Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Melbourne, FL

520 
WWUS52 KMLB 062234
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
634 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

FLC061-062243-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-220606T2245Z/
Indian River FL-
634 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIAN RIVER
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
Indian River County. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled for 
Indian River County.

LAT...LON 2734 8039 2747 8053 2756 8045 2756 8036
      2753 8027 2750 8026
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 297DEG 13KT 2747 8040 

$$

FLC111-062245-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-220606T2245Z/
St. Lucie FL-
634 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

At 633 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fort Pierce 
North, or near Indrio, moving southeast at 15 mph. This storm has a 
history of producing a tornado. 

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Pierce, Indrio, Fort Pierce Inlet, White City and Queens Cove. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2734 8039 2747 8053 2756 8045 2756 8036
      2753 8027 2750 8026
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 297DEG 13KT 2747 8040 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rodriguez

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
245 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

.DISCUSSION...

...A Few Strong To Severe Storms Possible This Afternoon...

Rest of Today-Tonight...Slow and erratic motion has been observed
from convection so far this afternoon, with propagation along
boundaries also varying. High (50-70%) coverage of showers and
storms is expected to continue through the afternoon today,
eventually drifting towards the coast into the evening hours. A
few strong to marginally severe storms will be possible,
especially along the sea breeze collision over the interior in the
next couple of hours. The 15Z XMR sounding revealed MU CAPE
values of around 4000J/kg, DCAPE around 1100J/kg, and bulk shear
of 50kts. All of this, along with upper level support from a
passing trough and forcing of the sea breeze will make storms this
afternoon capable of wind gusts to around 50-60mph. 500mb
temperatures around -8 to -10C will also support quarter size
hail. Locally heavy rainfall, exacerbated by slower storm
motions, may lead to minor street and poor drainage flooding,
especially in areas of training storms or places that have
received heavy rainfall over the past few days.

After the sea breeze collision, activity is expected to drift back
towards the east coast into this evening. However, showers and
storms should diminish by around midnight, with dry conditions
prevailing through the remainder of the overnight. Morning lows
near-normal, in the lower 70s.

Tuesday...A slightly drier airmass will prevail on Tuesday, as a
lower-amplitude upper trough passes north of the local area. Thus,
expecting slightly less coverage of afternoon showers and storms,
with PoPs generally 30-40%, though up to 50-55% across southern
Osceola and Okeechobee Counties. The Volusia Coast looks to remain
even drier, at around 20%. In addition to lower coverage,
decreased upper level support will lead to more general afternoon
thunderstorms, though gusty winds of 40-50mph and small hail will
remain possible. Light winds expected in the morning hours,
before the afternoon sea breeze develops, increasing winds to
around 10mph. Temperatures remaining above normal, in the lower
90s, though urban areas of Orlando could reach up to 95.

Wed-Sun (previous)...A weak frontal boundary settles into the
deep South and stalls north of our area, suppressing the Atlc
ridge axis across the Florida Straits. This will produce a SW to W
flow turning onshore each afternoon in a sea breeze. Temperatures
will remain above normal reaching the mid 90s interior, lower 90s
Volusia coast and near 90 Cape south. There will be sufficient
moisture to produce scattered aftn/eve storms with climatological
30 to 50 percent PoPs, except only 20 Percent coastal Volusia Wed-
Thu. Then a more uniform 40-60 PoP expected across the area Fri-
Sun as moisture increases and W/SW steering flow brings the
diurnal convection back to the east coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
Thunderstorms have developed this afternoon with some impacting the
terminals and causing MVFR to brief LIFR conditions. Activity will
continue thru at least 00z with a few strong to severe storms
possible, capable of 40-50 kt gusts and hail. TEMPO groups were
included to address afternoon storms. Activity will dissipate this
evening, leaving behind VFR conditions and light, variable winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Rest of Today-Tonight...Showers and storms across the interior
this afternoon are expected to drift back towards the coast this
evening. Mariners over both inland lakes and the Atlantic waters
should monitor the progress of convective activity, as stronger
storms will be capable of wind gusts in excess of 34kts and hail.
Chances are expected to diminish through late tonight, though
showers and storms will remain possible well offshore of Martin
County through the overnight hours. Onshore flow around 10-12kts
this afternoon behind the sea breeze will become 5-10kts and veer
offshore through daybreak. Seas 2-4ft, with up to 5ft possible in
the Gulf Stream.

