Alert archive / Florida / High Surf Warnings in 2022
High Surf Warning 1, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this high surf warning at Mar 29, 2022, 11:34 AM CDT for Baldwin County, Mobile County, Alabama; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida. It took effect at Mar 30, 2022, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 32 hr. 31 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2022, 11:34 AM CDT (16:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 30, 2022, 10:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2022, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 32 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
Counties Baldwin County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 10:34 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ese Big Creek Lake, AL | REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND DAMAGED STRUCTURES NEAR THE WULFF ROAD S AND HOWELLS FERRY RD AREA. |
| Mar 30, 10:34 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ese Big Creek Lake, AL | REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND DAMAGED STRUCTURES NEAR WULFF ROAD SOUTH AND HOWELLS FERRY ROAD. |
| Mar 30, 10:34 PM CDT | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Tanner Williams, AL | A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR HARRY PIERCE ROAD AND MOVED NORTHEAST INTO ALABAMA AND LIFTED JUST EAST OF STATE LINE ROAD. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO TREE DAMAGE AND SEEING A DEBRIS SIGNATURE ON RADAR. |
| Mar 30, 10:36 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ese Big Creek Lake, AL | REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN THE WULFF ROAD SOUTH/HOWELLS FERRY ROAD AREA. |
| Mar 30, 10:41 PM CDT | TORNADO | 2 Ese Big Creek Lake, AL | A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR ELLEN DRIVE, RESULTING IN THE LOSS OF SOME SHINGLES ON A NEARBY HOME, A BLOWN OVER FENCE, AND METAL ROOFING FROM A SHED WHICH WAS TOSSED AND WRAPPED AROUND A STREET SIGN. THE WIDTH OF THE CONVERGENT PATTERN WAS REALLY NARROW A |
| Mar 30, 10:43 PM CDT | TORNADO | 2 Ene Snow And Tanner W, AL | ANOTHER TORNADO BEGAN SOUTH OF HOWELLS FERRY ROAD, EAST OF HOWELLS LANE. A COUPLE TREES WERE SNAPPED IN THE RESIDENTIAL AREA, ALONG WITH FENCING DOWN AND THE ROOF OF AN AWNING THAT WAS BLOWN DOWN. A BASKETBALL HOOP WAS KNOCKED OVER INTO A BRICK PILLAR, DESTROY |
| Mar 30, 10:45 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sse Grand Bay, AL | CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 3 SSE GRAND BAY. NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOUND A COUPLE SNAPPED LARGE BRANCHES WITH FEW SNAPPED OR UPROOTED SOFTWOOD TREES. A COUPLE OUT BUILDINGS WITH MOST OF THEIR ROOFS REMOVED AND A MANUFACTURED HOME WITH MINOR ROOF DAM |
| Mar 30, 10:49 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Nw Dixon Corner, AL | SEVERAL LARGE SNAPPED HARDWOOD AND SOFTWOOD BRANCHES HERE. AN OUT BUILDING WAS DESTROYED AND AN ATV WAS ROLLED. WIND ESTIMATED TO BE 75 MPH AND TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| Mar 30, 10:54 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Tillmans Corner, AL | NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DOWNED POWER LINES AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE NEAR RANGELINE RD. |
| Mar 30, 10:57 PM CDT | MARINE TSTM WIND 43 | Brookley Field Asos, AL | ASOS STATION KBFM MOBILE BROOKLEY REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 43 MPH. |
| Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Wnw Hollingers Island, AL | REPORTS RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF POWERLINES AND TREES DOWN NEAR HAMILTON BLVD AND RANGELINE RD IN THEODORE, AL. |
| Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Wnw Hollingers Island, AL | REPORTS RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF TREES/POWER LINES DOWN NEAR HAMILTON BLVD AND RANGELINE RD IN THEODORE, AL. |
| Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDT | TORNADO | 2 Wnw Hollingers Island, AL | NWS SURVEY TEAM FOUND AN EF1 TORNADO BEGAN NEAR RABBIT CREEK DR. IN THEODORE, AL AND MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS RANGELINE ROAD. SEVERAL WOODEN POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED ALONG RANGLINE ROAD WITH ABOUT A HALF MILE SWATH OF STRAIGHT-LINE DAMAGING WINDS ESTIMATED NEAR |
| Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDT | COASTAL FLOOD | 2 E Pinto Island, AL | U.S. 90 CAUSEWAY IS CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING. |
| Mar 30, 11:03 PM CDT | MARINE TSTM WIND 48 | 1 Ne Hollingers Island, AL | MESONET STATION - MOBILE DOG RIVER REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 48 MPH. |
| Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDT | COASTAL FLOOD | 2 Ne Hollingers Island, AL | WATER WAS REPORTED OVER DAUPHIN ISLAND PARKWAY (SR 163) AT DOG RIVER BRIDGE MAKING IT IMPASSABLE. ALL LANES WERE CLOSED. |
| Mar 30, 11:50 PM CDT | TORNADO | 4 Ene Rosinton, AL | A BRIEF, WEAK EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS UPWARDS OF 75MPH OCCURRED IN BALDWIN COUNTY, ALABAMA JUST NORTHEAST OF ROSINTON 3/30/22. THE TORNADO BEGAN IN A LIMITED ACCESS AREA WHERE A COUPLE FRESHLY SNAPPED TOPS TO PINE TREES WERE NOTED ACROSS THE FIELD. DUE TO LIMIT |
| Mar 30, 11:55 PM CDT | MARINE TSTM WIND 55 | 2 Ne Gulf Shores, AL | AWOS STATION KJKA GULF SHORES REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 55 MPH. |
| Mar 31, 12:15 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Cantonment, FL | BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE NEAR THE CANTONMENT COMMUNITY AND ACROSS THE COUNTY LINE IN PACE (SANTA ROSA COUNTY). |
| Mar 31, 12:25 AM CDT | TORNADO | 2 E Gonzalez, FL | A BRIEF, WEAK EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS UPWARDS OF 80MPH BEGAN IN THE GONZALEZ AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT ON 3/31/22 IMPACTING A RESIDENTIAL AREA FROM CHEMSTRAND ROAD EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH CATERPILLAR LANE AND CRYSTAL DRIVE. THIS TORNADO RESULTED IN MINOR DAMAG |
