Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2022

Beach Hazards Statement 5, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

May 6, 20224 counties in North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at May 6, 2022, 8:15 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2022, 8:15 PM EDT (00:15 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2022, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Onslow County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2022-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 113 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2022-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
113 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-240 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1322 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

674 
WHUS42 KMHX 070015
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
815 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-071215-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0005.220507T0015Z-220508T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
815 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Cape Hatteras to Surf City.

* WHEN...Through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A moderate rip current risk is also in
  effect. The most likely times for rip currents are several hours
  either side of low tide, which is around 730 AM and 630 PM
  Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
907 
WHUS42 KMHX 070854
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
454 AM EDT Sat May 7 2022

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-072100-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
454 AM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Cape Hatteras to Surf City.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$
017 
WHUS42 KMHX 072039
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

NCZ205-080845-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.W.0002.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 4 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking
  waves of 10 to 15 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach
  Hazards Statement, strong longshore currents in the surf zone
  south of Cape Hatteras.

* WHERE...Oceanside Hatteras Island, north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 2 PM Sunday to 6 AM 
  EDT Thursday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 to 4 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in a significant threat to life and property. 
  Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including 
  homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be 
  inundated. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  shoreline erosion will occur. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event with
  conditions deteriorating Sunday afternoon and peaking Monday
  through Wednesday, then gradually improving late in the week.
  The greatest threat of ocean overwash and inundation will occur
  around the times of high tide. Dune erosion will be progressive
  and overwash will likely be worse with each successive high
  tide.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ203-080845-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.W.0002.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 4 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines 
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking 
  waves of 10 to 15 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Oceanside Northern Outer Banks.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 6 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 to 4 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in a significant threat to life and property,
  especially around the times of high tide. Numerous roads may be
  closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some
  critical infrastructure will be inundated. Dangerous swimming 
  and surfing conditions and shoreline erosion will occur. Strong 
  longshore currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event with
  conditions deteriorating Sunday afternoon and peaking Monday
  through Wednesday, then gradually improving late in the week.
  The greatest threat of ocean overwash and inundation will occur
  around the times of high tide. Dune erosion will be progressive
  and overwash will likely be worse with each successive high
  tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 08/01 AM     5.0        1.3        2.0        4       None    
 08/03 PM     5.7        2.0        3.3       6-8     Minor    
 09/02 AM     6.7        3.0        3.8      9-10     Major    
 09/03 PM     6.6        2.9        3.9      9-10     Major    
 10/02 AM     6.5        2.8        3.7       10      Major

&&

$$

NCZ196-204-080845-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0011.220509T0000Z-220511T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 3 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines 
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 
  PM EDT Wednesday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM 
  EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Strong longshore currents 
  will create dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ094-194-080845-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0011.220509T0000Z-220511T2000Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level expected in
  low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower 
  Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-080000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
439 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$
977 
WHUS42 KMHX 080027
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

NCZ205-081230-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0006.220508T1200Z-220509T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.W.0002.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
Hatteras Island-
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 4 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low- lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking
  waves of 10 to 15 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach
  Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves
  expected, and strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Oceanside Hatteras Island, north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 2 PM Sunday to 6 AM 
  EDT Thursday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT 
  Sunday through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 to 4 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in a significant threat to life and property. Numerous
  roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes,
  businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated.
  Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and shoreline erosion
  will occur. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a 
  swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and 
  back injuries. Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event with
  conditions deteriorating Sunday afternoon and peaking Monday
  through Wednesday, then gradually improving late in the week.
  The greatest threat of ocean overwash and inundation will occur
  around the times of high tide. Dune erosion will be progressive
  and overwash will likely be worse with each successive high
  tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

$$

NCZ196-204-081230-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0011.220509T0000Z-220511T2000Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO
4 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 3 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines 
  and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM
  EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-080130-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-220508T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

