Beach Hazards Statement 2, NWS Marquette, MI

202 
WHUS43 KMQT 300845
CFWMQT

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Marquette MI
445 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

MIZ014-301645-
/O.CON.KMQT.BH.S.0002.220530T1000Z-220531T0100Z/
Southern Schoolcraft-
445 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected due to high 
  wave action and strong rip currents.

* WHERE...Southern Schoolcraft County.

* WHEN...From Monday morning through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...High wave action and dangerous currents will lead to 
  life threatening swimming conditions. Waves in rapid 
  succession can tire swimmers quickly.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Current related fatalities and rescues in
  the past have occurred due to similar wave conditions at
  locations listed below:

For Southern Schoolcraft County: Near Lakeview Park and Seul
Choix Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

RJT

176 
WHUS43 KMQT 301544
CFWMQT

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1144 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

MIZ014-310100-
/O.CON.KMQT.BH.S.0002.000000T0000Z-220531T0100Z/
Southern Schoolcraft-
1144 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions are due to high wave 
  action and strong rip currents.

* WHERE...Southern Schoolcraft County.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...High wave action and dangerous currents will lead to 
  life threatening swimming conditions. Waves in rapid 
  succession can tire swimmers quickly.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Current related fatalities and rescues in 
  the past have occurred due to similar wave conditions at 
  locations listed below:

For Southern Schoolcraft County: Near Lakeview Park and Seul
Choix Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

JV

719 
WHUS43 KMQT 301918
CFWMQT

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Marquette MI
318 PM EDT Mon May 30 2022

MIZ014-311000-
/O.EXT.KMQT.BH.S.0002.000000T0000Z-220601T0100Z/
Southern Schoolcraft-
318 PM EDT Mon May 30 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions are due to high wave 
  action and strong rip currents.

* WHERE...Southern Schoolcraft County.

* WHEN...Through Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...High wave action and dangerous currents will lead to 
  life threatening swimming conditions. Waves in rapid 
  succession can tire swimmers quickly.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Current related fatalities and rescues in 
  the past have occurred due to similar wave conditions at 
  locations listed below:

For Southern Schoolcraft County: Near Lakeview Park and Seul
Choix Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

Voss

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
205 PM EDT Sun May 29 2022

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 750 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2022

Above normal temperatures begin today and are expected to persist
through Tuesday. Gusty southerly winds are also expected through
Tuesday leading to hazardous swimming and boating conditions,
especially for northern Lake Michigan. Generally below normal
precipitation is expected over the next week, but isolated
thunderstorms are possible at times today through Tuesday.

Southwesterly flow aloft spreads across the area today as upper
level ridging builds across the Great Lakes region. A shortwave
approaches this afternoon bringing a surge of low level moisture and
increasing CAPE values. However, CAMs indicate precip associated
with this feature decays on approach likely due to a stout capping
inversion around 700 mb. 00Z HREF guidance indicates shower and
thunderstorm activity has a better chance of continuing this
afternoon/evening across western Lake Superior. Another round of
shower/tstm activity is possible late tonight associated with a
50+ knot LLJ that advects a much warmer air mass into the region
as a deep surface low develops on the Central Plains.

This area of low pressure lifts north across the Northern Plains
Monday into Monday night. The primary local weather hazard
expected on Monday is gusty southerly winds downwind of Lake MI
and for the downslope areas along the Lake Superior shoreline.
These gusty winds result in high waves and a substantial rip
current risk along the Lake MI shoreline so beach-goers should be
cautious about venturing into the lake. Increasing humidity and
temperatures warming to around 90F result in uncomfortable heat,
especially across the interior west. Warm and humid southerly flow
continues Monday night with near record warm low temperatures in
the mid-60s remaining possible on Tuesday morning.

Tuesday looks to be a busy day of weather as one or more frontal
boundaries push across the area. Convergence along the leading
frontal boundary may sufficiently erode the capping inversion for
thunderstorms to develop, especially during the afternoon hours.
Bulk shear values around 50-60 knots are more than adequate for
strong to severe thunderstorms assuming sufficient destabilization
occurs. Deep mixing in the drier air mass behind the initial FroPa
indicates potential for strong SWerly wind gusts. NAM, EPS, and EFI
guidance highlight a period of strong wind gusts possibly
approaching 45 mph across western Upper Michigan on Tuesday.

Generally tranquil weather moves in Tuesday night. Pleasant spring
weather seems likely on Wednesday and Thursday. A more active period
of weather is possible late this week as the same closed low
meanders across Manitoba/Ontario. Temperatures should gradually
trend cooler than normal next weekend.&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 155 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2022

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast. Gusty
south-southeast winds of 20-25 knots will impact IWD and SAW this
afternoon. Some LLWS is expected over all of the terminals
tonight as a low-level jet moves across the region. For the most
part, it looks like convection should stay west of forecast area
as warmer drier air aloft keeps conditions more stable over Upper
Mi, although did include a mention of VCSH at IWD into tonight as
a shower from WI could sneak in there. Southerly winds become
gusty to 20-25 kt on Monday with diurnal mixing.
&&

.MARINE...(For the 4 AM Lake Superior forecast issuance)
Issued at 750 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2022

Gusty winds of 25 to 30 knots will develop over portions of Lake
Superior today with speeds gradually relaxing tonight. Much will
depend upon how well winds will mix down in the marine layer, as
BUFKIT soundings show the inversion remains pretty strong through
the day. Will not be surprised if some of the highest observation
platforms show a few gusts in excess of 30 knots at times. Best
chances for the higher wind speeds will be along the Minnesota
Arrowhead region and from the Keweenaw Peninsula to points north.
Winds will quiet down Monday, but pick up a bit Monday evening
mainly over the eastern lake. Wind gusts in excess of 20 knots
return Tuesday afternoon, with winds expected to be below 20 knots
for the remainder of the week as a cold front moves through an high
pressure builds in.

Until the cold front moves through, expect unsettled weather with
showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday. Areas of fog are
possible, especially in those locations that receive precipitation.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
  Beach Hazards Statement from 5 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT
     this evening for MIZ014.

Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
&&

DISCUSSION...EK
AVIATION...Voss
MARINE...EK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
534 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022

MIZ001>007-009>013-084-085-300945-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Houghton-
Northern Schoolcraft-
534 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022 /434 AM CDT Sun May 29 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western Upper
Michigan and central Upper Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorms are possible over the far west Monday afternoon and
evening. Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
on our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter using #906wx.

MIZ014-300945-
Southern Schoolcraft-
534 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Dangerous swimming conditions are expected due to high wave
action and strong rip currents late this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Dangerous swimming conditions are expected due to high wave
action and strong rip currents Monday and again on Tuesday.

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
on our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter using #906wx.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-300945-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
534 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022 /434 AM CDT Sun May 29 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Eastern Lake
Superior...Central Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and tonight, along with
patchy dense fog.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorms are possible at times Monday through Tuesday along
with patchy dense fog.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
on our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter using #906wx.

LMZ221-248-250-300945-
Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island
Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI-
5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage-
534 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorms are possible at times Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
on our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter using #906wx.

RJT