| Mar 31, 12:25 AM CDT | TORNADO | 2 E Gonzalez, FL | REPORT OF LARGE LIMBS DOWN DOING DAMAGE TO FOUR ROOF-TOP SOLAR PANELS. ONE YEAR OLD WOODEN FENCE DOWNED ON PROPERTY. RESIDENT REPORTED LOTS OF WIND BLOWN DEBRIS PLANTED INTO THE SIDE OF HIS HOUSE. NEXT DOOR NEIGHBOR HAD AN UPROOTED TREE ON THEIR PROPERTY. |
| Mar 31, 12:30 AM CDT | HAIL 1.75 | Pace, FL | PHOTOS RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF A NEARLY GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL STONE. |
| Mar 31, 12:32 AM CDT | MARINE TSTM WIND 40 | Pensacola Nas, FL | PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR STATION KNPA RECORDED A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 40 MPH. |
| Mar 31, 12:32 AM CDT | TORNADO | 3 Nnw Pace, FL | A SHORT DURATION EF1 TORNADO WITH WINDS UPWARDS OF 94MPH IMPACTED THE PACE AREA ON 3/31/22. THIS TORNADO BEGAN ON DOVE DRIVE IMPACTING MULTIPLE RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES RESULTING IN NOTABLE LOSS OF ROOFING MATERIAL ALONG WITH MANY SNAPPED/UPROOTED SOFTWOOD AND H |
| Mar 31, 12:39 AM CDT | HAIL 1 | Pace, FL | NUMEROUS REPORTS OF HAIL IN THE PACE COMMUNITY. PHOTOS AND VIDEOS RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| Mar 31, 12:40 AM CDT | TSTM WND GST 58 | Pensacola International, FL | PENSACOLA ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 50 KNOTS. |
| Mar 31, 12:42 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sw Bagdad, FL | STRUCTURAL DEBRIS REPORTED ALONG AVALON BLVD NEAR THE OLD MOORES GOLF COURSE. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| Mar 31, 12:42 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Se Pace, FL | STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED IN THE AVALON AREA OF MILTON. TREES/POWER LINES DOWN IN ROADS AND YARDS. TREES FELL ON A HOUSE AND A DETACHED GARAGE WAS FLATTENED. |
| Mar 31, 1:14 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 5 W Galliver, FL | PICTURE OF LARGE OAK TREES DOWNED AT BLACKWATER FISH HATCHERY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| Mar 31, 1:41 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Ne Campton, FL | REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON PLYMPTON ROAD NEAR LAUREL HILL, FL. |
| Mar 31, 1:41 AM CDT | TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 Sse Crestview Airport, FL | CRESTVIEW ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 KNOTS AT 1:35AM CDT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -293 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 862 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
376 WHUS44 KMOB 291634 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 1134 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-300115- /O.NEW.KMOB.SU.W.0001.220330T1500Z-220401T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.220330T0000Z-220401T1900Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 1134 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected with 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region and 1 to 2 feet above normally dry ground in the Western Florida panhandle. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal Counties. In Florida, Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and Okaloosa Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, from 10 AM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-300115- /O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 1134 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Minor coastal flooding expected with water levels of 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Mobile Central and Baldwin Central Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. && $$
8 follow-up statements
100 WHUS44 KMOB 300050 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 750 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-300900- /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.220330T1500Z-220401T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220401T1900Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 750 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected with 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region and 1 to 2 feet above normally dry ground in the Western Florida panhandle. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal Counties. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, from 10 AM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-300900- /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 750 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Minor coastal flooding expected with water levels of 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Baldwin Central and Mobile Central Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. && $$
270 WHUS44 KMOB 300841 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 341 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-301700- /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.220330T1500Z-220401T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220401T1900Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 341 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected with 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region and 1 to 2 feet above normally dry ground in the Western Florida panhandle. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal Counties. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-301700- /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1200Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 341 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Minor coastal flooding expected with water levels of 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Baldwin Central and Mobile Central Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. && $$