$$

NCZ203-081230-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0006.220508T1200Z-220509T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.W.0002.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.220508T1800Z-220512T1000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 4 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking
  waves of 10 to 15 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach
  Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves
  expected, and strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Oceanside Northern Outer Banks.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 2 PM Sunday to 6 AM 
  EDT Thursday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT 
  Sunday through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 to 4 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in a significant threat to life and property,
  especially around the times of high tide. Numerous roads may be
  closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some
  critical infrastructure will be inundated. Dangerous swimming
  and surfing conditions and shoreline erosion will occur. Rip 
  currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into 
  deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or 
  surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back 
  injuries. Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event with
  conditions deteriorating Sunday afternoon and peaking Monday
  through Wednesday, then gradually improving late in the week.
  The greatest threat of ocean overwash and inundation will occur
  around the times of high tide. Dune erosion will be progressive
  and overwash will likely be worse with each successive high
  tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 08/01 AM     5.0        1.3        2.0        4       None    
 08/03 PM     5.7        2.0        3.3       6-8     Minor    
 09/02 AM     6.7        3.0        3.8      9-10     Major    
 09/03 PM     6.6        2.9        3.9      9-10     Major    
 10/02 AM     6.5        2.8        3.7       10      Major

&&

$$

NCZ094-194-081230-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0011.220509T0000Z-220511T2000Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
827 PM EDT Sat May 7 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO
4 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level expected 
  in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower 
  Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at May 6, 8:02 PM EDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 8:02 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
802 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A set of cold fronts will cross the area tonight and Saturday
night as low pressure passes just north or through the area,
strengthening offshore. This low will linger offshore for
several days early to middle of next week, bringing the
potential for significant coastal hazards.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 745 PM Friday...First round of convection has moved north
of the Albemarle Sound for the most part but still seeing
isolated storms developing along a convergence zone just west of
the CWA and moving into far NW sections. Another round of
storms is lifting north of the NC/SC border and will move into
the area mid to late evening. The main severe threat for these
storms are damaging winds and large hail but cannot rule out an
isolated tornado and will continue the Tornado Watch through 10
PM.

Previous discussion...Latest analysis shows broad surface
troughing deepening to the lee of the southern Appalachians with
a surface warm front draped through eastern NC (about Kinston
to Oregon Inlet). Along and south of the front, boundary-layer
moistening with surface dew points now in the upper 60s to low
70s looks to be contributing to SB CAPE values around 3-4000
J/kg with bulk shear 30-40 kt. Aided by ascent driven low-level
warm advection, thunderstorm development will likely focus along
and immediately north of the warm front through the next few
hours, where deep- layer shear is becoming sufficient for
supercell development. Radar shows convection quickly blossoming
across the coastal plain this afternoon near the warm front.
Low level flow remains backed across the coastal plain with low
level helicity values increasing. Will likely have a brief lull
this evening, then as the warm front continues to move northward
and out of our area late this evening, another line of storms
is expected to move in from the WSW and then potentially
strengthening later into the overnight hours as it moves through
the forecast area ahead of the cold front. For this second
round of storms, shear and helicity will remain in place but
instability will be weakening with loss of diurnal heating.
Strong to severe storm threat will continue with localized heavy
downpours possible. Convection will push off the coast late
tonight and early Sat morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
As of 3 PM Fri...Upper low tracks over the Mid-Atlantic as the
attendant surface low undergoes a Miller Type-B-esque transition,
strengthening off the Carolina coast and undergoing modest
deepening beginning Saturday night. Weak cold front will push
across the area Saturday afternoon and evening, with numerous
showers and tstms developing. Severe threat is low as
instability will limited, but a stronger storm or two cannot be
ruled during the afternoon. Low level thickness values support
highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 3 AM Fri...Stacked low pressure crossing the eastern US
will move off the coast into Sunday morning, lingering offshore
into the middle of next week and bringing several coastal
hazards. The low weakens as general troughing develops over the
Southeast later next week.

Sunday through Thursday...A diffluent blocking pattern will
develop Sunday through early next week, with stacked low
pressure lingering off the NC coast for the better part of 4
days. Inland ridging has trended stronger in the last couple of
model cycles, resulting stronger winds and CAA over ENC, with
below normal temps at least through Wednesday. Mid- level
subsidence limits precip chances, but a cool, moist marine layer
trapped below the strong subsidence inversion could bring
drizzle or light rain and generally dreary conditions mainly to
coastal areas for much of the first half of the week, with more
sunshine and drier conditions inland.

