Severe Thunderstorm Warning 238, NWS Twin Cities, MN

837 
WWUS53 KMPX 030406
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1106 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

MNC127-030415-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-220803T0445Z/
Redwood MN-
1106 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN REDWOOD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4503 9426 4499 9426 4476 9406 4453 9418
      4454 9473 4455 9501 4473 9505 4488 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 261DEG 62KT 4489 9488 4476 9470 4458 9472 

$$

MNC067-085-093-129-143-030445-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-220803T0445Z/
Meeker MN-Sibley MN-McLeod MN-Kandiyohi MN-Renville MN-
1106 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MEEKER...NORTHWESTERN SIBLEY...MCLEOD...SOUTHEASTERN
KANDIYOHI AND RENVILLE COUNTIES...

At 1105 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles north of Bird Island to Hector to near
Fairfax, moving east at 70 mph.

THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR EASTERN RENVILLE AND WESTERN MCLEOD 
COUNTIES.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  Buffalo Lake around 1110 PM CDT.
  Gibbon and Stewart around 1115 PM CDT.
  Winthrop and Brownton around 1120 PM CDT.
  Gaylord around 1125 PM CDT.
  Hutchinson and Glencoe around 1130 PM CDT.
  Silver Lake around 1135 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Sumter, Biscay, Danube, Lakeside, Thorpe, Corvuso, Fernando, Glencoe
Airport, Hutchinson Airport and Cedar Mills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing 
widespread wind damage. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure 
and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4503 9426 4499 9426 4476 9406 4453 9418
      4454 9473 4455 9501 4473 9505 4488 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 261DEG 62KT 4489 9488 4476 9470 4458 9472 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

$$

Borghoff

952 
WWUS53 KMPX 030431
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1131 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

MNC067-093-129-030441-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-220803T0445Z/
Meeker MN-Kandiyohi MN-Renville MN-
1131 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MEEKER...SOUTHEASTERN
KANDIYOHI AND RENVILLE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4461 9414 4462 9420 4477 9439 4494 9442
      4498 9425 4476 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 264DEG 62KT 4481 9407 

$$

MNC085-143-030445-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-220803T0445Z/
Sibley MN-McLeod MN-
1131 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL SIBLEY AND CENTRAL MCLEOD COUNTIES...

At 1131 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Glencoe, or 16
miles east of Hutchinson, moving east at 70 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR EASTERN MCLEOD COUNTY.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of north
central Sibley and central McLeod Counties, including the following
locations... Sumter, Biscay, Glencoe Airport, Hutchinson Airport, New
Auburn and Lake Marion Regional Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. This storm is producing 
widespread wind damage. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure 
and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4461 9414 4462 9420 4477 9439 4494 9442
      4498 9425 4476 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 264DEG 62KT 4481 9407 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

$$

Borghoff

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
634 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 336 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

3 PM observations came in and heat indices increased several degrees
across southern Minnesota, now ranging from 105 to 110 in many
cases. Dew points are not mixing out, despite rising temperatures.
The compounded effect has allowed the jump in heat indices into the
warning range across most of southern Minnesota, thus the warning has
been expanded.

&&

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

KEY MESSAGES: (optional)

- Heat index values of 100-105 into this evening

- Scattered thunderstorms expected tonight, some of which may be
  severe.

TODAY/TONIGHT:
The forecast for excessive heat remains on track as wide spread heat
index values of 100-105 are already present across much of the areas
under an Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory. A few sites with
values above 110 can't be ruled out where dew points locally rise
into the upper 70s. Thunderstorm this afternoon is expected to
continue to remain limited to far northern Minnesota and Wisconsin,
as 700 mb temperatures around 14C maintain a strong cap over central
Minnesota and points south. There is a very low (~10%) chance of a
few isolated thunderstorms breaking the cap late this afternoon and
evening across western Wisconsin where the cap is weaker. A
conditional severe weather threat exists IF any storms can fire over
western Wisconsin, with very large hail and damaging wind gusts the
potential hazards. Better chances for showers and thunderstorms come
late tonight through the overnight hours, when stronger forcing aloft
arrives from the west. These overnight storms will most likely remain
elevated, meaning they will not be able to tap into the favorable
surface-based environment for severe weather. However, enough mid-
level CAPE and shear is present to possible generate a few stronger
clusters of storms, and maybe a few isolated instances of hail and
gusty winds overnight. Rainfall amounts will be very spotty owing to
the isolated to scattered nature of any storm tonight. Localized
rainfall amounts in excess of 1" are possible wherever thunderstorms
occur, but most other areas will likely see either less than 0.1" or
nothing at all.

WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY:
Northwest flow develops Wednesday behind a front which will lead to
drier dewpoints and cooler temperatures, although highs will likely
still end up in the mid to upper 80s across much of eastern Minnesota
and western Wisconsin. Southerly flow returns Thursday, but
temperatures won't really peak until Friday when the thermal ridge
axis moves overhead. Highs on Thursday will mostly remain in the mid
to upper 80s, but widespread low to mid 90s look likely Friday
afternoon. If dew point values can reach the upper 60s to low 70s,
Heat Advisories may be needed for portions of the area.

THIS WEEKEND:
A cold front will move through the Upper Midwest during the late
Friday to Sunday timeframe, with deterministic models and ensemble
still exhibiting quite a bit of spread regarding its timing. Showers
and thunderstorms are likely with the frontal passage, and the entire
area looks to have at least a decent chance for beneficial rainfall
amounts of half an inch or more. Daily temepratures will depend on
the timing of the front and precipitation. The NBM averaged values
show high temperatures in the 70s to low 80s, but a day or two of
below-normal temperatures is possible with cloudy skies during the
afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

VFR this evening with mid level clouds increasing from the
northwest. TSRA are beginning to develop over SD, which should expand
in coverage later this evening heading into western MN. A gradual
weakening trend is anticipated overnight as activity reaches eastern
MN and WI. Gusty northwest winds and clear skies for Wednesday.

KMSP...Best chance for TSRA remains in the 07-10Z range.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Thu...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.
Fri...VFR. Wind S 10-15G25 kts.
Sat...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts becoming NW.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for Anoka-Blue
     Earth-Brown-Carver-Chippewa-Dakota-Faribault-Hennepin-
     Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Le Sueur-Martin-McLeod-Meeker-Nicollet-
     Ramsey-Redwood-Renville-Rice-Scott-Sibley-Waseca-Washington-
     Watonwan-Wright-Yellow Medicine.

     Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for Benton-Chisago-
     Douglas-Freeborn-Goodhue-Isanti-Pope-Sherburne-Stearns-Steele-
     Stevens-Swift.

WI...None.
&&

UPDATE...Borghoff
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...Borghoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
900 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
040200-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
900 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight. A few storms may be
severe. The main hazards are large hail and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

Borghoff

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1031 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

WIZ015-016-030415-
Barron WI-Rusk WI-
1031 PM CDT Tue Aug 2 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Rusk and Barron
Counties through 1115 PM CDT...

At 1031 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles northwest of Cumberland to 6 miles
west of Rice Lake to Weyerhaeuser to near Sheldon. Movement was
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Weyerhaeuser around 1035 PM CDT.
  Sheldon around 1040 PM CDT.
  Bruce around 1045 PM CDT.
  Barron around 1050 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Cumberland,
Cameron and Chetek.

This includes U.S. Highway 53 between mile markers 127 and 152.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
northwestern and west central Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4538 9092 4530 9093 4529 9095 4529 9154
      4531 9195 4550 9216 4564 9216 4564 9068
      4538 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0331Z 308DEG 16KT 4565 9215 4553 9185 4543 9141 4536
9097

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1035 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MILROY              44.46N 95.55W
08/02/2022  M59 MPH          REDWOOD            MN   MESONET

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1043 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 S GRANITE FALLS       44.75N 95.55W
08/02/2022  M63 MPH          YELLOW MEDICINE    MN   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KGDB GRANITE FALLS AP.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1049 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 WSW LUCAN             44.40N 95.47W
08/02/2022  M62 MPH          REDWOOD            MN   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            60 TO 62 MPH WIND GUSTS FOR THE LAST 10 MINS
            AT THE MNDOT SITE NEAR LUCAN.

&&

JLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1051 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1051 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SSE NORTH REDWOOD     44.55N 95.08W
08/02/2022  M64 MPH          REDWOOD            MN   ASOS

            KRWF AIRPORT.

&&

JLT