269 WHUS44 KMOB 301705 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 1205 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-310115- /O.EXT.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 1205 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected with 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region and 1 to 2 feet above normally dry ground in the Western Florida panhandle. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal Counties. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 6 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-310115- /O.EXT.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 1205 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Minor coastal flooding expected with water levels of 2 to 3 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Baldwin Central and Mobile Central Counties. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. && $$
302 WHUS44 KMOB 301950 CFWMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 250 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ALZ265-310400- /O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.CF.W.0001.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal- 250 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, moderate coastal flooding is expected with 2 to 3.5 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region including the U.S. 90 Causeway. For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Mobile Coastal County including the U.S. 90 Causeway. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 6 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-310400- /O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.CF.W.0001.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 250 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Moderate coastal flooding is expected with 2 to 3.5 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Mobile Central and Baldwin Central Counties. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. && $$ ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-310400- /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.220330T2000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Coastal- 250 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal County. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 6 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
706 WHUS44 KMOB 310356 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 1056 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ALZ265-311300- /O.CON.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal- 1056 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, moderate coastal flooding is expected with 2 to 3.5 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region including the U.S. 90 Causeway. For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Mobile Coastal County including the U.S. 90 Causeway. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 6 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-311300- /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Coastal- 1056 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 9 to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding expected. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal County. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 6 AM CDT Thursday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life- threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-311100- /O.CON.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 1056 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Moderate coastal flooding is expected with 2 to 3.5 feet above normally dry ground in the Mobile Bay region. * WHERE...Mobile Central and Baldwin Central Counties. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. && $$
342 WHUS44 KMOB 311028 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 528 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ALZ265-311830- /O.CAN.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal- 528 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 7 to 10 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Mobile Coastal County. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT this evening. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ ALZ263-264-311130- /O.CAN.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 528 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED... $$ ALZ266-FLZ202-204-206-311830- /O.CAN.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220331T1100Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Coastal- 528 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 8 to 11 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal County. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT this evening. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
588 WHUS44 KMOB 312006 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 306 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-010415- /O.CON.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 306 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 8 to 11 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal County. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Surf Warning, until 6 PM CDT this evening. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
791 WHUS44 KMOB 312322 CFWMOB Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Mobile AL 622 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-010900- /O.EXP.KMOB.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220331T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-220402T1100Z/ Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal- 622 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...HIGH SURF WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal Counties. In Florida, Santa Rosa Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal and Escambia Coastal Counties. * WHEN...Through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high surf warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf warning went out at Mar 29, 6:28 AM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 6:28 AM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
628 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022
.UPDATE...Have issued a Dense Fog Advisory for our coastal
counties. Lighter winds along with better radiational cooling
under partly cloudy skies(generally south of a stratus deck that
has formed north of the fog area) has allowed visibilities to drop
to less than 1/2 mile along and south of I-10.