The most significant concern (by far) during this time as the
potential for developing large swell and strong N to NE winds to
bring ocean overwash and powerful surf to the Outer Banks, with
soundside coastal flooding also possible. See the TIDES/COASTAL
FLOODING section below for more information.

Thursday and Friday...The low will slide southward off the
Southeast coast Thursday, then potentially retrograde back over
land by Friday. This will bring the potential for WAA and a more
unsettled pattern late in the week, but with the silver lining
that it will allow local winds and swell to diminish. Temps
return near to above normal late week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 730 PM Friday...Pred VFR conditions expected through much
of the period outside of showers and tstms. A second round of
showers and storms will move across rtes mid to late evening
with brief sub-VFR possible along with the possibility of strong
wind gusts, large hail, with an isolated tornado possible.
Southerly winds will gusts up to 15-25 kt through much of the
overnight. VFR conditions expected for most of Sat, with
increasing precip chances late afternoon and evening ahead of a
cold front, which will push through during the afternoon and
evening.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 310 AM Fri...Sun-VFR conditions could prevail through the
first half of next week as this low lingers offshore, with the
greatest changes for prolonged flight restrictions further east
(EWN), and less certainty further west (ISO, PGV, OAJ).

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 745 PM Fri...Latest obs show sly winds 15-25 kt with seas
around 2 ft north of Cape Hatteras and 3-5 ft south. SCA
continues for most waters except the inland rivers for similar
winds and seas building to 4-7 ft. Cold front and weak low will
move through the waters late Sat afternoon and evening. Moderate
to gusty SW winds 15-25 kt will continue ahead of the front
Sat, strongest south of Hatteras. Seas will linger at 3-5 ft
north of Oregon Inlet and 4-6 ft south.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 3 PM Fri...Strong winds and dangerous seas expected for
much of the period. N winds develop behind this cold front
Saturday night, becoming strong through the day Sunday, with
Gales likely at least for the coastal waters and sounds later
Sunday all the way through Tuesday as low pressure persists
offshore and ridging strengthens inland. Issued Gale watches for
the coastal waters north of Lookout and the sounds. With a
large and close fetch of strong NW winds, seas will become
unmanageable Sunday, especially north and east of the Capes,
with seas peaking at a very dangerous 10-15+ ft Tuesday.
Conditions gradually improve beginning Wednesday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 3 PM Fri...Low pressure will move off the Carolina coast
late Saturday into Sunday, parking there through the first half
of next week. A strong gradient on the NW side of this low will
bring large/powerful and notably prolonged NE swell to area
beaches. Current expectations of 10-15+ ft seas and 12 second
swell period would likely bring significant beach erosion and
ocean overwash to portions of the Outer Banks, especially north
of Cape Hatteras, late Sunday through at least Tuesday night.
Large powerful surf and strong rip currents are certain for much
of the Outer Banks as well.

Additionally, the strong swell could bring increased tide
levels and dangerous conditions near inlets through much of the
next week, and a prolonged period of N to NE gales could bring
minor coastal flooding across the southern Pamlico Sound and
lower Neuse River early next week.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday evening for
     AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ135.
     Gale Watch from Sunday afternoon through late Monday night for
     AMZ131-230-231.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ131-150-
     230-231.
     Gale Watch from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday evening for
     AMZ150-152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154-156-
     158.
     Gale Watch from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon for
     AMZ156.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD/SK
SHORT TERM...CQD
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...CQD/SK/CB
MARINE...CQD/CB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 2:42 PM EDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

