Dickson TN-Humphreys TN-
334 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Dickson
and east central Humphreys Counties through 415 PM CDT...

At 333 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hurricane Mills, or 7 miles south of Waverly, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
McEwen and Hurricane Mills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8756 3599 8750 3599 8753 3597 8753
      3597 8754 3595 8756 3596 8786 3603 8787
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 251DEG 24KT 3599 8782

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
335 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

TNZ024-056-057-052115-
Hickman TN-Humphreys TN-Perry TN-
335 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Perry,
south central Humphreys and southwestern Hickman Counties through 415
PM CDT...

At 335 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Parsons, or 8 miles northwest of Linden, moving east at
30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lobelville and Bucksnort.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 145 and 150.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3565 8798 3573 8802 3593 8769 3569 8759
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 251DEG 24KT 3569 8797

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Whitehead

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