/16
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 616 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022/
AVIATION...
12Z issuance...LIFR/IFR conditions along and south of I-10 rise to
mid level MVFR conditions along and west of the Tombigbee River at
11z will rise to general mid level MVFR or higher through the
morning hours as fog/stratus across the area mixes out. South
winds around 5 knots will rise to 10 to 15 knots by afternoon. Low
end MVFR/IFR level stratus will form again tonight, with south
winds of 5 to 10 knots. /16
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 422 AM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022/
NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Wednesday morning/...An upper low
centered at the base of an upper trough along the West coast
moves east, with an upper ridge over the Plains moving east, to
over the East Coast by 18z/1pm Wednesday. A surface ridge
stretching north from surface high pressure centered over the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico shifts east, to off the East Coast. A
surface low that has developed along the southern Rockies moves
northeast over the Plains, creating a tight pressure gradient over
the Plains ahead of an approaching cold front. The strong deep
layer flow that has set up over the Plains creates a band of deep
layer moisture approaching 2" over the Plains, which then pushes
to over the Mississippi River by noontime Wednesday. Higher
moisture levels begin to move east over the forecast area,
creating a gradient in moisture levels over the forecast Wednesday
morning, ranging from around 0.5" over the eastern third of the
forecast area to around 1.3" along the western border of the
forecast area. Rainshowers will being to develop west of the
Alabama/Mississippi state line Wednesday in the more moist
airmass.
Southerly boundary layer winds over the forecast area have
allowed stratus to develop and move inland over the forecast area.
Where winds have been lighter, fog has formed. A few localities
have realized dense fog overnight, though winds have remained high
enough to limit the coverage of the lower visibilities. Will
continue to monitor.
With winds becoming strong Wednesday ahead of the approaching
system, a Wind Advisory will be issued beginning 15z Wednesday
morning. The strong winds will also bring increasing onshore flow. A
High Risk of rip currents will begin tonight and last into Friday
night before beginning to ease. Also a WWA for increasing surf
heights will likely be needed beginning Wednesday morning, but is a
bit outside of the issuance time frame at this time.
Not to forget, temperatures well above seasonal norms are expected.
Temperatures bottoming out in the mid to upper 50s tonight will
range from the upper 50s to mid 60s Tuesday night. High temperatures
in the low to mid 80s are expected today. /16
SHORT TERM /Wednesday afternoon Through Thursday night/...An
upper trof over the central states containing an embedded powerful
shortwave system advances eastward across much of the eastern
states through Thursday night. The powerful embedded shortwave
trof will be located on the eastern side of the larger scale upper
trof midday Wednesday (over the Eastern Plains) and lifts into
the interior eastern states Wednesday night, and in the process
causes the larger scale upper trof to take on a negative tilt. Two
jet maxima were noted during this period, a 100-130 knot upper
jet associated with the shortwave trof and a second 100-120 knot
jet moving through the base of the larger scale upper trof. The
entrance and exit regions of these two features set up a coupled-
jet structure which results in a region of strong upper level
divergence which shifts from Arkansas/Louisiana into Mississippi
Wednesday afternoon. As the upper jet associated with the
shortwave trof lifts off to the north Wednesday night, this region
of strong upper level divergence weakens slightly while
continuing across the Alabama/western Florida portion of the
forecast area, then weakens much more significantly while
continuing further east late Wednesday night.
As the surface, a surface low will be located near eastern Iowa
midday Wednesday with a cold front extending into eastern
Texas. The surface low deepens while moving well off to the north
and in the process brings the cold front through the forecast
area late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. In response to
the strong deep layer forcing associated with the upper level
system, by midday Wednesday a prefrontal trof and strong squall
line will have formed ahead of the front and extend from eastern
Arkansas into western Louisiana. A 40-50 knot 850 mb jet over the
forecast area increases to 50-70 knots Wednesday afternoon as the
squall line advances eastward and looks to enter the western
portion of the forecast area near 23-00Z Thursday. The low level
jet maintains this 50-70 knot strength while the squall line
continues further into the western portion of the area through the
mid evening hours (such as through 03Z Thursday), after which the
deep layer forcing slowly weakening primarily in response to the
shortwave trof lifting off to the north.