NCZ203-071845-
Northern Outer Banks-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A large storm system will stall offshore and produce a prolonged
period of large, powerful swell and strong winds Sunday through at
least Tuesday night. Significant beach erosion and ocean overwash
are likely, mainly north of Cape Hatteras. Dangerous surf conditions
and strong rip currents are also expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ205-071845-
Hatteras Island-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A large storm system will stall offshore and produce a prolonged
period of large, powerful swell and strong winds Sunday through at
least Tuesday night. Significant beach erosion and ocean overwash
are likely, mainly north of Cape Hatteras. Dangerous surf conditions
and strong rip currents are also expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-196-199-204-071845-
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Large swell and strong winds from low pressure parked offshore could
bring minor coastal flooding near area inlets and along the southern
Pamlico Sound and lower Neuse River shores early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ194-071845-
Southern Craven-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...TORNADO WATCH 187 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Large swell and strong winds from low pressure parked offshore could
bring minor coastal flooding near area inlets and along the southern
Pamlico Sound and lower Neuse River shores early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ029-044>046-079-080-090>092-094-193-071845-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Greene-Beaufort-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-
Pamlico-Northern Craven-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...TORNADO WATCH 187 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through
overnight. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threat
in the strongest storms, with an isolated tornado is possible as
well. The best chance for any severe storms will be north of Highway
70 and west of Highway 17.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ047-081-198-071845-
Mainland Dare-Mainland Hyde-Inland Onslow-
242 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through
overnight. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threat
in the strongest storms, with an isolated tornado is possible as
well. The best chance for any severe storms will be north of Highway
70 and west of Highway 17.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 4:39 PM EDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
439 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     HAIL             1 WNW SIMPSON           35.58N 77.30W
05/06/2022  M1.00 INCH       PITT               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HEDEN
Local storm report, May 6, 5:44 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
544 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             1 WNW HASSELL           35.91N 77.29W
05/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       MARTIN             NC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC OBSERVED HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
            WITH HAIL SIZE APPROXIMATE QUARTER.

&&

HEDEN
Local storm report, May 6, 5:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
545 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W PITT-GREENVILLE AIR 35.62N 77.45W
05/06/2022  E70 MPH          PITT               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND GST REPORT FROM 4
            W PITT-GREENVILLE AIRPORT. TRAINED SPOTTER
            REPORTED ESTIMATED 70 MPH WINDS NEAR OAKWOOD
            SCHOOL.

0335 PM     HAIL             1 WNW HASSELL           35.91N 77.29W
05/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       MARTIN             NC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC OBSERVED HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
            WITH HAIL SIZE APPROXIMATE QUARTER.

0407 PM     HAIL             1 WNW SIMPSON           35.58N 77.30W
05/06/2022  M1.00 INCH       PITT               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HEDEN
Local storm report, May 6, 6:02 PM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
602 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             2 E STOKES              35.71N 77.22W
05/06/2022  E1.25 INCH       PITT               NC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE
            HAIL ALONG SHEPPARD MILL ROAD AT HEARTLAND
            ESTATE EQUESTRIAN FARM. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR.

&&

HEDEN
Local storm report, May 6, 7:37 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
737 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             2 WSW FOUNTAIN          35.66N 77.68W
05/06/2022  NAN INCH         PITT               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL
            ALONG HIGHWAY 222 IN PITT COUNTY.

&&

HEDEN
Local storm report, May 6, 7:40 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
740 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             2 WSW FOUNTAIN          35.66N 77.68W
05/06/2022  M1.00 INCH       PITT               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 2 WSW
            FOUNTAIN. TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER
            SIZE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 222 IN PITT COUNTY.

&&

HEDEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 9:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXGreene, Martin, Pitt51 min
May 6, 10:23 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMHX30 min
May 7, 4:10 AM EDTGale WarningMHX5 days
May 7, 2:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXOnslow46 min
May 7, 3:08 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMHX6 days
May 7, 4:39 PM EDTCoastal Flood WarningMHXDare5 days
May 7, 4:39 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryMHXCarteret, Craven, Dare, Hyde, Onslow, Pamlico11 days
May 7, 4:39 PM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryMHXDare5 days
May 7, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXGreene47 min
May 7, 5:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXDuplin41 min
May 7, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXLenoir30 min
May 7, 6:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMHXLenoir45 min

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2022Every beach hazards statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.