Tue-Wed (modified previous)...Weak pressure gradient Tue-Wed will
produce a light offshore (W/SW) flow in the mornings then turn
onshore with the sea breeze near the coast in the afternoons at
10-12 knots. Seas 2-3 FT nearshore and up to 4 FT offshore and 5ft
in the Gulf Stream on Tuesday, mainly in a NE swell. Lower
coverage of storms expected.

Thu-Fri (previous)...Atlc ridge axis to the south and a weak
frontal boundary pushing into the deep South will produce a little
more of an offshore (W/SW) flow. A sea breeze will still develop
each afternoon near the coast but there will be a better chance
for storms over land to push offshore across the intracoastal and
Atlc waters. Seas 2-3 FT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  72  90  73  92 /  20  20  10  30
MCO  72  95  74  95 /  30  50  20  40
MLB  73  89  73  90 /  20  40  10  40
VRB  71  90  71  90 /  30  40  20  50
LEE  72  93  74  93 /  30  40  20  30
SFB  72  93  74  94 /  20  40  20  30
ORL  74  95  76  95 /  30  50  20  40
FPR  70  90  71  90 /  40  40  20  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

FORECAST...Leahy
RADAR/DSS...Sedlock
AVIATION...Schaper

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
956 AM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-062000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
956 AM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered lightning storms will develop this afternoon along
collisions between the sea breeze, as well as outflow from
previous storms. Wind gusts up to 50 to 60mph, quarter size hail,
frequent lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible. Storms are expected to begin across the interior,
drifting towards the coast into the evening hours. The greatest
chance for strong to severe storms will be across Lake, Orange,
Osceola, and Okeechobee counties this afternoon and evening.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
Periods of locally heavy rain will have the potential to produce
minor flooding of streets and poor drainage areas, especially
across locations which recently received persistent heavy rainfall
or experience training storms.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents at area beaches. Persons
should swim at a guarded beach and never enter the water alone.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Scattered storms are forecast this afternoon and early evening.
Any storms which develop will be capable of producing gusts in
excess of 35 knots or greater over the larger inland lakes and
the east central Florida Atlantic waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A Moderate risk of rip currents will continue at all east central
Florida beaches the next several days. Scattered daily afternoon
thunderstorms are in the forecast for the upcoming week, the
strongest of which will remain capable of gusty winds, lightning
strikes, and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

Leahy/Fehling

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
527 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     TSTM WND GST     SEBASTIAN INLET         27.86N  80.44W
06/06/2022  M61 MPH          AMZ552             FL   MESONET

            A MESONET AT SEBASTIAN INLET PIER MEASURED A PEAK WIND
            GUST OF 53MPH/61KT FROM THE NW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MLB2200269

KR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
530 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 ENE SHARPES           28.46N  80.67W
06/06/2022  M38 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USSF WIND TOWER 803 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            38KT/44MPH FROM THE NW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MLB2200270

KR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
535 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N PORT CANAVERAL      28.46N  80.59W
06/06/2022  M46 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USSF WIND TOWER 0403 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            40KT/46MPH FROM THE WNW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MLB2200271

KR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
539 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNE PORT CANAVERAL    28.43N  80.57W
06/06/2022  M53 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USSF WIND TOWER 1 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF
            46KT/53MPH FROM THE WNW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MLB2200272

KR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
557 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     TSTM WND GST     CAPE CANAV SFS          28.47N  80.57W
06/06/2022  M55 MPH          BREVARD            FL   ASOS

            THE ASOS AT CAPE CANAVERAL SFS, KXMR, MEASURED A PEAK
            WIND GUST OF 48KT/55MPH FROM THE NNW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MLB2200273

KR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
600 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

FLZ154-159-254-259-062230-
Coastal St. Lucie FL-Inland St. Lucie FL-Inland Indian River FL-
Coastal Indian River FL-
600 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern St.
Lucie and south central Indian River Counties through 630 PM EDT...

At 600 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Pointe West, or 11 miles southwest of Vero Beach
South, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Pierce, Indrio, White City, Fort Pierce North and Lakewood Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2752 8065 2764 8053 2749 8028 2727 8047
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 310DEG 20KT 2751 8055

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Haley