MLCAPE values of generally 800-1300 J/kg will accompany the squall
line and also eastward ahead of the line until it exits east of
the area. The 850 mb jet weakens after roughly 03Z Thursday and
shifts from southerly to southwesterly with the gradually
weakening deep layer forcing. Shear values will be very high
through the period, even after the anticipated "weakening" trend,
although the trend does line up well with the Storm Prediction
Center's Moderate Risk of severe storms generally along and west
of I-65 with an Enhanced Risk over the remainder of the area.
Discrete convection can be expected ahead of the squall line as
well. All modes of severe weather are possible with damaging wind
gusts likely the primary threat, and heavy rains will also pose a
potential flooding threat which will need to be monitored. Have
issued a Wind Advisory which will be in effect through Wednesday
afternoon into the evening hours. A Coastal Flood Advisory may
also need to be considered during this time frame, and a High Surf
Advisory or Warning will likely be required as well. A High Risk
of rip currents remains in effect through Thursday night. Dry
conditions develop over the area on Thursday in the wake of this
system. /29
EXTENDED TERM /Friday Through Monday/...An upper-level trough over
the eastern US quickly lifts to the northeast throughout the day on
Friday. Behind it, west-southwesterly flow aloft remains over the
area as another shortwave trough pushes in from the central US. As
it passes to our north, shortwave impulses, embedded within the flow
aloft, push over the region on Saturday. Once these features pass,
zonal to northwesterly flow returns to the region through the
remainder of the extended period. At the surface, high pressure over
our region on Friday quickly lifts northeastward across the
Appalachians. A low, in association with the shortwave trough,
develops over Kansas/Nebraska Friday night and moves towards the
Ohio River Valley during the day on Saturday. This low helps to drag
a cold front southeastward, clearing our region by Sunday morning.
Behind the front, high pressure settles in across the eastern US
through Monday.
Dry conditions will continue through Friday. By Saturday, with the
shortwave impulses moving overhead and the front approaching, rain
chances will return to the forecast. Models have come into better
agreement, with both the GFS and the ECMWF showing the main bulk of
precip over the southern half of our region and over the marine
zones. Therefore, maintained chance PoPs for our northern counties
and up to 70% PoPs for our southern counties. Some thunderstorms may
also be possible as instability may try to work its way into the
region, however, at this time, the best instability looks to remain
offshore. Once the front passes Sunday morning, dry conditions are
expected through the remainder of the period. Temperatures will
remain steady, with highs generally in the mid to upper 70s and lows
in the mid to upper 40s north to the mid to upper 50s along the
coast. /96
MARINE...A light to moderate southwest to west today will strengthen
into mid week as a system approaches the area. A Small Craft
Advisory is in effect beginning tonight, with a Gale Watch in effect
for Wednesday, with frequent gusts above Gale Force possible. A cold
front moves east over area waters Thursday, with light to moderate
westerly flow becoming northwest Thursday night, then easterly as
surface high pressure quickly moves east along the northern Gulf
coast.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 83 66 81 61 79 49 75 55 / 0 0 50 100 10 0 0 30
Pensacola 79 65 79 67 79 54 74 59 / 0 0 20 100 20 0 0 30
Destin 77 65 77 67 77 57 72 60 / 0 0 10 90 40 0 0 30
Evergreen 85 60 85 60 79 47 76 50 / 0 0 20 90 10 0 0 20
Waynesboro 85 65 84 56 73 45 74 49 / 0 0 50 100 0 0 0 20
Camden 86 62 85 59 76 46 72 48 / 0 0 20 100 10 0 0 20
Crestview 85 60 82 63 81 50 77 53 / 0 0 10 100 30 0 0 30
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
night for ALZ051>060-261>266.
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for ALZ261>266.
High Rip Current Risk from this evening through Friday afternoon
for ALZ265-266.
FL...Wind Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
night for FLZ201>206.
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk from this evening through Friday afternoon
for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Wind Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
night for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Gale Watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning for
GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM CDT Wednesday for
GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mobThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 10:12 PM CDT | Gale Watch | MOB | 16 hr | |
| Mar 28, 10:12 PM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MOB | 36 hr | |
| Mar 29, 3:54 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington and 6 more | 44 hr |
| Mar 29, 6:23 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 4 hr |
| Mar 29, 11:34 AM CDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 42 hr |
| Mar 29, 1:49 PM CDT | Gale Warning | MOB | 39 hr |
Nearby
High Surf Warnings in Florida, 2022High Surf Warnings in Alabama, 2022Every high surf warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.